Tigerong
10-12 06:00

The essence of technical analysis lies in quantitative summarisation and statistical observation of historical market behaviour, capital flows and crowd psychology.

Price action and candlestick patterns reflect the power tug-of-war, liquidity build-up and risk preference between buyers and sellers at a given time and space.

Whether it is the "bullish ascending triangle at bottom" or various moving average and channel breakouts, their function is never to "predict the future". Instead, they identify statistically favourable "high-probability windows" amid uncertain markets.

Therefore, technical analysis is essentially probability distribution in statistics, not definite causal relationships why do many retail investors still struggle to profit in the market even after mastering technical patterns?

The reason: solo retail traders face inherent disadvantages. They have outdated trading tools and are clearly outmatched by institutional players in capital and information.

Technical analysis reflects public, observable market data. Retail investors can read it, and so can institutional investors.

However, the stock market is a zero-sum game. For institutions to make money, they need to push retail investors to sell low and buy high

Smart People Lose Money Too? What Phase Are You in as an Investor?
Most stock market losses come from reckless trading. A veteran investor with a 90% win rate over 10 years once said: “The key to investing is to stop being clever.” What’s your trading plan right now? Or you a newbie wanna try everything? The hard-effort one who are learning about technicals, macro & micro events and everything? Or the one just holding and DCA like our smart fellow tigers?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • snixxx
    10-12 17:13
    snixxx
    The drift matters too: once participant mix changes, old patterns lose edge fast. Quant share going up has definitely diluted a lot of classic setups
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