Analysts on Wall Street are informing potential investors in SpaceX's upcoming public offering that their financial models forecast a hundredfold increase in revenue for the company's artificial intelligence segment by 2030. This projection supports a targeted valuation of $1.8 trillion.
According to a source familiar with the projections, analysts at Evercore ISI anticipate the AI division will generate $755 billion in sales by 2031, a dramatic rise from $3.2 billion last year. The same source indicated that the research team projects the company's total revenue will surpass $1 trillion that year, following an expected $18.7 billion in 2025.
On Thursday morning, investment firms met with prospective investors to present the terms for the historic public debut of Elon Musk's aerospace, satellite, and AI enterprise. The Texas-based company has commenced the marketing phase for its $75 billion initial public offering, which is set to be the largest ever, with shares priced at $135 each.
The research team at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has outlined aggressive financial targets through the end of the decade. Sources indicate their models show total revenue reaching $474 billion in 2030, with AI revenue skyrocketing approximately one hundred times to nearly $322 billion. A separate source noted that Evercore's models estimate total 2030 revenue at $486 billion, with AI contributing $331 billion.
The Goldman Sachs team also forecasts that the company will achieve positive free cash flow exceeding $72 billion in 2031, following a projected low point of negative $105 billion in 2029.
An individual familiar with Evercore ISI's analysis stated that the research team projects AI will grow from less than 20% of the company's revenue to 74% by 2031. Concurrently, revenue from the space business is expected to decline to just 1% of the total, down from over 20% last year.
Sources said both firms expect SpaceX's connectivity unit, primarily its satellite internet service, to grow sales to over $140 billion in 2030 from about $11.4 billion last year. Meanwhile, the rocket division is projected to generate roughly $8 billion in 2030, nearly double last year's $4.1 billion in sales.
Analysts also project the company's capital expenditures will surge to more than $360 billion in 2030, up from over $20 billion last year. They added that Evercore sees spending nearly doubling to $732 billion in 2031, with roughly $666 billion related to AI investments—more than fifty times last year's expenditure.
In their analysis, Goldman Sachs referenced the so-called Magnificent Seven tech giants, including Nvidia Corp. and Musk's Tesla Inc., as comparable companies. They also cited space firms like AST SpaceMobile Inc. and Rocket Lab Corp., AI companies such as CoreWeave Inc. and Nebius Group NV, and market favorite Palantir Technologies Inc..
SpaceX, formally known as Space Exploration Technologies Corp., is expected to finalize the pricing for its initial public offering on June 11. The shares are slated to begin trading on the Nasdaq and Nasdaq Texas exchanges under the ticker symbol SPCX.
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