吉3186
09-18
For my view: C.
Tech & semiconductors stay strong
I see this as more likely a short-term rebound first, not yet proof of a new strong rally.
Why?
10-year yield below 5% → helps growth stocks.
Oil falling → reduces inflation pressure.
AI/chips strong → brings investors back to NVDA, AMD, MU, INTC.
But the Fed is still hawkish, with rates at 3.75%–4.00%.
If the 10-year yield goes back above 5%, tech stocks could face pressure again.
What I would watch:
Yield ↓ + Oil ↓ + AI earnings ↑ = rally has a better chance to continue.
If only tech rebounds for a few days while yields rise again, it may be just a relief rally.
Bottom line:  I would not chase aggressively yet. Watch Treasury yields and AI/chip strength first.
Amazon Leads; Can QQQ's Rebound Survive Earnings?
QQQ gained 1.21% and SPY 0.42% as the AI selloff eased and Amazon’s 4.98% jump lifted tech and data-center stocks. Bulls note the rebound broadened into memory, semiconductors, and networking. Bears warn that upcoming SpaceX, Meta, and Tesla earnings, along with October rate-hike risk, could renew valuation pressure. Should investors hold QQQ, rotate into SPY for diversification, or wait for clearer earnings signals?
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Comments

  • JustinCooper
    09-18
    JustinCooper
    I care more about NVDA guidance than yields here. If next month’s AI chip outlook lands strong, that can absorb a lot of rate pressure
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