SKHY: IS AI MEMORY STORY BROKEN?

ShayBoloor
07-29

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you!

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Semiconductors are on track for their worst month since 2022 as several macro shocks hit the market’s most crowded trade at once.

The market going back into "war mode" raised fears around oil, inflation, interest rates and supply chains breaking momentum before concerns over AI infrastructure returns and Kimi K3 revived many of the same fears that followed DeepSeek.

I view this as a macro and positioning reset rather than evidence that the AI cycle is breaking simultaneously across every layer of the semiconductor supply chain from

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ to $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$, $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$, $SK hynix(SKHY)$.

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$SK hynix(SKHY)$ says major customers “continue to request more memory supply” across PCs and mobile while its long-term investments aren't expected to create immediate oversupply.

The company expects shortages to ease without creating immediate oversupply.

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$SK hynix(SKHY)$ Q2 EARNINGS

• Revenue: $54.5B vs. $57.7B est.

• Operating profit: $41.6B vs. $44.2B est.

• DRAM ASP: +30% QoQ

• NAND ASP: +55% QoQ

Q3 Guidance

• DRAM shipments: +10% QoQ

• NAND shipments: +3% QoQ

FY26 Guidance

• DRAM demand: +25% YoY

• NAND demand: +18% YoY

• Long-term supply agreements signed with 10 customers

Shareholder Return Pledges Spark Memory-Chain Rebound Thursday — Chase It?
Memory rebounded Thursday after two days down: SK Hynix +4.43%, Micron +3.97%, SanDisk +2.02%, with the 2x inverse SNDQ −4.46%. The driver was payouts, not demand: SK Hynix's 40tn won buyback is confirmed; Samsung reportedly plans over 100tn won with 50% of free cash flow pledged — the first explicit promise to distribute AI cash flow. The bear case sharpened: Wood is avoiding memory, and the cost is landing downstream — Xiaomi's profit dented, Intel GPU prices +48%. Hynix and Samsung for the dividend, Micron and SanDisk for torque, or wait for downstream acceptance?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • setia100
    07-30
    setia100
    Casino mode ❗ Punting big n hope to win big❗😁
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