$INTC momentum signals renewed demand for strategic supply chains

AfraSimon
04-14

The "presidential basket" is waking back up for round two.

Source? $Intel(INTC)$ ran 50% in the last 2 weeks...

If this gov't backed theme continues to heat back up, most direct beneficiaries are:

  • Semiconductors

  • Drones

  • Rare Earths

  • More in depth:

  • Semiconductors:

$INTC (gov’t-backed funding + strategic priority)

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ (Arizona fab heavily subsidized by U.S. gov’t)

Drones (“drone dominance” push):

$Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ ($20M border protection PO)

$Red Cat Holdings Inc.(RCAT)$ (army SRR contract + exposure to $1.1B program)

$Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ (pentagon drone programs, early phases)

Rare earths (supply chain reshoring):

$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ (gov’t equity stake ~10%)

$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ (~10% gov’t stake)

$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ (DoD-backed, strategic asset)

$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ (DoE equity stake ~5%)

$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ (DoD support)

Not an exhaustive list, but after INTC's recent run, some of these are on my radar again.

In terms of relative strength YTD, the top 3 are:

1) INTC +69%

2) RCAT +56%

3) USAR+35%

Fwiw.

Watching these 3 "government exposure" baskets.

Intel Pulls Back 2% After Six-Day Rally: Profit-Taking or Rotation?
Intel declined 2.10% to $63.81, posting its first pullback after a five-session cumulative gain of over 21%, reflecting normal profit-taking pressure following an extended run. Today's session saw capital rotate visibly toward memory and AI compute plays, with MU surging 9% and NVDA breaking above $195, temporarily sidelining the Terafab narrative. With $62 as near-term support, is today's pullback a healthy consolidation for bulls, or a signal of thematic rotation away from Intel?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment