Gagan Rajpal
06-07

*Bitcoin New Low, Strategy Sells: Hedge or Buy the Dip?* ₿

BTC just printed a fresh low and MicroStrategy/“Strategy” announced sales. Classic fear moment. Now everyone’s asking: hedge the downside or back up the truck?

*Hedge case:*

Strategy selling matters because they’ve been the biggest corporate BTC buyer. If the loudest bull starts taking chips off, it shakes confidence. Plus new lows often lead to more stop-loss selling. Hedging with cash, stables, or small shorts protects your portfolio if 40k-38k breaks. Bitcoin’s leverage + sentiment makes drops violent. No shame in defense when volatility spikes.

*Buy the dip case:*

Bitcoin history is littered with “new lows” that looked like the end. Then recovery. Strategy selling ≠ Bitcoin thesis broken. They sell for treasury needs, not because BTC is dead. Halving cycles, ETF inflows via IBIT, and global liquidity still point long-term up. Buying dips works if you DCA and size right. 40k was resistance in 2021, support in 2024… now it’s the fear level again. That’s where weak hands fold and conviction gets tested.

I’m not all-in or all-out. I hedge with position size and keep dry powder. If 40k breaks, I scale in. If it bounces, I’m already holding.

You guys - are you hedging this drop or using red candles to stack more sats? What’s your level?

Bitcoin Rose 5% — Why Did Crypto Stocks Amplify That to 17%?
Bitcoin reclaimed $80,000, +5% on the same catalyst as stocks: softer rate bets, a weaker dollar. Vehicles amplified it 2-3x: Strategy +17.56%, Circle +16.46%, Coinbase +10.14%. Strategy is leverage: 4,603 BTC for $370m on August 31, ~4% of supply held. Circle's edge is licensing: trust and federal bank charters, Arc mainnet September 16, Visa and BlackRock validating. Risks differ: Strategy is down 56% on the year and may be dropped from indices on MSCI rule changes; Circle faces a 21-bank rival stablecoin in H1 2027. Amplify price with Strategy, volume with Coinbase, or moats with Circle?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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