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08-07

A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy

AMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet

07-28

$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ This stock is a goner

06-28

$Strategy(MSTR)$ One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside

06-27

$Strategy(MSTR)$ waiting for MSTR to join S&P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!

2024-12-17

Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more Trash article

Nvidia: This Could Be The Top

2024-11-19

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$

2024-11-18

$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR

2024-07-26

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre

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post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy&nbsp;","listText":"A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy&nbsp;","text":"A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/465026930692576","repostId":"1116164422","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116164422","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1754535065,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1116164422?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-08-07 10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116164422","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Too Far, Too Fast. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some,...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Too Far, Too Fast</strong>. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.</p><p>But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. 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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.</p><p>Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.</p><p>During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.</p><p>Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.</p><p>The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.</p><p>The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.</p><p>The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.</p><p>“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”</p><p>Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.</p><p>At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-07 10:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Too Far, Too Fast</strong>. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.</p><p>But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. On the surface, the numbers looked fine, with better-than-expected revenue for the June quarter and a robust sales outlook.</p><p>But there are cracks appearing in the story and investors should resist the temptation to buy on the dip. Evidence suggests AMD shares are a risky opportunity at current levels.</p><p>Wall Street tends to focus on the data center as AMD’s most important end market, where its GPU and server CPU businesses reside. But nearly all the revenue upside came from AMD’s gaming unit, while the data center segment grew just 14% versus the prior year, roughly in line with analysts’ estimates and slower than the unit’s 57% growth in the first quarter.</p><p>Then there’s the outlook for AMD’s AI GPU business. At the company’s Advancing AI event in June, AMD announced its latest AI chips to compete with Nvidia: the AMD Instinct MI350 series. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.</p><p>Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.</p><p>During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.</p><p>Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.</p><p>The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.</p><p>The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.</p><p>The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.</p><p>“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”</p><p>Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.</p><p>At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116164422","content_text":"Too Far, Too Fast. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. On the surface, the numbers looked fine, with better-than-expected revenue for the June quarter and a robust sales outlook.But there are cracks appearing in the story and investors should resist the temptation to buy on the dip. Evidence suggests AMD shares are a risky opportunity at current levels.Wall Street tends to focus on the data center as AMD’s most important end market, where its GPU and server CPU businesses reside. But nearly all the revenue upside came from AMD’s gaming unit, while the data center segment grew just 14% versus the prior year, roughly in line with analysts’ estimates and slower than the unit’s 57% growth in the first quarter.Then there’s the outlook for AMD’s AI GPU business. At the company’s Advancing AI event in June, AMD announced its latest AI chips to compete with Nvidia: the AMD Instinct MI350 series. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":461617454740072,"gmtCreate":1753718025919,"gmtModify":1753718028813,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBET\">$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ </a> This stock is a goner&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBET\">$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ </a> This stock is a goner&nbsp;","text":"$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ This stock is a goner","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/461617454740072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":450804617027880,"gmtCreate":1751085611697,"gmtModify":1751088258267,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&amp;P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&amp;P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&amp;P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&amp;P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","listText":"&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&amp;P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&amp;P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&amp;P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&amp;P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","text":"$Strategy(MSTR)$ One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/450804617027880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":450612636795784,"gmtCreate":1751038740706,"gmtModify":1751038743683,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a> waiting for MSTR to join S&amp;P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a> waiting for MSTR to join S&amp;P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!&nbsp;","text":"$Strategy(MSTR)$ waiting for MSTR to join S&P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":12,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/450612636795784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382611615109256,"gmtCreate":1734419170247,"gmtModify":1734419780751,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more&nbsp; Trash article&nbsp;","listText":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more&nbsp; Trash article&nbsp;","text":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more Trash article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/382611615109256","repostId":"1128864584","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128864584","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1734416177,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128864584?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-17 14:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: This Could Be The Top","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128864584","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1885097578\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>A rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA&#39;s share price.</p></li><li><p>At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1cd66fb76fb9c3656779aa6ac145d6d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p><strong>Nvidia Corporation </strong>(NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.</p><p>In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_3690589756\">Reality Fails To Meet Expectations</h2><p>The Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9d4491fd0ada5a07d412d888f3a9fae\" alt=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" title=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"/><span>Nvidia’s stock price</span></p><p>In Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.</p><p>The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.</p><p>Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.</p><p>The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.</p><p>Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.</p><p>All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.</p><p>The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.</p><h3 id=\"id_211129166\">The Intrinsic Value of Nvidia</h3><p>At the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.</p><p>In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.</p><p>The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6bea708b99e09c85b15fd4405208555\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><p>For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.</p><p>The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c46e9d52e3bae0f74e46a337968e78d\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><h3 id=\"id_4292459600\">Risks To Our Bearish Thesis</h3><p>Although we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.</p><p>The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_2596097235\">Final Thoughts</h2><p>Is Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.</p><p>Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1728464409321","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: This Could Be The Top</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: This Could Be The Top\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-17 14:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128864584","content_text":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.Reality Fails To Meet ExpectationsThe Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.Nvidia’s stock priceIn Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.The Intrinsic Value of NvidiaAt the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)Risks To Our Bearish ThesisAlthough we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.Final ThoughtsIs Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1863,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372487489851400,"gmtCreate":1731948540333,"gmtModify":1731949832709,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372487489851400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372349704036664,"gmtCreate":1731945408993,"gmtModify":1731948351916,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","text":"$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372349704036664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":331679797313632,"gmtCreate":1721984459817,"gmtModify":1721986850742,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/331679797313632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia","text":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia","html":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000140","authorId":"9000000000000140","name":"happygo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63b3c9844fec1361496f60171c10016","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000140","idStr":"9000000000000140"},"content":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101","text":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101","html":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":450612636795784,"gmtCreate":1751038740706,"gmtModify":1751038743683,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a> waiting for MSTR to join S&amp;P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a> waiting for MSTR to join S&amp;P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!&nbsp;","text":"$Strategy(MSTR)$ waiting for MSTR to join S&P500 probably price raised to $450 at least!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":12,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/450612636795784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":450804617027880,"gmtCreate":1751085611697,"gmtModify":1751088258267,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&amp;P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&amp;P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&amp;P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&amp;P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","listText":"&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&amp;P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&amp;P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&amp;P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&amp;P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","text":"$Strategy(MSTR)$ One to Watch 🚨 MSTR is trading close to all-time highs and gaining attention due to its potential inclusion in the S&P 500. With over 592,000 BTC on its balance sheet and four consecutive profitable quarters, it now meets most of the S&P criteria. Analysts estimate a 90–95% chance of inclusion, especially if Bitcoin holds above ~$95K through quarter-end. If added, passive index funds will be forced to buy in, potentially pushing the stock to new highs. This would also mark a historic milestone: a Bitcoin proxy stock entering the S&P 500. 📈 Key catalyst: S&P announcement + BTC price stability 💡 Opportunity: Pre-inclusion positioning could offer upside","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/450804617027880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":331679797313632,"gmtCreate":1721984459817,"gmtModify":1721986850742,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Given the recent downturn of NVIDIA, it's crucial to analyze the factors behind the drop and assess whether the stock is indeed oversold. Here are some key points to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: The semiconductor sector has been under pressure due to various macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes, supply chain issues, and geopolitical tensions. This broader market sentiment can impact NVIDIA's stock price. 2. Technical Analysis: Analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a momentum oscillator, can help determine if NVDA is oversold. An RSI below 30 typically indicates an oversold condition. As of the latest data, if NVDA's RSI is hovering around or below this thre","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/331679797313632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia","text":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia","html":"Imagine the low of 760 going to 1410 post split last earnings in the 6 week time period happening again? That is almost the equivalent of this jumping to 200 post report. Anything is possible with Nvidia"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000140","authorId":"9000000000000140","name":"happygo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63b3c9844fec1361496f60171c10016","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000140","idStr":"9000000000000140"},"content":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101","text":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101","html":"I will be buying again much lower too perhaps $101"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382611615109256,"gmtCreate":1734419170247,"gmtModify":1734419780751,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more&nbsp; Trash article&nbsp;","listText":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more&nbsp; Trash article&nbsp;","text":"Nice article to make people sell so you can buy more Trash article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/382611615109256","repostId":"1128864584","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128864584","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1734416177,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128864584?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-17 14:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: This Could Be The Top","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128864584","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1885097578\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>A rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA&#39;s share price.</p></li><li><p>At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1cd66fb76fb9c3656779aa6ac145d6d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p><strong>Nvidia Corporation </strong>(NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.</p><p>In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_3690589756\">Reality Fails To Meet Expectations</h2><p>The Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9d4491fd0ada5a07d412d888f3a9fae\" alt=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" title=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"/><span>Nvidia’s stock price</span></p><p>In Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.</p><p>The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.</p><p>Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.</p><p>The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.</p><p>Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.</p><p>All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.</p><p>The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.</p><h3 id=\"id_211129166\">The Intrinsic Value of Nvidia</h3><p>At the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.</p><p>In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.</p><p>The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6bea708b99e09c85b15fd4405208555\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><p>For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.</p><p>The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c46e9d52e3bae0f74e46a337968e78d\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><h3 id=\"id_4292459600\">Risks To Our Bearish Thesis</h3><p>Although we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.</p><p>The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_2596097235\">Final Thoughts</h2><p>Is Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.</p><p>Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1728464409321","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: This Could Be The Top</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: This Could Be The Top\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-17 14:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128864584","content_text":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.Reality Fails To Meet ExpectationsThe Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.Nvidia’s stock priceIn Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.The Intrinsic Value of NvidiaAt the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)Risks To Our Bearish ThesisAlthough we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.Final ThoughtsIs Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1863,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":465026930692576,"gmtCreate":1754542177149,"gmtModify":1754542180804,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy&nbsp;","listText":"A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy&nbsp;","text":"A post to make people sell their shares so that it dips more for them to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/465026930692576","repostId":"1116164422","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116164422","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1754535065,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1116164422?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-08-07 10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116164422","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Too Far, Too Fast. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some,...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Too Far, Too Fast</strong>. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.</p><p>But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. On the surface, the numbers looked fine, with better-than-expected revenue for the June quarter and a robust sales outlook.</p><p>But there are cracks appearing in the story and investors should resist the temptation to buy on the dip. Evidence suggests AMD shares are a risky opportunity at current levels.</p><p>Wall Street tends to focus on the data center as AMD’s most important end market, where its GPU and server CPU businesses reside. But nearly all the revenue upside came from AMD’s gaming unit, while the data center segment grew just 14% versus the prior year, roughly in line with analysts’ estimates and slower than the unit’s 57% growth in the first quarter.</p><p>Then there’s the outlook for AMD’s AI GPU business. At the company’s Advancing AI event in June, AMD announced its latest AI chips to compete with Nvidia: the AMD Instinct MI350 series. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.</p><p>Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.</p><p>During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.</p><p>Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.</p><p>The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.</p><p>The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.</p><p>The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.</p><p>“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”</p><p>Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.</p><p>At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Isn’t the Next Nvidia. At Least Not Yet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-07 10:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Too Far, Too Fast</strong>. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.</p><p>But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. On the surface, the numbers looked fine, with better-than-expected revenue for the June quarter and a robust sales outlook.</p><p>But there are cracks appearing in the story and investors should resist the temptation to buy on the dip. Evidence suggests AMD shares are a risky opportunity at current levels.</p><p>Wall Street tends to focus on the data center as AMD’s most important end market, where its GPU and server CPU businesses reside. But nearly all the revenue upside came from AMD’s gaming unit, while the data center segment grew just 14% versus the prior year, roughly in line with analysts’ estimates and slower than the unit’s 57% growth in the first quarter.</p><p>Then there’s the outlook for AMD’s AI GPU business. At the company’s Advancing AI event in June, AMD announced its latest AI chips to compete with Nvidia: the AMD Instinct MI350 series. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.</p><p>Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.</p><p>During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.</p><p>Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.</p><p>The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.</p><p>The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.</p><p>The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.</p><p>“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”</p><p>Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.</p><p>At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116164422","content_text":"Too Far, Too Fast. Hi everyone. Advanced Micro Devices has surged in recent months on growing optimism that it will be another winner in the artificial-intelligence infrastructure trade. For some, AMD even holds the hope of being Nvidia Part Two—a chip maker that can remake itself on the back of AI.But caution is in order. On Wednesday, AMD shares were down 6.5%, a day after the company reported solid second quarter earnings results. On the surface, the numbers looked fine, with better-than-expected revenue for the June quarter and a robust sales outlook.But there are cracks appearing in the story and investors should resist the temptation to buy on the dip. Evidence suggests AMD shares are a risky opportunity at current levels.Wall Street tends to focus on the data center as AMD’s most important end market, where its GPU and server CPU businesses reside. But nearly all the revenue upside came from AMD’s gaming unit, while the data center segment grew just 14% versus the prior year, roughly in line with analysts’ estimates and slower than the unit’s 57% growth in the first quarter.Then there’s the outlook for AMD’s AI GPU business. At the company’s Advancing AI event in June, AMD announced its latest AI chips to compete with Nvidia: the AMD Instinct MI350 series. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an appearance at the event and expressed his excitement over AMD’s future road map, raising investor expectations heading into the quarter.Investors have been growing more optimistic about AI-related stocks as large technology companies have raised their capital expenditure spending plans this earnings season. AMD shares participated in the rally. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock is up 44% this year, with a 73% gain over the last three months. Nvidia shares, by comparison, are up 33% this year and 57% over the last three months.During AMD’s earnings call on Tuesday, analysts wanted clarity on whether the MI350 would quickly take advantage of robust AI infrastructure demand. But the picture they were given was vague, driving AMD stock lower in after hours.Analysts asked AMD management several times for more details on the company’s second-half revenue outlook around the AI GPU business. Each time, and unlike last year, AMD CEO Lisa Su declined to give a real forecast. Instead, she said there would be a “steep” production ramp in the second half of the year, while repeatedly emphasizing there is “significant interest” from customers in its MI400 series slated for next year.The hesitancy to get specific on the numbers, the mixed data center performance, and the focus on MI400 suggests AMD’s MI350 may not provide the big revenue boost AMD investors have hoped.The focus on the follow-up MI400 makes sense. The AI data center market has been moving toward “full stack” rack-scale AI servers which incorporate dozens of chips, networking, and software. Nvidia had some initial production hiccups in moving to its own rack-scale GB200 NVL72, which incorporates 72 GPUs linked together inside one server rack, but it is now shipping in volume. The MI400 will be AMD’s first rack-scale, 72 GPU data center AI server offering.The problem is the non-rack-scale MI350 is unlikely to be competitive with Nvidia’s current rack-scale offerings. And it means AMD investors could have to wait at least four quarters before the company’s AI GPU business truly takes off with the MI400 . There is also risk AMD may have trouble building its first rack-scale AI server just like Nvidia did, which could mean delays.“The call on AMD remains the MI4XX [MI400] ramp (in a year), which (on paper at least) is supposed to attempt to close the raw performance gap and bring rack-scale offerings to AMD’s portfolio,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note Wednesday. “Perhaps people will be willing to dream until then. Or, perhaps not.”Given the uncertainty, AMD stock looks fully valued. It trades at 32 times forward earnings, with revenue growth of 32% in its latest quarter. Nvidia trades at a slight premium of 36 times, but its revenue is growing at 69%. And I’d argue that current Wall Street estimates for Nvidia earnings are understated since its GB200/GB300 NVL72 is only now ramping in a big way.At the moment, AMD shares are a bet on the company’s future ability to deliver on its rack-scale AI server, something Nvidia has already done. Until AMD delivers a successful rollout of that MI400 GPU, which won’t happen before next year, the stock is likely to tread water.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":461617454740072,"gmtCreate":1753718025919,"gmtModify":1753718028813,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBET\">$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ </a> This stock is a goner&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBET\">$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ </a> This stock is a goner&nbsp;","text":"$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ This stock is a goner","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/461617454740072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372349704036664,"gmtCreate":1731945408993,"gmtModify":1731948351916,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","text":"$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ MicroStrategy has acquired 51,780 BTC for ~$4.6 billion at ~$88,627 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.4% QTD and 41.8% YTD. As of 11/17/2024, we hodl 331,200 $BTC acquired for ~$16.5 billion at ~$49,874 per bitcoin. $MSTR","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372349704036664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372487489851400,"gmtCreate":1731948540333,"gmtModify":1731949832709,"author":{"id":"3575384433080359","authorId":"3575384433080359","name":"Teavana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f646f94182c801e0c7bc24d7b3f5bbe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575384433080359","idStr":"3575384433080359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Just waiting for bitcoin to die off and everyone will be back to $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372487489851400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}