Andrisgho personal page - To The Moon

Andrisgho

Andrisgho

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2022-06-13

🙃 Wee

2022-01-05

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade

2021-07-09

$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$ lets all wait it out

2021-07-09

Judt wait and be patient

@Heelaary:$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️

2021-06-29

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$let's hit $1 trillion valuation

2021-06-21

$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$weeettt

2021-06-09

$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$ is it safe to go in now?

2021-06-09

#OEG is it safe to go in now?

2021-06-09

$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$ patience is virtue

2021-06-05

LET'S GOOOOOOOO

Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'

2021-06-04

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$let's all go in more

2021-06-04

Let's all get more money

2021-06-03

Please help to like and comment

Tesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors

2021-06-03

77% #amc

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-02

$SEA LTD(SE)$ lets all ride the wave

2021-06-02

#pdd anyone?

2021-06-02

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-29

Let's hold and wait it out

Tesla shares dip on recall rumors

2021-05-29

Not that good but hodl

@MillionareManifesting:$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Holding strong what about you?

2021-05-29

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$please go back up

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Wee","listText":"🙃 Wee","text":"🙃 Wee","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5647e2b415ff02071946e962ae3a26b","width":"1080","height":"1450"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052107170","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9001710829,"gmtCreate":1641316767430,"gmtModify":1676533597243,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001710829","repostId":"2200406435","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2200406435","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1641310325,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2200406435?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-04 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200406435","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Strong free cash flow and high growth rates are a winning combo.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard &#34;value&#34; and found companies that were incredibly cheap, but often seriously broken, that unfortunately deserved their discounted valuations.</p><p>By simply accepting that most premium stocks trade at expensive-looking valuations, I entered the land of long-term investing and ultimately multibagger potential.</p><p>Today we will study <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> (NASDAQ:ZM), <b>Pinterest</b> (NYSE:PINS), and <b>DocuSign</b> (NASDAQ:DOCU), three stocks that fit this expensive-looking mold, yet could be wildly undervalued when looking out over the next decade, thanks to their high revenue growth and strong free cash flow (FCF) generation.</p><h2>High growth at intriguing valuations</h2><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><th></th><th>Market Cap</th><th>Levered FCF</th><th>P/FCF Ratio</th><th>Revenue Growth YOY</th></tr><tr><td>Zoom Video</td><td>$55 billion</td><td>$1.51 billion</td><td>36</td><td>100%</td></tr><tr><td>Pinterest</td><td>$24 billion</td><td>$470 million</td><td>51</td><td>76%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign</td><td>$29 billion</td><td>$753 million</td><td>39</td><td>51%</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Yahoo! Finance and CMLViz statistics. Note that Levered FCF and Revenue Growth are using trailing 12-month figures. YOY = year over year. FCF = free cash flow. P/FCF = price-to-FCF.</p><p>While highly unscientific, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of my favorite ways to measure a stock&#39;s growth potential versus its current price is to compare year-over-year revenue growth with its price-to-FCF ratio. As shown in the table above, Zoom, Pinterest, and DocuSign all have a growth rate higher than their FCF multiples.</p><p>Whenever a stock&#39;s growth rate is higher than its FCF multiple, it catches my attention, highlighting the beautiful combination of solid sales growth with reasonably priced cash generation. With that in mind, let&#39;s look at my three recommendations.</p><h2>1. Zoom Video Communications</h2><p>First up today is the fastest growing and cheapest valuation of the trio, Zoom Video Communications. Because its share price has dropped nearly 50% over the last six months amid decelerating sales growth, Zoom looks attractively valued compared to the $1.5 billion in free cash flow it created over the previous 12 months.</p><p>While its 100% revenue growth over the last 12 months will probably not repeat in 2022, its third-quarter growth of 35% year over year is more than enough to make its freshly discounted valuation appealing. Furthermore, with 14 consecutive quarters with a dollar-based net expansion (DBNE) rate above 130%, Zoom has demonstrated that its land-and-expand business model is firing on all cylinders.</p><p>DBNE is a great way to measure increased product use by existing customers, despite not accounting for customer churn. For Zoom, this 130% rate is highly promising as it shows that it is getting its foot in the door with its famous Meetings product and upselling customers on newer products, such as Zoom Rooms and Zoom Phone. Should the company&#39;s DBNE continue at these levels, it will signal that its business model is still succeeding.</p><p>Furthermore, with international sales only accounting for 33% of Zoom&#39;s total revenue, its global ambitions are still in their infancy. This international growth runway, paired with the company&#39;s strong FCF and recently discounted share price, makes Zoom a great core holding for the next decade.</p><h2>2. Pinterest</h2><p>Next up, we have Pinterest with its inspiration-creating platform and newly developed FCF generation. Unfortunately, despite the promise of these positive cash flows, Pinterest&#39;s stock has dropped over 50% in the last six months, due to a rumored abandoned acquisition by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> and a decline in monthly active users (MAUs).</p><p>But two key things are happening behind the scenes for Pinterest, making today&#39;s valuation very tempting.</p><p>First, the company&#39;s fledgling shopping features are starting to take off, with product searches up over 100% for the third quarter, year over year. Better yet, members of the all-important Generation Z demographic (ages 9 to 24) increased their product searches on the shop tab by over 200% for the third quarter.</p><p>Second, despite having four times the number of international MAUs than in the U.S., the international segment only accounts for 21% of Pinterest&#39;s overall revenue. This is due to the massive gap in average revenue per user (ARPU) between U.S. and international users, which is $5.55 and $0.38, respectively.</p><p>This gap is essential for investors to watch as Pinterest launched its shopping features in seven key international markets during the third quarter: Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Switzerland, Brazil, and Mexico. As these markets mature, along with Pinterest&#39;s shopping features in general, investors should see this ARPU gap between the U.S. and international narrow, bringing strong monetization to the company&#39;s global footprint.</p><h2>3. DocuSign</h2><p>Famous for its e-signature product, DocuSign is on a mission to prove that it is more than just a one-trick pony. Moving beyond its e-signature dominance, the company has its eyes set on a broader target market that it hopes to serve through its Agreement Cloud, which consists of four segments: prepare, sign, act, and manage.</p><p>With its Agreement Cloud, DocuSign intends to parlay its leadership in e-signatures into becoming the leader in automated end-to-end agreement processes. While the company does not break out numbers for each segment of the Agreement Cloud, we can get a good idea of its ongoing success through DocuSign&#39;s 121% dollar-based net retention (DBNR) rate.</p><p>DBNR shows the rate at which existing customers are expanding their use of the company&#39;s products. Since DBNR includes customer churn, a figure above 120% is exceptional. So DocuSign&#39;s track record of being above this mark for six consecutive quarters is very impressive. It highlights the potential that might be building within the company&#39;s broader Agreement Cloud ambitions. And that makes DocuSign&#39;s 30% share-price drop in the last month an appealing entry point for new investors.</p><p>DocuSign already has a 17% FCF margin, which makes it look like another discounted, but strong, cash-generating stock to buy and hold for the next decade.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-04 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard \"value\"...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","ZM":"Zoom","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","FCF":"第一联邦金融","DOCU":"Docusign","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4508":"社交媒体"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200406435","content_text":"One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard \"value\" and found companies that were incredibly cheap, but often seriously broken, that unfortunately deserved their discounted valuations.By simply accepting that most premium stocks trade at expensive-looking valuations, I entered the land of long-term investing and ultimately multibagger potential.Today we will study Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), and DocuSign (NASDAQ:DOCU), three stocks that fit this expensive-looking mold, yet could be wildly undervalued when looking out over the next decade, thanks to their high revenue growth and strong free cash flow (FCF) generation.High growth at intriguing valuationsMarket CapLevered FCFP/FCF RatioRevenue Growth YOYZoom Video$55 billion$1.51 billion36100%Pinterest$24 billion$470 million5176%DocuSign$29 billion$753 million3951%Data source: Yahoo! Finance and CMLViz statistics. Note that Levered FCF and Revenue Growth are using trailing 12-month figures. YOY = year over year. FCF = free cash flow. P/FCF = price-to-FCF.While highly unscientific, one of my favorite ways to measure a stock's growth potential versus its current price is to compare year-over-year revenue growth with its price-to-FCF ratio. As shown in the table above, Zoom, Pinterest, and DocuSign all have a growth rate higher than their FCF multiples.Whenever a stock's growth rate is higher than its FCF multiple, it catches my attention, highlighting the beautiful combination of solid sales growth with reasonably priced cash generation. With that in mind, let's look at my three recommendations.1. Zoom Video CommunicationsFirst up today is the fastest growing and cheapest valuation of the trio, Zoom Video Communications. Because its share price has dropped nearly 50% over the last six months amid decelerating sales growth, Zoom looks attractively valued compared to the $1.5 billion in free cash flow it created over the previous 12 months.While its 100% revenue growth over the last 12 months will probably not repeat in 2022, its third-quarter growth of 35% year over year is more than enough to make its freshly discounted valuation appealing. Furthermore, with 14 consecutive quarters with a dollar-based net expansion (DBNE) rate above 130%, Zoom has demonstrated that its land-and-expand business model is firing on all cylinders.DBNE is a great way to measure increased product use by existing customers, despite not accounting for customer churn. For Zoom, this 130% rate is highly promising as it shows that it is getting its foot in the door with its famous Meetings product and upselling customers on newer products, such as Zoom Rooms and Zoom Phone. Should the company's DBNE continue at these levels, it will signal that its business model is still succeeding.Furthermore, with international sales only accounting for 33% of Zoom's total revenue, its global ambitions are still in their infancy. This international growth runway, paired with the company's strong FCF and recently discounted share price, makes Zoom a great core holding for the next decade.2. PinterestNext up, we have Pinterest with its inspiration-creating platform and newly developed FCF generation. Unfortunately, despite the promise of these positive cash flows, Pinterest's stock has dropped over 50% in the last six months, due to a rumored abandoned acquisition by PayPal and a decline in monthly active users (MAUs).But two key things are happening behind the scenes for Pinterest, making today's valuation very tempting.First, the company's fledgling shopping features are starting to take off, with product searches up over 100% for the third quarter, year over year. Better yet, members of the all-important Generation Z demographic (ages 9 to 24) increased their product searches on the shop tab by over 200% for the third quarter.Second, despite having four times the number of international MAUs than in the U.S., the international segment only accounts for 21% of Pinterest's overall revenue. This is due to the massive gap in average revenue per user (ARPU) between U.S. and international users, which is $5.55 and $0.38, respectively.This gap is essential for investors to watch as Pinterest launched its shopping features in seven key international markets during the third quarter: Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Switzerland, Brazil, and Mexico. As these markets mature, along with Pinterest's shopping features in general, investors should see this ARPU gap between the U.S. and international narrow, bringing strong monetization to the company's global footprint.3. DocuSignFamous for its e-signature product, DocuSign is on a mission to prove that it is more than just a one-trick pony. Moving beyond its e-signature dominance, the company has its eyes set on a broader target market that it hopes to serve through its Agreement Cloud, which consists of four segments: prepare, sign, act, and manage.With its Agreement Cloud, DocuSign intends to parlay its leadership in e-signatures into becoming the leader in automated end-to-end agreement processes. While the company does not break out numbers for each segment of the Agreement Cloud, we can get a good idea of its ongoing success through DocuSign's 121% dollar-based net retention (DBNR) rate.DBNR shows the rate at which existing customers are expanding their use of the company's products. Since DBNR includes customer churn, a figure above 120% is exceptional. So DocuSign's track record of being above this mark for six consecutive quarters is very impressive. It highlights the potential that might be building within the company's broader Agreement Cloud ambitions. And that makes DocuSign's 30% share-price drop in the last month an appealing entry point for new investors.DocuSign already has a 17% FCF margin, which makes it look like another discounted, but strong, cash-generating stock to buy and hold for the next decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143325649,"gmtCreate":1625762886081,"gmtModify":1703748168985,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>&nbsp;lets all wait it out&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>&nbsp;lets all wait it out&nbsp;","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$ lets all wait it out","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25b3215a4557badf429db6314936f830","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143325649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143322220,"gmtCreate":1625762801860,"gmtModify":1703748168171,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Judt wait and be patient&nbsp;","listText":"Judt wait and be patient&nbsp;","text":"Judt wait and be patient","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143322220","repostId":"143007261","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":143007261,"gmtCreate":1625751691053,"gmtModify":1703747804383,"author":{"id":"3576913663838291","authorId":"3576913663838291","name":"Heelaary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c9814831d549a9d15e32a2fa9a89c9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576913663838291","authorIdStr":"3576913663838291"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b86c5175c4cb4cf3b866ce4ed08fde03","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143007261","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150684796,"gmtCreate":1624896475115,"gmtModify":1703847499980,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>let's hit $1 trillion valuation","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>let's hit $1 trillion valuation","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$let's hit $1 trillion valuation","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7b936fa2b76a6cb0ba41855012f8ce","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150684796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167659794,"gmtCreate":1624266833818,"gmtModify":1703831957696,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>weeettt","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>weeettt","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$weeettt","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f11a30fa86d01a0e092e55d26f54085","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167659794","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189851238,"gmtCreate":1623252253524,"gmtModify":1704199494599,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OEG\">$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$</a>&nbsp;is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OEG\">$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$</a>&nbsp;is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","text":"$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$ is it safe to go in now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189851238","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569281512419792","authorId":"3569281512419792","name":"42a4eeda","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569281512419792","authorIdStr":"3569281512419792"},"content":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility.","text":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility.","html":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189851985,"gmtCreate":1623252227947,"gmtModify":1704199493940,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","listText":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","text":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6ede043221e90ebcfdc1976acc24303","width":"1080","height":"2650"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189851985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189826472,"gmtCreate":1623251933396,"gmtModify":1704199485225,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORMP\">$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$</a>&nbsp; patience is virtue&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORMP\">$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$</a>&nbsp; patience is virtue&nbsp;","text":"$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$ patience is virtue","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c51afeacad05d722144e501685906207","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189826472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112417270,"gmtCreate":1622901838590,"gmtModify":1704193138395,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","listText":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","text":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112417270","repostId":"1148130971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148130971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622866524,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148130971?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148130971","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fas","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>\n <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>\n <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p>\n<p>Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p>\n<p><b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p>\n<p>In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p>\n<p>To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p>\n<p>NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p><b>Global Expansion</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p>\n<p>With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p>\n<p><b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p>\n<p>Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p>\n<p><b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p>\n<p>We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p>\n<p>Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p>\n<p><b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p>\n<p>Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p>\n<p>Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 12:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148130971","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.\nWe believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.\n\nPhoto by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nDespite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).\nFounded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.\nA Trailblazer in Innovative Technology\nSource:ir.nio.com\nNIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.\nIn addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.\nTo further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.\nNIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).\nSource: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nGlobal Expansion\nSource: ir.nio.com\nAnother catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.\nWith a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.\nNIO’s Historical Performance\nJust a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.\nSource: Author, with data from ir.nio.com\nNIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.\nNIO vs. LI and XPEV\nSource: Finviz\nWe have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.\nConsidering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.\nBusiness Risks and Challenges\nAs mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.\nAnother imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.\nCompetition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.\nConclusion\nNIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116034460,"gmtCreate":1622765314450,"gmtModify":1704190647069,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's all go in more&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's all go in more&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$let's all go in more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19c614e9049a7bdc196f15f1a0347572","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116034460","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116032499,"gmtCreate":1622765254111,"gmtModify":1704190643963,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's all get more money&nbsp;","listText":"Let's all get more money&nbsp;","text":"Let's all get more money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116032499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118244457,"gmtCreate":1622735536679,"gmtModify":1704190202020,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Please help to like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118244457","repostId":"1152573638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152573638","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622732138,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152573638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 22:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152573638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very hi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>As long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.</li>\n <li>Shareholders assuming Tesla's Price/Book multiple deflates from around 25 to 5 over the next 10 years need book value per share to grow 5x just to break even.</li>\n <li>So far, Tesla's growth in book value is mostly from \"Additional Paid-In Capital\" (issuing new shares at high prices), rather than retained earnings.</li>\n <li>Long-term earnings estimates imply book value per share sums up to 150-250 by the end of 2030, meaning a breakeven Price/Book of 2.5-4x, which is well above most mature autos.</li>\n <li>I present a 1x2 put spread as an attractive trade both for long investors concerned about overvaluation, as well as those seeking to bet on a Price/Book multiple contraction.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c329e23b2762c47b11d11d95ec584959\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Jag_cz/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Book value per share is likely not the first metric that comes to mind when you think of a \"growth company of the future\" like Tesla (TSLA), but in this article, I will explain why book value per share is the most important bottom line number long-term investors in this company should watch. As long as zero dividends are expected, a TSLA shareholder's total return will, by definition, be defined by the growth of Tesla's book value per share crossed against the change in the Price/Book (P/B) multiple of those shares. After looking at some numbers underlying TSLA's book value per share, and how much it will have to grow for current TSLA shareholders to make money, I conclude with three actionable option strategies based on expectations for how these numbers may change in the medium term. This article also can be seen as a follow up to the&nbsp;2041 breakeven projection of Tesla I published last year.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Share Price Rise Follows Book Value</b></p>\n<p>The first chart here shows how the rise in Tesla's share price has moved remarkably in line with TSLA's growth in book value per share. TSLA has so far never paid a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1f994d62f1ec67c3b95ae15c3791fa8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"458\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Multiple Expansion and Contraction</b></p>\n<p>The above chart, which is on a log scale, is far smoother than that of the (P/B) ratio between these two numbers. The multiple seemed to have stabilized between 2017 and late 2019, but its rise from below 7 in mid-2019 to over 40 in late 2020 and back to around 26 today explains much of TSLA's recent surge and volatility. Another way of thinking about it: TSLA's book value per share is up roughly 4-fold in the past two years, and its P/B is up about 4-fold over the past two years, which together explain why TSLA's shares are up about 16-fold over the past two years. The big question for investors at these levels is: What future combination of book value growth and P/B expansion or contraction can be expected to produce a satisfactory rate of return?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8eb71b806f59aaabd5d09a6eb4b1606\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Understanding Tesla's Book Value Growth</b></p>\n<p>Although the title of my Marketplace service<i>Long Run Income</i>implies a preference for dividends, we believe high-quality book value growth is the best kind of \"dividend alternative\" for companies who can reinvest cash profits internally at far higher rates of return than I can externally. I would challenge any investor to explain why else to buy a low-dividend or no-dividend stock except for the expectation of higher returns from book value growth. For that reason, I have come to focus my analysis of growth companies on how well they seem able to grow book value per share.</p>\n<p>I break down Tesla's book value trajectory into two main parts: Retained Earnings, and Additional Paid In Capital. Although Tesla seems to have \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability, having reported&nbsp;7 consecutive quarters of positive earnings since September 2019, accumulated profits still fall short of accumulated losses by over $4 billion.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08701c599a8c6fa7a66efde3c0a12cac\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The other \"half\" (actually over 100%) of Tesla's book value comes from the money paid in by investors. TSLA has continuously raised capital over the past several years by issuing new shares, and the higher the valuation multiple at which TSLA can issue new shares, the more it can accumulate in Additional Paid In Capital. These share issuances also raise the number of shares outstanding, which has the dual effect of raising Tesla's overall market value (since the price per share is now multiplied by more shares), and diluting each share's per-share book value. This increase in book value per share and decline in Price/Book in every recent new share issuance effectively reflects a \"profit\" earlier shareholders enjoy for having later investors pay a higher valuation to get into the company.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/971bf86f3d08fe938af2845121be8d4c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Putting these above two charts together, we see that so far Tesla has \"made\" over $27 billion selling shares of its stock to investors, vs. losing over $4 billion in trying to sell cars and batteries to customers, and of course the latter eventually needs to overtake the former for investors to start making their money back.</p>\n<p><b>How Tesla's Earnings Projections Add Up</b></p>\n<p>If we assume that Tesla stops issuing new shares (a big assumption, but necessary to keep the math simple), then we can add up projected earnings per share to the book value per share to accumulate a projection of future book value per share. Projections of Tesla's future earnings deserve their own article or research report, so for the purposes of this update, I'll use the low vs high analyst forecasts on Tesla'sSeeking Alphaearnings page:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f36166f6653fb8e11941e3c58b313ccb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha Earnings Page For TSLA</span></p>\n<p>Note that between 2025 and 2025, the low and median EPS estimates jump as the number of analysts covering the stock that far out falls from 11 to two, implying that the two analysts projecting TSLA's earnings out to 2030 are on the more optimistic end of the street. If we add up the low and high EPS estimates to today's starting book value per share of $23.90, we get a forecast of TSLA's book value of between $160 and $235 per share for the end of 2030. From today's price of around $623.90 per share, that means if TSLA's book value grows to around $200 (the middle of that optimistic range), then a contraction in TSLA's P/B from today's level of 26 to a still \"high for hardware\" multiple of 3 would mean shareholders would earn a 0% return between now and 2030. In other words, someone buying TSLA today would have to believe that either:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Tesla will grow its earnings and book value even faster than the most optimistic analyst estimates, or</li>\n <li>That investors will continue paying P/B multiples well above 3 for the stock.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>On forecasting what TSLA's P/B might be by 2030, there are three ways I can see expecting a multiple of 3 or higher:</p>\n<ol>\n <li><i>Another valuation bubble</i>: The P/B of Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), charted below, reached highs around 3 in Japan's late 1980s bubble, and again in the late 1990s \"echo bubble,\" and that was its high. If TSLA becomes like TM by 2030, this sort of broader stock valuation bubble may be needed to provide an attractive return on the exit price.</li>\n <li><i>Business transformation</i>: The biggest TSLA bulls I speak to are those who believe TSLA may either remain a premium hardware maker with services on top like Apple Inc. (AAPL), or as a more asset-light, high return software platform like Microsoft (MSFT), whose P/B ratios are charted below Toyota's.</li>\n <li><i>Financial engineering</i>: One other driver of Apple's&nbsp;P/B expansion is buybacks, as I explained in this example with McDonald's. Buybacks at high P/B multiples reduce book value per share and raise the P/B multiple, all else equal, in ways exactly opposite to how Tesla has been only issuing (not buying back) shares so far.</li>\n</ol>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59e353b1112fb465bf275bfd2e2f5c38\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7432d2c24afe124c70d139e0320f2d0c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Another way of comparing Tesla's $36 billion in annual sales vs. Toyota's $257 billion is on a revenue per capital basis. In other words, Tesla currently grosses around $5/year per person on the planet, vs. Toyota's roughly $37/year per human on earth. The growth question for 2030 is whether Tesla can still reach Toyota's number, especially given that:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Demand for transportation, in terms of global population times the percentage of the global population that can afford a car, is likely to grow at a slower pace than historically, especially after 2030, and</li>\n <li>Self-driving cars that aren't owned by one person, and so don't need to be parked idle most of the time, might actually decrease demand for new cars.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Without continued high growth past 2030, even 3x book might be on the high end for a car or battery company.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed6900c059b599cc5885a2184ad6db05\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"537\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Trading a TSLA P/B Contraction</b></p>\n<p>My favorite actionable strategies on a stock like TSLA, which I don't expect to fundamentally collapse, but do expect to experience a significant multiple contraction, generally involve some form of option put spread. The option strategy described below works both for bears wanting to profit from an outright 20%-30% decline, or long-term bulls wanting to protect their shares' value against such a decline.</p>\n<p>One challenge with simply buying put spreads on TSLA is that its option prices imply a significant \"positive skew,\" which makes put spreads relatively expensive to call spreads. In other words, the market is implying an expectation that TSLA shares are more likely than not to fall a little, offset by a smaller chance of a much larger upside move. Most of the near-the-money put spreads on TSLA cost more than 50% of the maximum payoff, even with longer-dated options or lower strike prices.</p>\n<p>For the time horizon, I'm choosing the June 17, 2022, expiry date, which as of this writing is a little more than one year out. The main reasons I find first the expiry after one year to be a \"sweet spot\" for this type of strategy include:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>As opposed to outright short selling, buying a put spread to profit from a decline in a share price may qualify for long-term capital gains tax treatment, as we would be holding a long position in a put spread longer than one year.</li>\n <li>As opposed to even longer-dated options (say the two-year options expiring June 2023), rolling one-year options forces us to reevaluate our valuation and strike prices and decide if and in what form to roll the strategy after four more quarterly book value updates.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>In this strategy, we buy 1x 650 strike put around 150 and then sell 2x 500 puts around 75 each, for roughly zero net up-front premium. Payoff scenarios based on TSLA's closing price at expiry include:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d415689c4d898bc75eba42b9f79152\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\"><span>Source: My Own Excel Calculation and Chart</span></p>\n<p>The maximum payout ($150/share) divided by the maximum loss ($350/share) presents a \"maximum rate of return\" on this strategy is +42.8%, though getting that exact maximum payout is nearly impossible (as it requires TSLA to close at exactly $500/share on the expiry date). More likely, this option strategy would deliver a rate of return of more than 14.2% on the maximum loss if TSLA closes between 400-600 at expiry. If we follow the earlier earnings estimates and project TSLA's book value per share to be around $30/share by then, that means we expect a contract in P/B to between 13-20 by next summer.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>For high-growth, non-dividend paying stocks like Tesla, return expectations break down into expectations of book value growth times expectation of P/B multiple expansion or contraction. Now that it's \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability and reached a respectable level of sales, I believe Tesla is less likely to be the next&nbsp;DeLorean Motor Company, and at best like Microsoft in 2000. To summarize an example I often reference in<i>Long Run Income</i>, from 2000 to 2010, Microsoft's business continued to grow, but investors who bought at the beginning of 2000 were still down over 36% 10 years later because Microsoft's P/B multiple declined by that much more than the business grew. Here is one chart showing that \"lost decade\" for MSFT shareholders.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faaf554d7a7744d36d27ea7f92e9a9e2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>For investors who want to hedge a decline in TSLA shares from here to $500, or those who believe TSLA may be a good company that is just wildly overvalued at these levels and may be worth buying below $500, the 1x2 put spread strategy described above may be worth considering.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 22:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.\nShareholders assuming Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152573638","content_text":"Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.\nShareholders assuming Tesla's Price/Book multiple deflates from around 25 to 5 over the next 10 years need book value per share to grow 5x just to break even.\nSo far, Tesla's growth in book value is mostly from \"Additional Paid-In Capital\" (issuing new shares at high prices), rather than retained earnings.\nLong-term earnings estimates imply book value per share sums up to 150-250 by the end of 2030, meaning a breakeven Price/Book of 2.5-4x, which is well above most mature autos.\nI present a 1x2 put spread as an attractive trade both for long investors concerned about overvaluation, as well as those seeking to bet on a Price/Book multiple contraction.\n\nPhoto by Jag_cz/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nBook value per share is likely not the first metric that comes to mind when you think of a \"growth company of the future\" like Tesla (TSLA), but in this article, I will explain why book value per share is the most important bottom line number long-term investors in this company should watch. As long as zero dividends are expected, a TSLA shareholder's total return will, by definition, be defined by the growth of Tesla's book value per share crossed against the change in the Price/Book (P/B) multiple of those shares. After looking at some numbers underlying TSLA's book value per share, and how much it will have to grow for current TSLA shareholders to make money, I conclude with three actionable option strategies based on expectations for how these numbers may change in the medium term. This article also can be seen as a follow up to the 2041 breakeven projection of Tesla I published last year.\nTesla Share Price Rise Follows Book Value\nThe first chart here shows how the rise in Tesla's share price has moved remarkably in line with TSLA's growth in book value per share. TSLA has so far never paid a dividend.\nData by YCharts\nMultiple Expansion and Contraction\nThe above chart, which is on a log scale, is far smoother than that of the (P/B) ratio between these two numbers. The multiple seemed to have stabilized between 2017 and late 2019, but its rise from below 7 in mid-2019 to over 40 in late 2020 and back to around 26 today explains much of TSLA's recent surge and volatility. Another way of thinking about it: TSLA's book value per share is up roughly 4-fold in the past two years, and its P/B is up about 4-fold over the past two years, which together explain why TSLA's shares are up about 16-fold over the past two years. The big question for investors at these levels is: What future combination of book value growth and P/B expansion or contraction can be expected to produce a satisfactory rate of return?\nData by YCharts\nUnderstanding Tesla's Book Value Growth\nAlthough the title of my Marketplace serviceLong Run Incomeimplies a preference for dividends, we believe high-quality book value growth is the best kind of \"dividend alternative\" for companies who can reinvest cash profits internally at far higher rates of return than I can externally. I would challenge any investor to explain why else to buy a low-dividend or no-dividend stock except for the expectation of higher returns from book value growth. For that reason, I have come to focus my analysis of growth companies on how well they seem able to grow book value per share.\nI break down Tesla's book value trajectory into two main parts: Retained Earnings, and Additional Paid In Capital. Although Tesla seems to have \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability, having reported 7 consecutive quarters of positive earnings since September 2019, accumulated profits still fall short of accumulated losses by over $4 billion.\nData by YCharts\nThe other \"half\" (actually over 100%) of Tesla's book value comes from the money paid in by investors. TSLA has continuously raised capital over the past several years by issuing new shares, and the higher the valuation multiple at which TSLA can issue new shares, the more it can accumulate in Additional Paid In Capital. These share issuances also raise the number of shares outstanding, which has the dual effect of raising Tesla's overall market value (since the price per share is now multiplied by more shares), and diluting each share's per-share book value. This increase in book value per share and decline in Price/Book in every recent new share issuance effectively reflects a \"profit\" earlier shareholders enjoy for having later investors pay a higher valuation to get into the company.\nData by YCharts\nPutting these above two charts together, we see that so far Tesla has \"made\" over $27 billion selling shares of its stock to investors, vs. losing over $4 billion in trying to sell cars and batteries to customers, and of course the latter eventually needs to overtake the former for investors to start making their money back.\nHow Tesla's Earnings Projections Add Up\nIf we assume that Tesla stops issuing new shares (a big assumption, but necessary to keep the math simple), then we can add up projected earnings per share to the book value per share to accumulate a projection of future book value per share. Projections of Tesla's future earnings deserve their own article or research report, so for the purposes of this update, I'll use the low vs high analyst forecasts on Tesla'sSeeking Alphaearnings page:\nSource:SeekingAlpha Earnings Page For TSLA\nNote that between 2025 and 2025, the low and median EPS estimates jump as the number of analysts covering the stock that far out falls from 11 to two, implying that the two analysts projecting TSLA's earnings out to 2030 are on the more optimistic end of the street. If we add up the low and high EPS estimates to today's starting book value per share of $23.90, we get a forecast of TSLA's book value of between $160 and $235 per share for the end of 2030. From today's price of around $623.90 per share, that means if TSLA's book value grows to around $200 (the middle of that optimistic range), then a contraction in TSLA's P/B from today's level of 26 to a still \"high for hardware\" multiple of 3 would mean shareholders would earn a 0% return between now and 2030. In other words, someone buying TSLA today would have to believe that either:\n\nTesla will grow its earnings and book value even faster than the most optimistic analyst estimates, or\nThat investors will continue paying P/B multiples well above 3 for the stock.\n\nOn forecasting what TSLA's P/B might be by 2030, there are three ways I can see expecting a multiple of 3 or higher:\n\nAnother valuation bubble: The P/B of Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), charted below, reached highs around 3 in Japan's late 1980s bubble, and again in the late 1990s \"echo bubble,\" and that was its high. If TSLA becomes like TM by 2030, this sort of broader stock valuation bubble may be needed to provide an attractive return on the exit price.\nBusiness transformation: The biggest TSLA bulls I speak to are those who believe TSLA may either remain a premium hardware maker with services on top like Apple Inc. (AAPL), or as a more asset-light, high return software platform like Microsoft (MSFT), whose P/B ratios are charted below Toyota's.\nFinancial engineering: One other driver of Apple's P/B expansion is buybacks, as I explained in this example with McDonald's. Buybacks at high P/B multiples reduce book value per share and raise the P/B multiple, all else equal, in ways exactly opposite to how Tesla has been only issuing (not buying back) shares so far.\n\nData by YCharts\nData by YCharts\nAnother way of comparing Tesla's $36 billion in annual sales vs. Toyota's $257 billion is on a revenue per capital basis. In other words, Tesla currently grosses around $5/year per person on the planet, vs. Toyota's roughly $37/year per human on earth. The growth question for 2030 is whether Tesla can still reach Toyota's number, especially given that:\n\nDemand for transportation, in terms of global population times the percentage of the global population that can afford a car, is likely to grow at a slower pace than historically, especially after 2030, and\nSelf-driving cars that aren't owned by one person, and so don't need to be parked idle most of the time, might actually decrease demand for new cars.\n\nWithout continued high growth past 2030, even 3x book might be on the high end for a car or battery company.\nData byYCharts\nTrading a TSLA P/B Contraction\nMy favorite actionable strategies on a stock like TSLA, which I don't expect to fundamentally collapse, but do expect to experience a significant multiple contraction, generally involve some form of option put spread. The option strategy described below works both for bears wanting to profit from an outright 20%-30% decline, or long-term bulls wanting to protect their shares' value against such a decline.\nOne challenge with simply buying put spreads on TSLA is that its option prices imply a significant \"positive skew,\" which makes put spreads relatively expensive to call spreads. In other words, the market is implying an expectation that TSLA shares are more likely than not to fall a little, offset by a smaller chance of a much larger upside move. Most of the near-the-money put spreads on TSLA cost more than 50% of the maximum payoff, even with longer-dated options or lower strike prices.\nFor the time horizon, I'm choosing the June 17, 2022, expiry date, which as of this writing is a little more than one year out. The main reasons I find first the expiry after one year to be a \"sweet spot\" for this type of strategy include:\n\nAs opposed to outright short selling, buying a put spread to profit from a decline in a share price may qualify for long-term capital gains tax treatment, as we would be holding a long position in a put spread longer than one year.\nAs opposed to even longer-dated options (say the two-year options expiring June 2023), rolling one-year options forces us to reevaluate our valuation and strike prices and decide if and in what form to roll the strategy after four more quarterly book value updates.\n\nIn this strategy, we buy 1x 650 strike put around 150 and then sell 2x 500 puts around 75 each, for roughly zero net up-front premium. Payoff scenarios based on TSLA's closing price at expiry include:\nSource: My Own Excel Calculation and Chart\nThe maximum payout ($150/share) divided by the maximum loss ($350/share) presents a \"maximum rate of return\" on this strategy is +42.8%, though getting that exact maximum payout is nearly impossible (as it requires TSLA to close at exactly $500/share on the expiry date). More likely, this option strategy would deliver a rate of return of more than 14.2% on the maximum loss if TSLA closes between 400-600 at expiry. If we follow the earlier earnings estimates and project TSLA's book value per share to be around $30/share by then, that means we expect a contract in P/B to between 13-20 by next summer.\nConclusion\nFor high-growth, non-dividend paying stocks like Tesla, return expectations break down into expectations of book value growth times expectation of P/B multiple expansion or contraction. Now that it's \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability and reached a respectable level of sales, I believe Tesla is less likely to be the next DeLorean Motor Company, and at best like Microsoft in 2000. To summarize an example I often reference inLong Run Income, from 2000 to 2010, Microsoft's business continued to grow, but investors who bought at the beginning of 2000 were still down over 36% 10 years later because Microsoft's P/B multiple declined by that much more than the business grew. Here is one chart showing that \"lost decade\" for MSFT shareholders.\nData by YCharts\nFor investors who want to hedge a decline in TSLA shares from here to $500, or those who believe TSLA may be a good company that is just wildly overvalued at these levels and may be worth buying below $500, the 1x2 put spread strategy described above may be worth considering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111363704,"gmtCreate":1622653103808,"gmtModify":1704188271745,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"77% #amc","listText":"77% #amc","text":"77% #amc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/111363704","repostId":"2140482624","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113299164,"gmtCreate":1622616920958,"gmtModify":1704187396080,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>&nbsp;lets all ride the wave","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>&nbsp;lets all ride the wave","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$ lets all ride the wave","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ff843691c1f07e256a2f8469753124","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113299164","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113290857,"gmtCreate":1622616788579,"gmtModify":1704187395034,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"#pdd anyone?&nbsp;","listText":"#pdd anyone?&nbsp;","text":"#pdd anyone?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccff09ee1ced6a752f25fa62f5687a6f","width":"1080","height":"2800"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113290857","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113290927,"gmtCreate":1622616745469,"gmtModify":1704187394380,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113290927","repostId":"1182886492","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137099946,"gmtCreate":1622265185085,"gmtModify":1704182514315,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's hold and wait it out&nbsp;","listText":"Let's hold and wait it out&nbsp;","text":"Let's hold and wait it out","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137099946","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138765488","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1622215232,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138765488?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares dip on recall rumors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138765488","media":"Reuters","summary":"May 28  - Shares of Tesla Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.","content":"<p>May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc&nbsp;fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet&nbsp;said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba675bb3c29017bd5165f1d31830b19e\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"614\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares dip on recall rumors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares dip on recall rumors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc&nbsp;fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet&nbsp;said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba675bb3c29017bd5165f1d31830b19e\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"614\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138765488","content_text":"May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134285881,"gmtCreate":1622242942243,"gmtModify":1704182011528,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not that good but hodl","listText":"Not that good but hodl","text":"Not that good but hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134285881","repostId":"134894658","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":134894658,"gmtCreate":1622214382874,"gmtModify":1704181715222,"author":{"id":"3572474896190235","authorId":"3572474896190235","name":"MillionareManifesting","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95ad51f5e7e50d18d8bc2eab6cd33224","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572474896190235","authorIdStr":"3572474896190235"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Holding strong what about you?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Holding strong what about you?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Holding strong what about you?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/989447d10294daa0d42bedba332a0881","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134894658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134282620,"gmtCreate":1622242851860,"gmtModify":1704182009465,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>please go back up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>please go back up","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$please go back up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59b5021d7908a76f1a57c3e4a11fc6d8","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134282620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":112417270,"gmtCreate":1622901838590,"gmtModify":1704193138395,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","listText":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","text":"LET'S GOOOOOOOO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112417270","repostId":"1148130971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148130971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622866524,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148130971?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148130971","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fas","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>\n <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>\n <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p>\n<p>Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p>\n<p><b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p>\n<p>In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p>\n<p>To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p>\n<p>NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p><b>Global Expansion</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p>\n<p>With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p>\n<p><b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p>\n<p>Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p>\n<p>NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p>\n<p><b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p>\n<p>We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p>\n<p>Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p>\n<p><b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p>\n<p>Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p>\n<p>Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 12:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148130971","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.\nWe believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.\n\nPhoto by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nDespite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).\nFounded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.\nA Trailblazer in Innovative Technology\nSource:ir.nio.com\nNIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.\nIn addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.\nTo further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.\nNIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).\nSource: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nGlobal Expansion\nSource: ir.nio.com\nAnother catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.\nWith a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.\nNIO’s Historical Performance\nJust a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.\nSource: Author, with data from ir.nio.com\nNIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.\nNIO vs. LI and XPEV\nSource: Finviz\nWe have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.\nConsidering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.\nBusiness Risks and Challenges\nAs mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.\nAnother imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.\nCompetition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.\nConclusion\nNIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150684796,"gmtCreate":1624896475115,"gmtModify":1703847499980,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>let's hit $1 trillion valuation","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>let's hit $1 trillion valuation","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$let's hit $1 trillion valuation","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7b936fa2b76a6cb0ba41855012f8ce","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150684796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118244457,"gmtCreate":1622735536679,"gmtModify":1704190202020,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Please help to like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118244457","repostId":"1152573638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152573638","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622732138,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152573638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 22:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152573638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very hi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>As long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.</li>\n <li>Shareholders assuming Tesla's Price/Book multiple deflates from around 25 to 5 over the next 10 years need book value per share to grow 5x just to break even.</li>\n <li>So far, Tesla's growth in book value is mostly from \"Additional Paid-In Capital\" (issuing new shares at high prices), rather than retained earnings.</li>\n <li>Long-term earnings estimates imply book value per share sums up to 150-250 by the end of 2030, meaning a breakeven Price/Book of 2.5-4x, which is well above most mature autos.</li>\n <li>I present a 1x2 put spread as an attractive trade both for long investors concerned about overvaluation, as well as those seeking to bet on a Price/Book multiple contraction.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c329e23b2762c47b11d11d95ec584959\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Jag_cz/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Book value per share is likely not the first metric that comes to mind when you think of a \"growth company of the future\" like Tesla (TSLA), but in this article, I will explain why book value per share is the most important bottom line number long-term investors in this company should watch. As long as zero dividends are expected, a TSLA shareholder's total return will, by definition, be defined by the growth of Tesla's book value per share crossed against the change in the Price/Book (P/B) multiple of those shares. After looking at some numbers underlying TSLA's book value per share, and how much it will have to grow for current TSLA shareholders to make money, I conclude with three actionable option strategies based on expectations for how these numbers may change in the medium term. This article also can be seen as a follow up to the&nbsp;2041 breakeven projection of Tesla I published last year.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Share Price Rise Follows Book Value</b></p>\n<p>The first chart here shows how the rise in Tesla's share price has moved remarkably in line with TSLA's growth in book value per share. TSLA has so far never paid a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1f994d62f1ec67c3b95ae15c3791fa8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"458\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Multiple Expansion and Contraction</b></p>\n<p>The above chart, which is on a log scale, is far smoother than that of the (P/B) ratio between these two numbers. The multiple seemed to have stabilized between 2017 and late 2019, but its rise from below 7 in mid-2019 to over 40 in late 2020 and back to around 26 today explains much of TSLA's recent surge and volatility. Another way of thinking about it: TSLA's book value per share is up roughly 4-fold in the past two years, and its P/B is up about 4-fold over the past two years, which together explain why TSLA's shares are up about 16-fold over the past two years. The big question for investors at these levels is: What future combination of book value growth and P/B expansion or contraction can be expected to produce a satisfactory rate of return?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8eb71b806f59aaabd5d09a6eb4b1606\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Understanding Tesla's Book Value Growth</b></p>\n<p>Although the title of my Marketplace service<i>Long Run Income</i>implies a preference for dividends, we believe high-quality book value growth is the best kind of \"dividend alternative\" for companies who can reinvest cash profits internally at far higher rates of return than I can externally. I would challenge any investor to explain why else to buy a low-dividend or no-dividend stock except for the expectation of higher returns from book value growth. For that reason, I have come to focus my analysis of growth companies on how well they seem able to grow book value per share.</p>\n<p>I break down Tesla's book value trajectory into two main parts: Retained Earnings, and Additional Paid In Capital. Although Tesla seems to have \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability, having reported&nbsp;7 consecutive quarters of positive earnings since September 2019, accumulated profits still fall short of accumulated losses by over $4 billion.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08701c599a8c6fa7a66efde3c0a12cac\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The other \"half\" (actually over 100%) of Tesla's book value comes from the money paid in by investors. TSLA has continuously raised capital over the past several years by issuing new shares, and the higher the valuation multiple at which TSLA can issue new shares, the more it can accumulate in Additional Paid In Capital. These share issuances also raise the number of shares outstanding, which has the dual effect of raising Tesla's overall market value (since the price per share is now multiplied by more shares), and diluting each share's per-share book value. This increase in book value per share and decline in Price/Book in every recent new share issuance effectively reflects a \"profit\" earlier shareholders enjoy for having later investors pay a higher valuation to get into the company.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/971bf86f3d08fe938af2845121be8d4c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Putting these above two charts together, we see that so far Tesla has \"made\" over $27 billion selling shares of its stock to investors, vs. losing over $4 billion in trying to sell cars and batteries to customers, and of course the latter eventually needs to overtake the former for investors to start making their money back.</p>\n<p><b>How Tesla's Earnings Projections Add Up</b></p>\n<p>If we assume that Tesla stops issuing new shares (a big assumption, but necessary to keep the math simple), then we can add up projected earnings per share to the book value per share to accumulate a projection of future book value per share. Projections of Tesla's future earnings deserve their own article or research report, so for the purposes of this update, I'll use the low vs high analyst forecasts on Tesla'sSeeking Alphaearnings page:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f36166f6653fb8e11941e3c58b313ccb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha Earnings Page For TSLA</span></p>\n<p>Note that between 2025 and 2025, the low and median EPS estimates jump as the number of analysts covering the stock that far out falls from 11 to two, implying that the two analysts projecting TSLA's earnings out to 2030 are on the more optimistic end of the street. If we add up the low and high EPS estimates to today's starting book value per share of $23.90, we get a forecast of TSLA's book value of between $160 and $235 per share for the end of 2030. From today's price of around $623.90 per share, that means if TSLA's book value grows to around $200 (the middle of that optimistic range), then a contraction in TSLA's P/B from today's level of 26 to a still \"high for hardware\" multiple of 3 would mean shareholders would earn a 0% return between now and 2030. In other words, someone buying TSLA today would have to believe that either:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Tesla will grow its earnings and book value even faster than the most optimistic analyst estimates, or</li>\n <li>That investors will continue paying P/B multiples well above 3 for the stock.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>On forecasting what TSLA's P/B might be by 2030, there are three ways I can see expecting a multiple of 3 or higher:</p>\n<ol>\n <li><i>Another valuation bubble</i>: The P/B of Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), charted below, reached highs around 3 in Japan's late 1980s bubble, and again in the late 1990s \"echo bubble,\" and that was its high. If TSLA becomes like TM by 2030, this sort of broader stock valuation bubble may be needed to provide an attractive return on the exit price.</li>\n <li><i>Business transformation</i>: The biggest TSLA bulls I speak to are those who believe TSLA may either remain a premium hardware maker with services on top like Apple Inc. (AAPL), or as a more asset-light, high return software platform like Microsoft (MSFT), whose P/B ratios are charted below Toyota's.</li>\n <li><i>Financial engineering</i>: One other driver of Apple's&nbsp;P/B expansion is buybacks, as I explained in this example with McDonald's. Buybacks at high P/B multiples reduce book value per share and raise the P/B multiple, all else equal, in ways exactly opposite to how Tesla has been only issuing (not buying back) shares so far.</li>\n</ol>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59e353b1112fb465bf275bfd2e2f5c38\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"425\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7432d2c24afe124c70d139e0320f2d0c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Another way of comparing Tesla's $36 billion in annual sales vs. Toyota's $257 billion is on a revenue per capital basis. In other words, Tesla currently grosses around $5/year per person on the planet, vs. Toyota's roughly $37/year per human on earth. The growth question for 2030 is whether Tesla can still reach Toyota's number, especially given that:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Demand for transportation, in terms of global population times the percentage of the global population that can afford a car, is likely to grow at a slower pace than historically, especially after 2030, and</li>\n <li>Self-driving cars that aren't owned by one person, and so don't need to be parked idle most of the time, might actually decrease demand for new cars.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Without continued high growth past 2030, even 3x book might be on the high end for a car or battery company.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed6900c059b599cc5885a2184ad6db05\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"537\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Trading a TSLA P/B Contraction</b></p>\n<p>My favorite actionable strategies on a stock like TSLA, which I don't expect to fundamentally collapse, but do expect to experience a significant multiple contraction, generally involve some form of option put spread. The option strategy described below works both for bears wanting to profit from an outright 20%-30% decline, or long-term bulls wanting to protect their shares' value against such a decline.</p>\n<p>One challenge with simply buying put spreads on TSLA is that its option prices imply a significant \"positive skew,\" which makes put spreads relatively expensive to call spreads. In other words, the market is implying an expectation that TSLA shares are more likely than not to fall a little, offset by a smaller chance of a much larger upside move. Most of the near-the-money put spreads on TSLA cost more than 50% of the maximum payoff, even with longer-dated options or lower strike prices.</p>\n<p>For the time horizon, I'm choosing the June 17, 2022, expiry date, which as of this writing is a little more than one year out. The main reasons I find first the expiry after one year to be a \"sweet spot\" for this type of strategy include:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>As opposed to outright short selling, buying a put spread to profit from a decline in a share price may qualify for long-term capital gains tax treatment, as we would be holding a long position in a put spread longer than one year.</li>\n <li>As opposed to even longer-dated options (say the two-year options expiring June 2023), rolling one-year options forces us to reevaluate our valuation and strike prices and decide if and in what form to roll the strategy after four more quarterly book value updates.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>In this strategy, we buy 1x 650 strike put around 150 and then sell 2x 500 puts around 75 each, for roughly zero net up-front premium. Payoff scenarios based on TSLA's closing price at expiry include:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d415689c4d898bc75eba42b9f79152\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\"><span>Source: My Own Excel Calculation and Chart</span></p>\n<p>The maximum payout ($150/share) divided by the maximum loss ($350/share) presents a \"maximum rate of return\" on this strategy is +42.8%, though getting that exact maximum payout is nearly impossible (as it requires TSLA to close at exactly $500/share on the expiry date). More likely, this option strategy would deliver a rate of return of more than 14.2% on the maximum loss if TSLA closes between 400-600 at expiry. If we follow the earlier earnings estimates and project TSLA's book value per share to be around $30/share by then, that means we expect a contract in P/B to between 13-20 by next summer.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>For high-growth, non-dividend paying stocks like Tesla, return expectations break down into expectations of book value growth times expectation of P/B multiple expansion or contraction. Now that it's \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability and reached a respectable level of sales, I believe Tesla is less likely to be the next&nbsp;DeLorean Motor Company, and at best like Microsoft in 2000. To summarize an example I often reference in<i>Long Run Income</i>, from 2000 to 2010, Microsoft's business continued to grow, but investors who bought at the beginning of 2000 were still down over 36% 10 years later because Microsoft's P/B multiple declined by that much more than the business grew. Here is one chart showing that \"lost decade\" for MSFT shareholders.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faaf554d7a7744d36d27ea7f92e9a9e2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>For investors who want to hedge a decline in TSLA shares from here to $500, or those who believe TSLA may be a good company that is just wildly overvalued at these levels and may be worth buying below $500, the 1x2 put spread strategy described above may be worth considering.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The Only 2 Numbers That Matter To Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 22:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.\nShareholders assuming Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432862-tesla-the-only-2-numbers-that-matter-to-investors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152573638","content_text":"Summary\n\nAs long as there's zero dividend, Tesla investors are betting on one of two things: Very high book value growth, or continued Price/Book multiple expansion.\nShareholders assuming Tesla's Price/Book multiple deflates from around 25 to 5 over the next 10 years need book value per share to grow 5x just to break even.\nSo far, Tesla's growth in book value is mostly from \"Additional Paid-In Capital\" (issuing new shares at high prices), rather than retained earnings.\nLong-term earnings estimates imply book value per share sums up to 150-250 by the end of 2030, meaning a breakeven Price/Book of 2.5-4x, which is well above most mature autos.\nI present a 1x2 put spread as an attractive trade both for long investors concerned about overvaluation, as well as those seeking to bet on a Price/Book multiple contraction.\n\nPhoto by Jag_cz/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nBook value per share is likely not the first metric that comes to mind when you think of a \"growth company of the future\" like Tesla (TSLA), but in this article, I will explain why book value per share is the most important bottom line number long-term investors in this company should watch. As long as zero dividends are expected, a TSLA shareholder's total return will, by definition, be defined by the growth of Tesla's book value per share crossed against the change in the Price/Book (P/B) multiple of those shares. After looking at some numbers underlying TSLA's book value per share, and how much it will have to grow for current TSLA shareholders to make money, I conclude with three actionable option strategies based on expectations for how these numbers may change in the medium term. This article also can be seen as a follow up to the 2041 breakeven projection of Tesla I published last year.\nTesla Share Price Rise Follows Book Value\nThe first chart here shows how the rise in Tesla's share price has moved remarkably in line with TSLA's growth in book value per share. TSLA has so far never paid a dividend.\nData by YCharts\nMultiple Expansion and Contraction\nThe above chart, which is on a log scale, is far smoother than that of the (P/B) ratio between these two numbers. The multiple seemed to have stabilized between 2017 and late 2019, but its rise from below 7 in mid-2019 to over 40 in late 2020 and back to around 26 today explains much of TSLA's recent surge and volatility. Another way of thinking about it: TSLA's book value per share is up roughly 4-fold in the past two years, and its P/B is up about 4-fold over the past two years, which together explain why TSLA's shares are up about 16-fold over the past two years. The big question for investors at these levels is: What future combination of book value growth and P/B expansion or contraction can be expected to produce a satisfactory rate of return?\nData by YCharts\nUnderstanding Tesla's Book Value Growth\nAlthough the title of my Marketplace serviceLong Run Incomeimplies a preference for dividends, we believe high-quality book value growth is the best kind of \"dividend alternative\" for companies who can reinvest cash profits internally at far higher rates of return than I can externally. I would challenge any investor to explain why else to buy a low-dividend or no-dividend stock except for the expectation of higher returns from book value growth. For that reason, I have come to focus my analysis of growth companies on how well they seem able to grow book value per share.\nI break down Tesla's book value trajectory into two main parts: Retained Earnings, and Additional Paid In Capital. Although Tesla seems to have \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability, having reported 7 consecutive quarters of positive earnings since September 2019, accumulated profits still fall short of accumulated losses by over $4 billion.\nData by YCharts\nThe other \"half\" (actually over 100%) of Tesla's book value comes from the money paid in by investors. TSLA has continuously raised capital over the past several years by issuing new shares, and the higher the valuation multiple at which TSLA can issue new shares, the more it can accumulate in Additional Paid In Capital. These share issuances also raise the number of shares outstanding, which has the dual effect of raising Tesla's overall market value (since the price per share is now multiplied by more shares), and diluting each share's per-share book value. This increase in book value per share and decline in Price/Book in every recent new share issuance effectively reflects a \"profit\" earlier shareholders enjoy for having later investors pay a higher valuation to get into the company.\nData by YCharts\nPutting these above two charts together, we see that so far Tesla has \"made\" over $27 billion selling shares of its stock to investors, vs. losing over $4 billion in trying to sell cars and batteries to customers, and of course the latter eventually needs to overtake the former for investors to start making their money back.\nHow Tesla's Earnings Projections Add Up\nIf we assume that Tesla stops issuing new shares (a big assumption, but necessary to keep the math simple), then we can add up projected earnings per share to the book value per share to accumulate a projection of future book value per share. Projections of Tesla's future earnings deserve their own article or research report, so for the purposes of this update, I'll use the low vs high analyst forecasts on Tesla'sSeeking Alphaearnings page:\nSource:SeekingAlpha Earnings Page For TSLA\nNote that between 2025 and 2025, the low and median EPS estimates jump as the number of analysts covering the stock that far out falls from 11 to two, implying that the two analysts projecting TSLA's earnings out to 2030 are on the more optimistic end of the street. If we add up the low and high EPS estimates to today's starting book value per share of $23.90, we get a forecast of TSLA's book value of between $160 and $235 per share for the end of 2030. From today's price of around $623.90 per share, that means if TSLA's book value grows to around $200 (the middle of that optimistic range), then a contraction in TSLA's P/B from today's level of 26 to a still \"high for hardware\" multiple of 3 would mean shareholders would earn a 0% return between now and 2030. In other words, someone buying TSLA today would have to believe that either:\n\nTesla will grow its earnings and book value even faster than the most optimistic analyst estimates, or\nThat investors will continue paying P/B multiples well above 3 for the stock.\n\nOn forecasting what TSLA's P/B might be by 2030, there are three ways I can see expecting a multiple of 3 or higher:\n\nAnother valuation bubble: The P/B of Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), charted below, reached highs around 3 in Japan's late 1980s bubble, and again in the late 1990s \"echo bubble,\" and that was its high. If TSLA becomes like TM by 2030, this sort of broader stock valuation bubble may be needed to provide an attractive return on the exit price.\nBusiness transformation: The biggest TSLA bulls I speak to are those who believe TSLA may either remain a premium hardware maker with services on top like Apple Inc. (AAPL), or as a more asset-light, high return software platform like Microsoft (MSFT), whose P/B ratios are charted below Toyota's.\nFinancial engineering: One other driver of Apple's P/B expansion is buybacks, as I explained in this example with McDonald's. Buybacks at high P/B multiples reduce book value per share and raise the P/B multiple, all else equal, in ways exactly opposite to how Tesla has been only issuing (not buying back) shares so far.\n\nData by YCharts\nData by YCharts\nAnother way of comparing Tesla's $36 billion in annual sales vs. Toyota's $257 billion is on a revenue per capital basis. In other words, Tesla currently grosses around $5/year per person on the planet, vs. Toyota's roughly $37/year per human on earth. The growth question for 2030 is whether Tesla can still reach Toyota's number, especially given that:\n\nDemand for transportation, in terms of global population times the percentage of the global population that can afford a car, is likely to grow at a slower pace than historically, especially after 2030, and\nSelf-driving cars that aren't owned by one person, and so don't need to be parked idle most of the time, might actually decrease demand for new cars.\n\nWithout continued high growth past 2030, even 3x book might be on the high end for a car or battery company.\nData byYCharts\nTrading a TSLA P/B Contraction\nMy favorite actionable strategies on a stock like TSLA, which I don't expect to fundamentally collapse, but do expect to experience a significant multiple contraction, generally involve some form of option put spread. The option strategy described below works both for bears wanting to profit from an outright 20%-30% decline, or long-term bulls wanting to protect their shares' value against such a decline.\nOne challenge with simply buying put spreads on TSLA is that its option prices imply a significant \"positive skew,\" which makes put spreads relatively expensive to call spreads. In other words, the market is implying an expectation that TSLA shares are more likely than not to fall a little, offset by a smaller chance of a much larger upside move. Most of the near-the-money put spreads on TSLA cost more than 50% of the maximum payoff, even with longer-dated options or lower strike prices.\nFor the time horizon, I'm choosing the June 17, 2022, expiry date, which as of this writing is a little more than one year out. The main reasons I find first the expiry after one year to be a \"sweet spot\" for this type of strategy include:\n\nAs opposed to outright short selling, buying a put spread to profit from a decline in a share price may qualify for long-term capital gains tax treatment, as we would be holding a long position in a put spread longer than one year.\nAs opposed to even longer-dated options (say the two-year options expiring June 2023), rolling one-year options forces us to reevaluate our valuation and strike prices and decide if and in what form to roll the strategy after four more quarterly book value updates.\n\nIn this strategy, we buy 1x 650 strike put around 150 and then sell 2x 500 puts around 75 each, for roughly zero net up-front premium. Payoff scenarios based on TSLA's closing price at expiry include:\nSource: My Own Excel Calculation and Chart\nThe maximum payout ($150/share) divided by the maximum loss ($350/share) presents a \"maximum rate of return\" on this strategy is +42.8%, though getting that exact maximum payout is nearly impossible (as it requires TSLA to close at exactly $500/share on the expiry date). More likely, this option strategy would deliver a rate of return of more than 14.2% on the maximum loss if TSLA closes between 400-600 at expiry. If we follow the earlier earnings estimates and project TSLA's book value per share to be around $30/share by then, that means we expect a contract in P/B to between 13-20 by next summer.\nConclusion\nFor high-growth, non-dividend paying stocks like Tesla, return expectations break down into expectations of book value growth times expectation of P/B multiple expansion or contraction. Now that it's \"rounded the J-curve\" of profitability and reached a respectable level of sales, I believe Tesla is less likely to be the next DeLorean Motor Company, and at best like Microsoft in 2000. To summarize an example I often reference inLong Run Income, from 2000 to 2010, Microsoft's business continued to grow, but investors who bought at the beginning of 2000 were still down over 36% 10 years later because Microsoft's P/B multiple declined by that much more than the business grew. Here is one chart showing that \"lost decade\" for MSFT shareholders.\nData by YCharts\nFor investors who want to hedge a decline in TSLA shares from here to $500, or those who believe TSLA may be a good company that is just wildly overvalued at these levels and may be worth buying below $500, the 1x2 put spread strategy described above may be worth considering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133173211,"gmtCreate":1621731695933,"gmtModify":1704361777223,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;can NIO rise back to $40?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;can NIO rise back to $40?","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ can NIO rise back to $40?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f74e386850a1d0bb01c15096637645eb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133173211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139209266,"gmtCreate":1621631683255,"gmtModify":1704360695596,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>please&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>please&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eee0e7536b12b6315ec6c7476271d762","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139209266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134282620,"gmtCreate":1622242851860,"gmtModify":1704182009465,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>please go back up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>please go back up","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$please go back up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59b5021d7908a76f1a57c3e4a11fc6d8","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134282620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132066968,"gmtCreate":1622045894054,"gmtModify":1704178515167,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's goooooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's goooooo","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$let's goooooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fb33ca84a0583e0be1ffe3f35db05be","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132066968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131406576,"gmtCreate":1621870908095,"gmtModify":1704363683263,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Support","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Support","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$Support","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8412cf0a1308166efb4d25dbdcb9f66f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131406576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189851238,"gmtCreate":1623252253524,"gmtModify":1704199494599,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OEG\">$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$</a>&nbsp;is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OEG\">$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$</a>&nbsp;is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","text":"$Orbital Energy Group(OEG)$ is it safe to go in now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189851238","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569281512419792","authorId":"3569281512419792","name":"42a4eeda","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569281512419792","authorIdStr":"3569281512419792"},"content":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility.","text":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility.","html":"this is a very volatite stock. If you are into long-term , wait for a dip before you enter. I believe it will go up in the long run , but do be cautious due to its volatility."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143325649,"gmtCreate":1625762886081,"gmtModify":1703748168985,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>&nbsp;lets all wait it out&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>&nbsp;lets all wait it out&nbsp;","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$ lets all wait it out","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25b3215a4557badf429db6314936f830","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143325649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189826472,"gmtCreate":1623251933396,"gmtModify":1704199485225,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORMP\">$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$</a>&nbsp; patience is virtue&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORMP\">$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$</a>&nbsp; patience is virtue&nbsp;","text":"$Oramed Pharmaceuticals(ORMP)$ patience is virtue","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c51afeacad05d722144e501685906207","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189826472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052107170,"gmtCreate":1655133297090,"gmtModify":1676535567701,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙃 Wee","listText":"🙃 Wee","text":"🙃 Wee","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5647e2b415ff02071946e962ae3a26b","width":"1080","height":"1450"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052107170","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9001710829,"gmtCreate":1641316767430,"gmtModify":1676533597243,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001710829","repostId":"2200406435","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2200406435","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1641310325,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2200406435?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-04 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200406435","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Strong free cash flow and high growth rates are a winning combo.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard &#34;value&#34; and found companies that were incredibly cheap, but often seriously broken, that unfortunately deserved their discounted valuations.</p><p>By simply accepting that most premium stocks trade at expensive-looking valuations, I entered the land of long-term investing and ultimately multibagger potential.</p><p>Today we will study <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> (NASDAQ:ZM), <b>Pinterest</b> (NYSE:PINS), and <b>DocuSign</b> (NASDAQ:DOCU), three stocks that fit this expensive-looking mold, yet could be wildly undervalued when looking out over the next decade, thanks to their high revenue growth and strong free cash flow (FCF) generation.</p><h2>High growth at intriguing valuations</h2><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><th></th><th>Market Cap</th><th>Levered FCF</th><th>P/FCF Ratio</th><th>Revenue Growth YOY</th></tr><tr><td>Zoom Video</td><td>$55 billion</td><td>$1.51 billion</td><td>36</td><td>100%</td></tr><tr><td>Pinterest</td><td>$24 billion</td><td>$470 million</td><td>51</td><td>76%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign</td><td>$29 billion</td><td>$753 million</td><td>39</td><td>51%</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Yahoo! Finance and CMLViz statistics. Note that Levered FCF and Revenue Growth are using trailing 12-month figures. YOY = year over year. FCF = free cash flow. P/FCF = price-to-FCF.</p><p>While highly unscientific, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of my favorite ways to measure a stock&#39;s growth potential versus its current price is to compare year-over-year revenue growth with its price-to-FCF ratio. As shown in the table above, Zoom, Pinterest, and DocuSign all have a growth rate higher than their FCF multiples.</p><p>Whenever a stock&#39;s growth rate is higher than its FCF multiple, it catches my attention, highlighting the beautiful combination of solid sales growth with reasonably priced cash generation. With that in mind, let&#39;s look at my three recommendations.</p><h2>1. Zoom Video Communications</h2><p>First up today is the fastest growing and cheapest valuation of the trio, Zoom Video Communications. Because its share price has dropped nearly 50% over the last six months amid decelerating sales growth, Zoom looks attractively valued compared to the $1.5 billion in free cash flow it created over the previous 12 months.</p><p>While its 100% revenue growth over the last 12 months will probably not repeat in 2022, its third-quarter growth of 35% year over year is more than enough to make its freshly discounted valuation appealing. Furthermore, with 14 consecutive quarters with a dollar-based net expansion (DBNE) rate above 130%, Zoom has demonstrated that its land-and-expand business model is firing on all cylinders.</p><p>DBNE is a great way to measure increased product use by existing customers, despite not accounting for customer churn. For Zoom, this 130% rate is highly promising as it shows that it is getting its foot in the door with its famous Meetings product and upselling customers on newer products, such as Zoom Rooms and Zoom Phone. Should the company&#39;s DBNE continue at these levels, it will signal that its business model is still succeeding.</p><p>Furthermore, with international sales only accounting for 33% of Zoom&#39;s total revenue, its global ambitions are still in their infancy. This international growth runway, paired with the company&#39;s strong FCF and recently discounted share price, makes Zoom a great core holding for the next decade.</p><h2>2. Pinterest</h2><p>Next up, we have Pinterest with its inspiration-creating platform and newly developed FCF generation. Unfortunately, despite the promise of these positive cash flows, Pinterest&#39;s stock has dropped over 50% in the last six months, due to a rumored abandoned acquisition by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> and a decline in monthly active users (MAUs).</p><p>But two key things are happening behind the scenes for Pinterest, making today&#39;s valuation very tempting.</p><p>First, the company&#39;s fledgling shopping features are starting to take off, with product searches up over 100% for the third quarter, year over year. Better yet, members of the all-important Generation Z demographic (ages 9 to 24) increased their product searches on the shop tab by over 200% for the third quarter.</p><p>Second, despite having four times the number of international MAUs than in the U.S., the international segment only accounts for 21% of Pinterest&#39;s overall revenue. This is due to the massive gap in average revenue per user (ARPU) between U.S. and international users, which is $5.55 and $0.38, respectively.</p><p>This gap is essential for investors to watch as Pinterest launched its shopping features in seven key international markets during the third quarter: Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Switzerland, Brazil, and Mexico. As these markets mature, along with Pinterest&#39;s shopping features in general, investors should see this ARPU gap between the U.S. and international narrow, bringing strong monetization to the company&#39;s global footprint.</p><h2>3. DocuSign</h2><p>Famous for its e-signature product, DocuSign is on a mission to prove that it is more than just a one-trick pony. Moving beyond its e-signature dominance, the company has its eyes set on a broader target market that it hopes to serve through its Agreement Cloud, which consists of four segments: prepare, sign, act, and manage.</p><p>With its Agreement Cloud, DocuSign intends to parlay its leadership in e-signatures into becoming the leader in automated end-to-end agreement processes. While the company does not break out numbers for each segment of the Agreement Cloud, we can get a good idea of its ongoing success through DocuSign&#39;s 121% dollar-based net retention (DBNR) rate.</p><p>DBNR shows the rate at which existing customers are expanding their use of the company&#39;s products. Since DBNR includes customer churn, a figure above 120% is exceptional. So DocuSign&#39;s track record of being above this mark for six consecutive quarters is very impressive. It highlights the potential that might be building within the company&#39;s broader Agreement Cloud ambitions. And that makes DocuSign&#39;s 30% share-price drop in the last month an appealing entry point for new investors.</p><p>DocuSign already has a 17% FCF margin, which makes it look like another discounted, but strong, cash-generating stock to buy and hold for the next decade.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Wildly Undervalued Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-04 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard \"value\"...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","ZM":"Zoom","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","FCF":"第一联邦金融","DOCU":"Docusign","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4508":"社交媒体"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/3-wildly-undervalued-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-for-th/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200406435","content_text":"One of the hardest lessons for me as a new investor was to stop filtering out great, high-quality stocks that looked expensive by most traditional valuation metrics. Instead, I sought standard \"value\" and found companies that were incredibly cheap, but often seriously broken, that unfortunately deserved their discounted valuations.By simply accepting that most premium stocks trade at expensive-looking valuations, I entered the land of long-term investing and ultimately multibagger potential.Today we will study Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), and DocuSign (NASDAQ:DOCU), three stocks that fit this expensive-looking mold, yet could be wildly undervalued when looking out over the next decade, thanks to their high revenue growth and strong free cash flow (FCF) generation.High growth at intriguing valuationsMarket CapLevered FCFP/FCF RatioRevenue Growth YOYZoom Video$55 billion$1.51 billion36100%Pinterest$24 billion$470 million5176%DocuSign$29 billion$753 million3951%Data source: Yahoo! Finance and CMLViz statistics. Note that Levered FCF and Revenue Growth are using trailing 12-month figures. YOY = year over year. FCF = free cash flow. P/FCF = price-to-FCF.While highly unscientific, one of my favorite ways to measure a stock's growth potential versus its current price is to compare year-over-year revenue growth with its price-to-FCF ratio. As shown in the table above, Zoom, Pinterest, and DocuSign all have a growth rate higher than their FCF multiples.Whenever a stock's growth rate is higher than its FCF multiple, it catches my attention, highlighting the beautiful combination of solid sales growth with reasonably priced cash generation. With that in mind, let's look at my three recommendations.1. Zoom Video CommunicationsFirst up today is the fastest growing and cheapest valuation of the trio, Zoom Video Communications. Because its share price has dropped nearly 50% over the last six months amid decelerating sales growth, Zoom looks attractively valued compared to the $1.5 billion in free cash flow it created over the previous 12 months.While its 100% revenue growth over the last 12 months will probably not repeat in 2022, its third-quarter growth of 35% year over year is more than enough to make its freshly discounted valuation appealing. Furthermore, with 14 consecutive quarters with a dollar-based net expansion (DBNE) rate above 130%, Zoom has demonstrated that its land-and-expand business model is firing on all cylinders.DBNE is a great way to measure increased product use by existing customers, despite not accounting for customer churn. For Zoom, this 130% rate is highly promising as it shows that it is getting its foot in the door with its famous Meetings product and upselling customers on newer products, such as Zoom Rooms and Zoom Phone. Should the company's DBNE continue at these levels, it will signal that its business model is still succeeding.Furthermore, with international sales only accounting for 33% of Zoom's total revenue, its global ambitions are still in their infancy. This international growth runway, paired with the company's strong FCF and recently discounted share price, makes Zoom a great core holding for the next decade.2. PinterestNext up, we have Pinterest with its inspiration-creating platform and newly developed FCF generation. Unfortunately, despite the promise of these positive cash flows, Pinterest's stock has dropped over 50% in the last six months, due to a rumored abandoned acquisition by PayPal and a decline in monthly active users (MAUs).But two key things are happening behind the scenes for Pinterest, making today's valuation very tempting.First, the company's fledgling shopping features are starting to take off, with product searches up over 100% for the third quarter, year over year. Better yet, members of the all-important Generation Z demographic (ages 9 to 24) increased their product searches on the shop tab by over 200% for the third quarter.Second, despite having four times the number of international MAUs than in the U.S., the international segment only accounts for 21% of Pinterest's overall revenue. This is due to the massive gap in average revenue per user (ARPU) between U.S. and international users, which is $5.55 and $0.38, respectively.This gap is essential for investors to watch as Pinterest launched its shopping features in seven key international markets during the third quarter: Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Switzerland, Brazil, and Mexico. As these markets mature, along with Pinterest's shopping features in general, investors should see this ARPU gap between the U.S. and international narrow, bringing strong monetization to the company's global footprint.3. DocuSignFamous for its e-signature product, DocuSign is on a mission to prove that it is more than just a one-trick pony. Moving beyond its e-signature dominance, the company has its eyes set on a broader target market that it hopes to serve through its Agreement Cloud, which consists of four segments: prepare, sign, act, and manage.With its Agreement Cloud, DocuSign intends to parlay its leadership in e-signatures into becoming the leader in automated end-to-end agreement processes. While the company does not break out numbers for each segment of the Agreement Cloud, we can get a good idea of its ongoing success through DocuSign's 121% dollar-based net retention (DBNR) rate.DBNR shows the rate at which existing customers are expanding their use of the company's products. Since DBNR includes customer churn, a figure above 120% is exceptional. So DocuSign's track record of being above this mark for six consecutive quarters is very impressive. It highlights the potential that might be building within the company's broader Agreement Cloud ambitions. And that makes DocuSign's 30% share-price drop in the last month an appealing entry point for new investors.DocuSign already has a 17% FCF margin, which makes it look like another discounted, but strong, cash-generating stock to buy and hold for the next decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143322220,"gmtCreate":1625762801860,"gmtModify":1703748168171,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Judt wait and be patient&nbsp;","listText":"Judt wait and be patient&nbsp;","text":"Judt wait and be patient","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143322220","repostId":"143007261","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":143007261,"gmtCreate":1625751691053,"gmtModify":1703747804383,"author":{"id":"3576913663838291","authorId":"3576913663838291","name":"Heelaary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c9814831d549a9d15e32a2fa9a89c9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576913663838291","authorIdStr":"3576913663838291"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$Hi can u pls move up ??‍♀️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b86c5175c4cb4cf3b866ce4ed08fde03","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143007261","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167659794,"gmtCreate":1624266833818,"gmtModify":1703831957696,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>weeettt","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>weeettt","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$weeettt","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f11a30fa86d01a0e092e55d26f54085","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167659794","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189851985,"gmtCreate":1623252227947,"gmtModify":1704199493940,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","listText":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?&nbsp;","text":"#OEG is it safe to go in now?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6ede043221e90ebcfdc1976acc24303","width":"1080","height":"2650"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189851985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116034460,"gmtCreate":1622765314450,"gmtModify":1704190647069,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's all go in more&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>let's all go in more&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$let's all go in more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19c614e9049a7bdc196f15f1a0347572","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116034460","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116032499,"gmtCreate":1622765254111,"gmtModify":1704190643963,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's all get more money&nbsp;","listText":"Let's all get more money&nbsp;","text":"Let's all get more money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116032499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111363704,"gmtCreate":1622653103808,"gmtModify":1704188271745,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"77% #amc","listText":"77% #amc","text":"77% #amc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/111363704","repostId":"2140482624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2140482624","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1622652060,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140482624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 00:41","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140482624","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"MW AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility\n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswir","content":"<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility\n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 02, 2021 12:41 ET (16:41 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 00:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility\n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 02, 2021 12:41 ET (16:41 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140482624","content_text":"MW AMC Entertainment stock trading has been halted due to volatility\n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 02, 2021 12:41 ET (16:41 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113299164,"gmtCreate":1622616920958,"gmtModify":1704187396080,"author":{"id":"3574937628906498","authorId":"3574937628906498","name":"Andrisgho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7539e4ff907d9ce6ccbeff64499fc763","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574937628906498","authorIdStr":"3574937628906498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>&nbsp;lets all ride the wave","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>&nbsp;lets all ride the wave","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$ lets all ride the wave","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ff843691c1f07e256a2f8469753124","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113299164","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}