Li Auto (NasdaqGS:LI): Valuation Check After HSBC Downgrade and Mounting Operational Setbacks

Simply Wall St.12-20 09:27

Li Auto (LI) is back in focus after HSBC cut the stock to Hold and slashed earnings forecasts, citing a major recall, delivery bottlenecks, and weaker sales as mounting operational headaches. See our ...

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See our ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-li/li-auto/news/li-auto-nasdaqgsli-valuation-check-after-hsbc-downgrade-and\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"02015","symbol_name":"理想汽车-W","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-li/li-auto/news/li-auto-nasdaqgsli-valuation-check-after-hsbc-downgrade-and","article_id":"2592900111","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4021000-choice1-main-header/1585186682108"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-li/li-auto/news/li-auto-nasdaqgsli-valuation-check-after-hsbc-downgrade-and","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592900111","pubTimestamp":1766194074,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Li Auto (LI) is back in focus after HSBC cut the stock to Hold and slashed earnings forecasts, citing a major recall, delivery bottlenecks, and weaker sales as mounting operational headaches.\nSee our latest analysis for Li Auto.\nThose concerns have already been reflected in the tape, with Li Auto’s share price sliding to around $17.0 and posting a steep 90 day share price return of roughly negative 34 percent. 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See our latest analysis for Li Auto. Those concerns have already been reflected in the tape, with Li Auto’s share price sliding to around $17.0 and posting a steep 90 day share price return of roughly negative 34 percent. The 1 year total shareholder return of about negative 28 percent suggests sentiment has been deteriorating rather than stabilising. If Li Auto’s volatility has you rethinking your exposure to car makers, this could be a good moment to explore other auto manufacturers that may offer a different balance of growth and risk. With Li Auto trading at a steep discount to analyst targets despite double digit revenue and profit growth, the key question now is whether investors are being overly pessimistic or simply realistic about the company’s future. Is this a buying opportunity, or is the market already pricing in all the growth ahead? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 30.4% Undervalued Compared with Li Auto’s last close at $17.00, the most popular narrative sees fair value materially higher, implying the market is heavily discounting its long term potential. The rapid buildout of Li Auto's ultra fast charging network (now the largest among Chinese automakers, with plans to reach 4,000 stations by year end) and development of charging technology (e.g., 5C batteries and autonomous charging robots) enhances user experience and alleviates range anxiety, thus accelerating BEV adoption and boosting sales volumes. Read the complete narrative. Curious how this charging moat, ambitious revenue ramp, rising margins, and a punchy future earnings multiple all combine into that fair value gap? The full narrative connects the dots. Result: Fair Value of $24.43 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, elevated R&D spending and fierce domestic EV competition could erode margins and stall Li Auto’s path to the premium, high growth positioning that bulls expect. Find out about the key risks to this Li Auto narrative.  Build Your Own Li Auto Narrative If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised view in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Li Auto research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready for your next investment move? Before you move on, consider exploring your next idea with the Simply Wall St Screener, where data-backed opportunities are available for investors who are ready to act.  Tap into potential income by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may strengthen your portfolio with regular cash returns. Explore the next wave of innovation by scanning these 29 healthcare AI stocks, which use data to help improve patient outcomes and medical efficiency. Position yourself for emerging trends by assessing these 28 quantum computing stocks, which may benefit as quantum technologies progress from research to commercialization.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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