ShayBoloor
ShayBoloor
Host of @WOLF_Podcasts
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12-12 23:24

3 REASONS AVGO EARNINGS REACTION WENT NEGATIVE

3 REASONS $Broadcom(AVGO)$ EARNINGS REACTION WENT NEGATIVE1. The backlog quality suddenly looked less securedMany investors treated the OpenAI relationship like a typical binding hyperscaler contract but Broadcom’s “multiyear journey” language in the Q&A made it sound more like a general framework than a firm capacity commitment.2. The revenue timing moved far outManagement made it clear that meaningful XPU revenue does not show up in 2026 & instead ramps in 2027–2029 and long-dated revenue always carries higher risk so this needs to be discounted.3. Supply constraints cap 2026 upsideBroadcom disclosed a $72B backlog with 18-month lead times which signals they're already running at full capacity & cannot accelerate deliveries even if d
3 REASONS AVGO EARNINGS REACTION WENT NEGATIVE

MY 3 THOUGHTS ON ORCL EARNINGS

MY 3 THOUGHTS ON $Oracle(ORCL)$ EARNINGS1. Revenue missed at the worst possible momentOracle is trying to convince the market it is becoming a top-tier AI infra supplier but another revenue miss in an environment where AI spend is exploding tells investors the monetization curve still isn’t matching the bookings narrative.2. Margins compressed right as the company needs to fund multi-gigawatt buildoutsCapex pushed past $20B in six months, FCF swung from +$11B to –$13B, cloud expenses jumped 45%, and Oracle is carrying $120B+ of debt with $25B due in three years. This is real financial strain. 3. Oracle as a high-beta, high-capex AI buildout storyRPO hitting $523B is incredible but the equity is now a bet that Oracle can• build capacity faster than
MY 3 THOUGHTS ON ORCL EARNINGS

EVERY PART OF THE NUCLEAR TRADE IS NOW INTERCONNECTED

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.EVERY PART OF THE NUCLEAR TRADE IS NOW INTERCONNECTED• Upstream you have the uranium miners & fuel processors like $Cameco(CCJ)$ , $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$ & $Centrus(LEU)$ that feed the entire system.• Midstream you have the reactor & SMR builders like $NuScale Power(SMR)$ , $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ , $BWX Technologies Inc(BWXT)$ & $NANO Nuclear Energy Inc(NNE)$ turning that fuel into deployable nuclear capacity.• Downstream
EVERY PART OF THE NUCLEAR TRADE IS NOW INTERCONNECTED

THE 5 NAMES YOU NEED TO FOLLOW IN THE SPACE ECONOMY

Space is one of my favorite 2026 themes because the real customer base is moving from commercial buyers to fully funded government programs that view this theme as national security infrastructure. It's a once in a lifetime thematic that sits inside budgets that renew every year and grow when geopolitical pressure rises. Once you understand that shift, the companies positioned for federal procurement start to separate from the rest of the sector.1. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ | Rocket LabRocket Lab already understands this shift because they stopped presenting themselves as a launch company years ago. Every decision they have made points toward a world where fully integrated space company with vertical control across manufacturing, payload, conne
THE 5 NAMES YOU NEED TO FOLLOW IN THE SPACE ECONOMY

PRESIDENT TRUMP WEIGHING A ROBOTICS EXECUTIVE ORDER FOR 2026

Commerce Secretary Lutnick has been meeting with robotics CEOs & is pushing to accelerate the industry with the administration now evaluating a formal robotics order for next year.How robotics is quietly getting built out across the economy:1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ & $UiPath(PATH)$ are the traffic controllers for the whole fleet while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ & $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ are the engines & nervous system that let the robots sense and act.2. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ ,
PRESIDENT TRUMP WEIGHING A ROBOTICS EXECUTIVE ORDER FOR 2026

MY 3 BIGGEST GROWTH PORTFOLIO MISTAKES

1. Not building size in the pure-play drone names when the window was wide open. I saw the opportunity in $ONDS, bought shares at $0.73 but sold at $3.17 because the move felt too fast. I did restart the position at $5.26 but the hesitation cost me some upside.2. I believed the AI Utility names like $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ & $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ were built for what I call the overflow era which is that brief high-margin window where AI compute demand outstrips what $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AWS, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Azure & $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Cloud can supply. What I underestimated
MY 3 BIGGEST GROWTH PORTFOLIO MISTAKES

5 REASONS WHY NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF & GLXY ARE GETTING HIT THIS WEEK

5 REASONS WHY $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ , $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ , $TeraWulf Inc.(WULF)$ & $Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd.(GLXY)$ ARE GETTING HIT THIS WEEK1. The $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ bond blowup broke the dam & exposed the weakest link in the AI-infra chain.A 10% yield on more than $2B of debt with only $634M of equity is the market telling you the model doesn't work without cheap money. Especially when they're paying $275M a year in interest alone on a ~$300M rev base so once the market sees a structure that f
5 REASONS WHY NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF & GLXY ARE GETTING HIT THIS WEEK

MY 5 BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS FROM AMD ANALYST DAY

MY 5 BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS FROM $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ANALYST DAY 1. The pivot is official that AMD it’s building a platform with a goal is to sell full AI infrastructure: silicon, interconnect, software & racks that hyperscalers can deploy at scale. It’s chasing $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ vertical model but through an open ecosystem.2. Data center is the company with Lisa guiding for ~35% CAGR, 57% gross margins & >$20 EPS by 2030. That requires DC biz to grow from ~$16B today to near $100B within five years which is a 6x run that only works if MI450 + Helios hit ramp targets & hyperscaler orders stack fast.3. GPU is the upside but ROCm is the gatekeeper. The MI450 & yearly GPU cadence will def
MY 5 BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS FROM AMD ANALYST DAY

PLTR: The Question is Whether the Imagination has Gone too Far

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ quarter is one of those moments where operating reality & market imagination finally meet and the question is whether the imagination has gone too far.I don't think people realize how insane it is to grow revenue 63% while maintaining 51% operating margins in software. That level of efficiency is almost unheard of which is why $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang called Palantir’s ontology “the most important enterprise stack in the world.” The ratio of commercial revenue to customer count is just as extreme with only 530 commercial customers generating ~$400M in one quarter when most software companies at that revenue scale have thousands of clients so this is an insane
PLTR: The Question is Whether the Imagination has Gone too Far

MSFT: AI Industry Revolution

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ CEO Satya just made one of the most revealing comments of the entire AI cycle when he said Microsoft has $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GPUs sitting in racks that cannot be turned on because there is not enough energy to feed them. The real constraint is not compute but power & data center space.This is exactly why access to powered data centers has become the new leverage point.If compute is easy to buy but power is hard to get, the leverage moves to whoever controls energy & infrastructure. Every new data center that $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , $Amazon.com(A
MSFT: AI Industry Revolution

5 COMPANIES POWERING NVDA 800V DC ALLIANCE

The biggest theme across Nvidia GTC event & the $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Alphabet(GOOG)$ & $Microsoft(MSFT)$ earnings was compute demand is exploding but power delivery struggles to keep up.That’s why the Nvidia’s 800V DC Alliance matters since it’s how the next generation of AI factories will run nonstop without blowing through energy budgets or cooling limits.The companies in this group are building that layer of the AI stack:1. $STMicroelectronics NV(STM)$ scaling SiC devices from EVs to data center energy systems2.
5 COMPANIES POWERING NVDA 800V DC ALLIANCE

This Past Week was Huge for the AI Utility Theme

This past week was huge for the AI Utility theme. The hyperscaler earnings all pointed to one thing that demand is running ahead of power, racks & chips which directly sets up the next leg for independent AI compute providers. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ showed AWS re-accelerating to 20% growth on a $132B run rate with backlog near $200B. They added 3.8 gigawatts of power in the last year and expect to double again by 2027. Every megawatt that isn’t delivered by AWS on time gets filled by third-party GPU infrastructure. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ said AI capacity will grow 80% this year & their entire data center footprint will double in two years. They're capacity constrained through FY26 even after spending $35B
This Past Week was Huge for the AI Utility Theme

MY TAKEAWAY FROM YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ concern is the spending ramp. CapEx for 2025 was raised to $71B and 2026 will be notably higher. Zuckerberg said explicitly that Meta will overbuild for the most optimistic scenario around superintelligence and the market is recalibrating to that shift. Meta is transitioning from being the world’s biggest social media company to becoming an AI compute platform wrapped in social engagement. The short-term hit is higher expenses and margin compression while the long-term reward is durable AI infra, deeper engagement and a flywheel that compounds at global scale. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ had the cleanest quarter with Search at the focal point. Query growth accelerated and management sa
MY TAKEAWAY FROM YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS

AI is Breaking the Grid

AI is breaking the grid. That darker band on the chart is the AI load & didn't exist a couple years ago & now it is the reason data center power demand is going vertical. Winners are the ones that build, fuel & monetize the power behind AI: THE POWER LAYER• $Constellation Energy Corp(CEG)$ largest US nuclear fleet providing reliable baseload power• $NextEra(NEE)$ major renewable projects supporting data center growth• $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ merchant power leveraged to rising electricity demand• $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ long duration storage for grid reliability•
AI is Breaking the Grid

Raymond James just Said the AI Cloud will Be a $350B Market by 2030

1.Raymond James just said the AI cloud will be a $350B market by 2030.They think the split looks like this:• $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 37%• $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 35%• $Oracle(ORCL)$ 11%• $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 7%• $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 7%• $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 3%The wild part is Amazon at only 7%. AWS still has the largest base of enterprise relationships, deepest cloud integration & biggest commerce engine behind it. If even a small slice of that base shifts AI workloads onto Bedrock + Trainium the rerate will be obvious.I'm buying the gap between wh
Raymond James just Said the AI Cloud will Be a $350B Market by 2030

TSLA: What's the ER Show?

1.TSLA Q3 EARNINGS• Sales $28.1B vs Est. $26.4B• EPS $0.50 vs Est. $0.54• Gross Margin 18% vs Est. 17%• Operating Income $1.62B vs Est. $1.65B2.Elon Musk basically turned the $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ earnings call into a manifesto for control, chips & embodied AI.He made it clear that he wants voting power locked in before scaling what he calls a “robot army.” That’s the subtext behind the November 6th vote.On the product side Tesla positioning itself as both an AI compute company & a manufacturing company. The A5 chip, built with $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ & Samsung, is designed to be at least 2x more efficient and up to 10x cheaper per dollar than competitors, giving Tesla control
TSLA: What's the ER Show?

MY 5 BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS FROM TSLA EARNINGS

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 1. Energy is becoming the second profit engine w/ record Megapack deployments & gross profit inflection showing up in the numbers.2. Autonomy is the rerate because 6B supervised miles & safety drivers being removed in Austin turns software + fleet utilization into a real earnings layer.3. AI5 silicon brings inference in house w/ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ & Samsung which lowers cost per watt & supports margin expansion as autonomy adoption scales.4. Cybercab is the wildcard because the model only triggers its flywheel if regulation unlocks fleet level commercialization in the next two years.5. Optimus remains the long dated call option where every task au
MY 5 BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS FROM TSLA EARNINGS

AI: What's the Next?

The biggest mistake I keep seeing is people trying to model AI like telecom in 2000. That framework makes it look like a bubble because it assumes speculative supply chasing uncertain demand.But AI isn’t telecom. It’s more like electrification where a full reset of industrial capacity that permanently shifts how economies operate. The buildout isn’t about oversupply but about establishing a new baseline for civilization-scale compute.Modern GPUs now last barely a year or two with $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ & $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ already treating them like fuel that gets consum
AI: What's the Next?

IS AI IN A TECH BUBBLE?

2000 was built on promises. Companies with no revenue and no product were raising billions on the idea that the internet would change everything but the infrastructure wasn’t ready and the demand wasn’t real. Way too much supply and not enough adoption. That was overcapacity built on hope.2025 is the exact opposite. This time the demand is real and the world doesn’t have enough capacity to meet it. The AI economy is hitting physical limits in power, chips and data movement with hyperscalers are racing to build new data centers, upgrade transmission grids, and expand fabrication but even with record spending they’re still behind. That’s not a bubble but more of a supply squeeze.In 2000 the market was pricing in future demand that never arrived. In 2025 the market is struggling to price the
IS AI IN A TECH BUBBLE?

AI is Now an Industrial Story

AI is now an industrial story where every layer here shows how the physical economy is being rebuilt to power intelligence. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ & $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ are turning megawatts into rentable GPU capacity by selling compute by the hour like utilities once sold power by the kilowatt. $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ , $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ & $Cameco(CCJ)$ are the fuel since AI runs 24/7 & you need baseload that never shuts off. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ ,
AI is Now an Industrial Story

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