Shyon
08-19
I see Tuesday’s semiconductor selloff as normal profit-taking and valuation compression rather than a fundamental breakdown. Higher Treasury yields, oil above $90 and crowded AI trades created the perfect setup for a sharp pullback, especially after the strong recent rally in memory and optical stocks.

For me, the key point is that AI demand, memory pricing and data-center CapEx remain intact. I’ll be watching the 50-day moving averages, particularly for $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ , to see whether the sector can stabilize and reclaim key levels.

Personally, I’m leaning toward A + E: normal profit-taking and an opportunity to accumulate in stages. I wouldn’t rush in after one red day, but I also wouldn’t panic-sell. If MU, SNDK and the broader semiconductor sector stabilize, I’m happy to use the pullback to add gradually.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

Consensus at $93.6B, Morgan Stanley at $91.1B — Which Bar Is Nvidia Clearing?
Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close (Thursday morning Beijing). Consensus is ~$2.13 EPS on ~$93.63bn revenue; Morgan Stanley models $91.1bn — same print, two verdicts. The harder threshold is behavioral: the stock has fallen the day after earnings four quarters running, so a beat alone no longer pays. It has also told big customers AI server prices rise 15%+ early next year on memory costs: its margin protected, theirs squeezed. Mean target $304.73, ~42% upside. Jackson Hole and Warsh's debut land the same week. Add before the print, wait for both to clear, or rotate to suppliers?
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Comments

  • JanetFast
    08-19
    JanetFast
    Memory pricing still looks early cycle to me, so this pullback feels more like a reset than damage. AI server demand for HBM and DDR5 is the part I care about most 👀
    • Shyon: 
      Yes, I also feel like we are at the early stage
  • wimpy
    08-19
    wimpy
    50-day matters, but the 200-day and RSI will tell if this bounce has real legs. If semis hold those too, the reset looks healthy
    • Shyon: 
      Fully agree with you yea
  • 1PC
    08-19
    1PC
    Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Aqa @koolgal @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000
    • Shyon: 
      Thanks for support
  • AuntieAaA
    08-20
    AuntieAaA
    Good
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