Shyon
12-12 17:18

Broadcom's latest earnings clearly show that the company is executing well operationally. Adjusted EPS of $1.95 and revenue of $18.02 billion for fiscal Q4 beat analyst expectations, and year-over-year growth of 37% in earnings and 28% in sales is impressive. AI semiconductor sales, which jumped 74% YoY, were a major contributor, and the guidance for Q1 revenue of $19.1 billion — up 28% YoY — underscores that Broadcom continues to ride strong demand in the AI and data center markets. On paper, this is a robust performance.

That said, the market reaction tells a different story. Broadcom stock fell more than 4% in after-hours trading despite the earnings beat. The reason seems to be the $73 billion backlog in AI products, which, surprisingly, disappointed some investors. It appears that expectations around the pace of AI growth are so high that even strong numbers are not enough. While AI revenue is growing rapidly, the market may be questioning whether the "AI dream" is fully translating into near-term execution and stock performance.

As for the semiconductor dip, I see it as a nuanced opportunity. Broadcom's fundamentals are strong: AI chip sales are growing, and the company has long-term relationships with major players like Google and Meta, plus a diversified portfolio of networking and switch products for AI data centers. The dividend increase of 10% to 65 cents per share and 15 consecutive years of dividend growth also show financial resilience. For investors with a longer-term horizon, the dip could be an attractive entry point, but short-term volatility will likely remain given market sensitivity to AI growth narratives.

Interpreting AVGO's earnings, I think it's a classic case of strong results clashing with sky-high expectations. Broadcom is clearly capitalizing on AI and data center demand, but the stock drop signals that investors are now focusing not just on growth, but on execution, backlogs, and how quickly revenues translate into tangible results. Personally, I would remain bullish on Broadcom's $Broadcom(AVGO)$   fundamentals while staying mindful of market sentiment around AI — it's a reminder that the narrative alone isn't enough; execution matters just as much.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community. 

@Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  

Broadcom Beats, Yet Misses AI Dream: Is AI Narrative Fading?
Despite the positive earnings results, Broadcom’s stock fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. One key reason: the company revealed that it currently has $73 billion worth of AI product backlogs, a number that left some investors disappointed. ----------- Is Semiconductor dip a buying opportunity or not? Has market abandoned AI narrative? How do interepret AVGO's earnings?
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Comments

  • Valerie Archibald
    12-13 10:32
    Valerie Archibald
    This stock is up about 200% in one year, moving from a 52-week low of 138.10 to a high of 414.61, so an 11% pullback is not a big deal at all. Moves like this are normal after a run like that.

    • Shyon
      Fully agree with you, really not significant form a bigger and longer horizon.
  • Merle Ted
    12-13 10:24
    Merle Ted
    Own both Nvidia and Broadcom. Best in both categories. No reason to sell early innings of AI

    • Shyon
      Fully agree, diamond ✋
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