半导体设备制造商阿斯麦(ASML)27日盘前大跌8.36%,引发市场关注。此轮重挫或受多重因素共振所致。
首先是对即将公布的第四季度业绩预期较为悲观。分析人士指出,阿斯麦第四季度订单量虽能确保2025年指引实现,但2026年的出货订单较少,未来一年增长能见度不高。主要担忧在于大客户英特尔和三星的订单可能进一步下滑,对阿斯麦业绩构成拖累。
其次,开源人工智能DeepSeek近期惊人表现给阿斯麦等高端芯片设备制造商带来潜在威胁。如果这种低成本AI模型大规模普及,可能会削弱英伟达、阿斯麦等领军企业对先进昂贵芯片的需求。
此外,地缘政治因素也给阿斯麦增添不利局面。荷兰首相近日表示,在对华出口管制问题上,荷兰会与美国保持一致,这意味着包括阿斯麦的极紫外光刻机在内的尖端设备面临出口中国的新限制。
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