Shyon
08-26 19:10
I’m leaning cautiously bullish on gold here, but I wouldn’t chase it aggressively. The Treasury buyback is a positive liquidity signal, but compared with the overall Treasury market, the scale is still relatively small and very different from QE.

For me, the bigger drivers are still long-term: elevated U.S. debt, currency concerns, inflation uncertainty and the possibility of lower rates. Gold moving first makes sense, but I’d rather wait for confirmation from Treasury yields and broader macro data before adding heavily. If long-term yields remain above 5%, that could still pressure gold in the short term.

Overall, I think gold still has room to run, but the path won’t be straight. I’d prefer to use pullbacks to build exposure gradually rather than buying after a sharp rally, especially with major catalysts like Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings ahead.

@WallStreet_Tiger @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @Tiger_SG

Gold Hits Three-Month High — Is Dalio's 15% Allocation Call Right?
Gold is turning the debasement thesis into price. Spot gold +0.87% to $4,647, its highest since mid-May. U.S. proxies led Friday: GLD +1.95%, GDX +2.98%, Newmont +3.09%; Zhaojin Mining +2.98% in Hong Kong today. After the Treasury's buyback expansion, yields and the dollar fell — the market pricing fiscal sustainability, not rate direction. Dalio warns of a debt crisis within years, advising 10–15% in gold. Against it: January's $5,608 record makes this a recovery, not a breakout, and hawkish Warsh or a hot July PCE lifts real rates. GLD, GDX and Newmont, or gold as a core weight per Dalio?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
1
1