索罗斯亲密战友：美联储给了投资者“虚假安全感”

华尔街见闻2021-06-11

作者：曾心怡有“华尔街天才”之称的Stanley Druckenmiller，又一次炮轰了美联储。 6月10日周四，Druckenmiller在一封邮件中表示，美联储持续的宽松货币政策扭曲了资产价格，并诱使投资者产生一种虚假的安全感，只是市场现在尚未就美国5月通胀作出表态。他还称，直到美联储停止消除市场信号为止，市场参与者都将继续忽视开始冒头的通胀等风险。近来，美联储反复强调，伴随着后疫情...

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2021-06-11
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Druckenmiller，又一次炮轰了美联储。\n6月10日周四，Druckenmiller在一封邮件中表示，美联储持续的宽松货币政策扭曲了资产价格，并诱使投资者产生一种虚假的安全感，只是市场现在尚未就美国5月通胀作出表态。\n他还称，直到美联储停止消除市场信号为止，市场参与者都将继续忽视开始冒头的通胀等风险。\n近来，美联储反复强调，伴随着后疫情...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".IXIC","symbol_name":"NASDAQ Composite","start_time":0,"source_url":null,"article_id":"1155810638","we_media_id":"1084101182","thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2f6bcea082d3702b693c2ed87aa0bab"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155810638","pubTimestamp":1623383065,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"华尔街见闻","introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"summary":"有“华尔街天才”之称的Stanley 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Druckenmiller，又一次炮轰了美联储。\n6月10日周四，Druckenmiller在一封邮件中表示，美联储持续的宽松货币政策扭曲了资产价格，并诱使投资者产生一种虚假的安全感，只是市场现在尚未就美国5月通胀作出表态。\n他还称，直到美联储停止消除市场信号为止，市场参与者都将继续忽视开始冒头的通胀等风险。\n近来，美联储反复强调，伴随着后疫情时代的经济复苏，通胀只是暂时走高。这也就意味着，美联储为应对疫情危机而实施的宽松货币政策或将在可见的未来继续下去。\n但是，Druckenmiller对此相当不满，此前就已发声警告过好几次。\n上月，他曾在接受采访时称，美联储在新冠肺炎疫情期间旨在维持市场和经济稳定的政策，最终可能会威胁美元的长期健康。\n此外，美联储在市场和经济繁荣的情况下仍然坚持压低利率，并买入数万亿美元的债券是一个长期风险。\n从长远来看，美联储继续推行其政策，以及它们所支持的沉重债务和财政赤字还将威胁到美元的全球储备地位。\n他甚至还曾《华尔街日报》发表题为《美联储在“玩火”》的专栏文章，将美联储骂了一顿。\n他看到在拜登政府麾下，三分之二的失业救济金是在疫苗被证明有效并且复苏加速之后发放给民众的。除了泛滥的流动性，通货膨胀率也达到了历史平均水平。\nDruckenmiller认为，美联储的独立性应该起到制衡作用，应该平衡而不是推高资产价格。正因为这种“怀柔政策”，助长了金融市场的过度行为。因此应该立马调整政策，将风险降至最低。\n此外，文章还称美联储对通胀预期的关注是非常狭隘的，毕竟2022年因为收紧政策带来的经济踩刹车的短期风险与资产泡沫和财政泛滥带来的长期风险相比，根本不是事儿！\n几十年来，Druckenmiller被认为是全球最成功的宏观对冲基金经理之一。30年里，他创造了年均复合增长率30%的业绩，并且保持着投资生涯无负收益年份的记录。\nDruckenmiller曾是索罗斯的“亲密战友”。1988年受索罗斯邀请，Druckenmiller正式进入量子基金公司。1992年，Druckenmiller准确预测英镑对德国马克汇率将下跌。当时他帮助索罗斯“狙击英镑”，在与英国央行的较量中大获全胜。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":181877946,"gmtCreate":1623387400785,"gmtModify":1704202283128,"author":{"id":"3567313446080368","authorId":"3567313446080368","name":"蚂蚁窝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5f80d27281149fa0102ec920d99e622","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3567313446080368","authorIdStr":"3567313446080368"},"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181877946","repostId":1155810638,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155810638","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1623383065,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155810638?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:44","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Soros's close comrade-in-arms: The Fed gives investors a \"false sense of security\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155810638","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"有“华尔街天才”之称的Stanley Druckenmiller，又一次炮轰了美联储。","content":"<p>Author: Zeng Xinyi</p><p>Stanley Druckenmiller, known as the \"Wall Street genius\", once again bombarded the Federal Reserve.</p><p>On Thursday, June 10, Druckenmiller said in an email,<b>The Federal Reserve's continued loose monetary policy has distorted asset prices and induced investors to have a false sense of security, but the market has not yet made a statement on U.S. inflation in May.</b></p><p>He also said,<b>Until the Fed stops eliminating market signals, market participants will continue to ignore risks such as inflation that are starting to rise.</b></p><p>Recently, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly emphasized that with the economic recovery in the post-epidemic era, inflation is only temporarily higher. This also means that the loose monetary policy implemented by the Federal Reserve in response to the epidemic crisis may continue in the foreseeable future.</p><p>However, Druckenmiller is quite dissatisfied with this and has warned several times before.</p><p>Last month, he said in an interview that the Federal Reserve's policies aimed at maintaining market and economic stability during the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic may ultimately threaten the long-term health of the dollar.</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's insistence on keeping interest rates low despite a boom in markets and economies and buying trillions of dollars in bonds is a long-term risk.</p><p>In the long run, the continued implementation of its policies by the Federal Reserve, and the heavy debt and fiscal deficits they support, will also threaten the global reserve status of the US dollar.</p><p>He even published a column in the Wall Street Journal titled \"The Federal Reserve is Playing with Fire\" and scolded the Federal Reserve.</p><p>He saw that under the Biden administration, two-thirds of unemployment benefits were distributed to people after vaccines proved effective and recovery accelerated. In addition to flooding liquidity, inflation has also reached historical averages.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the independence of the Federal Reserve should act as a check and balance and should balance rather than push up asset prices. It is precisely because of this \"conciliatory policy\" that it contributes to the excessive behavior of the financial market. Therefore, policies should be adjusted immediately to minimize risks.</p><p>In addition, the article also stated that the Fed's focus on inflation expectations is very narrow. After all, the short-term risk of the economy stepping on the brakes caused by tightening policies in 2022 is not a matter at all compared with the long-term risks caused by asset bubbles and fiscal flooding!</p><p>For decades, Druckenmiller has been considered one of the most successful macro hedge fund managers globally. In the past 30 years, he has created a compound annual growth rate of 30%, and maintained a record of no negative returns in his investment career.</p><p>Druckenmiller was a \"close comrade-in-arms\" of Soros. In 1988, invited by Soros, Druckenmiller officially joined Quantum Fund Company. In 1992, Druckenmiller accurately predicted that the exchange rate of the pound against the German mark would fall. At that time, he helped Soros \"snipe the pound\" and won a big victory in the contest with the Bank of England.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Soros's close comrade-in-arms: The Fed gives investors a \"false sense of security\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoros's close comrade-in-arms: The Fed gives investors a \"false sense of security\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-11 11:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Author: Zeng Xinyi</p><p>Stanley Druckenmiller, known as the \"Wall Street genius\", once again bombarded the Federal Reserve.</p><p>On Thursday, June 10, Druckenmiller said in an email,<b>The Federal Reserve's continued loose monetary policy has distorted asset prices and induced investors to have a false sense of security, but the market has not yet made a statement on U.S. inflation in May.</b></p><p>He also said,<b>Until the Fed stops eliminating market signals, market participants will continue to ignore risks such as inflation that are starting to rise.</b></p><p>Recently, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly emphasized that with the economic recovery in the post-epidemic era, inflation is only temporarily higher. This also means that the loose monetary policy implemented by the Federal Reserve in response to the epidemic crisis may continue in the foreseeable future.</p><p>However, Druckenmiller is quite dissatisfied with this and has warned several times before.</p><p>Last month, he said in an interview that the Federal Reserve's policies aimed at maintaining market and economic stability during the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic may ultimately threaten the long-term health of the dollar.</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's insistence on keeping interest rates low despite a boom in markets and economies and buying trillions of dollars in bonds is a long-term risk.</p><p>In the long run, the continued implementation of its policies by the Federal Reserve, and the heavy debt and fiscal deficits they support, will also threaten the global reserve status of the US dollar.</p><p>He even published a column in the Wall Street Journal titled \"The Federal Reserve is Playing with Fire\" and scolded the Federal Reserve.</p><p>He saw that under the Biden administration, two-thirds of unemployment benefits were distributed to people after vaccines proved effective and recovery accelerated. In addition to flooding liquidity, inflation has also reached historical averages.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the independence of the Federal Reserve should act as a check and balance and should balance rather than push up asset prices. It is precisely because of this \"conciliatory policy\" that it contributes to the excessive behavior of the financial market. Therefore, policies should be adjusted immediately to minimize risks.</p><p>In addition, the article also stated that the Fed's focus on inflation expectations is very narrow. After all, the short-term risk of the economy stepping on the brakes caused by tightening policies in 2022 is not a matter at all compared with the long-term risks caused by asset bubbles and fiscal flooding!</p><p>For decades, Druckenmiller has been considered one of the most successful macro hedge fund managers globally. In the past 30 years, he has created a compound annual growth rate of 30%, and maintained a record of no negative returns in his investment career.</p><p>Druckenmiller was a \"close comrade-in-arms\" of Soros. In 1988, invited by Soros, Druckenmiller officially joined Quantum Fund Company. In 1992, Druckenmiller accurately predicted that the exchange rate of the pound against the German mark would fall. At that time, he helped Soros \"snipe the pound\" and won a big victory in the contest with the Bank of England.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2f6bcea082d3702b693c2ed87aa0bab","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155810638","content_text":"作者：曾心怡\n有“华尔街天才”之称的Stanley Druckenmiller，又一次炮轰了美联储。\n6月10日周四，Druckenmiller在一封邮件中表示，美联储持续的宽松货币政策扭曲了资产价格，并诱使投资者产生一种虚假的安全感，只是市场现在尚未就美国5月通胀作出表态。\n他还称，直到美联储停止消除市场信号为止，市场参与者都将继续忽视开始冒头的通胀等风险。\n近来，美联储反复强调，伴随着后疫情时代的经济复苏，通胀只是暂时走高。这也就意味着，美联储为应对疫情危机而实施的宽松货币政策或将在可见的未来继续下去。\n但是，Druckenmiller对此相当不满，此前就已发声警告过好几次。\n上月，他曾在接受采访时称，美联储在新冠肺炎疫情期间旨在维持市场和经济稳定的政策，最终可能会威胁美元的长期健康。\n此外，美联储在市场和经济繁荣的情况下仍然坚持压低利率，并买入数万亿美元的债券是一个长期风险。\n从长远来看，美联储继续推行其政策，以及它们所支持的沉重债务和财政赤字还将威胁到美元的全球储备地位。\n他甚至还曾《华尔街日报》发表题为《美联储在“玩火”》的专栏文章，将美联储骂了一顿。\n他看到在拜登政府麾下，三分之二的失业救济金是在疫苗被证明有效并且复苏加速之后发放给民众的。除了泛滥的流动性，通货膨胀率也达到了历史平均水平。\nDruckenmiller认为，美联储的独立性应该起到制衡作用，应该平衡而不是推高资产价格。正因为这种“怀柔政策”，助长了金融市场的过度行为。因此应该立马调整政策，将风险降至最低。\n此外，文章还称美联储对通胀预期的关注是非常狭隘的，毕竟2022年因为收紧政策带来的经济踩刹车的短期风险与资产泡沫和财政泛滥带来的长期风险相比，根本不是事儿！\n几十年来，Druckenmiller被认为是全球最成功的宏观对冲基金经理之一。30年里，他创造了年均复合增长率30%的业绩，并且保持着投资生涯无负收益年份的记录。\nDruckenmiller曾是索罗斯的“亲密战友”。1988年受索罗斯邀请，Druckenmiller正式进入量子基金公司。1992年，Druckenmiller准确预测英镑对德国马克汇率将下跌。当时他帮助索罗斯“狙击英镑”，在与英国央行的较量中大获全胜。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1155810638","isCrawlerRequest":true}