AaronJe
04:33

It's a common feeling that the AI bull run has already passed, but history might suggest otherwise.

Looking at the moves since the October 2022 low:

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  is up about 110% over roughly 3.75 years into this cycle.

For comparison, past cycles show:

2002–2007: +101% over ~5 years

2009–2020: +400% over 11 years

2020–2022: +114% over ~2 years

What could make this cycle distinct? There's real earnings growth underway, massive investment flowing into AI infrastructure—hundreds of billions into chips, networking, software, and data centers—and companies are already generating real revenue and cash flow from it.

Pullbacks are a normal part of any major bull market. The focus isn't on avoiding volatility, but on managing risk, identifying quality companies, and maintaining discipline throughout the cycle.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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