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@RocketBull：🚨🚨Global Equity Markets Today 6 feb US Markets - The **S&P 500** is trading near 6,039.40, with a bullish momentum supported by strong tech earnings and AI-driven optimism. However, potential resistance at 6,123.30 could limit further gains . - The **Nasdaq** remains volatile, with Nvidia (+8%) leading gains, but concerns over AI competition from China’s DeepSeek persist . - **Boeing** shares fell 3% due to ongoing FAA safety audits, while **Apple** surged 4% on strong iPhone 16 sales . Asia/Europe - **Hang Seng**: Rebounded 9% from recent lows, supported by USD weakness and Chinese policy easing . - **DAX**: Up 0.5% on stronger Eurozone retail sales data, with key resistance at 21,994.22 . Forex & Central Banks - **USD (DXY)**: The dollar index is testing support at 106.21, with potential for a bullish bounce toward 107.90. Fed policy uncertainty and tariff risks remain key drivers . - **EUR/USD**: Bearish momentum persists, with resistance at 1.0534 and support at 1.0345. ECB rate-cut expectations weigh on the euro . - **USD/JPY**: Stabilized near 151.11, with potential for a bullish bounce toward 153.24. BOJ’s quantitative tightening plans add downside risks . Commodities - **Oil (Brent)**: Prices dipped to $75.51 amid oversupply concerns and weak Chinese demand. OPEC+ output hikes and US inventory builds add bearish pressure . - **Gold**: Hit a record high of $2,798.40, driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and Fed uncertainty. Next target: $2,850–$2,933 . - **Silver**: Outperformed gold, breaking above $30 resistance, with potential to target $32–$33 . Key Events & Data Today 1. **US JOLTS Job Openings**: A miss below 7.88M could weaken the USD and bolster gold . 2. **Fed Policy Signals**: Focus on Powell’s upcoming testimony (Feb 12) and FOMC minutes (Feb 19) for rate-cut clarity . 3. **RBI Rate Decision**: Cut by 25 bps to 6.25%, India’s first under Governor Sanjay Malhotra . Key Risks & Trends 1. **Tariff Volatility**: Trump’s proposed 10% tariffs on China threaten global supply chains and export-dependent economies . 2. **AI Sector Pressure**: DeepSeek’s cost-efficient models challenge US tech dominance, raising capital expenditure concerns . 3. **China Slowdown**: Weak PMI (50.1) and deflation (-0.8% YoY) pressure commodities like iron ore and industrial metals . 4. **Sticky Inflation**: Fed’s "high-for-long" rate narrative persists, with core CPI near 3% limiting easing scope . Technical Outlook - **S&P 500**: Bullish above 5,923.40 support; resistance at 6,123.30 . - **Bitcoin**: Testing pivot at 98,903.64; break below 92,857.02 could trigger a deeper correction . - **EUR/JPY**: Bearish below 157.60; break above 159.68 may drive gains . - **Gold (XAU/USD)**: Bullish above $2,658; next resistance at $2,850–$2,933 . Conclusion: Markets remain hypersensitive to geopolitical and policy shifts, particularly US-China tariffs and Fed signals. Tech earnings (Apple, Meta) and defensive assets (gold) are key focal points, while equities face headwinds from crowded positioning and valuation risks. Monitor JOLTS data and RBI’s rate-cut impact for short-term direction . $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerEvents @TigerStars
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