Emotional Investor
11-20

So $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has pretty much "learned" all the click bait commentators waffling on about the so call Ai bubble. As I said in one of my articles yesterday just pure speculation over fact. The facts presented themselves earlier today when Jensen said that they have sold out of High end chips. But to me this was well telegraphed. That's why I pretty much ignore Most analysts and market commentators. I listen to the industry and the companies. And actually a lot of writers here in tiger trade, who actually know the facts.

But today I want to address another one of the stupid concepts being circulated by the sheep of Wall Street, Ai chip depreciation.

This keeps recirculating as an argument to support an Ai bubble. The fact that the big Ai compute businesses like $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have gone from depreciating their chips over 3 years to depreciating up to six years. Too this I say foobar!

Why? For a start it must be following GAAP. I would probably conclude that while a chip has a useful life of only 3 years for Ai training or inference, it still has a use in less demanding compute for, um idk, maybe another 3 years.

Second I would argue that it's not really in a companies best interests to depreciate an asset over 6 years rather than 3. Why? Think about it. Depreciation is not a cost in terms of cash flow, but lower depreciation rates impact cash flow. Why? Cause you make more profit therefore pay more tax.

Thirdly, let's face it... who cares. Depreciation, amortization, goodwill, all so called "accounting "tricks" don't matter. Personally and I'm not alone, I look at EBITDA. When buying I also discount goodwill to zero. And I'm way more interested in the cash flow statementsthan the income statements. 

Food for thought? I'd love your comments fellow tigers. 

@TigerWire @MojoStellar @TigerTrade @Ragz @MillionaireTiger @SPACE ROCKET 

BofA Goes Bullish, H20 Sales May Lift — Is $180 a Buy?
According to Reuters, China’s demand for H200 chips has already exceeded NVIDIA’s current production capacity, and the company is evaluating an increase in H200 output. However, NVDA still traded lower during Friday’s session. Nvidia’s path to selling in China has been turbulent—can the resumption of China sales help boost its revenue? And can this mark the end of Nvidia’s recent decline?
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Comments

  • Venus Reade
    11-20
    Venus Reade
    I need this to slow down so I can buy more for under $200

  • Merle Ted
    11-20
    Merle Ted
    Next stop 213. Next spring 250. Never a company like this before

  • Ron Anne
    11-21
    Ron Anne
    EBITDA focus + chip reuse logic crushes depreciation FUD!
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