Buffett Said "This Is Nothing". Is He Waiting For Further Decline?

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04-02
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The recent market crash has rattled plenty of investors. Yet Buffett brushed it off in a single line: "This is nothing."

This isn't empty reassurance. In his own historical frame of reference, Berkshire Hathaway's stock has gone through three separate drawdowns exceeding 50%. Measured against that, the current pullback barely registers.

This is the calm verdict of an investor who has survived more market cycles than most people can count.

Staying on the Sidelines Isn't Pessimism — It's Waiting for the Right Price

People ask: why isn't Buffett buying?

His answer was equally blunt: "We aren't in it to make 5% or 6%."

What he really means is that for a vehicle of Berkshire's size and investment philosophy, the current level of decline simply doesn't offer the odds that justify a large-scale move.

He's not looking for a technical bounce or a short-term recovery. He's waiting for something big enough, cheap enough, and worth going heavy on.

Not there yet? Then keep waiting.

If There's a Big Decline, We'll Act. $370 Billion on Standby

The most important line from the interview — and the one most people missed:

"If there is a big decline... we will deploy."

The 2025 Berkshire shareholder letter spells it out:

"Our cash and U.S. Treasury holdings now exceed $370 billion."

Over $370 billion in cash and Treasuries — not just words on a page. This is Berkshire's dry powder, ready to be deployed the moment the market delivers a genuine, large-scale mispricing.

That's the foundation of everything Buffett said in this interview.

💬 Let's Hear From You

Q1: What does Buffett's "big decline" actually mean to you? S&P 500 down another 10%?

Q2: If you were Buffett right now, what would you do?

Q3: What's your current positioning?

Drop your answers in the comments, or share your own read on where the market goes from here.

Buffett Said No to "Bottom Fish": Is He Waiting For Further Decline?
The recent market turbulence has rattled plenty of investors. Yet Buffett brushed it off in a single line: "This is nothing." In his own historical frame of reference, Berkshire Hathaway's stock has gone through three separate drawdowns exceeding 50%. Measured against that, the current pullback barely registers. He said, "We aren't in it to make 5% or 6%." "If there is a big decline... we will deploy." Q1: What does Buffett's "big decline" actually mean to you? S&P 500 down another 10%? Q2: If you were Buffett right now, what would you do? Q3: What's your current positioning?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • Aqa
    04-02
    Aqa
    Warren Buffett recently called the current stock market sell-off “nothing “ compared with previous crashes he has navigated. He also noted that markets are now only about 5% to 6% cheaper the recent highs. He has decided to sit tight on Berkshire Hathaway’s $373 billion pile of cash and Treasury bills. In fact, Berkshire Hathaway has just bought another $17 billion in T-bills at auction. He advised that he will only buy “if there is a big decline.” I would like to be as patient as Buffett, waiting for prices low enough to justify long-term investing. With the uncertainties brought by the Iran and apparent inflation, stock market will undoubtedly be beaten going ahead. Thanks @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @icycrystal @1PC @Shyon
    • Shyon
      Thanks for sharing
    • icycrystal
      [Like] [Like] [Like]
    • 1PC
      Sit 🪑 & enjoy with 🍷🥂 [Happy]
  • koolgal
    04-02
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟The market is trembling, headlines are screaming but Warren Buffett is cool as cucumber.  When you are 95 years old, managing a trillion dollar empire, your portfolio doesn't just dip.  It shifts tectonic plates.

    However Buffett's decline doesn't mean the world is ending.  It means the market is rotating, repricing and reminding everyone that even legends bleed red sometimes.

    S&P500 down 10%?  That is not a collapse.  It is a sentiment flush.  Some investors maybe panicking but it is a great time to go bargain hunting.

    If I was Buffett, I wouldn't be doom scrolling, panic selling NVIDIA.  I would be doing what Buffett always does:

    Sitting on cash until the market gives me a fat bargain.

    Buying wonderful companies at fair price.

    Ignoring the noise.

    Warren Buffett doesn't chase dips.  He waits for discounts.

    If Buffett isn't panicking, why should I?

    One thing for sure, he never loses his discipline, his patience or his humour.  Neither should I.

    @Tiger_comments

  • Shyon
    04-02
    Shyon
    When Warren Buffett says “this is nothing,” I actually agree. If you zoom out on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , this feels more like a sentiment reset than real capitulation. To me, a “big decline” means another 10–20% down, with genuine panic—forced selling, liquidity stress, and valuations finally breaking from fundamentals. We’re not there yet.

    If I were in his position, I’d still be waiting. Not because I’m bearish, but because opportunity cost matters. Deploying heavily for a 5–6% upside doesn’t make sense when true dislocations can offer much better risk-reward. I’d rather stay patient and keep dry powder for when quality assets are sold indiscriminately.

    As for my positioning, I’m still invested but selective. I continue to DCA into high-conviction names while keeping some cash on the side after the recent volatility. If we get a deeper correction, I’ll scale in more aggressively—but until then, I’m comfortable staying patient.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

  • 這是甚麼東西
    04-03
    這是甚麼東西
    Q2: The Buffett Playbook
    If I were acting as Buffett today, I would stay heavy in cash and T-bills while waiting for "fat pitches." With the 10-year yield remains elevated and oil over $110, the risk-reward for equities is still skewed. I would avoid chasing the semiconductor bounce and instead look for dominant, cash-rich franchises—like Apple or energy leaders—that are being unfairly dragged down by general market panic. The goal is to be the provider of liquidity when everyone else is forced to sell.
  • icycrystal
    04-03
    icycrystal

    For Warren Buffett, the current market volatility is considered "nothing" compared to the significant downturns he has navigated throughout his career. Despite recent slides in major indexes, he remains patient, holding a record amount of cash until a truly compelling opportunity arises.

    Valuation Trigger: Buffett often looks at the "Buffett Indicator" (market cap to GDP ratio). He has stated that buying works well when this ratio is in the 70% to 80% range; as of early March 2026, it remained significantly higher at approximately 218%.

    If I were to follow Buffett's current playbook in April 2026, my strategy would likely involve:

    Extreme Patience: Avoid "chasing hype" or feeling pressured to invest just because you have cash.

    Building a Cash "Fortress": Continue accumulating liquid assets (like Treasury bills) to be ready for a "once-in-a-century" crash.

    Focusing on Intrinsic Value: Only buy businesses that are worth owning.

    • koolgal
      Thanks for sharing your valuable insights on Warren Buffett's timeless strategy.😍😍😍
  • HYY631116
    04-06 19:09
    HYY631116
    在他自己的历史参照系中,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股票经历了三次单独提款超过50%与此相比,当前的回调几乎没有记录。
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