Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
ASPI is currently positioned in a Bearish zone, where the suitable long-term stance is Sell and Observe.
Within this zone, price dynamics are typically divided between two phases:
Downtrend: Persistent declines with intermittent short-term rebounds.
Rebound Trend: Temporary or mild upward fluctuations before resuming downward movement.
Historically, Bearish zones carry low expected returns and elevated downside risks. ASPI has remained in this zone for seven consecutive days, with a cumulative loss of -8.0%, validating the effectiveness of a defensive posture and risk-managed selling strategy.
At present, there are no signals indicating a structural shift toward a Bullish zone. Consequently, investors are advised to maintain a cautious position, focusing on capital preservation until trend indicators confirm a sustained reversal.
➡️ Analyst Insight:
For long-term investors, patience and discipline are key. Maintaining liquidity and observing market developments allow for re-entry at more favorable levels when ASPI transitions back into a Bullish zone. The current phase is best viewed as a period for preparation rather than accumulation.
Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
From a short-term perspective, ASPI’s trend remains firmly bearish. Selling intensity is strengthening as the prior rebound loses momentum, signaling the potential start of a more pronounced downtrend phase.
Current investing position: Sell (Bearish)
Recommended selling window: Oct 15–16
Target sell price: $8.9
Projected buy window: Oct 20–21
Target buy price: $7.9
Given the elevated selling momentum, short-term traders should prioritize risk reduction. Conservative buying during minor rebounds should be avoided, as these upticks are likely to be short-lived. Instead, upward volatility can serve as an opportunity to hedge or rebalance.
Over the next 10 days, the projected downward-to-upward movement ratio stands at 7:3, with downward intensity expected to be significantly stronger.
➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should focus on preserving capital and using any rebound as an opportunity to reduce exposure. Aggressive buying is discouraged until downward pressure subsides and the price stabilizes near support around the mid-$7 range.
10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights
Forecast Period | Expected Range | % Change | Trend Bias | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 10–Oct 20 | $8.0 – $9.1 | -9.6% ~ +2.9% | Bearish | 70% |
Median forecast price: $8.6 (approx. -3.3% from current)
Trend Level (current): Bearish -89%
Expected 10-day average trend level: Bearish -65%
Trend reversal probabilities: ~6 to 9 days from now
Trend intensity estimates:
Upward move: +41% (max 100%)
Downward move: -86% (min -100%)
These metrics indicate that while short-term rebounds may occur, the overall trend remains negative with high downward persistence. Volatility remains moderate due to stable buy-sell intensity, but price erosion could continue until the next support zone emerges.
➡️ Interpretation:
The 10-day forecast suggests that ASPI is likely to remain under selling pressure, with limited rebound potential. Investors should stay defensive and monitor for any early signs of a reversal after mid-October.
Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
Long-term: Continue to Sell and Observe; avoid premature accumulation.
Short-term: Expect persistent weakness; the next meaningful buying opportunity may appear after Oct 20 if stabilization occurs near $7.9.
Risk management: Maintain cash flexibility and monitor trend zone indicators for confirmation before shifting strategy.
ASPI’s Bearish zone trajectory reinforces the importance of disciplined risk control and selective re-entry planning. Until a confirmed zone transition, defensive positioning remains optimal.
Investment Strategy Summary
ASPI continues to trade firmly within a Bearish trend, reflecting sustained downward momentum and investor caution. The long-term strategy remains defensive with a Sell-and-Observe posture, while the short-term view calls for cautious trading and readiness to capitalize on lower re-entry points. The broader outlook suggests continued weakness over the next 10 days, with potential stabilization emerging in late October. Investors are advised to remain patient, prioritize preservation over speculation, and prepare for renewed opportunity once momentum shifts toward recovery.
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