Weekly: STI at All-Time Highs, How US Tech Earnings Week Moves Your SGX Portfolio?

SGX_Stars
07-19 23:26

Singapore Market — $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ Weekly edges up 0.73% to record as banks and tech SDRs extend rally

$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ at All-Time Highs: Is It Too Late to Buy?

US Tech Earnings Week: How It Moves Your SGX Portfolio?

The $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 0.73% and closed at a fresh record high of 5,509.43, marking its sixth consecutive weekly advance. The index has now surged 18.58% YoY, with the three local banks and select China tech SDRs continuing to drive the rally.

Sectors: Publishing (+50.00%), Aluminum (+45.24%), and Forest Products (+30.48%) dominated the leaderboard on idiosyncratic catalysts, though these thinly traded sectors had outsized moves on low volume.

The STI's modest 0.73% advance masked continued strength in the banking and tech SDR complex, with $DBS(D05.SI)$ and $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ both extending their record levels. The six consecutive weekly gains reflect persistent institutional inflows into Singapore's financial sector, though valuations are looking increasingly stretched (DBS at ~2.4x P/B). Gold ETF outflows signaled a broader risk-on rotation, while the outsized moves in Publishing, Aluminum, and Forest Products were likely low-volume anomalies rather than sustainable trends. Investors should watch for Singapore's Q2 GDP data for confirmation of the economic recovery underpinning the bank rally.

10 Popular Stocks:

  • $DBS(D05.SI)$ +2.14% — Singapore's largest bank extended its record-breaking run, with the stock trading near S$71. The bank's 6.1% estimated 2026 yield and quarterly dividend model (60-cent ordinary + 15-cent capital return) continue to attract institutional inflows.

  • $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ +4.12% — The longest-established Singapore bank rallied on rotation into financials, with its strong CET1 ratio (~15-17%) and potential payout ratio increase to 60% driving re-rating hopes.

  • $TLKM ID SDR 1to5(ITKD.SI)$ +9.09% — The digital wealth platform surged on continued momentum in assets under administration and expanding product offerings across its pan-Asian platform. The stock has been a consistent beneficiary of rising retail participation in cross-border investment products.

  • $Xiaomi HK SDR 2to1(HXXD.SI)$ +3.76% — The consumer electronics and EV player's Singapore SDR advanced as its SU7 electric vehicle delivery numbers continued to beat monthly targets, and its AIoT ecosystem gained traction across Southeast Asia.

  • $IHH(Q0F.SI)$ +5.19% — The Asia-Pacific healthcare operator rallied on defensive positioning and resilient hospital admissions across its Malaysian, Singapore, and Turkish operations.

  • $IFAST(AIY.SI)$ +6.21% — The wealth management platform's dual-listed structure attracted buying, with the stock benefiting from HK wealth connect flows and digital advisory growth.

  • $PetroCN HK SDR 1to2(HPCD.SI)$ +5.03% — The Singapore-listed HK SDR tracked its Hong Kong parent higher as crude oil prices stabilized near $95–$102/bbl on lingering Middle East supply concerns, lifting the energy major alongside the broader petroleum complex.

  • $GLD SG$(GSD.SI)$ -2.49% — The SGD-denominated gold ETF retreated as safe-haven demand eased amid tentative US-Iran de-escalation talks and profit-taking after gold's strong run.

  • $GLD US$(O87.SI)$ -2.68% — The world's largest physically-backed gold ETF saw outflows as investors rotated from safe havens into risk assets, with the ETF holding gold custodied by HSBC and JPMorgan.

  • $Delta TH SDR 1to1(TDED.SI)$ -4.25% — The Thailand-based power-electronics giant's SDR retreated on profit-taking after a strong run, though its AI data-center power-supply demand narrative remains intact.

This Week's Event Calendar

Date

Event

Market Impact

Jul 20–24

US Q2 Earnings: Tesla, Google, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta

Tech sentiment drives SGX tech proxies

Jul 21

US Earnings: Schwab, D.R. Horton, 3M, MSCI

Financials / Industrials

Jul 22

US Earnings: Tesla, IBM, Texas Instruments, Alphabet

Tech / Semis

Jul 23

US Earnings: Meta, Intel, Comcast, Dow

Mega-cap tech

Jul 24

US Earnings: American Express, Schlumberger, HCA

Financials / Energy

Ongoing

MAS S\$5B EQDP deployment

Structural liquidity support for SGX

Key Risks to Monitor

Risk

Impact

Fed 25bps hike

REITs selloff; SGD strengthens → export pressure

Oil >$80 sustained

Inflation pressure; transport/logistics margin squeeze

US-Iran escalation

Global risk-off; STI safe-haven bid vs. regional peers

Tech earnings misses

Venture, Frencken, UMS catch-down

Inflation Cools but Fed Hawks Divided — July on Hold; Will September Bring a Rate Hike?
Weaker US June CPI and PPI have eased July rate-hike fears. But Fed Chair Warsh called single-month data "imperfect indicators" of underlying inflation and stressed zero tolerance for persistent pressure. Hawkish splits persist: Dallas's Logan wants a "modest hike," while Vice Chair Jefferson backs a pause but warns hikes stay possible if inflation stalls. Futures price ~86% odds of a hold on July 29, yet September-hike odds top 50%. The market isn't trading cuts anymore — it's "pause in July, hike in September." Does tech keep benefiting, or is it time to brace for another hike?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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