警告泡沫后，“大空头”最新持仓曝光：80%仓位做空Palantir和英伟达

华尔街见闻11-04

警告泡沫后，“大空头”仓位曝光：80%仓位做空Palantir和英伟达因电影《大空头》而闻名的投资者Michael Burry正将其对AI泡沫的警告付诸行动。最新监管文件显示，他管理的Scion Asset Management约80%的持仓集中于做空Palantir和英伟达这两家AI热潮的标志性公司，押注规模之大引发市场关注。据华尔街见闻此前文章，Burry近日通过社交媒体X发布神秘帖文，引用...

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海星辰
11-04
海星辰
Michael burry或者是個大知名投資機構沒有預測2000互聯網泡沫. 是一名經濟學家預測到2000互聯網泡沫.

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Management约80%的持仓集中于做空Palantir和英伟达这两家AI热潮的标志性公司，押注规模之大引发市场关注。据华尔街见闻此前文章，Burry近日通过社交媒体X发布神秘帖文，引用经典电影《战争游戏》和《大空头》称：\"有时我们看到泡沫。有时可以采取行动。有时唯一的制胜策略就是不参与游戏。\"他随后暗示，AI投资回报过低，类似互联网泡沫时期光纤资本支出过度，当前AI热潮中许多领先公司最终将崩溃。提前两周公布的13F文件证实，Burry确实在\"采取行动\"。他针对Palantir的看跌期权名义价值高达9.12亿美元（相当于500万股），针对英伟达的看跌期权名义价值达1.86亿美元。不过，文件未披露期权的实际支付权利金、行权价及到期日。这一押注面临显著账面损失。截至9月30日13F文件基准日后，两只股票均大幅上涨，意味着Burry的空头头寸已遭受实质性亏损，除非他已平仓止损。其激进做空策略能否重现2008年次贷危机中的成功，市场存疑。集中做空AI龙头根据Scion Asset Management的持仓文件，其投资组合呈现出鲜明的分化。一部分是规模较小的传统持仓，包括Bruker、Lululemon、SLM和Molina Healthcare等公司。而另一半则完全由期权构成，其中最引人瞩目的，正是针对Palantir和英伟达的看跌期权。这两笔押注占据了其投资组合的绝大部分，显示出Burry正在集中火力做空他眼中的“AI泡沫”。值得注意的是，文件并未披露这些期权的实际买入成本、行权价或到期日，这些关键细节将决定该交易的最终盈亏。Burry的这一策略，与他在次贷危机前的成名之举如出一辙。当时，他通过信用违约互换（CDS）工具，精准做空了美国房地产市场。如今，他再次瞄准被视为“市场狂热”代名词的资产，试图复制当年的成功。在公开发出泡沫警告后，Burry用实际行动证明其观点，这被一些市场观察人士解读为顶部信号。他正如同当年一样，试图“在泡沫的围栏上挥出全垒打”。押注时机仍是关键尽管Burry的做空行动引发市场关注，但投资者仍需保持谨慎。历史经验表明，即使方向判断正确，时机也至关重要。回顾2008年金融危机前的交易，Burry实际上提前了大约两年布局空头仓位。虽然他最终获得了巨大成功，但在此期间，维持CDS头寸的高昂成本曾一度使其濒临绝境。过早入场可能带来巨大的持有成本和压力。此外，Burry近年来对市场的时机判断也并非总是准确。例如，他在2023年1月曾以一个词“卖出”（Sell）警告市场风险，但随后市场却展开了一轮强劲反弹。本次做空亦面临类似挑战，自文件披露的9月30日至今，Palantir和英伟达的股价走势已使其空头头寸面临浮亏。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":496622438404176,"gmtCreate":1762268241843,"gmtModify":1762268245858,"author":{"id":"3557309240677406","authorId":"3557309240677406","name":"海星辰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/516c3206ce72ee8a8f229024e23323ea","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3557309240677406","idStr":"3557309240677406"},"htmlText":"Michael burry或者是個大知名投資機構沒有預測2000互聯網泡沫. 是一名經濟學家預測到2000互聯網泡沫.&nbsp;","listText":"Michael burry或者是個大知名投資機構沒有預測2000互聯網泡沫. 是一名經濟學家預測到2000互聯網泡沫.&nbsp;","text":"Michael burry或者是個大知名投資機構沒有預測2000互聯網泡沫. 是一名經濟學家預測到2000互聯網泡沫.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/496622438404176","repostId":2580201783,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2580201783","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1762240004,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2580201783?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-11-04 15:06","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"After warning of the bubble, the latest position of the \"big short\" is exposed: 80% of the position is short against Palantir and Nvidia","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2580201783","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Michael Burry正以实际行动押注AI泡沫破裂。监管文件显示，他管理的Scion基金约80%仓位集中做空英伟达和Palantir，名义价值逾10亿美元。然而两股自9月底以来持续上涨，使其仓位陷入账面亏损。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>After warning bubble, \"big short\" positions are exposed: 80% of positions are shorted<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a></strong></p><p>Investor Michael Burry, best known for the movie \"The Big Short,\" is putting his warning about the AI bubble into action. According to the latest regulatory documents, about 80% of the holdings of Scion Asset Management he manages are concentrated on shorting Palantir and Nvidia, two iconic companies of the AI boom, and the scale of the bet has attracted market attention.</p><p>According to a previous article on Wall Street News, Burry recently posted a mysterious post through social media X, quoting classic movies \"Wargame\" and \"The Big Short\" as saying: \"Sometimes we see bubbles. Sometimes we can take action. Sometimes the only winning strategy is not to participate in the game.\" He then suggested that the return on AI investment is too low, similar to the excessive capital expenditure of optical fiber during the Internet bubble, and many leading companies in the current AI boom will eventually collapse.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7927113ea0354457b8d1f9372d6433f0\" tg-width=\"529\" tg-height=\"530\"/></p><p>The 13F document released two weeks in advance confirms that Burry is indeed \"taking action.\"<strong>His put options against Palantir are worth as much as $912 million in notional value (equivalent to 5 million shares) and against Nvidia are worth $186 million in notional value.</strong>However, the documents did not disclose the actual paid premium, exercise price and expiration date of the options.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9c142b246c970e5a80060fa8d17fcb6a\" tg-width=\"587\" tg-height=\"310\"/></p><p>This bet faces significant paper losses. As of September 30, after the base date of the 13F document,<strong>Both stocks are up sharply, meaning Burry's short position has suffered a substantial loss unless he has closed the stop loss.</strong>Whether its radical short-selling strategy can reproduce the success of the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is doubtful in the market.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab67ce9d736e42318b174bf531ffc3d0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"897\"/></p><p><h2 id=\"id_3013852860\">Focus on shorting AI leaders</h2>According to Scion Asset Management's position documents, its portfolio shows a sharp differentiation. Part are smaller traditional holdings, including Bruker, Lululemon, SLM and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOH\">Molina Healthcare</a>And other companies.</p><p>The other half is composed entirely of options, the most eye-catching of which is the put options against Palantir and Nvidia. These two bets account for the vast majority of his portfolio, showing that Burry is concentrating his firepower on shorting what he sees as the \"AI bubble.\" It is important to note that the filing does not disclose the actual purchase cost, strike price or expiration date of these options, key details that will determine the ultimate profit or loss of the transaction.</p><p>Burry's strategy is exactly the same as his move to become famous before the subprime mortgage crisis.<strong>At that time, he accurately shorted the U.S. real estate market through the credit default swap (CDS) tool.</strong>Today, he is once again targeting assets seen as synonymous with \"market mania\" in an attempt to replicate the success of that year.</p><p>After publicly issuing a bubble warning, Burry proved his point with practical actions, which some market observers interpreted as a top signal. Just as he did in those days, he tried to \"swing a home run on the fence of bubble\".</p><p><h2 id=\"id_1087880158\">Betting timing remains key</h2>Although Burry's short-selling actions have attracted market attention, investors still need to remain cautious. Historical experience shows that even if the direction is correctly judged, timing is crucial.</p><p>Looking back at trading before the 2008 financial crisis, Burry actually placed short positions about two years ahead of schedule. Although he ultimately achieved great success,<strong>But during this period, the high cost of maintaining CDS positions brought it to despair for a time. Entering prematurely can bring significant holding costs and stress.</strong></p><p>In addition, Burry's timing of the market in recent years has not always been accurate. For example, in January 2023, he warned the market of risk with the word \"Sell\", but then the market launched a strong rally. This short selling also faces similar challenges. Since September 30, when the document was disclosed, the stock price trends of Palantir and Nvidia have caused their short positions to face floating losses.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/784139d9a4cfdff406b742f07c82e355\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"531\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After warning of the bubble, the latest position of the \"big short\" is exposed: 80% of the position is short against Palantir and Nvidia</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter warning of the bubble, the latest position of the \"big short\" is exposed: 80% of the position is short against Palantir and Nvidia\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2025-11-04 15:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>After warning bubble, \"big short\" positions are exposed: 80% of positions are shorted<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a></strong></p><p>Investor Michael Burry, best known for the movie \"The Big Short,\" is putting his warning about the AI bubble into action. According to the latest regulatory documents, about 80% of the holdings of Scion Asset Management he manages are concentrated on shorting Palantir and Nvidia, two iconic companies of the AI boom, and the scale of the bet has attracted market attention.</p><p>According to a previous article on Wall Street News, Burry recently posted a mysterious post through social media X, quoting classic movies \"Wargame\" and \"The Big Short\" as saying: \"Sometimes we see bubbles. Sometimes we can take action. Sometimes the only winning strategy is not to participate in the game.\" He then suggested that the return on AI investment is too low, similar to the excessive capital expenditure of optical fiber during the Internet bubble, and many leading companies in the current AI boom will eventually collapse.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7927113ea0354457b8d1f9372d6433f0\" tg-width=\"529\" tg-height=\"530\"/></p><p>The 13F document released two weeks in advance confirms that Burry is indeed \"taking action.\"<strong>His put options against Palantir are worth as much as $912 million in notional value (equivalent to 5 million shares) and against Nvidia are worth $186 million in notional value.</strong>However, the documents did not disclose the actual paid premium, exercise price and expiration date of the options.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9c142b246c970e5a80060fa8d17fcb6a\" tg-width=\"587\" tg-height=\"310\"/></p><p>This bet faces significant paper losses. As of September 30, after the base date of the 13F document,<strong>Both stocks are up sharply, meaning Burry's short position has suffered a substantial loss unless he has closed the stop loss.</strong>Whether its radical short-selling strategy can reproduce the success of the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is doubtful in the market.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab67ce9d736e42318b174bf531ffc3d0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"897\"/></p><p><h2 id=\"id_3013852860\">Focus on shorting AI leaders</h2>According to Scion Asset Management's position documents, its portfolio shows a sharp differentiation. Part are smaller traditional holdings, including Bruker, Lululemon, SLM and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOH\">Molina Healthcare</a>And other companies.</p><p>The other half is composed entirely of options, the most eye-catching of which is the put options against Palantir and Nvidia. These two bets account for the vast majority of his portfolio, showing that Burry is concentrating his firepower on shorting what he sees as the \"AI bubble.\" It is important to note that the filing does not disclose the actual purchase cost, strike price or expiration date of these options, key details that will determine the ultimate profit or loss of the transaction.</p><p>Burry's strategy is exactly the same as his move to become famous before the subprime mortgage crisis.<strong>At that time, he accurately shorted the U.S. real estate market through the credit default swap (CDS) tool.</strong>Today, he is once again targeting assets seen as synonymous with \"market mania\" in an attempt to replicate the success of that year.</p><p>After publicly issuing a bubble warning, Burry proved his point with practical actions, which some market observers interpreted as a top signal. Just as he did in those days, he tried to \"swing a home run on the fence of bubble\".</p><p><h2 id=\"id_1087880158\">Betting timing remains key</h2>Although Burry's short-selling actions have attracted market attention, investors still need to remain cautious. Historical experience shows that even if the direction is correctly judged, timing is crucial.</p><p>Looking back at trading before the 2008 financial crisis, Burry actually placed short positions about two years ahead of schedule. Although he ultimately achieved great success,<strong>But during this period, the high cost of maintaining CDS positions brought it to despair for a time. Entering prematurely can bring significant holding costs and stress.</strong></p><p>In addition, Burry's timing of the market in recent years has not always been accurate. For example, in January 2023, he warned the market of risk with the word \"Sell\", but then the market launched a strong rally. This short selling also faces similar challenges. Since September 30, when the document was disclosed, the stock price trends of Palantir and Nvidia have caused their short positions to face floating losses.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/784139d9a4cfdff406b742f07c82e355\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"531\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47e1931e96a8c6f323808b3f49907089","relate_stocks":{"GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU2452424414.USD":"BGF ESG MULTI-ASSET \"A10\" (USDHDG) INC","LU2242649171.HKD":"FIDELITY FUNDS GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689626769.HKD":"AB SICAV I - SUSTAINABLE US THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2381873111.SGD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL EQUITY HIGH INCOME \"A6\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU2211815571.USD":"ALLIANZ POSITIVE CHANGE \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","LU0868494708.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) INC","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1935042488.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME  \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU2430703095.HKD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (HKD) INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0187121727.USD":"FIDELITY SUSTAINABLE US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1069344957.HKD":"AB SICAV I - AMERICAN GROWTH PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU0274383776.USD":"MANULIFE GF US SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1868837300.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","LU0528227936.USD":"富达环球人口趋势基金A-ACC","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET  INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","NVDA":"英伟达","LU2242650005.HKD":"FIDELITY FUNDS GLOBAL MULTI ASSET DYNAMIC \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2360032135.SGD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (SGDHDG) INC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3758630","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2580201783","content_text":"警告泡沫后，“大空头”仓位曝光：80%仓位做空Palantir和英伟达因电影《大空头》而闻名的投资者Michael Burry正将其对AI泡沫的警告付诸行动。最新监管文件显示，他管理的Scion Asset Management约80%的持仓集中于做空Palantir和英伟达这两家AI热潮的标志性公司，押注规模之大引发市场关注。据华尔街见闻此前文章，Burry近日通过社交媒体X发布神秘帖文，引用经典电影《战争游戏》和《大空头》称：\"有时我们看到泡沫。有时可以采取行动。有时唯一的制胜策略就是不参与游戏。\"他随后暗示，AI投资回报过低，类似互联网泡沫时期光纤资本支出过度，当前AI热潮中许多领先公司最终将崩溃。提前两周公布的13F文件证实，Burry确实在\"采取行动\"。他针对Palantir的看跌期权名义价值高达9.12亿美元（相当于500万股），针对英伟达的看跌期权名义价值达1.86亿美元。不过，文件未披露期权的实际支付权利金、行权价及到期日。这一押注面临显著账面损失。截至9月30日13F文件基准日后，两只股票均大幅上涨，意味着Burry的空头头寸已遭受实质性亏损，除非他已平仓止损。其激进做空策略能否重现2008年次贷危机中的成功，市场存疑。集中做空AI龙头根据Scion Asset Management的持仓文件，其投资组合呈现出鲜明的分化。一部分是规模较小的传统持仓，包括Bruker、Lululemon、SLM和Molina Healthcare等公司。而另一半则完全由期权构成，其中最引人瞩目的，正是针对Palantir和英伟达的看跌期权。这两笔押注占据了其投资组合的绝大部分，显示出Burry正在集中火力做空他眼中的“AI泡沫”。值得注意的是，文件并未披露这些期权的实际买入成本、行权价或到期日，这些关键细节将决定该交易的最终盈亏。Burry的这一策略，与他在次贷危机前的成名之举如出一辙。当时，他通过信用违约互换（CDS）工具，精准做空了美国房地产市场。如今，他再次瞄准被视为“市场狂热”代名词的资产，试图复制当年的成功。在公开发出泡沫警告后，Burry用实际行动证明其观点，这被一些市场观察人士解读为顶部信号。他正如同当年一样，试图“在泡沫的围栏上挥出全垒打”。押注时机仍是关键尽管Burry的做空行动引发市场关注，但投资者仍需保持谨慎。历史经验表明，即使方向判断正确，时机也至关重要。回顾2008年金融危机前的交易，Burry实际上提前了大约两年布局空头仓位。虽然他最终获得了巨大成功，但在此期间，维持CDS头寸的高昂成本曾一度使其濒临绝境。过早入场可能带来巨大的持有成本和压力。此外，Burry近年来对市场的时机判断也并非总是准确。例如，他在2023年1月曾以一个词“卖出”（Sell）警告市场风险，但随后市场却展开了一轮强劲反弹。本次做空亦面临类似挑战，自文件披露的9月30日至今，Palantir和英伟达的股价走势已使其空头头寸面临浮亏。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":2,"PLTR":2}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; 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