- Underlying: INTC
- View: Cautiously optimistic for a consolidation between $113 and $120, with the stock near the lower end of this range. The high IV percentile (98.8%) offers an opportunity to collect premium.
- Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Short Volatility
- Option Contract Portfolio:
- Sell 1 INTC Put @ $115 strike (Exp: 2026-05-22)
- Buy 1 INTC Put @ $113 strike (Exp: 2026-05-22)
- Max Gain & Loss:
- Max Gain (Credit Received): ~$0.35 per spread
- Max Loss: ~$1.65 per spread
- Initial Cost/Credit: Net Credit of ~$0.35 per spread.
- Greek Exposure:
- Delta: Positive (Net Long, ~+0.1 to +0.15)
- Theta: Positive (Time decay benefits the position)
- Vega: Negative (Benefits from a decrease in implied volatility)
- Gamma: Low (Short-dated, near-the-money spread)
- Rho: Low (Minimal interest rate sensitivity for short-term trade)
- Rationale: This strategy aligns with the consolidation view. Selling the $115 put collects high premium due to elevated IV, while buying the $113 put defines and limits risk. The positive Theta allows us to profit from time decay as the stock trades sideways or drifts higher. The negative Vega exposure is favorable given the extreme IV percentile, expecting a potential mean reversion (IV contraction). Profit is achieved if INTC closes above $115 at expiration.
- Time Frame: Short-term (1 week to expiry).
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