neo26000
01-16

CPI (Dec) was 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)

CPI year over year 2.9% (forecast 2.9%)

 Core CPI (Dec) was 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)

Core CPI year over year 3.2% (forecast 3.3%)

The Core CPI has traditionally been viewed as a more important indicator than the headline CPI, primarily due to its exclusion of volatile food and energy prices, which can distort underlying inflation trends. Additionally, monthly data tends to carry more weight than annual figures, as the latter are already largely known, with 11 months of data already in hand. However, the market seemed to overlook the 0.4% CPI increase in December, possibly driven by short covering. In my view, this suggests that the U.S. economy is not yet fully out of the woods. It's premature to assume a clear path forward just because one optimistic outlier has emerged on the horizon.

That said, I’m not particularly dissatisfied with the outcome, as my portfolio saw gains overnight, regardless of whether the focus was on the Core CPI or not.

Are You Confidnet in January Effect?
On Wednesday, the CPI data came in lower than expected, and the S&P 500 surged, wiping out all of January's losses. However, despite numerous positive earnings reports from bank stocks and TSMC yesterday, both the market and tech stocks closed lower. According to surveys, investors' outlook for the next six months has sharply turned pessimistic. Is the January effect still likely to play out? Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the upcoming market trends?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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