American Airlines (AAL) maintains a bullish sequence from the April 4 low, supporting prospects for further upside. A 100% Fibonacci extension projects a target of $16.8, reinforcing the constructive technical outlook. The short‑term cycle from the September 30 low is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. From that low, wave A advanced to 14.05. A corrective pullback in wave B then terminated at 12.11, as confirmed by the hourly chart. Wave C is now progressing higher in the form of an impulse Elliott Wave structure.
Within this advance, wave (i) ended at 12.65. The dip in wave (ii) found support at 12.15. Wave (iii) extended to 14.11, while the pullback in wave (iv) settled at 13.56. The stock is expected to complete wave (v) soon, which should finalize wave ((i)) of a higher degree. Afterward, a corrective phase in wave ((ii)) is anticipated. This will address the cycle from the November 18, 2025 low before the broader uptrend resumes. Near term, as long as the pivot at 12.11 remains intact, pullbacks should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing structures. This framework continues to favor further upside potential.
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