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Dyllan
2021-06-23
ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb
ARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You
Dyllan
2021-06-16
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Dyllan
2021-06-16
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will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","listText":"ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","text":"ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121656011","repostId":"1104807513","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104807513","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624447558,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104807513?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104807513","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.</li>\n <li>While fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-term ARKK investors know nothing has changed, as secular growth drivers remain well intact.</li>\n <li>Long-term investors should take advantage of its price weakness to add more positions of ARK’s flagship ETF.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK)is a popular ETF among retail investors who wish to gain access to disruptive companies in their respective industries. We present our case on whether ARK has lost its “mojo” as it underperformed the broader index ETFs this year, or whether its highest conviction companies remain at the forefront of benefiting from rapid growth drivers ahead.</p>\n<p>ARKK's Highest Conviction Holdings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d9d114e082d89c9545bffa12cf3fe50\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARKK Top Holdings. Data source: Koyfin</p>\n<p>ARKK lost about 40% during the recent growth stocks rotation that spooked investors in the companies that formed the top ten largest holdings in ARKK, that collectively accounted for more than 50% of the ETF’s holdings. Although the ETF has recovered somewhat from its lows, it remained 26% away from its Feb high. The rotation has also claimed many of its top holdings as they remained some distance below their respective recent highs: Tesla (TSLA): 32%, Teladoc (TDOC): 50%, Roku, Inc (ROKU): 25%, Shopify (SHOP): 2%, Square (SQ): 17%, Zoom (ZM): 37%, Twilio (TWLO): 20%, Spotify (SPOT): 36%, Unity (U): 40% and Coinbase (COIN): 47%.</p>\n<p>ARKK Fund Flows (1Y period). Source: etfdb</p>\n<p>As a result, investors exited the ETF in droves as the fund suffered its worst outflows over the last one year from Mar to May (with a respite in Apr). Our opinion is astute investors took the chance to sell ARKK into strength in Feb as many late buyers to the market couldn’t wait to chase growth stocks to the sky, that also dragged down many fearful investors over these two months.</p>\n<p>We believe no discussion of ARKK is ever complete without focusing on the fundamentals and growth drivers of the ETF’s highest conviction holdings that we summarise below. We believe the secular growth drivers supporting ARKK’s highest conviction holdings have not changed, while their valuations have gotten a lot more attractive.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla: ARK Estimates There is a 50% Chance that TSLA Would Achieve Fully Autonomous Driving by 2025</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7915c3196af23e54013216a209076529\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated U.S. market share of automakers. Data source: GoodCarBadCar.net</p>\n<p>Estimated plug-in EV sales worldwide. Data source: CleanTechnica; EV-Volumes.com</p>\n<p>Investors need no further introduction to TSLA. What’s more important is that while TSLA represented only 2% of the automakers' market share in the U.S., it’s the worldwide leader in EV sales by a fairly large margin. It goes to show the tremendous amount of opportunity for TSLA to capture in the years ahead as the industry’s EV leader.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a1d3ce3dc2d4d9a2265995ad24eb957\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>L4/5 autonomous vehicles market share. Data source: Deloitte</p>\n<p>TSLA investors know that the company’s lead would hardly be confined to just EV, as that’s just the tip of the iceberg. What makes TSLA such a high conviction pick for ARK is how its lead in EV and full self-driving [FSD] development would open up huge potential opportunities for the company. ARK emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n In our last valuation model, ARK assumed that Tesla had a 30% chance of delivering fully autonomous driving in the five years ended 2024. Now,ARK estimates that the probability is 50% by 2025. Since our last forecast, neural networks have solved many complex problems previously considered unsolvable, increasing the probability that robotaxis are viable. ARK estimates that Tesla’s vehicle fleet gives it access to 30-40 million miles of data per day, up from 20 million per day last year. If successful, Tesla could scale its robotaxi service rapidly, allocating the additional cash in turn to manufacturing capacity serving its autonomous network.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The chart above also gives investors an idea on how Tesla’s lead may transform the entire auto industry by 2035 where in the “disruptive” scenario 59% and 66% of vehicles would be Level 4 or 5 autonomous vehicles, giving the market leader an enormous share of the market, just in auto sales alone. We have not even accounted for revenue streams that could come from other areas such as robotaxi service as highlighted by ARK.</p>\n<p>Of course, not everyone agrees with Tesla’s approach, especially Waymo (unsurprisingly), as well asGuidehouse Insightswho ranked Tesla last again and Waymo first in its latest guide on autonomous driving. Guidehouse said:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing its automated driving system [ADS]. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely undelivered. Until Tesla is more honest it is unlikely to improve in the rankings of this leaderboard.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In addition, Waymo who had long doubted Tesla’s approach to FSD also weighed in again early this year as CEO John Krafcik emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n For us,Tesla is not a competitor at all. We manufacture a completely autonomous driving system. Tesla is an automaker that is developing a really good driver assistance system. It is a misconception that you can just keep developing a driver assistance system until one day you can magically leap to a fully autonomous driving system. In terms of robustness and accuracy, for example, our sensors are orders of magnitude better than what we see on the road from other manufacturers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For investors, the jury is definitely still out on whether Tesla would be able to succeed, although ARK has long rested its case on TSLA as its highest conviction holding. Investors are encouraged to visitARK’s assumptionswhich detail their assumptions on their bullish stance.</p>\n<p><b>TDOC: Telemedicine Market is Expected to Grow at More Than 20% CAGR over the Next 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Projected Global Telemedicine market. Data Source: thebusinessresearchcompany.com (TBRC)</p>\n<p>From the chart above we could clearly see that TDOC operates within arapidly growing telemedicine market, that is expected to grow from just $49.9B in 2019 to $459.8B by 2030 in 11 years, which would represent an incredible 25.9% CAGR.</p>\n<p>Telemedicine’s growth had started well before COVID-19 pandemic hit that was then accelerated by the pandemic. However, investors who do not understand TDOC’s growth drivers often lamented that the company’s growth and raison d'être would fizzle out once vaccinations and economies’ reopenings took over. We believe these investors were truly mistaken as TDOC is still expected to generate YoY revenue growth rates in excess of 25% moving forward, that for the emerging leader in telemedicine may even have been on the conservative side as it’s “merely” largely in line with the market’s expected CAGR. Therefore, TDOC’s growth prospects look extremely exciting.</p>\n<p><b>Invest in ARKK or Invest in its Highest Conviction Companies?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e60603b189daf2329303be82b4b0f98\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>TSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>TSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Growth investors often find themselves undecided on whether to invest in the underlying stocks directly or invest through ARKK. While we don’t think there is a simple answer to this, investors should consider the key benefits of investing in ARKK as compared to investing directly in the underlying stocks.</p>\n<p>While companies such as TSLA and TDOC have massive potential as we could see from both the charts above where their valuations are expected to drop significantly as they continued to scale up and achieve their growth targets (assuming EV remains the same though it’s unrealistic if the companies continue to execute their growth strategies well). However, the fact of the matter remains that their valuations are not cheap whether basing off EBIT or FCF (using EBITDA - CapEx as a proxy) as shown clearly above.</p>\n<p>Therefore, by investing in ARKK you put your money in a widely diversified ETF that’s focused on disruptive companies that are expected to be the leader in the future, although some may not end up to be. Therefore, by investing in ARKK, investors could simply dedicate a disciplined proportion of their portfolio that they are willing to allocate to such disruptive stocks, without the need to fill up their portfolio with lots of them, and taking more risks than what may be appropriate. In addition, as such companies are usually emerging leaders in their respective fields, investors would need to do a lot of groundwork to keep pace with their investments in order to continue evaluating the quality of their thesis moving forward. However, ARK does all the heavy lifting for investors as ARK would actively manage those holdings and would reduce or add exposures to its stocks whenever necessary.</p>\n<p>Therefore, we gladly hold ARKK along with some of the underlying stocks within the ETF in order to benefit from a wide range of disruptive companies that we do not intend to hold as our underlying holdings but wish to gain an exposure to, while holding on to some of ARK's highest conviction picks as our core holdings.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746f2145c66a240d1b7f32f44ab29c61\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARKK has a strong uptrend bias that has been supported along the 20W moving average until it was lost during the rotation we saw between Feb and May. However, it seems like most of the inventory has already been unloaded by the weak holders as $105 looks like a strong support level that has held up well, that also coincided with the 50W moving average. We think that long term investors should not find the current price expensive even though ARKK has recovered somewhat from its May lows. The long term growth drivers remain highly attractive for its underlying stocks and investors should take advantage of the price weakness to initiate or add to ARK’s flagship ETF.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p>\n<p>ARKK represents a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to companies that are expected to grow rapidly and establish themselves as the undisputed leaders in their respective industries.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:25 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.\nWhile fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104807513","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.\nWhile fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-term ARKK investors know nothing has changed, as secular growth drivers remain well intact.\nLong-term investors should take advantage of its price weakness to add more positions of ARK’s flagship ETF.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK)is a popular ETF among retail investors who wish to gain access to disruptive companies in their respective industries. We present our case on whether ARK has lost its “mojo” as it underperformed the broader index ETFs this year, or whether its highest conviction companies remain at the forefront of benefiting from rapid growth drivers ahead.\nARKK's Highest Conviction Holdings\n\nARKK Top Holdings. Data source: Koyfin\nARKK lost about 40% during the recent growth stocks rotation that spooked investors in the companies that formed the top ten largest holdings in ARKK, that collectively accounted for more than 50% of the ETF’s holdings. Although the ETF has recovered somewhat from its lows, it remained 26% away from its Feb high. The rotation has also claimed many of its top holdings as they remained some distance below their respective recent highs: Tesla (TSLA): 32%, Teladoc (TDOC): 50%, Roku, Inc (ROKU): 25%, Shopify (SHOP): 2%, Square (SQ): 17%, Zoom (ZM): 37%, Twilio (TWLO): 20%, Spotify (SPOT): 36%, Unity (U): 40% and Coinbase (COIN): 47%.\nARKK Fund Flows (1Y period). Source: etfdb\nAs a result, investors exited the ETF in droves as the fund suffered its worst outflows over the last one year from Mar to May (with a respite in Apr). Our opinion is astute investors took the chance to sell ARKK into strength in Feb as many late buyers to the market couldn’t wait to chase growth stocks to the sky, that also dragged down many fearful investors over these two months.\nWe believe no discussion of ARKK is ever complete without focusing on the fundamentals and growth drivers of the ETF’s highest conviction holdings that we summarise below. We believe the secular growth drivers supporting ARKK’s highest conviction holdings have not changed, while their valuations have gotten a lot more attractive.\nTesla: ARK Estimates There is a 50% Chance that TSLA Would Achieve Fully Autonomous Driving by 2025\n\nEstimated U.S. market share of automakers. Data source: GoodCarBadCar.net\nEstimated plug-in EV sales worldwide. Data source: CleanTechnica; EV-Volumes.com\nInvestors need no further introduction to TSLA. What’s more important is that while TSLA represented only 2% of the automakers' market share in the U.S., it’s the worldwide leader in EV sales by a fairly large margin. It goes to show the tremendous amount of opportunity for TSLA to capture in the years ahead as the industry’s EV leader.\n\nL4/5 autonomous vehicles market share. Data source: Deloitte\nTSLA investors know that the company’s lead would hardly be confined to just EV, as that’s just the tip of the iceberg. What makes TSLA such a high conviction pick for ARK is how its lead in EV and full self-driving [FSD] development would open up huge potential opportunities for the company. ARK emphasized:\n\n In our last valuation model, ARK assumed that Tesla had a 30% chance of delivering fully autonomous driving in the five years ended 2024. Now,ARK estimates that the probability is 50% by 2025. Since our last forecast, neural networks have solved many complex problems previously considered unsolvable, increasing the probability that robotaxis are viable. ARK estimates that Tesla’s vehicle fleet gives it access to 30-40 million miles of data per day, up from 20 million per day last year. If successful, Tesla could scale its robotaxi service rapidly, allocating the additional cash in turn to manufacturing capacity serving its autonomous network.\n\nThe chart above also gives investors an idea on how Tesla’s lead may transform the entire auto industry by 2035 where in the “disruptive” scenario 59% and 66% of vehicles would be Level 4 or 5 autonomous vehicles, giving the market leader an enormous share of the market, just in auto sales alone. We have not even accounted for revenue streams that could come from other areas such as robotaxi service as highlighted by ARK.\nOf course, not everyone agrees with Tesla’s approach, especially Waymo (unsurprisingly), as well asGuidehouse Insightswho ranked Tesla last again and Waymo first in its latest guide on autonomous driving. Guidehouse said:\n\n “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing its automated driving system [ADS]. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely undelivered. Until Tesla is more honest it is unlikely to improve in the rankings of this leaderboard.\"\n\nIn addition, Waymo who had long doubted Tesla’s approach to FSD also weighed in again early this year as CEO John Krafcik emphasized:\n\n For us,Tesla is not a competitor at all. We manufacture a completely autonomous driving system. Tesla is an automaker that is developing a really good driver assistance system. It is a misconception that you can just keep developing a driver assistance system until one day you can magically leap to a fully autonomous driving system. In terms of robustness and accuracy, for example, our sensors are orders of magnitude better than what we see on the road from other manufacturers.\n\nFor investors, the jury is definitely still out on whether Tesla would be able to succeed, although ARK has long rested its case on TSLA as its highest conviction holding. Investors are encouraged to visitARK’s assumptionswhich detail their assumptions on their bullish stance.\nTDOC: Telemedicine Market is Expected to Grow at More Than 20% CAGR over the Next 10 Years\nProjected Global Telemedicine market. Data Source: thebusinessresearchcompany.com (TBRC)\nFrom the chart above we could clearly see that TDOC operates within arapidly growing telemedicine market, that is expected to grow from just $49.9B in 2019 to $459.8B by 2030 in 11 years, which would represent an incredible 25.9% CAGR.\nTelemedicine’s growth had started well before COVID-19 pandemic hit that was then accelerated by the pandemic. However, investors who do not understand TDOC’s growth drivers often lamented that the company’s growth and raison d'être would fizzle out once vaccinations and economies’ reopenings took over. We believe these investors were truly mistaken as TDOC is still expected to generate YoY revenue growth rates in excess of 25% moving forward, that for the emerging leader in telemedicine may even have been on the conservative side as it’s “merely” largely in line with the market’s expected CAGR. Therefore, TDOC’s growth prospects look extremely exciting.\nInvest in ARKK or Invest in its Highest Conviction Companies?\n\nTSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nTSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nGrowth investors often find themselves undecided on whether to invest in the underlying stocks directly or invest through ARKK. While we don’t think there is a simple answer to this, investors should consider the key benefits of investing in ARKK as compared to investing directly in the underlying stocks.\nWhile companies such as TSLA and TDOC have massive potential as we could see from both the charts above where their valuations are expected to drop significantly as they continued to scale up and achieve their growth targets (assuming EV remains the same though it’s unrealistic if the companies continue to execute their growth strategies well). However, the fact of the matter remains that their valuations are not cheap whether basing off EBIT or FCF (using EBITDA - CapEx as a proxy) as shown clearly above.\nTherefore, by investing in ARKK you put your money in a widely diversified ETF that’s focused on disruptive companies that are expected to be the leader in the future, although some may not end up to be. Therefore, by investing in ARKK, investors could simply dedicate a disciplined proportion of their portfolio that they are willing to allocate to such disruptive stocks, without the need to fill up their portfolio with lots of them, and taking more risks than what may be appropriate. In addition, as such companies are usually emerging leaders in their respective fields, investors would need to do a lot of groundwork to keep pace with their investments in order to continue evaluating the quality of their thesis moving forward. However, ARK does all the heavy lifting for investors as ARK would actively manage those holdings and would reduce or add exposures to its stocks whenever necessary.\nTherefore, we gladly hold ARKK along with some of the underlying stocks within the ETF in order to benefit from a wide range of disruptive companies that we do not intend to hold as our underlying holdings but wish to gain an exposure to, while holding on to some of ARK's highest conviction picks as our core holdings.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nARKK has a strong uptrend bias that has been supported along the 20W moving average until it was lost during the rotation we saw between Feb and May. However, it seems like most of the inventory has already been unloaded by the weak holders as $105 looks like a strong support level that has held up well, that also coincided with the 50W moving average. We think that long term investors should not find the current price expensive even though ARKK has recovered somewhat from its May lows. The long term growth drivers remain highly attractive for its underlying stocks and investors should take advantage of the price weakness to initiate or add to ARK’s flagship ETF.\nWrapping It All Up\nARKK represents a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to companies that are expected to grow rapidly and establish themselves as the undisputed leaders in their respective industries.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163018893,"gmtCreate":1623853255912,"gmtModify":1703821499853,"author":{"id":"3576561613399364","authorId":"3576561613399364","name":"Dyllan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561613399364","authorIdStr":"3576561613399364"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give a like!","listText":"Give a like!","text":"Give a like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163018893","repostId":"1128941988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163010843,"gmtCreate":1623853150182,"gmtModify":1703821494944,"author":{"id":"3576561613399364","authorId":"3576561613399364","name":"Dyllan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561613399364","authorIdStr":"3576561613399364"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"????","listText":"????","text":"????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163010843","repostId":"1100405031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":121656011,"gmtCreate":1624463038533,"gmtModify":1703837605993,"author":{"id":"3576561613399364","authorId":"3576561613399364","name":"Dyllan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561613399364","authorIdStr":"3576561613399364"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","listText":"ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","text":"ETF will not go wrong. Unless Tesla goes down, expect ark to continue to climb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121656011","repostId":"1104807513","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104807513","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624447558,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104807513?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104807513","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.</li>\n <li>While fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-term ARKK investors know nothing has changed, as secular growth drivers remain well intact.</li>\n <li>Long-term investors should take advantage of its price weakness to add more positions of ARK’s flagship ETF.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK)is a popular ETF among retail investors who wish to gain access to disruptive companies in their respective industries. We present our case on whether ARK has lost its “mojo” as it underperformed the broader index ETFs this year, or whether its highest conviction companies remain at the forefront of benefiting from rapid growth drivers ahead.</p>\n<p>ARKK's Highest Conviction Holdings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d9d114e082d89c9545bffa12cf3fe50\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARKK Top Holdings. Data source: Koyfin</p>\n<p>ARKK lost about 40% during the recent growth stocks rotation that spooked investors in the companies that formed the top ten largest holdings in ARKK, that collectively accounted for more than 50% of the ETF’s holdings. Although the ETF has recovered somewhat from its lows, it remained 26% away from its Feb high. The rotation has also claimed many of its top holdings as they remained some distance below their respective recent highs: Tesla (TSLA): 32%, Teladoc (TDOC): 50%, Roku, Inc (ROKU): 25%, Shopify (SHOP): 2%, Square (SQ): 17%, Zoom (ZM): 37%, Twilio (TWLO): 20%, Spotify (SPOT): 36%, Unity (U): 40% and Coinbase (COIN): 47%.</p>\n<p>ARKK Fund Flows (1Y period). Source: etfdb</p>\n<p>As a result, investors exited the ETF in droves as the fund suffered its worst outflows over the last one year from Mar to May (with a respite in Apr). Our opinion is astute investors took the chance to sell ARKK into strength in Feb as many late buyers to the market couldn’t wait to chase growth stocks to the sky, that also dragged down many fearful investors over these two months.</p>\n<p>We believe no discussion of ARKK is ever complete without focusing on the fundamentals and growth drivers of the ETF’s highest conviction holdings that we summarise below. We believe the secular growth drivers supporting ARKK’s highest conviction holdings have not changed, while their valuations have gotten a lot more attractive.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla: ARK Estimates There is a 50% Chance that TSLA Would Achieve Fully Autonomous Driving by 2025</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7915c3196af23e54013216a209076529\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated U.S. market share of automakers. Data source: GoodCarBadCar.net</p>\n<p>Estimated plug-in EV sales worldwide. Data source: CleanTechnica; EV-Volumes.com</p>\n<p>Investors need no further introduction to TSLA. What’s more important is that while TSLA represented only 2% of the automakers' market share in the U.S., it’s the worldwide leader in EV sales by a fairly large margin. It goes to show the tremendous amount of opportunity for TSLA to capture in the years ahead as the industry’s EV leader.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a1d3ce3dc2d4d9a2265995ad24eb957\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>L4/5 autonomous vehicles market share. Data source: Deloitte</p>\n<p>TSLA investors know that the company’s lead would hardly be confined to just EV, as that’s just the tip of the iceberg. What makes TSLA such a high conviction pick for ARK is how its lead in EV and full self-driving [FSD] development would open up huge potential opportunities for the company. ARK emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n In our last valuation model, ARK assumed that Tesla had a 30% chance of delivering fully autonomous driving in the five years ended 2024. Now,ARK estimates that the probability is 50% by 2025. Since our last forecast, neural networks have solved many complex problems previously considered unsolvable, increasing the probability that robotaxis are viable. ARK estimates that Tesla’s vehicle fleet gives it access to 30-40 million miles of data per day, up from 20 million per day last year. If successful, Tesla could scale its robotaxi service rapidly, allocating the additional cash in turn to manufacturing capacity serving its autonomous network.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The chart above also gives investors an idea on how Tesla’s lead may transform the entire auto industry by 2035 where in the “disruptive” scenario 59% and 66% of vehicles would be Level 4 or 5 autonomous vehicles, giving the market leader an enormous share of the market, just in auto sales alone. We have not even accounted for revenue streams that could come from other areas such as robotaxi service as highlighted by ARK.</p>\n<p>Of course, not everyone agrees with Tesla’s approach, especially Waymo (unsurprisingly), as well asGuidehouse Insightswho ranked Tesla last again and Waymo first in its latest guide on autonomous driving. Guidehouse said:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing its automated driving system [ADS]. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely undelivered. Until Tesla is more honest it is unlikely to improve in the rankings of this leaderboard.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In addition, Waymo who had long doubted Tesla’s approach to FSD also weighed in again early this year as CEO John Krafcik emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n For us,Tesla is not a competitor at all. We manufacture a completely autonomous driving system. Tesla is an automaker that is developing a really good driver assistance system. It is a misconception that you can just keep developing a driver assistance system until one day you can magically leap to a fully autonomous driving system. In terms of robustness and accuracy, for example, our sensors are orders of magnitude better than what we see on the road from other manufacturers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For investors, the jury is definitely still out on whether Tesla would be able to succeed, although ARK has long rested its case on TSLA as its highest conviction holding. Investors are encouraged to visitARK’s assumptionswhich detail their assumptions on their bullish stance.</p>\n<p><b>TDOC: Telemedicine Market is Expected to Grow at More Than 20% CAGR over the Next 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Projected Global Telemedicine market. Data Source: thebusinessresearchcompany.com (TBRC)</p>\n<p>From the chart above we could clearly see that TDOC operates within arapidly growing telemedicine market, that is expected to grow from just $49.9B in 2019 to $459.8B by 2030 in 11 years, which would represent an incredible 25.9% CAGR.</p>\n<p>Telemedicine’s growth had started well before COVID-19 pandemic hit that was then accelerated by the pandemic. However, investors who do not understand TDOC’s growth drivers often lamented that the company’s growth and raison d'être would fizzle out once vaccinations and economies’ reopenings took over. We believe these investors were truly mistaken as TDOC is still expected to generate YoY revenue growth rates in excess of 25% moving forward, that for the emerging leader in telemedicine may even have been on the conservative side as it’s “merely” largely in line with the market’s expected CAGR. Therefore, TDOC’s growth prospects look extremely exciting.</p>\n<p><b>Invest in ARKK or Invest in its Highest Conviction Companies?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e60603b189daf2329303be82b4b0f98\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>TSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>TSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Growth investors often find themselves undecided on whether to invest in the underlying stocks directly or invest through ARKK. While we don’t think there is a simple answer to this, investors should consider the key benefits of investing in ARKK as compared to investing directly in the underlying stocks.</p>\n<p>While companies such as TSLA and TDOC have massive potential as we could see from both the charts above where their valuations are expected to drop significantly as they continued to scale up and achieve their growth targets (assuming EV remains the same though it’s unrealistic if the companies continue to execute their growth strategies well). However, the fact of the matter remains that their valuations are not cheap whether basing off EBIT or FCF (using EBITDA - CapEx as a proxy) as shown clearly above.</p>\n<p>Therefore, by investing in ARKK you put your money in a widely diversified ETF that’s focused on disruptive companies that are expected to be the leader in the future, although some may not end up to be. Therefore, by investing in ARKK, investors could simply dedicate a disciplined proportion of their portfolio that they are willing to allocate to such disruptive stocks, without the need to fill up their portfolio with lots of them, and taking more risks than what may be appropriate. In addition, as such companies are usually emerging leaders in their respective fields, investors would need to do a lot of groundwork to keep pace with their investments in order to continue evaluating the quality of their thesis moving forward. However, ARK does all the heavy lifting for investors as ARK would actively manage those holdings and would reduce or add exposures to its stocks whenever necessary.</p>\n<p>Therefore, we gladly hold ARKK along with some of the underlying stocks within the ETF in order to benefit from a wide range of disruptive companies that we do not intend to hold as our underlying holdings but wish to gain an exposure to, while holding on to some of ARK's highest conviction picks as our core holdings.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746f2145c66a240d1b7f32f44ab29c61\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARKK has a strong uptrend bias that has been supported along the 20W moving average until it was lost during the rotation we saw between Feb and May. However, it seems like most of the inventory has already been unloaded by the weak holders as $105 looks like a strong support level that has held up well, that also coincided with the 50W moving average. We think that long term investors should not find the current price expensive even though ARKK has recovered somewhat from its May lows. The long term growth drivers remain highly attractive for its underlying stocks and investors should take advantage of the price weakness to initiate or add to ARK’s flagship ETF.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p>\n<p>ARKK represents a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to companies that are expected to grow rapidly and establish themselves as the undisputed leaders in their respective industries.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARKK: Buy On Weakness Before It Leaves Without You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:25 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.\nWhile fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435995-arkk-buy-on-weakness-before-it-leaves-without-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104807513","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Innovation ETF lost almost 40% from its Feb high to the depths in May as it also experienced its worst fund outflows in over a year.\nWhile fear took over many of ARKK’s investors, long-term ARKK investors know nothing has changed, as secular growth drivers remain well intact.\nLong-term investors should take advantage of its price weakness to add more positions of ARK’s flagship ETF.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK)is a popular ETF among retail investors who wish to gain access to disruptive companies in their respective industries. We present our case on whether ARK has lost its “mojo” as it underperformed the broader index ETFs this year, or whether its highest conviction companies remain at the forefront of benefiting from rapid growth drivers ahead.\nARKK's Highest Conviction Holdings\n\nARKK Top Holdings. Data source: Koyfin\nARKK lost about 40% during the recent growth stocks rotation that spooked investors in the companies that formed the top ten largest holdings in ARKK, that collectively accounted for more than 50% of the ETF’s holdings. Although the ETF has recovered somewhat from its lows, it remained 26% away from its Feb high. The rotation has also claimed many of its top holdings as they remained some distance below their respective recent highs: Tesla (TSLA): 32%, Teladoc (TDOC): 50%, Roku, Inc (ROKU): 25%, Shopify (SHOP): 2%, Square (SQ): 17%, Zoom (ZM): 37%, Twilio (TWLO): 20%, Spotify (SPOT): 36%, Unity (U): 40% and Coinbase (COIN): 47%.\nARKK Fund Flows (1Y period). Source: etfdb\nAs a result, investors exited the ETF in droves as the fund suffered its worst outflows over the last one year from Mar to May (with a respite in Apr). Our opinion is astute investors took the chance to sell ARKK into strength in Feb as many late buyers to the market couldn’t wait to chase growth stocks to the sky, that also dragged down many fearful investors over these two months.\nWe believe no discussion of ARKK is ever complete without focusing on the fundamentals and growth drivers of the ETF’s highest conviction holdings that we summarise below. We believe the secular growth drivers supporting ARKK’s highest conviction holdings have not changed, while their valuations have gotten a lot more attractive.\nTesla: ARK Estimates There is a 50% Chance that TSLA Would Achieve Fully Autonomous Driving by 2025\n\nEstimated U.S. market share of automakers. Data source: GoodCarBadCar.net\nEstimated plug-in EV sales worldwide. Data source: CleanTechnica; EV-Volumes.com\nInvestors need no further introduction to TSLA. What’s more important is that while TSLA represented only 2% of the automakers' market share in the U.S., it’s the worldwide leader in EV sales by a fairly large margin. It goes to show the tremendous amount of opportunity for TSLA to capture in the years ahead as the industry’s EV leader.\n\nL4/5 autonomous vehicles market share. Data source: Deloitte\nTSLA investors know that the company’s lead would hardly be confined to just EV, as that’s just the tip of the iceberg. What makes TSLA such a high conviction pick for ARK is how its lead in EV and full self-driving [FSD] development would open up huge potential opportunities for the company. ARK emphasized:\n\n In our last valuation model, ARK assumed that Tesla had a 30% chance of delivering fully autonomous driving in the five years ended 2024. Now,ARK estimates that the probability is 50% by 2025. Since our last forecast, neural networks have solved many complex problems previously considered unsolvable, increasing the probability that robotaxis are viable. ARK estimates that Tesla’s vehicle fleet gives it access to 30-40 million miles of data per day, up from 20 million per day last year. If successful, Tesla could scale its robotaxi service rapidly, allocating the additional cash in turn to manufacturing capacity serving its autonomous network.\n\nThe chart above also gives investors an idea on how Tesla’s lead may transform the entire auto industry by 2035 where in the “disruptive” scenario 59% and 66% of vehicles would be Level 4 or 5 autonomous vehicles, giving the market leader an enormous share of the market, just in auto sales alone. We have not even accounted for revenue streams that could come from other areas such as robotaxi service as highlighted by ARK.\nOf course, not everyone agrees with Tesla’s approach, especially Waymo (unsurprisingly), as well asGuidehouse Insightswho ranked Tesla last again and Waymo first in its latest guide on autonomous driving. Guidehouse said:\n\n “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing its automated driving system [ADS]. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely undelivered. Until Tesla is more honest it is unlikely to improve in the rankings of this leaderboard.\"\n\nIn addition, Waymo who had long doubted Tesla’s approach to FSD also weighed in again early this year as CEO John Krafcik emphasized:\n\n For us,Tesla is not a competitor at all. We manufacture a completely autonomous driving system. Tesla is an automaker that is developing a really good driver assistance system. It is a misconception that you can just keep developing a driver assistance system until one day you can magically leap to a fully autonomous driving system. In terms of robustness and accuracy, for example, our sensors are orders of magnitude better than what we see on the road from other manufacturers.\n\nFor investors, the jury is definitely still out on whether Tesla would be able to succeed, although ARK has long rested its case on TSLA as its highest conviction holding. Investors are encouraged to visitARK’s assumptionswhich detail their assumptions on their bullish stance.\nTDOC: Telemedicine Market is Expected to Grow at More Than 20% CAGR over the Next 10 Years\nProjected Global Telemedicine market. Data Source: thebusinessresearchcompany.com (TBRC)\nFrom the chart above we could clearly see that TDOC operates within arapidly growing telemedicine market, that is expected to grow from just $49.9B in 2019 to $459.8B by 2030 in 11 years, which would represent an incredible 25.9% CAGR.\nTelemedicine’s growth had started well before COVID-19 pandemic hit that was then accelerated by the pandemic. However, investors who do not understand TDOC’s growth drivers often lamented that the company’s growth and raison d'être would fizzle out once vaccinations and economies’ reopenings took over. We believe these investors were truly mistaken as TDOC is still expected to generate YoY revenue growth rates in excess of 25% moving forward, that for the emerging leader in telemedicine may even have been on the conservative side as it’s “merely” largely in line with the market’s expected CAGR. Therefore, TDOC’s growth prospects look extremely exciting.\nInvest in ARKK or Invest in its Highest Conviction Companies?\n\nTSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nTSLA and TDOC EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nGrowth investors often find themselves undecided on whether to invest in the underlying stocks directly or invest through ARKK. While we don’t think there is a simple answer to this, investors should consider the key benefits of investing in ARKK as compared to investing directly in the underlying stocks.\nWhile companies such as TSLA and TDOC have massive potential as we could see from both the charts above where their valuations are expected to drop significantly as they continued to scale up and achieve their growth targets (assuming EV remains the same though it’s unrealistic if the companies continue to execute their growth strategies well). However, the fact of the matter remains that their valuations are not cheap whether basing off EBIT or FCF (using EBITDA - CapEx as a proxy) as shown clearly above.\nTherefore, by investing in ARKK you put your money in a widely diversified ETF that’s focused on disruptive companies that are expected to be the leader in the future, although some may not end up to be. Therefore, by investing in ARKK, investors could simply dedicate a disciplined proportion of their portfolio that they are willing to allocate to such disruptive stocks, without the need to fill up their portfolio with lots of them, and taking more risks than what may be appropriate. In addition, as such companies are usually emerging leaders in their respective fields, investors would need to do a lot of groundwork to keep pace with their investments in order to continue evaluating the quality of their thesis moving forward. However, ARK does all the heavy lifting for investors as ARK would actively manage those holdings and would reduce or add exposures to its stocks whenever necessary.\nTherefore, we gladly hold ARKK along with some of the underlying stocks within the ETF in order to benefit from a wide range of disruptive companies that we do not intend to hold as our underlying holdings but wish to gain an exposure to, while holding on to some of ARK's highest conviction picks as our core holdings.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nARKK has a strong uptrend bias that has been supported along the 20W moving average until it was lost during the rotation we saw between Feb and May. However, it seems like most of the inventory has already been unloaded by the weak holders as $105 looks like a strong support level that has held up well, that also coincided with the 50W moving average. We think that long term investors should not find the current price expensive even though ARKK has recovered somewhat from its May lows. The long term growth drivers remain highly attractive for its underlying stocks and investors should take advantage of the price weakness to initiate or add to ARK’s flagship ETF.\nWrapping It All Up\nARKK represents a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to companies that are expected to grow rapidly and establish themselves as the undisputed leaders in their respective industries.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163018893,"gmtCreate":1623853255912,"gmtModify":1703821499853,"author":{"id":"3576561613399364","authorId":"3576561613399364","name":"Dyllan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561613399364","authorIdStr":"3576561613399364"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give a like!","listText":"Give a like!","text":"Give a like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163018893","repostId":"1128941988","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128941988","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623841860,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128941988?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 19:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128941988","media":"Reuters","summary":"PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flight","content":"<p>PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.</p>\n<p>The programme, known within Airbus as Project Connect, aims to certify its A350 jet for single-pilot operations during high-altitude cruise, starting in 2025 on Cathay passenger flights, the sources said.</p>\n<p>High hurdles remain on the path to international acceptance. Once cleared, longer flights would become possible with a pair of pilots alternating rest breaks, instead of the three or four currently needed to maintain at least two in the cockpit.</p>\n<p>That promises savings for airlines, amid uncertainty over the post-pandemic economics of intercontinental flying. But it is likely to encounter resistance from pilots already hit by mass layoffs, and safety concerns about aircraft automation.</p>\n<p>Lufthansa has also worked on the single-pilot programme but currently has no plans to use it, a spokesman for the German carrier told Reuters.</p>\n<p>Cathay Pacific Airways confirmed its involvement but said no decision had been made on eventual deployment.</p>\n<p>\"While we are engaging with Airbus in the development of the concept of reduced crew operations, we have not committed in any way to being the launch customer,\" the Hong Kong carrier said.</p>\n<p>Commercial implementation would first require extensive testing, regulatory approval and pilot training with \"absolutely no compromise on safety\", Cathay said.</p>\n<p>\"The appropriateness and effectiveness of any such rollout as well as (the) overall cost-benefit analysis (will) ultimately depend on how the pandemic plays out.\"</p>\n<p>It added: \"Having said that, we will continue to engage with Airbus and to support development of the concept.\"</p>\n<p>Airbus has previously disclosed plans to add single-pilot capability to the A350, but the airlines' participation had not been reported. Work has resumed after the COVID-19 crisis paused the programme, Chief Test Pilot Christophe Cail said.</p>\n<p>\"We've proven over decades we can enhance safety by putting the latest technology in aircraft,\" Cail told Reuters, declining to identify project partners. \"As for any design evolution, we are working with airlines.\"</p>\n<p>VITAL SIGNS</p>\n<p>Safe deployment will require constant monitoring of the solo pilot's alertness and vital signs by on-board systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has said.</p>\n<p>If the flight encounters a problem or the pilot flying is incapacitated, the resting copilot can be summoned within minutes. Both remain in the cockpit for take-off and landing.</p>\n<p>\"Typically on long-haul flights when you're at cruise altitude there's very little happening in the cockpit,\" EASA chief Patrick Ky told a German press briefing in January.</p>\n<p>\"It makes sense to say OK, instead of having two in the cockpit, we can have one in the cockpit, the other one taking a rest, provided we're implementing technical solutions which make sure that if the single one falls asleep or has any problem, there won't be any unsafe conditions.\"</p>\n<p>Pilot groups have voiced alarm.</p>\n<p>\"We struggle to understand the rationale,\" said Otjan de Bruijn, head of the European Cockpit Association representing EU pilots.</p>\n<p>Invoking the 737 MAX crisis, which exposed Boeing's inappropriate links to U.S. regulators, De Bruijn said the programme's cost-cutting approach \"could lead to higher risks\".</p>\n<p>Single-pilot operations, currently limited to planes with up to nine passengers, would need backing from U.N. aviation body ICAO and countries whose airspace they cross. China's support is key to any Cathay deployment.</p>\n<p>EASA plans consultations this year and certification work in 2022, while acknowledging \"significant risk\" to the 2025 launch date, a spokesman said.</p>\n<p>In a closed-door industry briefing this year, the agency suggested reduced-crew flights would begin with a single operator, according to notes of the meeting reviewed by Reuters.</p>\n<p>EMERGENCY DESCENT</p>\n<p>Airbus has designed an A350 autopilot upgrade and flight warning system changes to help a lone pilot manage failures, sources close to the project said.</p>\n<p>The mid-sized plane is suitable because of its \"emergency descent\" feature that quickly reduces altitude without pilot input in the event of cabin depressurisation.</p>\n<p>Proponents suggest single-pilot operations may be accepted by a flying public used to crew leaving the cockpit for bathroom breaks. They also point to higher error rates from human pilots than automated systems.</p>\n<p>Both arguments miss the point, according to a source close to Lufthansa - who said the airline's executives were advised last year that the programme could not meet safety goals.</p>\n<p>Flying solo for hours is a \"completely different story\", the source said, citing the 2009 AF447 disaster as an example of malfunctions occurring in cruise. The Air France A330's copilots lost control after its speed sensors failed over the Atlantic, while the captain was resting.</p>\n<p>\"Airbus would have had to make sure every situation can be handled autonomously without any pilot input for 15 minutes,\" the source said. \"And that couldn't be guaranteed.\"</p>\n<p>Lufthansa has not withdrawn from Project Connect and remains involved as an adviser, its spokesman said.</p>\n<p>While the airline has no plans to deploy single-pilot operations, he added, \"the suggestion that Lufthansa was an essential part of the project and then pulled back is not true.\"</p>\n<p>Single-pilot capability would add an A350 sales argument, experts say, and rival Boeing lacks an equivalent model with sufficient automation.</p>\n<p>Filippo Tomasello, a former EASA official, said the payroll and accommodation savings for long-haul crew would not be lost on airlines.</p>\n<p>\"COVID may end up accelerating this evolution because it's putting tremendous economic pressure on aviation,\" Tomasello predicted.</p>\n<p>\"If EASA certifies this solution, airlines will use it.\"</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 19:11 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-cathay-working-airbus-single-110037523.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.\nThe programme, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-cathay-working-airbus-single-110037523.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-cathay-working-airbus-single-110037523.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128941988","content_text":"PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.\nThe programme, known within Airbus as Project Connect, aims to certify its A350 jet for single-pilot operations during high-altitude cruise, starting in 2025 on Cathay passenger flights, the sources said.\nHigh hurdles remain on the path to international acceptance. Once cleared, longer flights would become possible with a pair of pilots alternating rest breaks, instead of the three or four currently needed to maintain at least two in the cockpit.\nThat promises savings for airlines, amid uncertainty over the post-pandemic economics of intercontinental flying. But it is likely to encounter resistance from pilots already hit by mass layoffs, and safety concerns about aircraft automation.\nLufthansa has also worked on the single-pilot programme but currently has no plans to use it, a spokesman for the German carrier told Reuters.\nCathay Pacific Airways confirmed its involvement but said no decision had been made on eventual deployment.\n\"While we are engaging with Airbus in the development of the concept of reduced crew operations, we have not committed in any way to being the launch customer,\" the Hong Kong carrier said.\nCommercial implementation would first require extensive testing, regulatory approval and pilot training with \"absolutely no compromise on safety\", Cathay said.\n\"The appropriateness and effectiveness of any such rollout as well as (the) overall cost-benefit analysis (will) ultimately depend on how the pandemic plays out.\"\nIt added: \"Having said that, we will continue to engage with Airbus and to support development of the concept.\"\nAirbus has previously disclosed plans to add single-pilot capability to the A350, but the airlines' participation had not been reported. Work has resumed after the COVID-19 crisis paused the programme, Chief Test Pilot Christophe Cail said.\n\"We've proven over decades we can enhance safety by putting the latest technology in aircraft,\" Cail told Reuters, declining to identify project partners. \"As for any design evolution, we are working with airlines.\"\nVITAL SIGNS\nSafe deployment will require constant monitoring of the solo pilot's alertness and vital signs by on-board systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has said.\nIf the flight encounters a problem or the pilot flying is incapacitated, the resting copilot can be summoned within minutes. Both remain in the cockpit for take-off and landing.\n\"Typically on long-haul flights when you're at cruise altitude there's very little happening in the cockpit,\" EASA chief Patrick Ky told a German press briefing in January.\n\"It makes sense to say OK, instead of having two in the cockpit, we can have one in the cockpit, the other one taking a rest, provided we're implementing technical solutions which make sure that if the single one falls asleep or has any problem, there won't be any unsafe conditions.\"\nPilot groups have voiced alarm.\n\"We struggle to understand the rationale,\" said Otjan de Bruijn, head of the European Cockpit Association representing EU pilots.\nInvoking the 737 MAX crisis, which exposed Boeing's inappropriate links to U.S. regulators, De Bruijn said the programme's cost-cutting approach \"could lead to higher risks\".\nSingle-pilot operations, currently limited to planes with up to nine passengers, would need backing from U.N. aviation body ICAO and countries whose airspace they cross. China's support is key to any Cathay deployment.\nEASA plans consultations this year and certification work in 2022, while acknowledging \"significant risk\" to the 2025 launch date, a spokesman said.\nIn a closed-door industry briefing this year, the agency suggested reduced-crew flights would begin with a single operator, according to notes of the meeting reviewed by Reuters.\nEMERGENCY DESCENT\nAirbus has designed an A350 autopilot upgrade and flight warning system changes to help a lone pilot manage failures, sources close to the project said.\nThe mid-sized plane is suitable because of its \"emergency descent\" feature that quickly reduces altitude without pilot input in the event of cabin depressurisation.\nProponents suggest single-pilot operations may be accepted by a flying public used to crew leaving the cockpit for bathroom breaks. They also point to higher error rates from human pilots than automated systems.\nBoth arguments miss the point, according to a source close to Lufthansa - who said the airline's executives were advised last year that the programme could not meet safety goals.\nFlying solo for hours is a \"completely different story\", the source said, citing the 2009 AF447 disaster as an example of malfunctions occurring in cruise. The Air France A330's copilots lost control after its speed sensors failed over the Atlantic, while the captain was resting.\n\"Airbus would have had to make sure every situation can be handled autonomously without any pilot input for 15 minutes,\" the source said. \"And that couldn't be guaranteed.\"\nLufthansa has not withdrawn from Project Connect and remains involved as an adviser, its spokesman said.\nWhile the airline has no plans to deploy single-pilot operations, he added, \"the suggestion that Lufthansa was an essential part of the project and then pulled back is not true.\"\nSingle-pilot capability would add an A350 sales argument, experts say, and rival Boeing lacks an equivalent model with sufficient automation.\nFilippo Tomasello, a former EASA official, said the payroll and accommodation savings for long-haul crew would not be lost on airlines.\n\"COVID may end up accelerating this evolution because it's putting tremendous economic pressure on aviation,\" Tomasello predicted.\n\"If EASA certifies this solution, airlines will use it.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163010843,"gmtCreate":1623853150182,"gmtModify":1703821494944,"author":{"id":"3576561613399364","authorId":"3576561613399364","name":"Dyllan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561613399364","authorIdStr":"3576561613399364"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"????","listText":"????","text":"????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163010843","repostId":"1100405031","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100405031","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623848550,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100405031?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood buys $42 million in DraftKings on dip from short-seller report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100405031","media":"cnbc","summary":"Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood on Tuesday bought the dip in DraftKings, as the sports-betting company fa","content":"<div>\n<p>Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood on Tuesday bought the dip in DraftKings, as the sports-betting company faltered on news that Hindenburg Research hadtaken a short positionagainst the stock.\nWood purchased ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cathie-wood-buys-42-million-in-draftkings-on-dip-from-short-seller-report.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood buys $42 million in DraftKings on dip from short-seller report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood buys $42 million in DraftKings on dip from short-seller report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 21:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cathie-wood-buys-42-million-in-draftkings-on-dip-from-short-seller-report.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood on Tuesday bought the dip in DraftKings, as the sports-betting company faltered on news that Hindenburg Research hadtaken a short positionagainst the stock.\nWood purchased ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cathie-wood-buys-42-million-in-draftkings-on-dip-from-short-seller-report.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cathie-wood-buys-42-million-in-draftkings-on-dip-from-short-seller-report.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1100405031","content_text":"Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood on Tuesday bought the dip in DraftKings, as the sports-betting company faltered on news that Hindenburg Research hadtaken a short positionagainst the stock.\nWood purchased 870,299 shares ofDraftKingsin her various funds. That position is worth roughly $42.2 million based on the stock’s Tuesday closing price of $48.51.\nAbout 688,700 of the shares were purchased in Wood’s flagship fund,ARK Innovation. DraftKings is now the 17th largest holding in the exchange traded fund, representing about 1.94% of its allocation. Meanwhile, nearly 181,600 shares were purchased inARK Next General Internet ETF.\nShares of DraftKings rose more than 1% in premarket trading on Wednesday.\n\nShares of DraftKings fell about 4.2% on Tuesday after Hindenburgannouncedit was betting the stock would fall. The short-selling firm questioned the company’s promotional spending and future success in the highly competitive sports-gambling landscape.\nThe report also alleges that SBTech, a European technology company that merged with DraftKings as part of a SPAC deal, generates significant revenue from questionable gambling practices in overseas markets, particularly in some Asian markets.\nDraftKings and Diamond Eagle Acquisition Corp. first announced their merger deal in December 2019 and completed the combination in April 2020. Shares of DraftKings are up more than 4% for the year as investors rotated out of growth stocks.\nAfter rising 6% last week, shares of the Ark Innovation ETF are down less than 1% this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
