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2021-06-11

Tiger is there.

Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States

2021-06-11

Tiger is here.

Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States

2021-06-11

Tiger is here.

A picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million

2021-05-26

The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?

Li Auto EPS beats by $0.01, beats on revenue

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Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">川阅全球宏观</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 21:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">川阅全球宏观</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09：经济陷入衰退，但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在，通胀持续上升，美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11：粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下，美国经济陷入滞胀，供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败，货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后，未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07：走出滞胀后，美国经济经历了高速增长，但1987年开始经济增速放缓，并出现工资和价格上涨压力，美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09：油价飙升推升通胀，金融危机爆发，美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市，通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似，均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平)，但是从CPI指数角度，2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎，我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工，芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足，二手车需求剧增，价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据，2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外，5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大，交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%，增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%)，尽管相对于其它分项，房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%)，但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4)，我们预计受到供给短缺的影响，未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度，密西根预期通胀率数据显示，2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5)，但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度，如我们此前报告所述，美联储注重通胀预期的监测，关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE)，CIE为季度数据，预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中，CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2)：通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响，前者较为滞后，后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是，通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性，关于美债的研究框架，请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示：美联储过快收紧货币政策，地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181406341,"gmtCreate":1623404906183,"gmtModify":1704202697082,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here.","listText":"Tiger is here.","text":"Tiger is here.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181406341","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156453091?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">川阅全球宏观</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 21:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">川阅全球宏观</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09：经济陷入衰退，但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在，通胀持续上升，美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11：粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下，美国经济陷入滞胀，供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败，货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后，未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07：走出滞胀后，美国经济经历了高速增长，但1987年开始经济增速放缓，并出现工资和价格上涨压力，美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09：油价飙升推升通胀，金融危机爆发，美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市，通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似，均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平)，但是从CPI指数角度，2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎，我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工，芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足，二手车需求剧增，价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据，2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外，5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大，交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%，增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%)，尽管相对于其它分项，房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%)，但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4)，我们预计受到供给短缺的影响，未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度，密西根预期通胀率数据显示，2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5)，但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度，如我们此前报告所述，美联储注重通胀预期的监测，关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE)，CIE为季度数据，预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中，CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2)：通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响，前者较为滞后，后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是，通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性，关于美债的研究框架，请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示：美联储过快收紧货币政策，地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181401435,"gmtCreate":1623404810627,"gmtModify":1704202695131,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here.","listText":"Tiger is here.","text":"Tiger is here.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181401435","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140839418","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623382205,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140839418?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"A picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140839418","media":"腾讯科技","summary":"6月11日消息，美国当地时间周四，$滴滴出行 $的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会提交了IPO招股书，计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市，股票代码为“DIDI”。根据滴滴披露的数据显示，目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务，年活跃用户数量4.93亿，年活跃司机数量1500万，日均单量4100万，年平台交易总额3410亿元，2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。","content":"<p>News on June 11, on Thursday, local time in the United States,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">Didi Chuxing</a>Xiaoju Kuaizhi, the operating entity of the company, submitted an IPO prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and plans to list on the Nasdaq stock market or the New York Stock Exchange under the stock code \"DIDI\".</p><p>According to the data disclosed by Didi, Didi has opened businesses in more than 4,000 cities and regions in 15 countries, with an annual number of active users of 493 million, an annual number of active drivers of 15 million, an average daily order volume of 41 million, and an annual platform The total transaction volume is 341 billion yuan, and the cumulative driver income from 2018 to Q1 2021 is 600 + billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a935c6b681f2f3744604b5596e29cac\" tg-width=\"2100\" tg-height=\"13686\"></p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter I and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba72fe98df37f49a4d31b0a0684a03aa\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"txkj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">腾讯科技</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>News on June 11, on Thursday, local time in the United States,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">Didi Chuxing</a>Xiaoju Kuaizhi, the operating entity of the company, submitted an IPO prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and plans to list on the Nasdaq stock market or the New York Stock Exchange under the stock code \"DIDI\".</p><p>According to the data disclosed by Didi, Didi has opened businesses in more than 4,000 cities and regions in 15 countries, with an annual number of active users of 493 million, an annual number of active drivers of 15 million, an average daily order volume of 41 million, and an annual platform The total transaction volume is 341 billion yuan, and the cumulative driver income from 2018 to Q1 2021 is 600 + billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a935c6b681f2f3744604b5596e29cac\" tg-width=\"2100\" tg-height=\"13686\"></p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter I and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba72fe98df37f49a4d31b0a0684a03aa\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800\">腾讯科技</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9f14473f3e986de32cc80f6fd80b679","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140839418","content_text":"6月11日消息，美国当地时间周四，滴滴出行的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了IPO招股书，计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市，股票代码为“DIDI”。\n根据滴滴披露的数据显示，目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务，年活跃用户数量4.93亿，年活跃司机数量1500万，日均单量4100万，年平台交易总额3410亿元，2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。\n\n\n恭喜您找到了字母I，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136292252,"gmtCreate":1622018205976,"gmtModify":1704366175841,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","listText":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","text":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136292252","repostId":"1150713912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150713912","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622016404,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150713912?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Li Auto EPS beats by $0.01, beats on revenue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150713912","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 26) Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announc","content":"<p>(May 26)&nbsp;Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March&nbsp;31, 2021.</p><ul><li>Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 <b>beats</b> by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 <b>misses</b> by $0.05.</li><li>Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y)&nbsp;<b>beats</b> by $42.26M.</li><li>Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehicles</li><li>Quarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.</li><li><b>Q2 Outlook</b>:&nbsp;Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.</li><li>Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff735550080b330b011ba4dbd0dedb68\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637a5f62341f333ae7dc2317c883b83a\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li>As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de30e1ac5d69693451c6d4e9f4b33061\" tg-width=\"997\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Deliveries Update</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Issuance of Convertible Senior Notes</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.</li><li>The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.</li></ul><p><b>2021 Li ONE</b></p><ul><li>On May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.</li><li>With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.</li></ul><p><b>CEO and CFO Comments</b></p><p>Mr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.</p><p>“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&amp;D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.</p><p>“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.</p><p>“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.</p><p>“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.</p><p>Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&amp;D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&amp;D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”</p><p><b><u>Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021</u></b></p><p><b>Revenues</b></p><ul><li><b>Total revenues</b>were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle sales</b>were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.</li><li><b>Other sales and services</b>were RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.</li></ul><p><b>Cost of Sales and Gross Margin</b></p><ul><li><b>Cost of sales</b>was RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Gross profit</b>was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle margin</b>was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.</li></ul><p><b>Operating Expenses</b></p><ul><li><b>Operating expenses</b>were RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Research and development expenses</b>were RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP research and development expenses</b>3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.</li><li><b>Selling, general and administrative expenses</b>were RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses</b>3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.</li></ul><p><b>Loss from Operations</b></p><ul><li><b>Loss from operations</b>was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP loss from operations</b>was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b>Net Loss and Earnings Per Share</b></p><ul><li><b>Net loss</b>was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net loss</b>was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>were both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.<b>Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><p><b>Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow</b></p><ul><li><b>Balance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investments</b>was RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.</li><li><b>Operating cash flow</b>was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Free cash flow</b>was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b><u>Business Outlook</u></b></p><p>For the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><ul><li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b>to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Total revenues</b>to be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p>This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto EPS beats by $0.01, beats on revenue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-26 16:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 26)&nbsp;Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March&nbsp;31, 2021.</p><ul><li>Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 <b>beats</b> by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 <b>misses</b> by $0.05.</li><li>Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y)&nbsp;<b>beats</b> by $42.26M.</li><li>Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehicles</li><li>Quarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.</li><li><b>Q2 Outlook</b>:&nbsp;Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.</li><li>Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff735550080b330b011ba4dbd0dedb68\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637a5f62341f333ae7dc2317c883b83a\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li>As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de30e1ac5d69693451c6d4e9f4b33061\" tg-width=\"997\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Deliveries Update</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Issuance of Convertible Senior Notes</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.</li><li>The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.</li></ul><p><b>2021 Li ONE</b></p><ul><li>On May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.</li><li>With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.</li></ul><p><b>CEO and CFO Comments</b></p><p>Mr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.</p><p>“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&amp;D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.</p><p>“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.</p><p>“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.</p><p>“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.</p><p>Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&amp;D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&amp;D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”</p><p><b><u>Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021</u></b></p><p><b>Revenues</b></p><ul><li><b>Total revenues</b>were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle sales</b>were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.</li><li><b>Other sales and services</b>were RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.</li></ul><p><b>Cost of Sales and Gross Margin</b></p><ul><li><b>Cost of sales</b>was RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Gross profit</b>was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle margin</b>was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.</li></ul><p><b>Operating Expenses</b></p><ul><li><b>Operating expenses</b>were RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Research and development expenses</b>were RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP research and development expenses</b>3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.</li><li><b>Selling, general and administrative expenses</b>were RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses</b>3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.</li></ul><p><b>Loss from Operations</b></p><ul><li><b>Loss from operations</b>was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP loss from operations</b>was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b>Net Loss and Earnings Per Share</b></p><ul><li><b>Net loss</b>was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net loss</b>was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>were both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.<b>Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><p><b>Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow</b></p><ul><li><b>Balance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investments</b>was RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.</li><li><b>Operating cash flow</b>was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Free cash flow</b>was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b><u>Business Outlook</u></b></p><p>For the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><ul><li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b>to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Total revenues</b>to be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p>This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150713912","content_text":"(May 26) Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021.Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 beats by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 misses by $0.05.Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y) beats by $42.26M.Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehiclesQuarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.Q2 Outlook: Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Deliveries UpdateIn April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.Issuance of Convertible Senior NotesIn April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.2021 Li ONEOn May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.CEO and CFO CommentsMr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021RevenuesTotal revenueswere RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle saleswere RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.Other sales and serviceswere RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.Cost of Sales and Gross MarginCost of saleswas RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross profitwas RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle marginwas 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.Gross marginwas 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.Operating ExpensesOperating expenseswere RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Research and development expenseswere RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP research and development expenses3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.Selling, general and administrative expenseswere RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.Loss from OperationsLoss from operationswas RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP loss from operationswas RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Net Loss and Earnings Per ShareNet losswas RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP net losswas RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholderswere both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash FlowBalance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investmentswas RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.Operating cash flowwas RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Free cash flowwas RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Business OutlookFor the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:Deliveries of vehiclesto be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.Total revenuesto be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":136292252,"gmtCreate":1622018205976,"gmtModify":1704366175841,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","listText":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","text":"The world is in a transitory phase away from ICE vehicles to cleaner forms of transportation, and Li Auto is in a potential position to benefit from this movement. Furthermore, The world will eventually move to complete electric vehicles or BEV, but Li Auto's transition from EREV to BEV might not be successful. Also, will customers continue to seek EREV vehicles if BEV vehicles' range significantly improves?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136292252","repostId":"1150713912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150713912","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622016404,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150713912?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Li Auto EPS beats by $0.01, beats on revenue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150713912","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 26) Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announc","content":"<p>(May 26)&nbsp;Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March&nbsp;31, 2021.</p><ul><li>Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 <b>beats</b> by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 <b>misses</b> by $0.05.</li><li>Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y)&nbsp;<b>beats</b> by $42.26M.</li><li>Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehicles</li><li>Quarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.</li><li><b>Q2 Outlook</b>:&nbsp;Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.</li><li>Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff735550080b330b011ba4dbd0dedb68\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637a5f62341f333ae7dc2317c883b83a\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li>As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de30e1ac5d69693451c6d4e9f4b33061\" tg-width=\"997\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Deliveries Update</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Issuance of Convertible Senior Notes</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.</li><li>The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.</li></ul><p><b>2021 Li ONE</b></p><ul><li>On May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.</li><li>With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.</li></ul><p><b>CEO and CFO Comments</b></p><p>Mr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.</p><p>“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&amp;D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.</p><p>“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.</p><p>“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.</p><p>“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.</p><p>Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&amp;D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&amp;D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”</p><p><b><u>Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021</u></b></p><p><b>Revenues</b></p><ul><li><b>Total revenues</b>were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle sales</b>were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.</li><li><b>Other sales and services</b>were RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.</li></ul><p><b>Cost of Sales and Gross Margin</b></p><ul><li><b>Cost of sales</b>was RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Gross profit</b>was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle margin</b>was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.</li></ul><p><b>Operating Expenses</b></p><ul><li><b>Operating expenses</b>were RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Research and development expenses</b>were RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP research and development expenses</b>3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.</li><li><b>Selling, general and administrative expenses</b>were RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses</b>3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.</li></ul><p><b>Loss from Operations</b></p><ul><li><b>Loss from operations</b>was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP loss from operations</b>was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b>Net Loss and Earnings Per Share</b></p><ul><li><b>Net loss</b>was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net loss</b>was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>were both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.<b>Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><p><b>Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow</b></p><ul><li><b>Balance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investments</b>was RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.</li><li><b>Operating cash flow</b>was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Free cash flow</b>was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b><u>Business Outlook</u></b></p><p>For the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><ul><li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b>to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Total revenues</b>to be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p>This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto EPS beats by $0.01, beats on revenue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-26 16:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 26)&nbsp;Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March&nbsp;31, 2021.</p><ul><li>Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 <b>beats</b> by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 <b>misses</b> by $0.05.</li><li>Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y)&nbsp;<b>beats</b> by $42.26M.</li><li>Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehicles</li><li>Quarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.</li><li><b>Q2 Outlook</b>:&nbsp;Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.</li><li>Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff735550080b330b011ba4dbd0dedb68\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637a5f62341f333ae7dc2317c883b83a\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li>As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021</b></p><ul><li>Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li>Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de30e1ac5d69693451c6d4e9f4b33061\" tg-width=\"997\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Deliveries Update</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.</li></ul><p><b>Issuance of Convertible Senior Notes</b></p><ul><li>In April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.</li><li>The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.</li></ul><p><b>2021 Li ONE</b></p><ul><li>On May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.</li><li>With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.</li></ul><p><b>CEO and CFO Comments</b></p><p>Mr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.</p><p>“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&amp;D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.</p><p>“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.</p><p>“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.</p><p>“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.</p><p>Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&amp;D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&amp;D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”</p><p><b><u>Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021</u></b></p><p><b>Revenues</b></p><ul><li><b>Total revenues</b>were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle sales</b>were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.</li><li><b>Other sales and services</b>were RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.</li></ul><p><b>Cost of Sales and Gross Margin</b></p><ul><li><b>Cost of sales</b>was RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Gross profit</b>was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Vehicle margin</b>was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.</li></ul><p><b>Operating Expenses</b></p><ul><li><b>Operating expenses</b>were RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Research and development expenses</b>were RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP research and development expenses</b>3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.</li><li><b>Selling, general and administrative expenses</b>were RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses</b>3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.</li></ul><p><b>Loss from Operations</b></p><ul><li><b>Loss from operations</b>was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP loss from operations</b>was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b>Net Loss and Earnings Per Share</b></p><ul><li><b>Net loss</b>was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net loss</b>was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>were both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.<b>Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><p><b>Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow</b></p><ul><li><b>Balance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investments</b>was RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.</li><li><b>Operating cash flow</b>was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Free cash flow</b>was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p><b><u>Business Outlook</u></b></p><p>For the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><ul><li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b>to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.</li><li><b>Total revenues</b>to be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.</li></ul><p>This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150713912","content_text":"(May 26) Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI), an innovator in China’s new energy vehicle market, today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021.Li Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.03 beats by $0.01; GAAP EPS of -$0.06 misses by $0.05.Revenue of $545.7M (+319.8% Y/Y) beats by $42.26M.Quarterly total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million)1Quarterly deliveries were 12,579 vehiclesQuarterly gross margin reached 17.3%.Q2 Outlook: Total revenues to be between RMB3.99B ($609M) and RMB4.27B ($651.7M), consensus $663.51, representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from Q2 2020.Deliveries of vehicles to be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from Q2 2020.Operating Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021Deliveries of Li ONEs were 12,579 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021, representing a 334.4% year-over-year increase.As of March 31, 2021, the Company had 65 retail stores covering 49 cities and 135 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 98 cities.Financial Highlights for the First Quarter of 2021Vehicle sales were RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle margin2was 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020.Total revenues were RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross profit was RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross margin was 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020.Loss from operations was RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP loss from operations3was RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Net loss was RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss3was RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Operating cash flow was RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Free cash flow4was RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Deliveries UpdateIn April 2021, the Company delivered 5,539 Li ONEs, representing a 111.3% increase compared to April 2020. As of April 30, 2021, the Company had 73 retail stores covering 53 cities, in addition to 143 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 105 cities.Issuance of Convertible Senior NotesIn April 2021, the Company completed the offering of US$862.5 million in aggregate principal amount of its 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “Notes”), which included the exercise in full by the initial purchasers in the Notes offering of their option to purchase up to an additional US$112.5 million in aggregate principal amount of the Notes.The Company plans to use the net proceeds from the Notes offering for (i) research and development of new vehicle models, including BEV models, (ii) research and development of leading technologies, and (iii) working capital and other general corporate purposes.2021 Li ONEOn May 25, 2021, the Company officially released the 2021 Li ONE, the first vehicle with Navigation on ADAS (NOA) as a standard configuration in the world. It features comprehensive upgrades, including an enhanced NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers, optimized mobility comfort, and more intelligent cockpit, bringing premium features to users at a flat retail price of RMB338,000. Deliveries of the 2021 Li ONE will commence on June 1, 2021.With software and hardware optimization and its integrated powertrain system, the 2021 Li ONE can achieve an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in fuel mode is 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, best in class among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs.CEO and CFO CommentsMr.Xiang Li, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Li Auto, commented, “We delivered 12,579 Li ONEs during the quarter, up 334.4% year over year. Li ONE was the second best-selling new energy SUV inChinain the first quarter as our compelling product offering and superior user experience continued to delight users and boost brand awareness, while the unwavering support of our direct sales and servicing network underpinned our growth.“On May 25, we released our 2021 Li ONE. The model has elevated the extended range electric technology to a brand-new level, achieving an NEDC range of 1,080 kilometers and a WLTC range of 890 kilometers. Its energy efficiency in the fuel mode takes consumption as low as 6.05 liter per 100 kilometers based on the NEDC standard operational condition, a level that is unparalleled among large-sized four-wheel drive SUVs. I am very proud of our R&D team’s successful efforts to improve the range-extended technology.“The 2021 Li ONE is the first model in the world offering Navigation on ADAS in a standard configuration. Combining our self-developed ADAS with dedicated dual Horizon Robotics Journey 3 processors, an 8-megapixel front-view camera, 5 latest millimeter-wave radars, and high-definition maps, the 2021 Li ONE delivers a safer, easier, and more convenient driving experience, echoing our belief that active safety should be standard, not optional features.“Li ONE has been well loved by family users for its spacious six-seat interior layout. And the 2021 Li ONE enhances its excellence in space, comfort, and intelligence by equipping the front and second row seats with lumbar massage functions, increasing the leg room in the third row by 41 millimeters, while also featuring a smarter in-car voice assistant ‘LiXiang Tong Xue(理想同学),’ providing a high caliber and overall more comfortable, roomier, and more intelligent space for more families.“Is it possible to build a smart electric vehicle that makes families happier? With the 2021 Li ONE, we can confidently say yes, a resounding yes!” concludedMr. Li.Mr.Tie Li, chief financial officer of Li Auto, added, “We are pleased with our healthy financial performance during the first quarter. Our total revenues reached RMB3.58 billion, more than quadrupling from the first quarter of 2020 and exceeding the top end of our revenue guidance by 11.2%, while our gross margin stayed robust at 17.3%. Amid our ongoing efforts to enhance investment in R&D as well as our direct sales and servicing network, operating expenses increased 27.5% quarter-over-quarter and 238.6% year-over-year. We also raised over US$840 million in net proceeds through our successful convertible senior notes offering, strengthening our capital base for future growth as we increase our R&D investments in leading technologies, prepare for new model launches, and gear up for further increases in demand.”Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2021RevenuesTotal revenueswere RMB3.58 billion (US$545.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 319.8% from RMB851.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.8% from RMB4.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle saleswere RMB3.46 billion (US$528.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 311.8% from RMB841.1 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.6% from RMB4.06 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from vehicle sales over the first quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the increase in vehicle deliveries with the continuous expansion of our sales network. The decrease in revenue from vehicle sales from the fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to the decrease in vehicle deliveries, which were affected by seasonal factors related to the Chinese New Year holiday as well as the localized COVID-19 outbreaks in the northern China in February 2021.Other sales and serviceswere RMB111.5 million (US$17.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 951.9% from RMB10.6 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 25.0% from RMB89.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in revenue from other sales and services over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was mainly attributable to increased sales of charging stalls, accessories and services in line with higher accumulated vehicle sales.Cost of Sales and Gross MarginCost of saleswas RMB2.96 billion (US$451.6 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 277.6% from RMB783.4 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 13.5% from RMB3.42 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Gross profitwas RMB616.7 million (US$94.1 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 802.9% from RMB 68.3 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 14.9% from RMB724.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Vehicle marginwas 16.9% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in vehicle margin over the first quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to lower material cost and lower unit manufacturing overhead cost derived from the increased production volume. The slight decrease in vehicle margin from the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower average selling price caused by promotional activities launched in the first quarter of 2021, partially offset by the decreased material cost.Gross marginwas 17.3% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 8.0% in the first quarter of 2020 and 17.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020, which was mainly driven by the change of vehicle margin.Operating ExpensesOperating expenseswere RMB1.02 billion (US$156.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 238.6% from RMB302.5 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 27.5% from RMB803.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Research and development expenseswere RMB514.5 million (US$78.5 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 171.2% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 37.5% from RMB374.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP research and development expenses3were RMB397.9 million (US$60.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 109.8% from RMB189.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 7.8% from RMB369.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in research and development expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily attributable to (i) increased share-based compensation expenses derived from incremental share options granted with higher fair value in January 2021 while no share-based compensation expenses were recognized for stock options with service conditions and a performance condition related to our IPO in the first quarter of 2020, (ii) increased research and development activities for the Company’s next vehicle models, and (iii) increased headcount.Selling, general and administrative expenseswere RMB509.9 million (US$77.8 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 352.0% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 18.8% from RMB429.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses3were RMB449.8 million (US$68.7 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 298.8% from RMB112.8 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 5.4% from RMB426.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase in selling, general and administrative expenses over the first and fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by (i) increased marketing and promotional activities, (ii) increased headcount and rental expenses with the expansion of the Company’s sales network, and (iii) increased share-based compensation expenses.Loss from OperationsLoss from operationswas RMB407.7 million (US$62.2 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 74.1% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 416.7% from RMB78.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP loss from operationswas RMB224.8 million (US$34.3 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 4.0% from RMB234.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and an increase of 216.2% from RMB71.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.Net Loss and Earnings Per ShareNet losswas RMB360.0 million (US$54.9 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB77.1 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB107.5 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP net losswas RMB177.0 million (US$27.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, compared with RMB253.4 million net loss in the first quarter of 2020 and RMB115.4 million net income in the fourth quarter of 2020.Basic and diluted net loss per ADS6attributable to ordinary shareholderswere both RMB0.40 (US$0.06) in the first quarter of 2021.Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders3were both RMB0.20 (US$0.03) in the first quarter of 2021.Cash position, Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash FlowBalance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, time deposits and short-term investmentswas RMB30.36 billion (US$4.63 billion) as of March 31, 2021.Operating cash flowwas RMB926.3 million (US$141.4 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB989.3 million from negative net cash flow of RMB63.0 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 49.1% from RMB1.82 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Free cash flowwas RMB570.2 million (US$87.0 million) in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of RMB755.4 million from negative net cash flow of RMB185.2 million in the first quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 64.3% from RMB1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.Business OutlookFor the second quarter of 2021, the Company expects:Deliveries of vehiclesto be between 14,500 and 15,500 vehicles, representing an increase of 119.6% to 134.7% from the second quarter of 2020.Total revenuesto be between RMB3.99 billion (US$609.0 million) and RMB4.27 billion (US$651.7 million), representing an increase of 104.6% to 119.0% from the second quarter of 2020.This business outlook reflects the Company’s current and preliminary view on the business situation and market condition, which is subject to change.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181739588,"gmtCreate":1623410726544,"gmtModify":1704202848706,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is there.","listText":"Tiger is there.","text":"Tiger is there.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181739588","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156453091?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">川阅全球宏观</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 21:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">川阅全球宏观</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09：经济陷入衰退，但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在，通胀持续上升，美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11：粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下，美国经济陷入滞胀，供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败，货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后，未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07：走出滞胀后，美国经济经历了高速增长，但1987年开始经济增速放缓，并出现工资和价格上涨压力，美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09：油价飙升推升通胀，金融危机爆发，美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市，通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似，均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平)，但是从CPI指数角度，2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎，我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工，芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足，二手车需求剧增，价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据，2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外，5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大，交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%，增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%)，尽管相对于其它分项，房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%)，但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4)，我们预计受到供给短缺的影响，未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度，密西根预期通胀率数据显示，2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5)，但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度，如我们此前报告所述，美联储注重通胀预期的监测，关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE)，CIE为季度数据，预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中，CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2)：通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响，前者较为滞后，后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是，通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性，关于美债的研究框架，请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示：美联储过快收紧货币政策，地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181406341,"gmtCreate":1623404906183,"gmtModify":1704202697082,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here.","listText":"Tiger is here.","text":"Tiger is here.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181406341","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156453091?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaking history as a mirror, the interpretation and impact of soaring inflation in the United States\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">川阅全球宏观</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 21:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 10, 2021, Eastern Time, the U.S. Department of Labor released inflation data for May.<b>In May, the U.S. CPI rose 5.0% year-on-year, and the core CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the largest increase since August 2008. Since the beginning of this year, the inflation rate in the United States has accelerated, and the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting is just around the corner, and inflation concerns linger in the market.</b>We review several surges in U.S. inflation in history to better understand this inflation and its impact:</p><p><b>Since 1960, the US CPI has exceeded 5% year-on-year four times</b>(Figure 1). We conducted a review on the economic fundamentals and Fed policy during the CPI breaking 4%, breaking 5% and falling back (Table 1).</p><p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>: The economy is in recession, but the remaining temperature of the large government spending and fiscal stimulus in the early stage is still there, and inflation continues to rise. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy in 1970 to curb inflation.</p><p><b>1973/03-1982/11：</b>Under the double blow of the food crisis and the oil crisis, the U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and supply shocks and costs have pushed up inflation. The government's price control failed, and the monetary policy lacked independence and lagged behind, which failed to curb inflation successfully.</p><p><b>1987/08-1991/07：</b>After emerging from stagflation, the U.S. economy experienced rapid growth, but in 1987, the economic growth began to slow down, and the pressure of rising wages and prices appeared, and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy.</p><p><b>2007/11-2008/09：</b>Soaring oil prices pushed up inflation and the financial crisis broke out. The primary task of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy was to rescue the market, and inflation was not in its focus.</p><p><b>The causes of current inflation and the inflation of 1973-1982 are relatively similar, both driven by costs.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The main reasons for this surge in inflation are the base effect and supply shortages under the epidemic.</b>The U.S. CPI recorded 5.0% in May this year (the highest level since August 2008), but<b>From the perspective of the CPI index, the compound growth rate in May 2021 relative to May 2019 is only 2.5%.</b></p><p><b>For the interpretation of inflation this year, we focus on the two sub-items of used cars and rent.</b></p><p><b>One of the main drivers of inflation is used cars.</b>With the worsening of the epidemic in Southeast Asia, chip factories in many places have shut down, and the shortage of chips has caused car companies to cut production. The supply of new cars is insufficient, the demand for used cars has soared, and prices have soared (Figure 2). According to Manheim data, the price increase of used cars will exceed that of new cars in 2021 (Figure 3). In addition, other transportation-related price increases further expanded in May, and the price increase of transportation services doubled from 5.6% in April to 11.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The trend of rent price has an important impact on the interpretation of future inflation.</b>The weight of rent in the U.S. CPI is relatively high (about 30%). Although the growth rate of rent is relatively moderate compared with other sub-items (a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in May this year), the growth rate slope has steepened since the beginning of the year (Figure 4), we<b>It is expected that rents will continue to rise moderately in the future due to the shortage of supply</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What is the trend of inflation expectations?</b></p><p>From a consumer perspective, Michigan's expected inflation rate data shows that 2%<b>U.S. consumer five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% in May 2021 from 2.7% last month (Figure 5), but are still lower than the 3.5% that the Federal Reserve can tolerate.</b></p><p>From the perspective of policymakers, as mentioned in our previous report, the Fed focuses on monitoring inflation expectations, and the key indicators are<b>Common Inflation Expectations Index (CIE), CIE is quarterly data, and data for the second quarter of 2021 is expected to be released at the end of this month.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>How will inflation affect asset prices in the future?</b></p><p>We have analyzed the changes in the yields of the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds in different time intervals after the CPI broke 4% among the above four major inflations (Table 2):<b>Inflation has a negative impact on the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks. The former lags behind, while the latter is reflected within one month.</b>Interestingly, the impact of inflation on U.S. bond yields is irregular. For the research framework of U.S. bonds, please refer to our previous report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>Fed tightens monetary policy too quickly, geopolitical risks mount</p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter E and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">川阅全球宏观</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日，美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%，创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来，美国通胀率加速上升，美联储6月议息会议在即，市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升，以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响：\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09：经济陷入衰退，但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在，通胀持续上升，美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11：粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下，美国经济陷入滞胀，供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败，货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后，未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07：走出滞胀后，美国经济经历了高速增长，但1987年开始经济增速放缓，并出现工资和价格上涨压力，美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09：油价飙升推升通胀，金融危机爆发，美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市，通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似，均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平)，但是从CPI指数角度，2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎，我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工，芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足，二手车需求剧增，价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据，2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外，5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大，交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%，增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%)，尽管相对于其它分项，房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%)，但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4)，我们预计受到供给短缺的影响，未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度，密西根预期通胀率数据显示，2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5)，但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度，如我们此前报告所述，美联储注重通胀预期的监测，关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE)，CIE为季度数据，预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中，CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2)：通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响，前者较为滞后，后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是，通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性，关于美债的研究框架，请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示：美联储过快收紧货币政策，地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181401435,"gmtCreate":1623404810627,"gmtModify":1704202695131,"author":{"id":"3532042389746908","authorId":"3532042389746908","name":"木易000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d787a41ffbb60b3b486c34056527313","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532042389746908","idStr":"3532042389746908"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here.","listText":"Tiger is here.","text":"Tiger is here.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181401435","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140839418","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623382205,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140839418?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"A picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140839418","media":"腾讯科技","summary":"6月11日消息，美国当地时间周四，$滴滴出行 $的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会提交了IPO招股书，计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市，股票代码为“DIDI”。根据滴滴披露的数据显示，目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务，年活跃用户数量4.93亿，年活跃司机数量1500万，日均单量4100万，年平台交易总额3410亿元，2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。","content":"<p>News on June 11, on Thursday, local time in the United States,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">Didi Chuxing</a>Xiaoju Kuaizhi, the operating entity of the company, submitted an IPO prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and plans to list on the Nasdaq stock market or the New York Stock Exchange under the stock code \"DIDI\".</p><p>According to the data disclosed by Didi, Didi has opened businesses in more than 4,000 cities and regions in 15 countries, with an annual number of active users of 493 million, an annual number of active drivers of 15 million, an average daily order volume of 41 million, and an annual platform The total transaction volume is 341 billion yuan, and the cumulative driver income from 2018 to Q1 2021 is 600 + billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a935c6b681f2f3744604b5596e29cac\" tg-width=\"2100\" tg-height=\"13686\"></p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter I and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba72fe98df37f49a4d31b0a0684a03aa\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"txkj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA picture to understand Didi's prospectus: spread over 15 countries, with an average daily order volume of 41 million\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">腾讯科技</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>News on June 11, on Thursday, local time in the United States,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">Didi Chuxing</a>Xiaoju Kuaizhi, the operating entity of the company, submitted an IPO prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and plans to list on the Nasdaq stock market or the New York Stock Exchange under the stock code \"DIDI\".</p><p>According to the data disclosed by Didi, Didi has opened businesses in more than 4,000 cities and regions in 15 countries, with an annual number of active users of 493 million, an annual number of active drivers of 15 million, an average daily order volume of 41 million, and an annual platform The total transaction volume is 341 billion yuan, and the cumulative driver income from 2018 to Q1 2021 is 600 + billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a935c6b681f2f3744604b5596e29cac\" tg-width=\"2100\" tg-height=\"13686\"></p><p><hr>Congratulations on finding the letter I and participating in the \"Tiger Search\" activity. If you post a message \"Tiger is here\", you will receive 100 tiger coins. If you collect 7 pictures and leave a message, you will also receive a 7th anniversary limited gift box. (For details, please click<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">[Seventh Anniversary Prize-winning Event] Tiger Search</a>Understand)<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba72fe98df37f49a4d31b0a0684a03aa\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800\">腾讯科技</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9f14473f3e986de32cc80f6fd80b679","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140839418","content_text":"6月11日消息，美国当地时间周四，滴滴出行的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了IPO招股书，计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市，股票代码为“DIDI”。\n根据滴滴披露的数据显示，目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务，年活跃用户数量4.93亿，年活跃司机数量1500万，日均单量4100万，年平台交易总额3410亿元，2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。\n\n\n恭喜您找到了字母I，参与《老虎大搜查》活动，下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币，如集齐7张图片并留言，还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。（详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}