🔥 2026 AI List Deep Dive: Do You Agree with Wedbush’s Picks?
Dan Ives just refreshed his AI-30 winners list for 2026 — and the reshuffle says a lot about where the next wave of AI gains may come from.
He expects Big Tech to push another ~20% climb in 2026 as AI shifts from hype to real commercial scale.
Here’s the in-depth breakdown with added context, signals, and risks. ⚡️
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1) What Wedbush Actually Changed — and Why It Matters 🧭
Ives’ latest update moved the list away from classic SaaS giants and toward GPU infra, data infrastructure, and commercial-ready platforms.
Adds ➕: CoreWeave, IREN, Shopify
Removals ➖: ServiceNow, Salesforce, SoundHound
Why this is meaningful:
• ⚙️ Compute capacity becomes the bottleneck → GPU clouds gain pricing power
• 🧠 Data infrastructure becomes the monetization layer → AI is useless without clean, integrated data
• 🏭 Vertical/embedded AI wins → companies who can convert pilots into ARR will outperform
Ives is signaling that the money in 2026 comes from infra + data, not just software front-ends.
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2) SaaS Earnings Backdrop — Mixed but Improving 📊
Recent SaaS earnings show a split:
• 📈 Salesforce raised FY2026 guidance, citing AI product traction (Agentforce, Data360)
• ⚠️ But many SaaS names still trade on hope rather than AI ARR
What the market is rewarding now:
• ✔️ Clear disclosure of AI-driven ARR
• ✔️ Strong net retention
• ✔️ Demonstrated AI upsell into existing enterprise customers
What the market is punishing:
• ❌ Weak AI monetization clarity
• ❌ Slowing revenue guidance
• ❌ High valuations without ARR proof
SaaS isn’t dead — but the bar is higher.
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3) Snowflake — Buy the Dip or Value Trap? ❄️🤔
Snowflake’s recent pullback triggered two opposite camps:
Bull Case 🟢
• AI needs structured, accessible data → Snowflake is at the center of that
• More production AI = more compute + more Snowflake usage
• Long-term runway remains massive
Bear Case 🔴
• Valuation still rich based on several DCF models
• Cloud provider competition could squeeze margins
• Growth premium already priced in
Balanced Take 🎯
The dip is interesting — but requires discipline.
Start small (2–4% initial allocation), scale only if:
• ARR accelerates
• Retention trends hold
• AI-specific revenue disclosures strengthen
Snowflake remains a high-beta AI infrastructure play, not a safe bargain.
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4) Best AI Picks for 2026 — Category Breakdown 🧩
A. Hyperscalers / AI Platforms 👑
• Microsoft — Azure AI + enterprise bundling
• Nvidia — datacenter GPU dominance
B. GPU / Specialized Compute Providers ⚡️
• CoreWeave — GPU cloud capacity play
(One of the biggest beneficiaries of model training demand)
C. Data & Analytics Infrastructure 🧠
• Snowflake (SNOW)
• MongoDB / Confluent (data pipeline ecosystems)
D. Vertical/Enterprise AI SaaS 🏢
• Salesforce — strong AI ARR, though removed from Ives list
• Shopify — embedded AI commerce workflows (added to Ives list)
E. Cybersecurity Beneficiaries 🔐
• Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, Zscaler
(AI models = new attack surfaces → security demand rises)
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5) ETF vs Stock-Picking — Which Is Better? 💼
ETF Route (IGV) — Safe & Lazy 👍
Broad SaaS exposure, reduced single-stock risk.
Great if you want AI exposure without daily monitoring.
But… it may underperform concentrated winners.
Stock Picking — Higher Alpha, Higher Risk 🚀
You can overweight the actual mega-winners (NVDA, SNOW).
But requires research, risk tolerance, and volatility management.
Rule of thumb:
If you’re not active:
➡️ Use IGV ETF + 1–2 satellite AI names (NVDA, SNOW, MSFT)
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6) Portfolio Examples (Illustrative Only) 🧪
Conservative
• 80% IGV
• 15% MSFT
• 5% NVDA
Balanced
• 50% IGV
• 15% SNOW
• 15% MSFT
• 10% NVDA
• 10% cash
Aggressive
• 30% IGV
• 25% NVDA
• 20% SNOW
• 15% GPU/cloud (e.g., CoreWeave)
• 10% cash
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7) Key 2026 Risks to Watch ⚠️
• 🛑 AI monetization slows → SaaS multiples compress
• ⛓️ Compute shortages or GPU cost spikes
• 📉 Macro/rate shock
• 🧨 Cloud competition eroding margins
• 🧮 AI revenue overstated or delayed
Every AI thesis is only as strong as the next quarter’s ARR.
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8) What to Track Quarterly (Very Practical) 📅
• 🧾 AI-specific ARR numbers
• 📈 Net retention
• 🧠 Customer adoption of AI modules
• ⚙️ GPU supply & pricing
• 💵 ETF flows into IGV / software
• 📉 SNOW logos tied to AI workloads
These metrics reveal the real winners early.
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9) Final Takeaways 🎯
• Wedbush’s picks reflect the shift toward compute + data, where AI value actually forms
• SaaS is not dead, but must show AI ARR, not AI marketing
• Snowflake dip = conditional buy → depends on retention + AI revenue
• Use IGV if you want easy exposure; supplement with selective stock picking
• 2026 AI winners will come from infrastructure, data, and enterprise adoption
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Summary Post 🐯🔥
🔥 2026 AI List: Wedbush says the next winners aren’t just SaaS — they’re compute ⚙️ + data 🧠.
SaaS earnings are mixed: Salesforce raised guidance on AI ARR 📈, but others lag.
Snowflake dipped — bulls say opportunity, bears say valuation still heavy ❄️🤔.
My take: buy with discipline, watch ARR & retention closely.
Infra (NVDA/CoreWeave), data platforms (SNOW), enterprise AI (MSFT), and cybersecurity (CRWD/PANW) look strongest for 2026.
ETF route like IGV 🧺 works if you want diversified exposure.
Which AI name is your top conviction for 2026? 🚀🔥
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