Barcode
02-20 03:26

$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Zillow(Z)$  $Rocket Companies(RKT)$  πŸšͺπŸ“‰πŸ  $OPEN Earnings Drop Today + Mortgage Rates Hit Multi-Year Low. Options Signaling a Big Move? πŸ πŸ“ŠπŸš€

30-year fixed mortgage rates just plunged to 6.01% (Freddie Mac, Feb 19 release). That is the lowest level since Sept 2022, down sharply from about 6.85% a year ago. The housing market is thawing fast πŸ‘€. This is a meaningful macro tailwind for real estate disruptor $OPEN.

Pre-earnings options flow looks constructive:

πŸ“Š Calls leading puts roughly 3:1, a bullish lean

πŸ“ˆ Implied volatility pricing about a 13.0% move, roughly 61Β’ from recent levelsπŸ“‰ Median actual move over the past eight quarters is 9.7%

In other words, the options market is pricing more volatility than history suggests. Traders appear positioned for a catalyst.

Fundamental backdrop adds fuel:

βœ… EPS beats 75% of the time over the past year

βœ… Revenue beats 75% of the timeπŸ“… Q4 2025 results after hours today, consensus around -0.10 EPS

Rate relief plus a history of surprises creates an asymmetric setup. If guidance stabilises alongside improving housing liquidity, the narrative could shift quickly.

Undervalued catalyst firing. πŸ‘‰β“Who is positioning for the volatility expansion?

πŸ“’ Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets πŸš€πŸ“ˆ I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that deliver results. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! πŸ€Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC β˜•οΈπŸ“Š

πŸ’°Stocks to watch today?(13 FebοΌ‰
1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? 🎁 Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • PetS
    02-20 14:35
    PetS
    Solid point on rate relief as a catalyst. Cross asset correlations between yields and housing equities have tightened recently. I’m keeping an eye on $Home Depot(HD)$ since consumer housing spend often confirms whether the liquidity impulse is real or fading.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    02-20 14:29
    Cool Cat Winston
    Your post frames the macro regime shift well. Lower rates can open a liquidity pocket across housing beta. I’m watching $Lennar(LEN)$ for confirmation of momentum through resistance because cross asset positioning often leads the smaller caps. Volatility expansion feels plausible.
  • TAND
    43 minutes ago
    TAND

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • TAND
    02-22 09:12
    TAND

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • Hen Solo
    02-20 14:40
    Hen Solo

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • Tui Jude
    02-20 14:38
    Tui Jude

    Great article, would you like to share it?

Leave a comment
11
60