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AMC GME
2024-01-25
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
AMC GME
2023-11-03
halo[愤怒] [愤怒] [愤怒] [愤怒] [愤怒]
AMC GME
2022-12-18
😯
@景辰财经:關於放開,本該、現在還可以做更好……
AMC GME
2022-12-14
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-12
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-11
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-10
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-09
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-08
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-06
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-03
hi
AMC GME
2022-12-03
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-12-01
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-30
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-28
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-26
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-25
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-21
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-19
$AMC院线(AMC)$
AMC GME
2022-11-17
$AMC院线(AMC)$
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$2757.51","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139332573","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月17日,创新奇智发布公告,公司拟全球发售4474.44万股股份,其中香港发售股份447.46万股,国际发售股份4026.98万股,另有15%超额配股权;1月17日至1月20日招股;发售价每股发售股","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>January 17th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02121\">Innovation and wisdom</a>It was announced that the company plans to sell 44.7444 million shares globally, including 4.4746 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 40.2698 million shares offered internationally, and a 15% over-allotment option; IPO from January 17th to January 20th; The offer price is HK $26.3-27.3 per offer share, with 100 shares per lot and an admission fee of approximately HK $2,757.5;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601995\">CICC</a>And China Renaissance Capital as joint sponsors; It is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 27 January 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e59021fcd65ae12ea42bed85365858ba\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Subscription ladder:</b></p><p>There are 100 shares per lot, and the admission fee is HK $2,757.51.</p><p>The threshold for Group B is 200,000 shares, and the funds required for subscription are approximately HK $5515,028.61.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f33de26f1f6649f119ca5c6b7ecbc6ee\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The company is a fast-growing enterprise AI solution provider in China. Based on its research capabilities in the field of deep learning, the company has developed proprietary computer vision and machine learning AI technologies to empower Chinese companies. By combining AI technology with insights into industry scenarios, the company provides full-stack AI products and solutions to reduce costs, increase efficiency and optimize decision-making for enterprises. In less than three years since the company was founded, the company has established its brand in China's enterprise AI solutions industry. According to Frost & Sullivan, in 2020, the company was the third largest provider of AI technology-driven solutions in China's enterprise AI solution market in terms of revenue, with 0.3% of more than 1,500 market participants.% market share. The company focuses on developing and providing AI products and solutions developed in the manufacturing and financial services industries in China.</p><p>The company has entered into a cornerstone investment agreement, pursuant to which the cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe for or procure their designated entities to subscribe for a total amount of approximately HK $202 million subject to certain conditions (assuming the offer price is HK $26.80, that is, the mid-point of the offer price range), the total number of offer shares to be subscribed by cornerstone investors is 7,552,300 shares. Cornerstone investors include SVF II Zeal and Laurion Capital Master Fund. The Vision Fund, established in Jersey as a Limited partnership, is an investment fund focusing on global technology industry investments. Its general partner is SVF II GP (Jersey) Limited (a company incorporated in Jersey and a wholly-owned subsidiary of SoftBank Group). SVF II Zeal is a special purpose company indirectly majority-owned by Vision Fund.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392cfff6d6a51a1e9c24586c74759b83\" tg-width=\"1163\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Assuming an offer price of HK $26.8 per share (the mid-point price of the offer price range), and assuming that the over-allotment option has not been exercised, the company expects to receive net proceeds of approximately HK $1,091.9 million from the global offering. Among them, approximately 45.0% of the net proceeds will be used to improve the company's research and development capabilities in the next four years; Approximately 25.0% will be used to enhance the company's commercialization capabilities in the next four years. The company plans to expand the company's internal sales team and strengthen cooperation with third-party system integrators and business partners (such as joint ventures and strategic alliances). The company will increase the penetration rate of regions, industries and industry verticals with strong demand for the company's AI solutions; Approximately 10.0% for potential strategic investments and acquisitions in the next five years. The company plans to acquire assets and businesses that will enhance the company's value proposition among the company's customers through equity investments or asset acquisitions, such as those that focus on differentiated proprietary insights in computer vision and deep learning technologies and those that can be compatible with the company's AI products. Business of complementary software or SaaS products; About 10.0% will be used to strengthen the company's internal systems and upgrade the company's information infrastructure in the next four years; And approximately 10.0% for working capital and general corporate purposes.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Innovation Qizhi will launch its IPO today, and the admission fee is about HK $2757.51</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInnovation Qizhi will launch its IPO today, and the admission fee is about HK $2757.51\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-17 08:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>January 17th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02121\">Innovation and wisdom</a>It was announced that the company plans to sell 44.7444 million shares globally, including 4.4746 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 40.2698 million shares offered internationally, and a 15% over-allotment option; IPO from January 17th to January 20th; The offer price is HK $26.3-27.3 per offer share, with 100 shares per lot and an admission fee of approximately HK $2,757.5;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601995\">CICC</a>And China Renaissance Capital as joint sponsors; It is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 27 January 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e59021fcd65ae12ea42bed85365858ba\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Subscription ladder:</b></p><p>There are 100 shares per lot, and the admission fee is HK $2,757.51.</p><p>The threshold for Group B is 200,000 shares, and the funds required for subscription are approximately HK $5515,028.61.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f33de26f1f6649f119ca5c6b7ecbc6ee\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The company is a fast-growing enterprise AI solution provider in China. Based on its research capabilities in the field of deep learning, the company has developed proprietary computer vision and machine learning AI technologies to empower Chinese companies. By combining AI technology with insights into industry scenarios, the company provides full-stack AI products and solutions to reduce costs, increase efficiency and optimize decision-making for enterprises. In less than three years since the company was founded, the company has established its brand in China's enterprise AI solutions industry. According to Frost & Sullivan, in 2020, the company was the third largest provider of AI technology-driven solutions in China's enterprise AI solution market in terms of revenue, with 0.3% of more than 1,500 market participants.% market share. The company focuses on developing and providing AI products and solutions developed in the manufacturing and financial services industries in China.</p><p>The company has entered into a cornerstone investment agreement, pursuant to which the cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe for or procure their designated entities to subscribe for a total amount of approximately HK $202 million subject to certain conditions (assuming the offer price is HK $26.80, that is, the mid-point of the offer price range), the total number of offer shares to be subscribed by cornerstone investors is 7,552,300 shares. Cornerstone investors include SVF II Zeal and Laurion Capital Master Fund. The Vision Fund, established in Jersey as a Limited partnership, is an investment fund focusing on global technology industry investments. Its general partner is SVF II GP (Jersey) Limited (a company incorporated in Jersey and a wholly-owned subsidiary of SoftBank Group). SVF II Zeal is a special purpose company indirectly majority-owned by Vision Fund.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392cfff6d6a51a1e9c24586c74759b83\" tg-width=\"1163\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Assuming an offer price of HK $26.8 per share (the mid-point price of the offer price range), and assuming that the over-allotment option has not been exercised, the company expects to receive net proceeds of approximately HK $1,091.9 million from the global offering. Among them, approximately 45.0% of the net proceeds will be used to improve the company's research and development capabilities in the next four years; Approximately 25.0% will be used to enhance the company's commercialization capabilities in the next four years. The company plans to expand the company's internal sales team and strengthen cooperation with third-party system integrators and business partners (such as joint ventures and strategic alliances). The company will increase the penetration rate of regions, industries and industry verticals with strong demand for the company's AI solutions; Approximately 10.0% for potential strategic investments and acquisitions in the next five years. The company plans to acquire assets and businesses that will enhance the company's value proposition among the company's customers through equity investments or asset acquisitions, such as those that focus on differentiated proprietary insights in computer vision and deep learning technologies and those that can be compatible with the company's AI products. Business of complementary software or SaaS products; About 10.0% will be used to strengthen the company's internal systems and upgrade the company's information infrastructure in the next four years; And approximately 10.0% for working capital and general corporate purposes.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"02121":"创新奇智"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139332573","content_text":"1月17日,创新奇智发布公告,公司拟全球发售4474.44万股股份,其中香港发售股份447.46万股,国际发售股份4026.98万股,另有15%超额配股权;1月17日至1月20日招股;发售价每股发售股份26.3-27.3港元,每手买卖单位100股,入场费约2757.5港元;瑞银、中金公司及华兴资本为联席保荐人;预期股份将于2022年1月27日于联交所主板挂牌上市。申购阶梯:每手100股,入场费2757.51港元。乙组门槛为20万股,申购所需资金约5515028.61港元。公司是中国快速发展的企业AI解决方案提供商。基于在深度学习领域的研究能力,公司开发了专有的计算机视觉和机器学习AI技术,赋能中国企业。透过将AI技术与对行业场景的洞察相结合,公司提供全栈式AI产品和解决方案,从而为企业实现降本增效及优化决策。在公司成立以来仅仅不到三年的时间里,公司已在中国企业AI解决方案行业建立公司的品牌。根据弗若斯特沙利文的资料,于2020年,以收入计,公司为中国企业AI解决方案市场上第三大AI技术驱动型解决方案提供商,在逾1500个市场参与者中有0.3%的市场份额。公司专注于开发并于中国提供制造业及金融服务业开发的AI产品及解决方案。公司已订立基石投资协议,据此,基石投资者已同意在若干条件的规限下认购或促使其指定实体认购总金额约2.02亿港元(假设发售价为26.80港元,即发售价范围中位数),基石投资者将予认购的发售股份总数为755.23万股。基石投资者包括SVF II Zeal,及Laurion Capital Master Fund。作为有限合伙企业于泽西成立的Vision Fund为一家专注于全球科技行业投资的投资基金,其普通合伙人为SVF II GP (Jersey) Limited(一家于泽西注册成立的公司及软银集团的全资附属公司)。SVF II Zeal为一家由Vision Fund间接拥有多数股权的特殊目的公司。假设发售价每股26.8港元(即发售价范围中位价),并假设超额配股权尚未行使,公司预计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约10.919亿港元。其中,所得款项净额约45.0%将用于提高公司于未来四年的研发能力;约25.0%用于提升公司于未来四年内的商业化能力。公司计划扩张公司的内部销售团队及加强与第三方系统集成商及业务合作伙伴的合作(例如合营企业及战略联盟)。公司将提升对公司AI解决方案需求旺盛的地区、行业及行业垂直领域的渗透率;约10.0%用于未来五年内的潜在策略投资及收购。公司计划透过股权投资或资产收购来收购将可在公司客户中提升公司价值主张的资产及业务,例如专注于在计算机视觉和深度学习技术方面具有差异化专有见解的以及可与公司AI产品案互补的软件或SaaS产品的业务;约10.0%用于在未来四年内加强公司的内部系统及升级公司的信息基础设施;及约10.0%用作营运资本及一般公司用途。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02121":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020144694,"gmtCreate":1652593089318,"gmtModify":1676535126720,"author":{"id":"3570063870556359","authorId":"3570063870556359","name":"AMC GME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10f03ebe86bdcadec98d1ceb9c4044af","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570063870556359","idStr":"3570063870556359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"6","listText":"6","text":"6","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020144694","repostId":"2235109948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235109948","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652592099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235109948?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-15 13:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Leading indicator: Americans search for \"economic recession\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235109948","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"“衰退”又上“谷歌热搜”,上一次是在疫情期间。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Risk awareness has risen sharply across the globe in recent weeks, not just in financial markets.</p><p><b>One indicator of this is Americans' perception of the keyword \"recession.\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Search</b>, this indicator uses the search situation in March 2020 as the benchmark value of 100, covering all relevant dimensions including search volume.</p><p>according to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">Deutsche Bank</a>Of data,<b>The indicator has surged significantly recently.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/621435e1a0968308c171d5fb3d02f110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid said in a recent note that the chart shows<b>For most of the 2010s, there were few recession fears</b>And pointed out that the post-global financial crisis cycle is very different from what the chart shows, that is, it took only eight years for the output and employment gap in the United States to be bridged, but the real economy is still in the long-term shadow of the global financial crisis.</p><p>Interestingly, the indicator also soared in August 2019, when the 2/10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, and the index quickly began to decline as the yield curve steepened again. Of course, without COVID-19 pandemic, we would never know what will happen in 2020, because the \"epidemic recession\" easily took over this index.</p><p>Reid said,<b>It would be interesting if the yield curve that has steepened over the past 6 weeks (although it has flattened over the past 48 hours) would mean that the search for \"recession\" starts to decline.</b>Still, at least for Dexing's strategists, the indicator's recession risk is now far beyond what the yield curve implies, so the indicator is likely to remain high for longer.</p><p>Deutsche Bank first officially put forward the forecast that \"the United States will fall into recession in 2023\" five weeks ago. Strangely, despite the current collapse of the U.S. consumer confidence index, few economists except Deutsche Bank still agree with this.</p><p>Regarding market trends, Reid believes,<b>As the Fed is forced into a sharp rate hike and its impact will lag</b>, a recession is more likely in 2023 than in 2022.<b>From a market perspective, that's still some way off. The market could still see a sharp rebound even before a sharp decline next year.</b></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Leading indicator: Americans search for \"economic recession\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLeading indicator: Americans search for \"economic recession\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-15 13:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Risk awareness has risen sharply across the globe in recent weeks, not just in financial markets.</p><p><b>One indicator of this is Americans' perception of the keyword \"recession.\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Search</b>, this indicator uses the search situation in March 2020 as the benchmark value of 100, covering all relevant dimensions including search volume.</p><p>according to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">Deutsche Bank</a>Of data,<b>The indicator has surged significantly recently.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/621435e1a0968308c171d5fb3d02f110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid said in a recent note that the chart shows<b>For most of the 2010s, there were few recession fears</b>And pointed out that the post-global financial crisis cycle is very different from what the chart shows, that is, it took only eight years for the output and employment gap in the United States to be bridged, but the real economy is still in the long-term shadow of the global financial crisis.</p><p>Interestingly, the indicator also soared in August 2019, when the 2/10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, and the index quickly began to decline as the yield curve steepened again. Of course, without COVID-19 pandemic, we would never know what will happen in 2020, because the \"epidemic recession\" easily took over this index.</p><p>Reid said,<b>It would be interesting if the yield curve that has steepened over the past 6 weeks (although it has flattened over the past 48 hours) would mean that the search for \"recession\" starts to decline.</b>Still, at least for Dexing's strategists, the indicator's recession risk is now far beyond what the yield curve implies, so the indicator is likely to remain high for longer.</p><p>Deutsche Bank first officially put forward the forecast that \"the United States will fall into recession in 2023\" five weeks ago. Strangely, despite the current collapse of the U.S. consumer confidence index, few economists except Deutsche Bank still agree with this.</p><p>Regarding market trends, Reid believes,<b>As the Fed is forced into a sharp rate hike and its impact will lag</b>, a recession is more likely in 2023 than in 2022.<b>From a market perspective, that's still some way off. The market could still see a sharp rebound even before a sharp decline next year.</b></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235109948","content_text":"最近几周,风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升,而不仅仅是在金融市场。显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的谷歌搜索,该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值,涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。根据德意志银行的数据,该指标近期大幅飙升。德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示,图表显示了在2010年代的大部分时间里,人们几乎没什么衰退担忧,并指出,后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同,即:美国的产出和就业缺口只花了8年时间就得以弥合,但是实体经济仍处于全球金融危机的长期阴影中。有趣的是,该指标在2019年8月也曾飙升,当时2/10年期美债收益率曲线短暂倒挂,随着收益率曲线重新变陡,该指数很快开始下降。当然,如果没有新冠疫情,我们永远不会知道2020年会发生什么,因为“疫情衰退”顺手就接棒了这一指数。Reid表示,如果过去6周趋于陡峭的收益率曲线(尽管过去48小时趋于平缓)将意味着对“衰退”的搜索开始下降,那将会很有趣。不过,至少对德行的策略师来说,该指标所显示的衰退风险目前已远远超出收益率曲线所暗示的,因此该指标可能会在更长时间内保持在高位。德银在5周前首次官方提出“美国2023年陷入衰退”的预测,奇怪的是,尽管如今美国消费者信心指数崩溃,但除德银之外,仍然很少有经济学家认同这一点。对于市场走势,Reid认为,随着美联储被迫大幅加息并且其影响会有滞后,与2022年相比,2023年更有可能出现衰退。从市场角度来看,这仍有一段距离。甚至在明年大幅下跌之前,市场仍可能出现大幅反弹。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921864249,"gmtCreate":1671028608882,"gmtModify":1676538478192,"author":{"id":"3570063870556359","authorId":"3570063870556359","name":"AMC 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