5× in 2 Months! How to Understand NAND Rally? What Stocks to Watch?

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11-11
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In the past two months, one stock has surged fivefold.

You might think it’s just another meme stock, but it’s actually part of the AI-driven rally that the market has underestimated — NAND Flash memory stock $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ !

The AI boom has triggered a surge in NAND flash demand, while at the same time, supply constraints have worsened the imbalance between supply and demand.

Why has NAND Flash memory sector been undervalued?

Research reports point out that as the AI wave sweeps across the globe, the shortage of memory chips is becoming more severe.

Over the past two years (2022–2023), NAND prices plunged, leading manufacturers to cut production and destock. By Q4 2024, the industry hit inventory bottom, manufacturing costs declined (thanks to process node improvements), and the market entered a phase of price recovery + profit margin expansion.

As Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron shifted capital expenditure toward high-end memory products like HBM (High Bandwidth Memory), the supply gap in traditional memory is expected to persist at least through next year.

Will the supply-demand imbalance last into next year?

SanDisk Raises Prices Three Times! Igniting the Storage Price Hike Wave!

In November, SanDisk sharply increased NAND flash contract prices by up to 50%, marking its third price hike this year.

After raising prices by 10% in April and again by 10% in September across all channels and consumer products, SanDisk’s latest move triggered price-following from peers such as Micron and other storage leaders.

Strong Earnings Last Week! Multiple Institutions Lift Target Price to $300

Goldman Sachs raised SanDisk’s target price to $280, boosting its EPS forecast by over 80%.

Bernstein was even more bullish, hiking their targets to $300, believing the strong pricing momentum could last through Q3 2026.

Last week, SanDisk reported fiscal Q1 2026 earnings with revenue, margins, and EPS all beating expectations, and provided a stronger-than-expected Q2 outlook.

Bernstein attributed the stellar results to robust demand, declining inventories, and higher sales volumes, while stronger pricing power further fueled growth.

Goldman raised its FY2025–2027 EPS estimates by 69.2%, 83.6%, and 85%, respectively, lifting the 12-month target price from $140 to $280.

Meanwhile, Jefferies and Mizuho Securities also raised their targets, citing a favorable pricing environment and rising AI server demand.

What NAND flash stocks to watch?

Beyond SanDisk, peers like $Micron Technology(MU)$ , $Western Digital(WDC)$ , and $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ have also posted impressive gains this year.

Some argue that despite the rally, the storage sector remains undervalued. Even after a 600% surge this year, SanDisk’s forward P/E is just 27x, compared to Nvidia’s 44x.

Discussion

  1. Do you think the storage sector still has room to run?

  2. Or has the rally gone too far, and it’s time to take profits?

  3. With major institutions raising target prices, is this a signal to add positions — or start exiting?

SanDisk Wins Spot in the S&P 500! Add More Gains This Year?
SanDisk will be added to the S&P 500 index, replacing Interpublic Group of Companies. The memory-storage maker beats out enterprise software firm Strategy for inclusion. SanDisk will be moved up from the S&P SmallCap 600, and the index change will take effect at Friday’s market open. The stock surged more than 9% in after-hours trading following the announcement. ------------- Will it add more gains on its 500% YTD gain? Is the rally just starting? Would you trade flash memory stocks or not?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • Shyon
    11-11
    Shyon
    I believe the rally in NAND flash stocks like SanDisk $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ still has room to run. The AI boom is driving structural demand for data storage in servers and data centers, while supply remains tight after years of production cuts. With major manufacturers shifting capacity toward HBM, NAND prices are likely to stay firm, supporting strong earnings momentum.

    Although valuations have risen, fundamentals remain solid. SanDisk’s multiple price hikes and improving margins reflect real pricing power, and even after a massive rally, its valuation still lags Nvidia’s. That suggests the market hasn’t fully priced in its long-term AI-driven growth potential.

    For now, I prefer to stay invested rather than take profits. The memory upcycle is far from over, and I’d consider adding on dips as AI infrastructure expansion continues to fuel demand through 2026.
    $Micron Technology(MU)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$ $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

  • koolgal
    11-12
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟The NAND flash rally is up nearly 5x in 2 months due to AI's insatiable hunger for high capacity storage.

    AI models require massive data storage for training and inference.   NAND flash offers high density, cost efficient storage for this purpose.

    Data centers are also shifting from hard disk drives to NAND based SSDs to meet AI latency and throughput demands.

    Another reason why NAND is surging is the semiconductor supercycle.

    Stocks poised to benefit are $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $SK Hynix, Inc.(HXSCL)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$.

    Exciting times are ahead for these stocks so it is worthwhile considering adding them to my watch list as there is lots of exponential growth ahead.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @CaptainTiger

  • Tiger_comments
    11-18
    Tiger_comments
    Thanks for participating in my discussion. Your coins have been sent through the tiger coin center!
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  • BTS
    11-14
    BTS
    The NAND flash memory sector has rallied due to rising demand from cloud computing, AI, and data centers, along with supply constraints and strong earnings, though risks of oversupply and market corrections in cyclical sectors remain a concern

    While SanDisk Corp (SNDK), Micron Technology (MU) and Western Digital (WDC) are strong players in the sector, their current prices are relatively high, so it may be wise to monitor their movements before considering an entry

    If the rally is overextended, holding may still be worthwhile for those believing in long-term growth, while those concerned about high valuations or new to the sector might consider locking in profits and waiting for a pullback

    In summary, the NAND rally, fueled by strong demand and supply constraints, has solid long-term prospects, but the rapid price increase suggests reassessing positions, with earnings reports and market sentiment guiding the next steps。。。
    Tag :
    @Huat99
    @Snowwhite

  • 北极篂
    11-12
    北极篂
    看到闪迪(SanDisk)股价在短短两个月飙涨五倍,我的第一反应是——这波反弹绝不仅仅是“模因热潮”,而是AI产业链中被忽视的一环终于爆发。过去两年,NAND闪存厂商经历了痛苦的库存调整、价格崩塌与盈利下滑,如今供需结构彻底反转,迎来了真正的“周期复苏”。


    我个人认为,AI服务器需求的持续增长是这次行情的核心驱动力。生成式AI模型的训练和推理,不仅依赖高算力,也对数据存储和访问速度提出了极高要求。随着三星、海力士、美光纷纷将重心转向高带宽内存(HBM),NAND产能反而被压缩,这种“被动减产”让SanDisk在需求回升时拥有了更强的定价权。连续三次涨价、合同价暴涨50%,足以说明供需紧张的现实。


    从估值角度看,即使闪迪股价已飙升600%,其预期市盈率仍低于英伟达等AI龙头,这说明市场对存储股的重新定价才刚开始。机构上调目标价到300美元,反映出资金对行业周期反转的信心。


    但我不会盲目追高。短线涨幅过快,技术面随时可能出现调整。若有回调,我反而会视为加仓机会。整体来看,存储板块确实还有运行空间,但节奏要掌握好——这不是泡沫,而是一场被低估已久的AI“存储革命”刚刚开始。
  • Chrishust
    11-12
    Chrishust
    $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ is a high volume nand and computer memory retail brand which is benefiting from high demand for memory.
    1. Storage prices are forecast to increase further
    2. Outlook remains strongly positive
    3. Signal to add to positions of momentum trading .
    Sandisk is an opportunity to invest further in ai
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