Earnings Day Game: How Much Will NVDA Swing?

Tiger_SG
11-15
Reward Tiger-CoinsReward 500 Tiger-coins

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is set to report earnings soon — On November 19, after market close, and once again, all eyes are on the AI chip giant.

As the powerhouse behind the global AI boom, NVIDIA’s chips drive everything from data centers to advanced model training. Expectations for its revenue and gross margin are still high. AI demand keeps booming, the market’s anticipation for "beat-and-raise" results is intense. But with NVDA trading near record highs, many wonder if too much optimism is already priced in. 🤔

Recent history shows earnings days rarely stay quiet — NVDA often moves ±5–8% right after results, with big swings when the numbers surprise. Will this quarter ignite another rally, or trigger a quick pullback? 📈📉

🎯 Let’s discuss

  1. How much will NVIDIA’s stock move on earnings day?

  2. Share your play — What option strategy would you use?

Example:

  • Slight pullback after a huge run, selling a covered call to lock in gains and collect premium.

  • Up about 7% — AI demand still strong. I’d buy call spreads to capture upside with limited risk.

  • Big swing either way! I’m setting up a long straddle — high risk, but high reward

Common Earnings-Oriented Option Strategies

  1. Covered Call

If you already hold NVDA shares, you can sell a call to earn premium and set a target selling price.

If NVDA stays below that strike, you keep both your shares and the premium. If it rises above, your shares may be called away — but at your chosen sale price. Useful when you’re moderately bullish or neutral and want to collect income.

  1. Vertical Spread

  • Bull Put Spread. If you expect NVDA to rise slightly or trade sideways. Sell a put at a higher strike and buy a put at a lower strike. You earn premium income while limiting downside risk.

  • Bear Call Spread. If you expect NVDA to fall slightly or stay flat. Sell a call at a lower strike and buy another at a higher strike. You collect premium, and your potential loss is capped if NVDA rises.

These strategies are useful when you expect limited movement and want defined risk and return.

  1. Long straddle

If you expect a major move but aren’t sure which direction: Buy one call and one put with the same strike and expiration. You profit if NVDA moves sharply up or down after earnings — but lose if the stock stays flat and volatility drops. This strategy is typically used around high-volatility events, like earnings.

Drop a comment to share your NVDA earnings prediction and strategy picks 💬, or ask any option-related questions—— let’s grow our trading skills together!🤝

Rewards 🎁

  • All valid comments/posts → receive 10 Tiger Coins

  • Lucky Tigers with high-quality shares → receive an Options Handbook (or a USD 5 Options voucher if you already have one)

  • Tigers who guess correct on NVIDIA’s stock price post earnings can split 500 tiger coins!

Event Period 📅

  • From now → Nov 20, 2025

Quick Poll:

A. Can Nvidia close above $190? Comment yes or no in the comment section!

B. What strategy would you choose for NVIDIA’s earnings?

  1. Bullish, Buy Calls / Bull Call Spread 🚀

  2. Bearish, Buy Puts, Bear Put Spread 🪂

  3. Neutral / Volatility Play, Straddle / Iron Condor

  4. Other strategies

  5. No trade, just observing

What strategy would you use to bet on nvidia earnings?(Maximum2 votes)
  • Bullish, Buy Calls / Bull Call Spread 🚀(4 votes)
  • Bearish, buy put/put spread(2 votes)
  • Bearish, Buy Puts, Bear Put Spread 🪂(0 votes)
  • Neutral / Volatility Play, Straddle / Iron Condor(2 votes)
  • Other Strategies(0 votes)
  • No trade, just observing(1 votes)
BofA Goes Bullish, H20 Sales May Lift — Is $180 a Buy?
According to Reuters, China’s demand for H200 chips has already exceeded NVIDIA’s current production capacity, and the company is evaluating an increase in H200 output. However, NVDA still traded lower during Friday’s session. Nvidia’s path to selling in China has been turbulent—can the resumption of China sales help boost its revenue? And can this mark the end of Nvidia’s recent decline?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Reward expired
Due to insufficient number of valid participants, 500Tiger coins have been refunded to the initiator
Deadline to 12/02 05:06
Reward-post

Comments

  • Shyon
    11-15
    Shyon
    I expect $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ to post another solid quarter, but with the stock already near record highs, a lot of optimism is priced in. AI demand remains strong, yet expectations are so elevated that even good results could trigger some profit-taking. My base case is a moderate ±5% move, with a slight lean toward a short-term pullback if guidance doesn’t exceed the hype.

    For my earnings play, I prefer a neutral-to-mildly-bearish setup. I’d use a bear call spread — selling a slightly OTM call and buying a higher strike to cap risk. This lets me collect premium while positioning for a “good but not amazing” reaction, especially with implied volatility already inflated before earnings.

    For the poll: A: No, I don’t think NVDA will close above $190 after earnings. For B, my choice is Bearish: Bear Call Spread, which matches my view that upside may be limited and a post-earnings cooldown is possible.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

  • icycrystal
    11-16
    icycrystal
    @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @Zarkness @SPACE ROCKET @nomadic_m @LMSunshine @Barcode @rL @HelenJanet @Universe宇宙

    A. Can Nvidia close above $190? Comment yes or no in the comment section!

    B. What strategy would you choose for NVIDIA’s earnings?

    Bullish, Buy Calls / Bull Call Spread 🚀


    Bearish, Buy Puts, Bear Put Spread 🪂


    Neutral / Volatility Play, Straddle / Iron Condor


    Other strategies


    No trade, just observing

  • icycrystal
    11-16
    icycrystal
    yes, I believe so. around 190 maybe possible.

    As the powerhouse behind the global AI boom, NVIDIA’s chips drive everything from data centers to advanced model training. Expectations for its revenue and gross margin are still high. AI demand keeps booming, the market’s anticipation for "beat-and-raise" results is intense.

    • koolgal
      Great insights 🥰🥰🥰
  • 1PC
    11-18
    1PC
    NVDA earnings drop Nov 19 📅—and I’m expecting fireworks 🎆(Maybe 200[Chuckle]) With AI demand still booming, I believe NVDA could swing up big 📈. If I had to play it, I’d buy calls to ride the upside 🚀. History shows ±5–8% moves are common, and with high expectations, volatility is guaranteed ⚡. Too much priced in? Maybe. But I’m betting on another beat-and-raise 💥📊🧠💬@JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @DiAngel
    • koolgal
      Great Insights 😍😍😍
  • Isleigh
    11-16
    Isleigh
    📈 My Trade-Ready Base Case

    Probability ~60%: NVDA beats, guides modestly above consensus → +6% to +9% move to ~$204-208.

    Bearish risk ~25%: Guide is flat or light → –8% to –12% move to ~$176-182.

    Bull outlier ~15%: Massive beat + raised guide → +12% to +18% move to ~$218-225.

    NVDA isn’t just another earnings beat; it’s a market tone-setter.
    If NVDA surprises to the upside, the AI trade reignites, and your asymmetric plays gain oxygen.
    If it disappoints, high-beta names may under-perform near-term while rotation seeks safe havens.

  • Isleigh
    11-16
    Isleigh
    🔥 My Prediction (Straight Answer)

    NVDA beats. Market reacts with a +7% move. Price targets $204–208.
    The tape + macro + positioning all support this as the most realistic outcome.

    Let’s see if Jensen delivers the shockwave the market expects. ⚡️

    I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!

Leave a comment
48
97