🚀 AI CNY Arms Race: The Moat Is Getting Deeper, Not Thinner Lunar New Year used to be blockbuster season for movies. Now it’s blockbuster season for AI models. In China, DeepSeek, ByteDance (Doubao), Alibaba, and Knowledge Atlas accelerated releases, with Seedance 2.0 pitched as a breakout contender. Overseas, the cadence is just as relentless: • OpenAI — GPT-5.3 • Anthropic — Claude Sonnet 4.7 • xAI — Grok 5 • Google — Gemini 3.5 • Meta — Avocado Capital intensity is rising. Iteration cycles are compressing. Benchmarks are leapfrogged within months. It feels chaotic. But here’s the deeper question: Does faster iteration weaken moats — or actually make them stronger? ⸻ 🔒 My Take: Speed Reinforces Incumbents 1️⃣ Compute Is Becoming the Toll Booth Frontier AI is no longer just about talent —

📊 13F Drop: Buffett’s Final Signal Before the Hand-Off? The latest 13F from Berkshire Hathaway isn’t just another filing — it may be the clearest message yet about how Warren Buffett wants the portfolio positioned heading into the next era. Portfolio value: $274B Top 10 holdings: 88% concentration Classic Buffett. But the nuance is where it gets interesting. ⸻ 🍏 Apple Trimmed Again — Not a Reversal, But a Rebalance Apple was reduced for the third consecutive quarter. Important distinction: This is trimming, not exiting. Apple remains Berkshire’s largest holding. But three straight reductions suggest: • Position sizing discipline after massive outperformance • Reduced single-stock concentration risk • Recognition that multiple expansion has likely peaked Buffett doesn’t sell great businesse

🚀 Figma Jumps 16% — This Isn’t Just an Earnings Beat, It’s an AI Platform Moment Figma just delivered what growth investors have been waiting for: proof that AI is not cannibalizing creative software — it’s accelerating it. Let’s break this down. ⸻ 🔥 The Numbers: Clear Acceleration • Q4 Revenue: $303.8M (+40% YoY) • Adj. EPS: $0.08 vs. $0.06 consensus • Q1 Guide: $315–$317M (above expectations) • FY2026 Guide: Up to $1.374B This wasn’t just a beat. This was acceleration + raised forward visibility — the combo the market pays up for. At nearly $1.4B forward revenue, Figma is transitioning from high-growth disruptor to scaled platform — and doing it profitably. ⸻ 🤖 The AI Question: Threat or Tailwind? Many feared AI tools would commoditize design. Instead, Figma is embedding AI inside the wo

Google Turns AI Answers Into Checkouts 🤖🛒 — Advertising Just Leveled Up Google is embedding shopping directly inside AI results across Search and Gemini. Users ask. AI answers. Products appear. You buy — without leaving. If executed well, this could be one of the most important monetization upgrades in years. Here’s why 👇 ⸻ 🧠 From “search engine” → to “decision engine” Traditional ads depend on keywords. AI understands intent. That difference is enormous. Instead of: “running shoes” AI can interpret: best shoes for flat feet, marathon training, under $150, available this week. That’s not traffic. That’s a buyer. ⸻ 💰 Why advertisers pay up for this Conversion probability rises. When friction drops and recommendations feel personalized, marketing budgets shift toward whoever closes the sale.

$Apple(AAPL)$   Apple Tumbles 🍎📉 — Breakdown or Classic Overreaction? Apple just suffered a sharp selloff after: ⏳ reports its AI-powered Siri upgrade may be delayed 📨 a letter from the Federal Trade Commission to Tim Cook about Apple News practices Billions wiped in hours. So the real question: 👉 start of a deeper slide? 👉 or another panic that long-term buyers love? Let’s break both sides down 👇 ⸻ 📉 The Bear Argument (why pain could continue) Apple trades at a premium because investors expect near-perfect execution. Now cracks appear: • AI timing uncertainty • louder regulatory attention • mega-caps crowded in portfolios When expectations are high, even small doubts can hit hard. Funds reduce risk first. They don’t wait for clarity. I

AI Fear Crushes Property Stocks 🏢🤖 — Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight? CBRE and JLL just got hammered — down more than 12% in a session. Why? Because the market suddenly believes AI can: ✂️ automate valuations ✂️ summarize leases ✂️ compress due diligence timelines ✂️ reduce the need for armies of analysts And if fewer white-collar workers are needed… ➡️ less office demand ➡️ lower transactions ➡️ weaker commissions Simple narrative. Sounds scary. Very tradable headline. But is it actually right? Let’s slow it down 🧵👇 ⸻ 🧠 The leap investors are making AI improves productivity → fewer people → less space → property values fall → brokers suffer. Clean. Logical. Also possibly too linear. History rarely moves in straight lines. ⸻ 🏢 Real estate deals are not spreadsheets Buying or leasing majo

Netflix – Panic or Opportunity? 🎬📉 Netflix just slid again and is hovering around the mid-$70s. Everyone’s asking the same thing: 👉 Wait for $60? 👉 Or is this where smart money quietly loads? Here’s the take many are missing 👇 ⸻ 😨 Why the market is scared There’s drama around the potential transaction with Warner Bros. Discovery. Add activist pressure from Ancora Capital and suddenly traders see uncertainty, headlines, delays. Short term = institutions hate not knowing. So they sell first. Ask questions later. ⸻ 🧠 But step back from the noise… This is still the king of global streaming 👑 ✔ Massive subscriber base ✔ Expanding advertising engine ✔ Proven ability to raise prices ✔ Content machine competitors struggle to match ✔ Consistent profitability (rare in media) Nothing about today’s re

🔥 #Market Crash! $830B Wiped Out — Panic or Opportunity? 🔥 The software selloff just turned brutal. The S&P 500 Software & Services Index has now fallen six straight sessions, wiping out ~$830B in market cap since Jan 28 and plunging 26% from its October peak. The trigger? A perfect storm of AI-driven disruption fears, stretched valuations, and fast-money exits. After Anthropic unveiled new automation tools targeting legal workflows, investors didn’t debate — they hit sell. A Goldman-tracked software index sank 6% in a single day, while the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.6%, erasing another $285B across software, fintech, and asset managers. So… 👉 Is this panic selling? 👉 Will software keep falling? 👉 Is this finally a buy-the-dip moment — or a value trap? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 💥 Why the Sell

AMD Slides 17% — 2018 Redux or Buy-the-Dip Setup? AMD just suffered its worst one-day drop since 2018, plunging 17% intraday despite delivering an earnings beat. Shares gapped down over 11% at the open, erasing most of the gains built earlier this year. So what actually broke? Not earnings. Not demand. But expectations. The market wasn’t disappointed by what AMD reported — it was disappointed by what AMD didn’t promise. ⸻ What Triggered the Sell-Off? AMD’s quarter was objectively solid: • Revenue and EPS beat consensus • Data-center revenue continued growing strongly • Client and embedded segments showed resilience Yet the stock collapsed because forward guidance failed to validate the most aggressive AI narratives priced into the stock. Key pressure points: • AI revenue lacked a near-term

🐯 Citi Lifts SanDisk to $750 — Why the AI Storage Trade Is Still Early 🚀💾 The market is starting to realize something important: AI is not just a compute story — it’s a storage supercycle. On Monday, Citigroup raised SanDisk’s target price from $490 to $750, highlighting: • +64% QoQ data-center revenue growth • Margin resilience despite past NAND cyclicality • Accelerating hyperscaler demand tied directly to AI workloads The result: • SanDisk +15.4% • Micron +5.5% • Western Digital +6.1% This move isn’t the end of the trade — it’s the recognition phase. ⸻ 1️⃣ AI Is Creating a Structural (Not Cyclical) Storage Shift 🤖📈 Every AI model requires: • Massive training datasets • Continuous high-speed inference access • Frequent data refresh and replacement This changes storage economics: • Higher

🧠 After Alphabet Hits $4T — Can Earnings Defend the AI Re-Rating? Alphabet has officially crossed the $4 trillion market cap, cementing its place as the world’s #2 most valuable company after Nvidia. This move wasn’t driven by ads alone — it was powered by a renewed belief that Alphabet is no longer “late” to AI, but quietly building one of the deepest AI stacks in the market 🤖🔥 With earnings on Feb 4, expectations are elevated — and so is execution risk. ⸻ 📊 What Wall Street Is Pricing In Consensus expectations • EPS: $2.64 (+23% YoY) • Revenue: $111.3B (+16% YoY) • Key focus: Google Cloud growth + AI monetization signals At $4T, Alphabet is no longer trading on potential. It’s trading on proof. ⸻ 1️⃣ Google Cloud: Is AI Finally Creating an Inflection? ☁️🤖 Google Cloud is the clearest mon

🧠 ASML Surges on AI Orders Is a Multi-Year AI Capex Supercycle Now Locked In? ASML just delivered one of the cleanest “cycle confirmation” quarters the semiconductor industry has seen in years — and the market noticed. Q4 net sales hit a record €9.7B, orders exploded to €13.2B (nearly 2× consensus), and EUV orders alone reached €7.4B, lifting backlog to €38.8B. Two High-NA EUV systems were already recognized in revenue — a milestone that quietly signals where the next decade of chipmaking is headed. Shares surged up to +10% after hours 📈 — not on hype, but on visibility. So the real questions now: • Is ASML entering a multi-year AI capex supercycle? • Or is this the point where investors should pause, not chase? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 🚀 Why This Quarter Matters More Than the Headline Beat

🎬 Netflix Slumps on Weak Guidance Structural Slowdown… or a High-Quality Dip Opportunity? Netflix just reminded the market of a hard truth: great businesses can still disappoint when expectations get too high. Despite posting record ~325M paid subscribers, solid revenue growth, and accelerating advertising traction, NFLX dropped ~4% post-earnings after management guided to moderating growth into early 2026. The numbers weren’t bad — the narrative was. So the real question isn’t what happened — it’s what happens next 👇 ⸻ 📉 Why the Market Sold First (and Asked Questions Later) Netflix didn’t miss. It underwhelmed — and at this valuation, that’s enough. ⚠️ 1️⃣ Guidance Was the Trigger, Not the Results Management signaled: • Slower revenue growth into early 2026 • Rising film & TV producti

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$   📊 The Setup: Momentum Meets a High Bar Bullish backdrop • SoFi rallied 60%+ in 2025 despite market volatility, driven by record member growth and expanding fee-based revenue.  • Q3 results delivered 38% revenue growth, strong profitability, and solid user engagement, with 12.6M members and 18.6M products — evidence of cross-sell and ecosystem traction.  • Fee-based revenue is scaling, now a meaningful portion of total sales and helping offset interest income cyclicality.  Key consensus expectations • EPS ~ $0.12 on ~$977M revenue (Wall Street consensus), implying a growth continuation bias.  • Estimates reflect ~33% YoY revenue growth, a robust growth rate for a scaled fintech.  ⸻ 📈 Bull Case: Why $

🇸🇬 SINGAPORE STOCKS AT A 16-YEAR HIGH — CAN SGX STILL OUTPERFORM IN 2026? After a blockbuster +22.7% rally in 2025, Singapore equities enter 2026 at levels not seen in 16 years 📈 That’s an impressive run — but it also raises the obvious question: Is SGX late-cycle… or just getting started? ⸻ 🌬️ The Tailwinds Are Still Blowing Despite the strong base, the macro setup remains unusually supportive. 1️⃣ Rates Are No Longer a Headwind Interest rates have eased to around 1.20%, the lowest in 3.5 years 💸 That matters more for Singapore than many realise. Lower rates: • Support REIT distributions 🏢 • Reduce financing costs for corporates • Improve equity relative attractiveness vs fixed income In a yield-hungry market, Singapore’s dividend profile suddenly looks compelling again. ⸻ 2️⃣ The S$5B EQ

$Apple(AAPL)$   🍎 APPLE SLIDES FOR 8 STRAIGHT WEEKS — CAPITULATION OR VALUE TRAP? Apple has now fallen eight consecutive weeks, its longest losing streak since May 2022 📉 Fund flows have quietly turned negative, making AAPL one of the least-loved names within the Mag 7 since mid-last year — a rare position for the market’s former safety blanket. The big question now: Is this finally a capitulation low… or just the market repricing Apple’s AI gap? ⸻ 🔄 Why Apple Is Lagging While Big Tech Rallies While Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta ride the AI capex wave 🚀, Apple is stuck in an uncomfortable middle ground: 1️⃣ AI Without the Hype (Yet) • Apple’s AI strategy remains opaque • Focus is on on-device AI, privacy-first architecture • Powerful, yes

🥇 GOLD BREAKS $5,000 — EUPHORIA, OR A MONETARY RESET IN REAL TIME? Gold just did the unthinkable — $5,000/oz is no longer a forecast, it’s a print. And unlike past spikes driven by panic alone, this rally feels… different. This isn’t about one war, one election, or one rate cut. This is about confidence — and the quiet loss of it. ⸻ 🌍 The Real Driver: A Global “Trust Deficit” Gold is often labelled a fear trade, but that’s too simplistic. What we’re seeing now is a trust trade. • Trust in sovereign bonds → eroding • Trust in fiat currencies → weakening • Trust in policymakers → fragile Sovereign bond markets are selling off despite slowing growth, a red flag that usually precedes regime shifts. At the same time, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index just fell 1.6% in a week, its biggest drop sin

🐯 Trip.com Crashes on Regulatory Probe: Real Risk — or a Classic China Fear Flush? ✈️📉 Trip.com Group plunged ~17% in a single session, erasing weeks of gains after China’s market regulator launched a formal investigation. The timing couldn’t be worse — travel demand was finally stabilising, sentiment was improving, and investors were rotating back into China consumption plays. So why such a violent reaction? Because in China tech, regulation is never just regulation — it’s memory. ⸻ 🧠 Why the Market Panicked (Psychology Matters) This sell-off wasn’t about numbers. It was about PTSD. Investors still remember: • 2021 tech crackdowns • Sudden rule changes • Profitable platforms becoming “policy problems” overnight So when the word “formal investigation” appears, markets don’t wait for detail

🐯 Singapore Home Sales Hit 4-Year High: Are S-REITs the Smart Trade? 🏙️📈 Singapore’s private housing market just sent a strong signal. In 2025, total new private home sales (ex-ECs) hit 10,821 units, up +67.3% YoY — the highest since 2021. That’s not a marginal rebound. That’s a cycle revival. For equity investors, this matters — not because developers are suddenly cheap, but because S-REITs offer a cleaner, more liquid way to express views on: • Property fundamentals • Interest-rate expectations • Cash-flow re-rating The question now: Is this strength durable — and can S-REITs push higher from here? ⸻ 🧠 Why Housing Strength Matters for REITs Residential sales don’t flow directly into REIT earnings, but they anchor confidence across the property ecosystem: • Signals household balance-sheet

🐯 Trump Threatens New Tariffs: Will the Sell-Off Last? When Does TACO? 🌮📉 Trump is back to doing what markets know best: weaponizing uncertainty. Via Truth Social, Trump announced a 10% tariff on eight European countries starting Feb 1, with a threat to escalate to 25% by June 1 if a so-called “Greenland deal” isn’t reached. Markets reacted instantly — and predictably. Overnight: • 🟡 Gold & Silver hit fresh weekly highs • 📈 US 10-year yields moved higher • 📉 Equities sold off on risk-off positioning The key question now isn’t what Trump said — It’s how long markets take him seriously. ⸻ 🌪️ This Is Classic Trump Trade Volatility Trump tariffs historically follow a pattern: 1. Shock headline 2. Fast risk-off repricing 3. Negotiation signals 4. Walk-back / delay / exemption 5. Markets rec