och personal page - To The Moon

och

och

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2023-12-30

Woww nice!! 👍👍👍👍👍

2023-01-14

Gd

2023-01-13

Wow

2023-01-12

Go

2023-01-11

Ok

2023-01-10

Ok

2023-01-10

K

2023-01-09

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2023-01-08

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2023-01-07

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2023-01-03

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2023-01-03

Ok

@YNWIM:3 Reasons Apple Stock Keeps Falling

2022-12-31

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2022-12-29

Ok

2022-12-28

Goal

2022-12-27

Nice

2022-12-26

K

2022-12-25

Yes

2022-12-24

Ok

2022-12-24

Ok

3 Core U.S. Equity ETFs For 2023

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Reasons Apple Stock Keeps Falling","htmlText":"Down 15% in December, investors might be wondering where the bottom is for Apple stock.In mid-August, shares of&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;(AAPL0.25%)were near an all-time high and down only slightly on the year. Today, Apple is hovering around a 52-week low and is down around 30% from its all-time high.Yet despite the sell-off, Apple isstilloutperforming other big tech names year to date, such as&nbsp;Microsoft,&nbsp;Alphabet,&nbsp;Amazon,&nbsp;Tesla, and&nbsp;Meta Platforms. Let's see if Apple is a buy, or if its challenges make the stock one to avoid.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Business challengesArguably the most reasonable cause of the Apple stock decline is that its business is facing plenty of challenges heading into 2023. In hindsight, it's clear to see that the pandemic brought forward a lot","listText":"Down 15% in December, investors might be wondering where the bottom is for Apple stock.In mid-August, shares of&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;(AAPL0.25%)were near an all-time high and down only slightly on the year. Today, Apple is hovering around a 52-week low and is down around 30% from its all-time high.Yet despite the sell-off, Apple isstilloutperforming other big tech names year to date, such as&nbsp;Microsoft,&nbsp;Alphabet,&nbsp;Amazon,&nbsp;Tesla, and&nbsp;Meta Platforms. Let's see if Apple is a buy, or if its challenges make the stock one to avoid.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Business challengesArguably the most reasonable cause of the Apple stock decline is that its business is facing plenty of challenges heading into 2023. In hindsight, it's clear to see that the pandemic brought forward a lot","text":"Down 15% in December, investors might be wondering where the bottom is for Apple stock.In mid-August, shares of Apple (AAPL0.25%)were near an all-time high and down only slightly on the year. Today, Apple is hovering around a 52-week low and is down around 30% from its all-time high.Yet despite the sell-off, Apple isstilloutperforming other big tech names year to date, such as Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta Platforms. Let's see if Apple is a buy, or if its challenges make the stock one to avoid.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Business challengesArguably the most reasonable cause of the Apple stock decline is that its business is facing plenty of challenges heading into 2023. 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09:00","market":"other","language":"en","title":"3 Core U.S. Equity ETFs For 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2293562381","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"IntroductionHigh-quality, low-fee ETFs form the backbone of most investors' portfolios. They move in line with the market, track Indexes that include the most successful companies, and generally work ","content":"<div>\n<p>IntroductionHigh-quality, low-fee ETFs form the backbone of most investors' portfolios. They move in line with the market, track Indexes that include the most successful companies, and generally work ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566088-3-core-us-equity-etfs-for-2023\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Core U.S. Equity ETFs For 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Core U.S. Equity ETFs For 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-24 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566088-3-core-us-equity-etfs-for-2023><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IntroductionHigh-quality, low-fee ETFs form the backbone of most investors' portfolios. They move in line with the market, track Indexes that include the most successful companies, and generally work ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566088-3-core-us-equity-etfs-for-2023\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI","BKLC":"BNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF","ILCV":"iShares Morningstar Value ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566088-3-core-us-equity-etfs-for-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293562381","content_text":"IntroductionHigh-quality, low-fee ETFs form the backbone of most investors' portfolios. They move in line with the market, track Indexes that include the most successful companies, and generally work out well in the long run. However, finding the right one that meets your needs can be challenging. Making that job easier for you is the purpose of this article.Some readers may know that I calculate dozens of fundamental metrics for 850+ U.S. Equity ETFs. I started doing this after reviewing feedback from readers questioning why they should sell their current ETF in favor of the one recommended. These questions were reasonable, and I quickly realized that my analysis was incomplete unless I considered these alternatives in advance. It took some effort, but I can now confidently state that I have done the research, and my articles are fact-based, comprehensive, and timely.It sounds straightforward. However, there were only 33 results. This article presents a variety of fundamental metrics for each in summary format, then highlights three in more detail that may match your investment style.The SelectionsTo begin, the following table highlights basic information for these 33 ETFs. I've included the ETF's focus, niche, strategy, and weighting scheme, along with the expense ratio and assets under management. Most are market-cap-weighted, but a few alternatively-weighted ETFs can help you diversify away from mega-cap companies.The Sunday InvestorThere are advantages to focusing on the largest ETFs by assets under management. They often have the smallest bid-ask spreads, thereby limiting trading costs. However, remember that with ETFs, market makers provide a secondary level of liquidity. The best measure of an ETF's liquidity is the liquidity of the underlying holdings, and since these are all large or total market ETFs, they all seem suitable to me.ETF FundamentalsThe following table highlights 12 fundamentals for each ETF. I've bolded three that stand out based on estimated earnings per share growth, forward price-earnings ratio, and overall profitability.The Sunday InvestorI also included each ETF's total return over the last year, from December 2021 to November 2022. ETFs with low valuations have outperformed. One example is the iShares Morningstar Value ETF (ILCV), which trades at 16.59x forward earnings and is up 3.44% over that period. Let's look at that ETF first.iShares Morningstar Value ETFILCV tracks the Morningstar US Large-Mid Cap Broad Value Index, selecting 500 U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks based on a ten-point factor model. ILCV doesn't get much coverage and has just 383 followers on Seeking Alpha. However, it's the second-oldest total-market-cap value ETF and has the same low 0.04% expense ratio as the more popular iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF (IUSV). IUSV missed the cut for this analysis because of its 0.94 five-year beta and has a relatively low 9.02/10 profitability score compared to 9.24/10 for ILCV. Here's a closer look at ILCV's fundamentals for its top 25 industries, and I've included the same for IUSV in the bottom row.The Sunday InvestorCurrently, I view ILCV as superior across the board. It's less volatile than IUSV, as indicated by its lower five-year beta (0.97 vs. 1.02). It has solid sales growth and nearly identical estimated earnings growth but trades at a 3-4 point discount on forward earnings and trailing cash flow. Finally, its selections are surprisingly more profitable with better earnings sentiment, as measured by Seeking Alpha's Profitability and EPS Revision Grades. I expect ILCV's relative underperformance to reverse soon.Portfolio VisualizerBNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETFThe BNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF (BKLC) stands out because of its 9.69/10 profitability score. Tracking the Morningstar U.S. Large Cap Index, BKLC has 210 holdings, or about 40% the size of S&P 500 ETFs like SPY, IVV, VOO, and SPLG. Readers may consider the Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC) a more suitable peer, as the two have a 96% weight overlap, according to the ETF Research Center's Fund Overlap Tool.The Sunday InvestorYou can see the similarities between BKLC's and MGC's fundamentals, and that is because they both genuinely are mega-cap ETFs. Each has weighted-average market capitalizations above $500 billion compared to $432 billion for SPY. There's a solid argument here that BKLC is the superior of the three, at least currently. Remember, its expense ratio is zero and has virtually identical growth and valuation metrics compared to the four S&P 500 Index ETFs but better profitability.Unfortunately, past performance may hold back AUM growth. Also, the fund's most recent turnover was 17% compared to 4% and 2% for MGC and SPY. Therefore, while the above metrics suggest similar performance going forward, there could be a little too much activity to the detriment of shareholders.Portfolio VisualizerVanguard Total Stock Market ETFThe Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) has you covered if you're looking to access all size segments with above-average earnings growth. VTI's expense ratio is low at 0.03% and provides higher estimated growth metrics than S&P 500 Index ETFs. The downside is that adding small- and mid-cap stocks makes VTI more volatile and less profitable. I chose the Xtrackers MSCI USA ESG Leaders Equity ETF (USSG) for comparison purposes. You may view it as a slightly unusual choice, but USSG excels in earnings growth despite having less than half exposure to the high-growth Energy sector. Put this one on your list of ETFs to watch should inflation, led by lower oil prices, falls.The Sunday InvestorInterestingly, USSG has outperformed VTI with lower volatility since its inception in February 2019. It's one example where you shouldn't judge a book by its cover. The ESG theme is a negative for some investors, but USSG proves that performance isn't always sacrificed. Based on the metrics above, USSG is nearly identical to VTI in all areas, with outperformance likely linked only to slight sector exposure differences.Portfolio VisualizerHistorical PerformanceFor some, it all comes down to past performance. While I disagree that it's an acceptable way to assess an ETF, past performance provides concrete evidence of how well a strategy performed over a particular period. Therefore, consider these historical returns through November 2022 for all ETFs listed in this article. I've organized them by best ten-year performance, then five-year, and so forth.The Sunday InvestorThis table also includes return-to-risk ratios based on annualized returns divided by the annualized standard deviation. MGC, VOO, SPLG, IVV, and SPY have the best ten-year annualized returns and risk-adjusted returns, but it's crucial to recognize the shift that's occurred recently. For example, ILCV lagged MGC by 77.27% over ten years but has outperformed by 15% in the last year. As a reminder, the fundamentals described earlier indicate ILCV offers a lower risk-return profile that I think works in its favor. Furthermore, Vanguard's ten-year projections are for value to outperform growth, so I caution readers against relying too much on historical performance.VanguardConclusionThis article aimed to highlight all ETF options for investors wanting simple exposure to the U.S. large-cap market. As core holdings, the ETFs presented had average volatilities, low fees, high profitability scores, and relatively high assets under management. The historical performance table showed how well highly-profitable mega-cap ETFs like MGC performed over the last decade, but the fundamentals suggest a different market. Value-focused ETFs like ILCV feature meaningful valuation discounts for only small sacrifices in estimated growth and are more likely to outperform going forward.If I missed anything or you have questions about another ETF you use as a core holding, please let me know in the comments section below. Thanks for reading, and Happy Holidays!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ILCV":0.9,"BKLC":0.9,"VTI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":257387185520856,"gmtCreate":1703872566064,"gmtModify":1703872570047,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woww nice!! 👍👍👍👍👍","listText":"Woww nice!! 👍👍👍👍👍","text":"Woww nice!! 👍👍👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257387185520856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883535711,"gmtCreate":1631253112033,"gmtModify":1676530509858,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls thx!","listText":"Like pls thx!","text":"Like pls thx!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/883535711","repostId":"1145569739","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145569739","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631252036,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145569739?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-10 13:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145569739","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 20","content":"<p>TSMC&nbsp;today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3&nbsp;percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8&nbsp;percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-10 13:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TSMC&nbsp;today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3&nbsp;percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8&nbsp;percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145569739","content_text":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917057486,"gmtCreate":1665397922845,"gmtModify":1676537599177,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917057486","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129204631","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665415321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129204631?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-10 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129204631","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.</li><li>However, that doesn&#39;t mean it will be the bottom.</li><li>Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.</li></ul><p>The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.</p><p>The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&amp;P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a5b3b87d56cd4bd4441ffe78d7917b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>An October New Low?</b></p><p>From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.</p><p>It&#39;s All About Rates</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn&#39;t see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe9b42330ab57d8cb7fcad9ad287b66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Since 2014, the average spread between the S&amp;P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716b902ff03171d3d6501fc54cd5e4ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Another 9% Decline?</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&amp;P 500 back to a historically average fair value.</p><p>With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&amp;P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e039fb8224601f45af66fa8d842e51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&amp;P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.</p><p>Rate Cuts?</p><p>Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446920a17ef8c631f042c4e6c66a83c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebdd77840eddc274c550c53a8b6d962\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37e7dfd2cd888c6f32ea805482bc8b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>In this case, Friday&#39;s job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.</p><p>If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren&#39;t finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129204631","content_text":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.BloombergAn October New Low?From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.It's All About RatesThe S&P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn't see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.BloombergSince 2014, the average spread between the S&P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.BloombergAnother 9% Decline?The S&P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&P 500 back to a historically average fair value.With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.BloombergWhat will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.Rate Cuts?Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.BloombergAs the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.BloombergMeanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.BloombergIn this case, Friday's job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren't finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027357275,"gmtCreate":1653977690797,"gmtModify":1676535372930,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027357275","repostId":"2239131098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2239131098","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653969008,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2239131098?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-31 11:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Best Buffett Investments to Buy for the Long Haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2239131098","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If you have a long-term investment approach, these ETFs are primed for big gains following a bear market.","content":"<div>\n<p>Since 1945 there have been 14 bear markets -- the last three averaging five months in length each -- resulting in stocks losing, on average, 36% in value during each bear market. The bad news is we ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/2-best-buffett-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Best Buffett Investments to Buy for the Long Haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Best Buffett Investments to Buy for the Long Haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-31 11:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/2-best-buffett-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Since 1945 there have been 14 bear markets -- the last three averaging five months in length each -- resulting in stocks losing, on average, 36% in value during each bear market. The bad news is we ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/2-best-buffett-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/2-best-buffett-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2239131098","content_text":"Since 1945 there have been 14 bear markets -- the last three averaging five months in length each -- resulting in stocks losing, on average, 36% in value during each bear market. The bad news is we entered bear market territory on May 20.The good news is, if the last 100 years are any indication, the S&P 500 Index should rebound. Two ways to invest in that rebound are through the SPDR S&P 500 Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF Trust and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, both of which track the index of large U.S. companies that make up the S&P 500. Buffett's belief in the S&P 500 is so strong that it led him to instruct his estate to put 90% of his money into the index for his wife when he dies.The S&P 500 has time on its sideEven better news for investors is that bull markets take place 78% of the time, compared to 20% for bears, with bulls averaging a 114% increase in stock values. Dating back to the 2001 dot-com bubble burst, the S&P 500 has averaged annualized returns of 6.8%, with 14 up years compared to eight down years. In looking at the two biggest annual losses over that time -- 23% in 2002 and 38% in 2008 -- the following year produced a 23% gain both times.Numbers can be confusing, but the important takeaway is that the S&P 500 has produced gains for long-term investors, and its broad focus on a full index provides diversification across sectors. That diversification helps minimize the risk that might come with investing in one industry.A fund comparisonAlthough both ETFs focus on tracking the same index, there are a few minor differences. The share prices are different, although the rise of fractional share purchasing makes that largely moot. The Vanguard ETF's expense ratio is lower at 0.03%, but the SPDR ETF's 0.09% expense ratio is still quite low.When all is said and done, both funds basically mirror the S&P 500, meaning an investment in each of these ETFs would've returned positive gains in 14 of the last 22 years. In fact, the average annualized return over the past 10 years for each ETF is 13.6%, meaning $10,000 invested 10 years ago would be worth about $35,800 today.If the current bear market, which has already taken some stocks down 36% or more, lasts into October, it's realistic that a 23% gain will begin soon thereafter, and during the next bull market, we could be looking at a 114% gain. Both of these top S&P 500 Index ETFs can help investors realize that level of gain.Of course, there is always the risk that a longer-term bear market could turn into a multi-year recession, and that's the risk every investor takes to begin with. But even though smart investors separate gambling from investing, the odds that these two ETFs will produce meaningful long-term gains are in an investor's favor and make for great Buffett-supported investments for the long haul.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VOO":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008360257,"gmtCreate":1641362447531,"gmtModify":1676533606229,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008360257","repostId":"1168960619","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168960619","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641335422,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168960619?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-05 06:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Drubbing in Tech Marks Biggest New-Year Stock Rotation Since ’95","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168960619","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Cyclical, value shares surge amid expectations for rate hikesShift broadens market breadth and may h","content":"<div>\n<p>Cyclical, value shares surge amid expectations for rate hikesShift broadens market breadth and may help active managersAfter five years of waiting for technology shares’ grip on the market to loosen, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-04/drubbing-in-tech-marks-biggest-new-year-stock-rotation-since-95?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Drubbing in Tech Marks Biggest New-Year Stock Rotation Since ’95</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDrubbing in Tech Marks Biggest New-Year Stock Rotation Since ’95\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-05 06:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-04/drubbing-in-tech-marks-biggest-new-year-stock-rotation-since-95?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cyclical, value shares surge amid expectations for rate hikesShift broadens market breadth and may help active managersAfter five years of waiting for technology shares’ grip on the market to loosen, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-04/drubbing-in-tech-marks-biggest-new-year-stock-rotation-since-95?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-04/drubbing-in-tech-marks-biggest-new-year-stock-rotation-since-95?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168960619","content_text":"Cyclical, value shares surge amid expectations for rate hikesShift broadens market breadth and may help active managersAfter five years of waiting for technology shares’ grip on the market to loosen, value investors are getting their hopes up at the start of 2022.Software and internet stocks sold off Tuesday, driving the Russell 1000 Growth Index down 1.1%. Meanwhile, energy and financial shares surged, leading gains among those trading at lower multiples based on profits or book value.The divergence was so wide that over the past two sessions, growth has trailed value by 1.5 percentage points. That’s the worst underperformance for growth to start a year since 1995.This rotation came alongside a spike in Treasury yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year to tame inflation. While the prospect of higher borrowing costs have prompted traders to rethink their affection for growth stocks -- particularly those fetching nose-bleed valuations -- rate hikes could signal an accelerating economy. This could be good for cyclical companies, many of which have been shunned.“You could argue some of this rotation is the result of the higher real and nominal yields,” said Alon Rosin, Oppenheimer & Co.’s head of institutional equity derivatives. “This rotation is long overdue with large-cap tech holding up into year end. Now we have multiple compression concerns across all tech with the Fed’s liquidity spigot coming into the tightening drumbeat ahead.”Tech stocks bore the brunt of selling Tuesday and the Nasdaq 100 dropped 1.4%, the most in more than two weeks. Expensive software makers tumbled more than 4% as a group, reaching a level not seen since last June.The ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund (ARKK), the poster-child of the frenzy over hyper-growth names, sank 4.4%, while a basket of profitless technology shares plunged 4.1%.Despite the bleeding in the market’s largest industry, the S&P 500 stood firm, thanks to gains in economically sensitive shares. Energy producers and the KBW Bank Index each rallied more than 6% in the past two sessions, marking their best start for a year on record.To many investors, the rotation was a welcome development in a bull run where in a handful of tech giants have increasingly dominated equity gains, leaving the market vulnerable to company-specific risks. Broader participation is also good news for active money managers, whose gravitation toward value has contributed to years of lackluster performance when measured against their benchmarks.Granted, short value renaissances have tried to challenge growth’s dominance in recent years, as in the first quarter of 2021 and the final months of 2018. Yet they all proved fleeting.Still, some value fans are optimistic. As the Fed turns hawkish, company fundamentals and valuations will really matter.“Not many predictions for a blowout 2022, so many are allocating towards consistently profitable companies, and away from profitless,” said Larry Weiss, head of equity trading at Instinet LLC in New York. “It could be the value comeback we’ve been waiting for!”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988177038,"gmtCreate":1666708261224,"gmtModify":1676537793646,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988177038","repostId":"2278020272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278020272","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666700972,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278020272?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 20:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: You Have Been Warned","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278020272","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the dem","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>While iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.</li><li>The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.</li><li>China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.</li><li>My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f69d8740cc2bafe8656b09f1d0bcff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ivan-balvan</span></p><p>In my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14&#39;s low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.</p><p>In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter&#39;s earnings report.</p><h2>Investment thesis</h2><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.</p><p>Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.</p><p>All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.</p><h2>Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong response</h2><p>According to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.</p><p>We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region&#39;s strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.</p><p>As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9509834e5f505bcb3a9da3aa70fc47f\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone availability in the US (UBS)</span></p><p>However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0450e3eda6b8a53cacc483158a045d03\" tg-width=\"524\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)</span></p><h2>Declining demand and the implications for near-term results</h2><p>As I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.</p><p>While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.</p><p>As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.</p><h2>China weakness remains a near-term headwind</h2><p>There are worrying trends for Apple&#39;s iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.</p><p>This is because China&#39;s economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.</p><p>Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>My 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple&#39;s FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.</p><p>Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.</p><h2>Risks</h2><h3>Weakening macroeconomic environment</h3><p>The global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.</p><p>For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple&#39;s products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.</p><h3>China demand</h3><p>As the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.</p><h3>Market share loss in smartphone markets</h3><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple&#39;s current dominant position in the industry.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>To sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Simple Investing</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: You Have Been Warned</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: You Have Been Warned\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 20:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278020272","content_text":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.Ivan-balvanIn my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14's low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter's earnings report.Investment thesisI continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong responseAccording to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region's strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.iPhone availability in the US (UBS)However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)Declining demand and the implications for near-term resultsAs I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.China weakness remains a near-term headwindThere are worrying trends for Apple's iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.This is because China's economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.ValuationMy 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple's FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.RisksWeakening macroeconomic environmentThe global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple's products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.China demandAs the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.Market share loss in smartphone marketsI continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple's current dominant position in the industry.ConclusionTo sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.This article is written by Simple Investing for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196185586,"gmtCreate":1621036740145,"gmtModify":1704352176028,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls thx!!","listText":"Like and comment pls thx!!","text":"Like and comment pls thx!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196185586","repostId":"2135710626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135710626","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1620982380,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135710626?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 16:53","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135710626","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices. One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual","content":"<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarly Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-14 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSLA":"特斯拉",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135710626","content_text":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock pricesOne of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon $(AMZN)$, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla $(TSLA)$, which the fund bought into in 2014.Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft $(MSFT)$, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is one)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group Illumina (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba $(09988)$, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna $(MRNA)$, Chinese EV player NIO $(NIO)$, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187099751,"gmtCreate":1623728618273,"gmtModify":1704209766377,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment thx!","listText":"Like and comment thx!","text":"Like and comment thx!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187099751","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347566463,"gmtCreate":1618502246452,"gmtModify":1704711969073,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment thx!","listText":"Like and comment thx!","text":"Like and comment thx!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347566463","repostId":"1125635474","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574589862407814","authorId":"3574589862407814","name":"dannynggg","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574589862407814","idStr":"3574589862407814"},"content":"reply to my comment thanks","text":"reply to my comment thanks","html":"reply to my comment thanks"},{"author":{"id":"3578607602231616","authorId":"3578607602231616","name":"Jacoble","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19e355281937c20e926e5a42ed3b6313","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3578607602231616","idStr":"3578607602231616"},"content":"comment on mine too","text":"comment on mine too","html":"comment on mine too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916655444,"gmtCreate":1664589447489,"gmtModify":1676537481349,"author":{"id":"3565663543754207","authorId":"3565663543754207","name":"och","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c195b2a32a90ae2210984600e352644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565663543754207","idStr":"3565663543754207"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916655444","repostId":"1101553620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101553620","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664595421,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101553620?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-01 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Showed Humanoid Robot Optimus on Friday Night at AI Day 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101553620","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Inc. AI Day 2022 is slated to get started “precisely” at 09:15 p.m. ET, according to Elon Musk","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla Inc.</b> AI Day 2022 is slated to get started “precisely” at 09:15 p.m. ET, according to Elon Musk.</p><p>Musk along with other executives, including Tesla Director of Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy would likely make presentations.</p><p>Notable updates expected out of the event are related to the Optimus Tesla bot, the full self-driving software, the Dojo supercomputer, Tesla’s neural network training supercomputer and possibly Robotaxis.</p><p>Musk is hoping to use the event to hire the best AI talent who could drive innovation in that arena.</p><p>Musk gets started with a reference to Optimus and reminds people that Tesla is a public company. He jestingly remarks even he is not immune to firing, especially if he goes crazy. Musk says AI, Autopilot, Dojo and a &#39;long&#39; question &amp; answers session on the agenda — folks welcome to ask existential or technical questions — whatever floats their boat.</p><p>Tesla bot is on stage — a real one, a sleek looking one! It’s waving to the crowd now. So, we do have a prototype!</p><p>Musk says the bot can do more than what it&#39;s doing on stage. A video showing its other functionalities is presented, where the bot is seen working at the Fremont factory, watering plants among other things. Musk says the humanoid can identify objects. A bot with Tesla-designed actuators — Musk says it would be ready to walk in a few weeks.</p><p>Optimus can move fingers. The goal is to make it useful, Musk says. It is &#34;extremely useful&#34; and made in volume, probably in volumes. So, could cost less, about $20,000, according to Tesla.</p><p>Musk appreciates the team for doing a wonderful job but says still a lot of improvements to be made. He is appealing to talent to join the company as it seeks to &#34;do the right thing.&#34;</p><p>Musk gives his vision for the economy — a future of abundance, with no poverty. A fundamental transformation that promises safety.</p><p>He repeats why Tesla remains is a public company, giving control to people. The public can influence Tesla’s policies and actions.</p><p>After the pitch to talent, another Tesla team member walks the audience through the development timeline of the Tesla bot.</p><p>On power consumption of bot, 100W sitting, 500W for brisk walking, and it weighs 73 kg. Degrees of freedom is at above 200.</p><p>Tesla shows Optimus with actuators. The company is working on optimizing costs, reducing wiring in extremities and centralizing power distribution.</p><p>The battery pack is at the torso of the bot — charing, power distribution all at one place. Leveraging the existing Tesla supply chain for it, the bot is going to do everything a human brain does. Support communication is wireless.</p><p>Malcolm Burgess, Manager, Vehicle Dynamics and Concept Structures at Tesla, now on stage showcases how Optimus is immune to injury in the wake of a falling. The bot is made with materials such as titanium that are not stiff.</p><p>Tesla has taken inspiration from biology for the bot’s movement. Most important things from a design perspective are energy and mass. Tesla has carried its experience from car to robots, Burgess says.</p><p>The bot having 28 actuators allows high-level activity like walking and climbing stairs. An actuator is able to lift a halftone, 9-foot piano, a video shows.</p><p>On hand design: Bot has five fingers. The real utility is in factories for lifting objects. Six actuators and 11 degrees of freedom and adaptive grasp and non-back drivable fingers for the bot.</p><p>We are moving from robot on wheels to robot on legs, say Tesla. Video showcases the locomotion of the robot.</p><p>Tesla Humanoid Robotics Engineer Felix Sygulla talks about walking and aspects of engineering challenges involved in this action.</p><p>Controls are very complex, he says. Measuring reality and adding corrections to the behavior of the robot is important.</p><p>That’s all on Optimus. Now, it is over to Tesla Director for Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy for FSD updates.</p><p>Tesla has gone from 2,000 cars running FSD to 160,000 customers in a year, Elluswamy says. About 75,000 neural network models run each year, the pace of innovation is progressing.</p><p>FSD Beta Software is &#34;quite capable&#34; of driving the car, he says, including stopping for traffic lights and stop signs, negotiating with objects at intersections and making turns and so on. Tesla showcases a video on how Tesla deals with traffic and pedestrians at the intersections.</p><p>Tesla analyst Gene Munster on rising FSD customers says, &#34;My guess is there are just under [two million Tesla vehicles] on the road that can run FSD, suggesting about 10% uptake. Hard to read too much into that uptake. I bet most are geeks who got FSD to play with the tech.&#34;</p><p>Tesla explains model behind how FSD makes a turn decision.</p><p>Musk tweets, &#34;the point of AI Day is to show the immense depth [and] breadth of Tesla in AI, compute hardware &amp; robotics.&#34; Prominent Tesla influencer Sawyer Merritt says the event shows &#34;people calling Tesla &#39;just an automaker&#39; have no damn clue.&#34; His main takeaway from the event is &#34;</p><p>Optimus is farther along than most expected and they are very serious about it. The progress [over ]the last [eight] months is incredible.&#34;</p><p>While Tesla engineers show off the technical details behind its self-driving software, have a sneak-peak at the company&#39;s Dojo supercomputer!</p><p>It&#39;s time to get Dojo supercomputer updates from Dojo Project lead <b>Ganesh Venkataramanan</b> and Tesla director <b>Peter Bannon.</b></p><p>Tesla is a hardcore tech company, Bannon says, as he gives some background on Dojo. No limits philosophy was the guiding point for Dojo, Venkataramanan says.</p><p>Dojo Principal System Engineer Bill Chang says vision for the supercomuter is to build a single unified accelerator, &#34;a very large one.&#34;</p><p>Musk tweets that &#34;naturally, there will be a catgirl version of our Optimus robot.&#34; He shares a photo of him standing alongside the bot prototype.</p><p>The coefficient of thermal expansion is important. So, Tesla worked with vendors to deliver power solutions. CTE was reduced by over 50%, and Dojo met performance three times over initial expansion, says Chang. He adds, solving density at every level is key to achieving performance.</p><p>Tesla Principal Engineer Rajiv Kurian shares images of Cybertruck on Mars generated by stable diffusion running on Dojo — He quips: looks like it still has a long way to go before matching the Tesla design team.</p><p>Musk closes the presentation, by outlining Tesla&#39;s plan for the humanoid. &#34;Our goal with Optimus is to have a robot that is maximally useful as quickly as possible.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Showed Humanoid Robot Optimus on Friday Night at AI Day 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Showed Humanoid Robot Optimus on Friday Night at AI Day 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-01 11:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla Inc.</b> AI Day 2022 is slated to get started “precisely” at 09:15 p.m. ET, according to Elon Musk.</p><p>Musk along with other executives, including Tesla Director of Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy would likely make presentations.</p><p>Notable updates expected out of the event are related to the Optimus Tesla bot, the full self-driving software, the Dojo supercomputer, Tesla’s neural network training supercomputer and possibly Robotaxis.</p><p>Musk is hoping to use the event to hire the best AI talent who could drive innovation in that arena.</p><p>Musk gets started with a reference to Optimus and reminds people that Tesla is a public company. He jestingly remarks even he is not immune to firing, especially if he goes crazy. Musk says AI, Autopilot, Dojo and a &#39;long&#39; question &amp; answers session on the agenda — folks welcome to ask existential or technical questions — whatever floats their boat.</p><p>Tesla bot is on stage — a real one, a sleek looking one! It’s waving to the crowd now. So, we do have a prototype!</p><p>Musk says the bot can do more than what it&#39;s doing on stage. A video showing its other functionalities is presented, where the bot is seen working at the Fremont factory, watering plants among other things. Musk says the humanoid can identify objects. A bot with Tesla-designed actuators — Musk says it would be ready to walk in a few weeks.</p><p>Optimus can move fingers. The goal is to make it useful, Musk says. It is &#34;extremely useful&#34; and made in volume, probably in volumes. So, could cost less, about $20,000, according to Tesla.</p><p>Musk appreciates the team for doing a wonderful job but says still a lot of improvements to be made. He is appealing to talent to join the company as it seeks to &#34;do the right thing.&#34;</p><p>Musk gives his vision for the economy — a future of abundance, with no poverty. A fundamental transformation that promises safety.</p><p>He repeats why Tesla remains is a public company, giving control to people. The public can influence Tesla’s policies and actions.</p><p>After the pitch to talent, another Tesla team member walks the audience through the development timeline of the Tesla bot.</p><p>On power consumption of bot, 100W sitting, 500W for brisk walking, and it weighs 73 kg. Degrees of freedom is at above 200.</p><p>Tesla shows Optimus with actuators. The company is working on optimizing costs, reducing wiring in extremities and centralizing power distribution.</p><p>The battery pack is at the torso of the bot — charing, power distribution all at one place. Leveraging the existing Tesla supply chain for it, the bot is going to do everything a human brain does. Support communication is wireless.</p><p>Malcolm Burgess, Manager, Vehicle Dynamics and Concept Structures at Tesla, now on stage showcases how Optimus is immune to injury in the wake of a falling. The bot is made with materials such as titanium that are not stiff.</p><p>Tesla has taken inspiration from biology for the bot’s movement. Most important things from a design perspective are energy and mass. Tesla has carried its experience from car to robots, Burgess says.</p><p>The bot having 28 actuators allows high-level activity like walking and climbing stairs. An actuator is able to lift a halftone, 9-foot piano, a video shows.</p><p>On hand design: Bot has five fingers. The real utility is in factories for lifting objects. Six actuators and 11 degrees of freedom and adaptive grasp and non-back drivable fingers for the bot.</p><p>We are moving from robot on wheels to robot on legs, say Tesla. Video showcases the locomotion of the robot.</p><p>Tesla Humanoid Robotics Engineer Felix Sygulla talks about walking and aspects of engineering challenges involved in this action.</p><p>Controls are very complex, he says. Measuring reality and adding corrections to the behavior of the robot is important.</p><p>That’s all on Optimus. Now, it is over to Tesla Director for Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy for FSD updates.</p><p>Tesla has gone from 2,000 cars running FSD to 160,000 customers in a year, Elluswamy says. About 75,000 neural network models run each year, the pace of innovation is progressing.</p><p>FSD Beta Software is &#34;quite capable&#34; of driving the car, he says, including stopping for traffic lights and stop signs, negotiating with objects at intersections and making turns and so on. Tesla showcases a video on how Tesla deals with traffic and pedestrians at the intersections.</p><p>Tesla analyst Gene Munster on rising FSD customers says, &#34;My guess is there are just under [two million Tesla vehicles] on the road that can run FSD, suggesting about 10% uptake. Hard to read too much into that uptake. I bet most are geeks who got FSD to play with the tech.&#34;</p><p>Tesla explains model behind how FSD makes a turn decision.</p><p>Musk tweets, &#34;the point of AI Day is to show the immense depth [and] breadth of Tesla in AI, compute hardware &amp; robotics.&#34; Prominent Tesla influencer Sawyer Merritt says the event shows &#34;people calling Tesla &#39;just an automaker&#39; have no damn clue.&#34; His main takeaway from the event is &#34;</p><p>Optimus is farther along than most expected and they are very serious about it. The progress [over ]the last [eight] months is incredible.&#34;</p><p>While Tesla engineers show off the technical details behind its self-driving software, have a sneak-peak at the company&#39;s Dojo supercomputer!</p><p>It&#39;s time to get Dojo supercomputer updates from Dojo Project lead <b>Ganesh Venkataramanan</b> and Tesla director <b>Peter Bannon.</b></p><p>Tesla is a hardcore tech company, Bannon says, as he gives some background on Dojo. No limits philosophy was the guiding point for Dojo, Venkataramanan says.</p><p>Dojo Principal System Engineer Bill Chang says vision for the supercomuter is to build a single unified accelerator, &#34;a very large one.&#34;</p><p>Musk tweets that &#34;naturally, there will be a catgirl version of our Optimus robot.&#34; He shares a photo of him standing alongside the bot prototype.</p><p>The coefficient of thermal expansion is important. So, Tesla worked with vendors to deliver power solutions. CTE was reduced by over 50%, and Dojo met performance three times over initial expansion, says Chang. He adds, solving density at every level is key to achieving performance.</p><p>Tesla Principal Engineer Rajiv Kurian shares images of Cybertruck on Mars generated by stable diffusion running on Dojo — He quips: looks like it still has a long way to go before matching the Tesla design team.</p><p>Musk closes the presentation, by outlining Tesla&#39;s plan for the humanoid. &#34;Our goal with Optimus is to have a robot that is maximally useful as quickly as possible.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101553620","content_text":"Tesla Inc. AI Day 2022 is slated to get started “precisely” at 09:15 p.m. ET, according to Elon Musk.Musk along with other executives, including Tesla Director of Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy would likely make presentations.Notable updates expected out of the event are related to the Optimus Tesla bot, the full self-driving software, the Dojo supercomputer, Tesla’s neural network training supercomputer and possibly Robotaxis.Musk is hoping to use the event to hire the best AI talent who could drive innovation in that arena.Musk gets started with a reference to Optimus and reminds people that Tesla is a public company. He jestingly remarks even he is not immune to firing, especially if he goes crazy. Musk says AI, Autopilot, Dojo and a 'long' question & answers session on the agenda — folks welcome to ask existential or technical questions — whatever floats their boat.Tesla bot is on stage — a real one, a sleek looking one! It’s waving to the crowd now. So, we do have a prototype!Musk says the bot can do more than what it's doing on stage. A video showing its other functionalities is presented, where the bot is seen working at the Fremont factory, watering plants among other things. Musk says the humanoid can identify objects. A bot with Tesla-designed actuators — Musk says it would be ready to walk in a few weeks.Optimus can move fingers. The goal is to make it useful, Musk says. It is \"extremely useful\" and made in volume, probably in volumes. So, could cost less, about $20,000, according to Tesla.Musk appreciates the team for doing a wonderful job but says still a lot of improvements to be made. He is appealing to talent to join the company as it seeks to \"do the right thing.\"Musk gives his vision for the economy — a future of abundance, with no poverty. A fundamental transformation that promises safety.He repeats why Tesla remains is a public company, giving control to people. The public can influence Tesla’s policies and actions.After the pitch to talent, another Tesla team member walks the audience through the development timeline of the Tesla bot.On power consumption of bot, 100W sitting, 500W for brisk walking, and it weighs 73 kg. Degrees of freedom is at above 200.Tesla shows Optimus with actuators. The company is working on optimizing costs, reducing wiring in extremities and centralizing power distribution.The battery pack is at the torso of the bot — charing, power distribution all at one place. Leveraging the existing Tesla supply chain for it, the bot is going to do everything a human brain does. Support communication is wireless.Malcolm Burgess, Manager, Vehicle Dynamics and Concept Structures at Tesla, now on stage showcases how Optimus is immune to injury in the wake of a falling. The bot is made with materials such as titanium that are not stiff.Tesla has taken inspiration from biology for the bot’s movement. Most important things from a design perspective are energy and mass. Tesla has carried its experience from car to robots, Burgess says.The bot having 28 actuators allows high-level activity like walking and climbing stairs. An actuator is able to lift a halftone, 9-foot piano, a video shows.On hand design: Bot has five fingers. The real utility is in factories for lifting objects. Six actuators and 11 degrees of freedom and adaptive grasp and non-back drivable fingers for the bot.We are moving from robot on wheels to robot on legs, say Tesla. Video showcases the locomotion of the robot.Tesla Humanoid Robotics Engineer Felix Sygulla talks about walking and aspects of engineering challenges involved in this action.Controls are very complex, he says. Measuring reality and adding corrections to the behavior of the robot is important.That’s all on Optimus. Now, it is over to Tesla Director for Autopilot Software Ashok Elluswamy for FSD updates.Tesla has gone from 2,000 cars running FSD to 160,000 customers in a year, Elluswamy says. About 75,000 neural network models run each year, the pace of innovation is progressing.FSD Beta Software is \"quite capable\" of driving the car, he says, including stopping for traffic lights and stop signs, negotiating with objects at intersections and making turns and so on. Tesla showcases a video on how Tesla deals with traffic and pedestrians at the intersections.Tesla analyst Gene Munster on rising FSD customers says, \"My guess is there are just under [two million Tesla vehicles] on the road that can run FSD, suggesting about 10% uptake. Hard to read too much into that uptake. I bet most are geeks who got FSD to play with the tech.\"Tesla explains model behind how FSD makes a turn decision.Musk tweets, \"the point of AI Day is to show the immense depth [and] breadth of Tesla in AI, compute hardware & robotics.\" Prominent Tesla influencer Sawyer Merritt says the event shows \"people calling Tesla 'just an automaker' have no damn clue.\" His main takeaway from the event is \"Optimus is farther along than most expected and they are very serious about it. The progress [over ]the last [eight] months is incredible.\"While Tesla engineers show off the technical details behind its self-driving software, have a sneak-peak at the company's Dojo supercomputer!It's time to get Dojo supercomputer updates from Dojo Project lead Ganesh Venkataramanan and Tesla director Peter Bannon.Tesla is a hardcore tech company, Bannon says, as he gives some background on Dojo. No limits philosophy was the guiding point for Dojo, Venkataramanan says.Dojo Principal System Engineer Bill Chang says vision for the supercomuter is to build a single unified accelerator, \"a very large one.\"Musk tweets that \"naturally, there will be a catgirl version of our Optimus robot.\" He shares a photo of him standing alongside the bot prototype.The coefficient of thermal expansion is important. So, Tesla worked with vendors to deliver power solutions. CTE was reduced by over 50%, and Dojo met performance three times over initial expansion, says Chang. He adds, solving density at every level is key to achieving performance.Tesla Principal Engineer Rajiv Kurian shares images of Cybertruck on Mars generated by stable diffusion running on Dojo — He quips: looks like it still has a long way to go before matching the Tesla design team.Musk closes the presentation, by outlining Tesla's plan for the humanoid. \"Our goal with Optimus is to have a robot that is maximally useful as quickly as possible.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}