Option Focus | SpaceX Sees $7.16 Million in Long-Dated OTM Call Buys, Signaling Bullish Positioning Despite Elevated IV

Option Witch10-10 07:00

SpaceX closed at USD 162.57, advancing 1.25% from the previous close.

Large options trades showed decisive bullish conviction, with two long-dated out-of-the-money call blocks totaling $7.16 million. Buyers paid $3.98 million for 1,200 contracts of the 165.0 strike expiring in 2027, and $3.18 million for 3,000 contracts of the 180.0 strike expiring in early 2027. Both positioned for sustained upside while limiting risk to premium paid.

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Options Indicators

SpaceX currently has an implied volatility (IV) of 56.21%, and with an IV percentile of 74.41%, current option volatility sits in an elevated range, indicating options are priced expensively versus their own recent history. The IV/HV ratio of 1.06 also suggests implied volatility is running only modestly above realized volatility, so while premium levels are rich on a percentile basis, they are not wildly detached from actual underlying movement. In this setup, outright option purchases face a relatively higher premium burden, while premium-selling structures or defined-risk spreads may offer a more efficient way to express a view.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.72.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $3.98 million was the largest displayed block, with buyers taking 1,200 contracts of the 165.0 strike call expiring on 2027-09-17. With SPCX referenced at 162.57, this contract was slightly out of the money at execution, making it a clear bullish directional bet on upside over a long-dated horizon. The size and maturity suggest the trader was positioning for a sustained advance rather than a short-term move, using calls to gain leveraged upside exposure while keeping risk limited to the premium paid.

Another bullish block was a $3.18 million purchase of 3,000 contracts in the 180.0 strike call expiring on 2027-01-15. This call was also out of the money versus the 162.57 reference price, so the buyer was targeting a meaningful upside move before expiration. Strategically, this is another straightforward long-call expression, reflecting confidence in higher prices and a willingness to pay premium for convex upside participation. Overall, the large-trade flow points to a clearly bullish tone in SPCX, as the dominant blocks were sizable long call purchases in longer-dated, out-of-the-money strikes, indicating investors are positioning for continued upside rather than defending against downside risk.

Strategy Reference

For premium sellers wary of chasing the bullish flow, a shorter-dated 130.0 strike put sale could offer a low assignment probability while collecting elevated IV; alternatively, a 165.0/200.0 call spread expiring in late 2027 may cap margin while preserving upside participation.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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