$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$ $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Fumi
This is quite a interesting one today as futu and tiger brokers have plunged more than 50percent.
Why?
This is largely related to the risk of losing customers in mainland china as a result of increased pressure from the authorities reported in WSJ
Impact?
Hard to estimate but can be significant for a while. The annual reports do state this risk but the exact revenue breakdown and user breakdown is unknown but nevertheless it will be a disturbance to the companies performance
Hypothesis testing
Would be great to compare this with fumi but that is a privately held entity.
Chance to purchase ?
This might be a purchase on the dip but this will still be dependant on one's analysis of the other fundamentals
Comments
Solid earnings growth, excellent eps, a positive current and quick ratio and much more. Stuck on the 40-50 price mark but once it breaks the 50 I see it rising to 70. A great hold for the long term
我仍然看好中国科技,因为我预计消费者需求将在2024年复苏,中国政府的刺激措施将需要几个月才能生效。此外,考虑到基本面因素,许多中国股票仍在大幅折价交易。
i sold at 50 before it got to 60. market is forward looking, I just look deeper and further then the market.
bought at 30 sold at 50. will buy at 24