zhingle
12-13 19:24

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 

📊 Year-End Options Recap 2025 — A Portfolio-Driven Analysis

Theme: Concentrated AI Beta, Managed with Options Structure

Looking at my current portfolio, 2025 was not about diversification — it was about owning the right volatility.

Over 60% of my P&L came from NVDA, PLTR, TSLA, and AMD, all names with:

• High gamma sensitivity

• Event-driven volatility

• Strong upside skew

That made options a necessity, not a choice.

🔹 1. NVDA — Monetising IV Compression After Panic 📉➡️📈

April 2025: Tariff Shock

• NVDA sold off aggressively despite no change to AI capex demand

• IV jumped into the 80–90th percentile

• Downside skew widened irrationally

Options Decision

Instead of adding shares:

• Bought ITM call spreads (Δ ≈ 0.60)

• Sold upside calls where market priced in limited recovery

• 90–120 DTE to avoid near-term headline risk

Why This Was Precise

• Long calls captured delta recovery

• Short calls monetised excess IV

• Net vega exposure close to neutral → protected against post-panic IV crush

Result

As tariffs faded from headlines and earnings validated demand:

• IV compressed

• NVDA resumed trend

• Spread reached ~80% max value early → exited

📌 Key takeaway:

When fundamentals are intact, volatility mispricing is the trade, not direction.

🔹 2. PLTR — Trading Earnings Volatility, Not Valuation 🧠

PLTR in 2025 was pure narrative volatility:

• Retail momentum

• AI contracts headlines

• Extreme post-earnings moves in both directions

Pre-Earnings Setup

IV consistently priced >12% move, while realised moves averaged ~7–9%.

Options Strategy

• Call diagonal spreads

• Long further-dated call (cheap vega)

• Short near-term call (rich IV)

This created:

• Positive theta

• Long-term upside exposure

• Defined downside

Outcome

• Short leg decayed rapidly post-earnings

• Core long call retained value as PLTR grinded higher

📌 Lesson:

In hype stocks, selling time is often more profitable than buying direction.

🔹 3. TSLA — Avoiding Directional Bias in a Binary Name ⚡

TSLA in 2025 was not a trend — it was a volatility regime:

• Rate cuts helped

• Margins disappointed

• Autonomy headlines whipsawed price

What I Avoided

• No naked calls

• No long straddles (IV too expensive)

What Worked

• Put credit spreads during macro panic

• Entered when RSI oversold + IV spike

• Strikes placed below major gamma zones

This allowed:

• Income generation

• Probability-based trading

• No need to predict upside narratives

📌 Key insight:

In TSLA, probability beats conviction.

🔹 4. AMD vs NVDA — Relative Volatility Trade 🧮

AMD lagged NVDA despite similar AI exposure:

• Lower IV

• Lower momentum

• Better risk-reward for catch-up trades

Trade Expression

• Long AMD calls

• Short NVDA calls (same expiry, similar delta)

This volatility-adjusted pair trade:

• Neutralised market beta

• Focused purely on relative re-rating

📌 Options edge:

Stocks express stories. Options express mispricing.

🔻 5. NIO & SE — Why Equity Hurt, Options Wouldn’t 🚨

These were my biggest process lessons of 2025.

• Long equity required patience + capital lock-up

• Narrative didn’t fail — timing did

If expressed via options:

• Defined loss

• Clear thesis expiry

• Capital efficiency

📌 Hard truth:

Being early in equities feels the same as being wrong.

🧠 Final 2025 Lessons

✔ Direction is secondary

✔ Volatility regime matters more than news

✔ Options are risk-shaping tools, not leverage

✔ The best trades are the ones where you don’t need to be right fast

2025 rewarded traders who understood structure over sentiment — and punished those who confused conviction with certainty.

🐯 Looking forward to how other Tigers used options this year — especially in AI and rate-sensitive names.

Year-End Options Recap: Share Your Most Memorable Trade of 2025!
Hey Tigers 🐯 2025 is wrapping up—and what a whirlwind year it has been for global markets. From April’s tariff-driven selloff to Big Tech’s AI-fueled surge, from the Fed’s surprise rate cuts to crypto smashing all-time highs… volatility was the main theme of 2025. And in markets like these, options traders were right at the center of every twist and turn. What was your standout options trade of 2025? A perfectly timed win? A smart hedge that saved your portfolio? A tough loss that taught you something invaluable?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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