SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Is Down 6.0% After Strong Q4, Upbeat 2026 Outlook and New Crypto Offerings

Simply Wall St.02-16 00:26

SoFi Technologies recently reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results, including record adjusted net revenue growth, more than 1 million new members, and expanded offerings such as crypto ...

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These developments, coupled with analyst upgrades highlighting SoFi’s diversified fintech model and growing role as a full-service digital bank for high-income, tech-focused customers, are reshaping how investors view its long-term business mix and growth potential.  We’ll now examine how SoFi’s robust 2026 revenue and profitability guidance influences the existing investment narrative and expectations for growth. Outshine the giants: these 26 early-stage AI stocks could fund your retirement.AdvertisementSoFi Technologies Investment Narrative RecapTo own SoFi today, you have to believe it can turn its fast-growing digital bank, lending, and platform ecosystem into durable, profitable scale while justifying a premium valuation. The key near term catalyst is management’s 2026 guidance for roughly 30% revenue growth and mid 30s EBITDA margins, which sets a high execution bar. The biggest immediate risk is that growth or margins fall short of those targets, given SoFi’s high earnings multiple and recent share price volatility. The most relevant recent development to that story is SoFi’s launch of its bank issued stablecoin and broader crypto trading push. This expands SoFi’s product suite into blockchain based payments and potential new fee streams, which could support the shift toward more capital light, higher margin revenue. At the same time, these products sit squarely in areas where regulation and adoption trends are uncertain, adding another layer to both the upside case and the risk profile around 2026 guidance. Yet despite the upbeat 2026 outlook, you should be aware that SoFi’s rich valuation leaves less room for error if growth, regulation, or credit trends turn against it... Read the full narrative on SoFi Technologies (it's free!)SoFi Technologies' narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $954.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $392.5 million earnings increase from $561.6 million today.Uncover how SoFi Technologies' forecasts yield a $26.75 fair value, a 36% upside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesSOFI 1-Year Stock Price Chart Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming SoFi could reach about US$6.3 billion in revenue and US$1.6 billion in earnings by 2028, which is a far more bullish path than consensus and leans heavily on rapid growth in capital light businesses and crypto or blockchain offerings that the latest news could either support or call into question.Explore 47 other fair value estimates on SoFi Technologies - why the stock might be worth as much as 94% more than the current price!Build Your Own SoFi Technologies NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your SoFi Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free SoFi Technologies research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate SoFi Technologies' overall financial health at a glance.No Opportunity In SoFi Technologies?Our top stock finds are flying under the radar-for now. Get in early:Explore 23 top quantum computing companies leading the revolution in next-gen technology and shaping the future with breakthroughs in quantum algorithms, superconducting qubits, and cutting-edge research.We've uncovered the 12 dividend fortresses yielding 5%+ that don't just survive market storms, but thrive in them.Uncover the next big thing with 29 elite penny stocks that balance risk and reward.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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