$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ โ Why Im Selling Here ๐จ
Tesla has been on an incredible run lately, pushing to ~US$428/share after a strong rally this month. But when I look at the fundamentals and technicals, this feels more like a place to take profits than chase further upside.
๐ Fundamental View
Valuation is stretched: TSLA trades at sky-high multiples, far above traditional automakers and even many tech peers. Much of the future growth is already priced in.
Earnings pressure: Despite revenue growth, net income has fallen sharply (over 50% YoY). Rising competition in China and Europe is squeezing margins.
Execution risks: Ambitious bets on robotaxis and humanoid robots are exciting, but they carry long timelines and heavy regulatory hurdles.
๐ Technical View
Overbought signals: RSI and stochastic indicators are flashing red, showing the stock is overextended.
Far above moving averages: Current price is well above its 50- and 200-day moving averages, historically a setup for pullbacks.
Key resistance ahead: Shares are nearing prior highs (~$480), which could act as a strong ceiling.
โ ๏ธ Bottom Line
After a ~30% surge this month, risk/reward looks skewed. I wouldnt be surprised to see TSLA retrace back toward the $340-350 zone (its 50-day MA) if momentum cools.
For me, this is the time to lock in gains and sell โ not chase hype.
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