Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts:
Bitcoin is off about -25%, a bearish omen for tech stocks.
Listed private equity is down -13%, another bearish omen.
Valuations and positioning are at historical extremes.
(but there’s good relative & absolute value in foreign/value stocks)
Biotech is breaking out, healthcare relative performance is turning up.
Overall, there’s perhaps too many sick-looking canaries in the coalmine for comfort at the moment; especially when you consider the valuation backdrop. But one issue with extreme valuations is how to practically factor that aspect in. The new “Portfolio Strategy Notes” section at the end offers some pragmatic perspectives on this…
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