🌡️The Fed's Year-End Drama: What's Your Take?

Daily_Discussion
12-09
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Hi,Tigers:

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Catch up fast:These events rocked the markets today.

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Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings

Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!

✨Tuesday — Singapore Stocks

Singapore equities nudged higher at Tuesday’s open, with the STI up 0.1% and index heavyweights Nio and Golden Agri-Resources gaining 2%. Corporate headlines were mixed: OCBC’s mezzanine-capital arm confirmed a stake in a US$1.5 bn green-steel project in Sabah, yet its stock slipped 1% to S$18.73. Jardine Matheson secured shareholder approval to take Mandarin Oriental private at US$3.35/share (M04 flat at US$3.30), while SingPost will raise domestic postage by 10¢ from 1 Jan, leaving its shares unchanged at S$0.415.

On the macro front, DBS senior strategist Daryl Ho labelled Asia “under-invested” despite improving earnings and attractive valuations, arguing that lingering caution from years of under-performance is keeping global money on the sidelines. He told a private-wealth session of the bank’s 2026 outlook forum that the region now presents a “sanguine” set of opportunities for investors willing to look past old narratives.

In local corporate news, landlord OG has filed suit against supermarket operator Hao Mart for allegedly breaching its 7.5-year lease at Taste Orchard by failing to pay rent since January and sub-letting without consent. OG is claiming almost S$6.6 million in arrears and related charges as of 1 October, underscoring the lingering pain in Singapore’s retail-property segment.


📌【Today’s Question】

What is your assessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy?

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Comments

  • 這是甚麼東西
    12-09
    這是甚麼東西
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    聯準會自2024年9月啟動降息週期以來,已將基準利率下調至3.75%-4%,但長期國債收益率反而上升,顯示市場與政策預期存在分歧。當前聯準會內部對利率終點的看法分歧創2012年來新高,19位官員給出11種不同估值,範圍從2.6%到3.9%。

    本週即將召開的議息會議備受關注,市場普遍預期降息25個基點的概率達84%,但FOMC內部有5名成員反對或懷疑進一步放鬆貨幣政策。這種分歧反映了政策制定者陷入"抗通膨與保就業"的拉鋸戰。

    從經濟影響來看,聯準會的寬鬆政策有望為亞洲新興市場貨幣提供支撐,但同時也需要關注通膨高於3%和就業市場疲態的風險。

  • Shyon
    12-09
    Shyon
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    Today focus will definitely be $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ as Trump team allows Nvidia to ship its H200 chips to China!

    Trump has approved the export of Nvidia’s H200 chips to China, on the condition that 25% of the related revenue must be handed over to the U.S. government.

    However, the latest Blackwell series and the upcoming Rubin chips are still banned from export, meaning China can only purchase second-tier products.

    Given Nvidia’s extremely high gross margin of 75%, even if the company absorbs that 25% levy itself, it would still be profitable—and in most cases, the cost will likely be passed on to Chinese customers.

    Jensen Huang has long argued that the more China relies on Nvidia and the CUDA ecosystem, the more the U.S. can control the standards and direction of AI technology development.

    Instead of letting that money flow to Huawei’s chip R&D—strengthening a potential competitor—it’s “better” for the U.S. government to take a cut.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion

  • TimothyX
    12-09
    TimothyX
    Win 8 Tiger-coins
    新加坡股市週二開盤小幅走高,海指上漲0.1%,指數權重股蔚來和Golden Agri-Resources上漲2%。企業頭條新聞好壞參半:華僑銀行的夾層資本部門確認入股沙巴一個價值15億美元的綠色鋼鐵項目,但其股價下跌1%,至18.73新元。怡和集團獲得股東批准,以每股3.35美元(M04持平於3.30美元)的價格將文華東方私有化,而新加坡郵政將從1月1日起將國內郵資提高10美分,其股價維持在0.415新元不變。
  • Cadi Poon
    12-09
    Cadi Poon
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    在宏觀方面,星展銀行高級策略師達里爾·何(Daryl Ho)將亞洲稱爲“投資不足”,儘管亞洲盈利有所改善,估值也有吸引力,他認爲多年表現不佳帶來的揮之不去的謹慎情緒讓全球資金保持觀望。他在該銀行2026年展望論壇的私人財富會議上表示,該地區現在爲願意拋開舊說法的投資者提供了一系列“樂觀”的機會。
  • 逆天邪神云澈
    12-09
    逆天邪神云澈
    Win 8 Tiger-coins
    I am also watching on Nvda to see how it performs when the market opens. It doesn't seem to have enough steam in pre-market but hoping it will "chiong" past $200 [Miser]
  • alexmate
    12-09
    alexmate
    Win 6 Tiger-coins
    kind of funny that Netflix has come to the point where acquiring a film studio actually diminishes it's worth
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