MaverickWealthBuilder
MaverickWealthBuilderCertificated Individuals
Tiger Certification: An investment Pro
12Follow
6914Followers
0Topic
0Badge

First AI Application Earnings Surprise, Twillio Surge 10%!

$Twilio(TWLO)$ shares rose in response to the release of Q4 2024 results after the 23rd after-hours and a positive outlook on Thursday.Shares of the provider, which specializes in customer engagement and cloud communications, rose sharply, up 10%, in early after-hours trading.The company announcedQ4 revenues up 11% year-over-yearGAAP operating profit was positive and well above the upper end of the range of its initial guidance provided in Q3;FY2024 free cash flow within the range initially provided.Looking forward to 2025, Twilio expects year-over-year revenue growth of 7% - 8%, with free cash flow expected to be in the range of $825 million to $850 million, and adjusted operating income to remain at similar levels.Previously, the company planned
First AI Application Earnings Surprise, Twillio Surge 10%!

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Gains On Stargate, Microsoft Tops Apple After Earnings?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceTrump's inauguration this week captured the world's attention and entered the 2.0 era, with a considerable number of policy announcements made as soon as he took office, but so far there has been no major surprises in relation to his previous announcements, and the market has come to expect them.In addition to the obvious changes to sectors such as immigration, energy, and digital currencies, there was also a call for the Federal Reserve to "lower interest rates" (although this is unlikely to be successful, as the Fed is an independent private institution).But the point is, through the president's influence shouting, will be a certain degree of distortion of the market on the current expectations of rate cuts, and even some members of the Federal Reserve will also hav
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Gains On Stargate, Microsoft Tops Apple After Earnings?

Japan's Likely Rate Hike: A 17-Year High That Could Shake the World?

Previews on BOJ MeetingAfter the July 24 rate hike, the yen appreciated to around 140, when a large number of yen hedging trades were closed out, and the entire Japanese stock $iShares JPX-Nikkei 400 ETF(JPXN)$ and U.S. stock $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ marketshave all seen a significant wave of pullbacks.Just past the December meeting, the Bank of Japan kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.25% at its December meeting (with one dissenting vote), with hawkish member Naoki Tamura stating that upside risks to inflation were increasing and proposing a rate hike to 0.50%.In the post-meeting press conference, Governor Ueda's statement was borderline dovish, which also caused the yen exchange rate to retreat
Japan's Likely Rate Hike: A 17-Year High That Could Shake the World?

UAL Q4 Highlight: All time high is just beginning?

$United Continental(UAL)$ 24Q4 earnings highlightsSolid rebound across all business segments (Passenger, Cargo, Corporate), with strong results amid strong economic activity in North America;Passenger Transportation Open Source: Passenger Revenue per Available Seat Mile (PRASM) snapped a six-quarter streak of declines and turned +0.6% year-over-year; Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) declined 1.6%;International revenue growth rebounded to 8.7%, following a decline in growth in the previous three quarters;Passenger load factor remained around 82.3%, with European routes picking up year-on-year to at 81.6% and Asia-Pacific routes currently at 76%, still with room to rise;Considering the likelihood of continued encryption of US-China routes in FY25
UAL Q4 Highlight: All time high is just beginning?

Squid Game 2 Boosts Netflix: 2025 Forecast to Skyrocket!

SummaryTwo important "beat" factors behind $Netflix(NFLX)$ earnings beatBigger-than-expected subscriber numbers.Nifty, which last announced this figure, fully surprised investors by exceeding expectations by 107%, which is equivalent to a doubling of the market consensus underestimation, with the greatest degree of underestimation in North America and Latin America.There may also be Q3 results after the announcement to be in North America and Latin America to increase the factor.In addition, the market underestimated the global popularity of The Squid Game 2, a commercialized series that "makes money" and is not necessarily an award-winning show, despite the fact that the show is not yet finished and has been conservatively criticized and not high
Squid Game 2 Boosts Netflix: 2025 Forecast to Skyrocket!

Long US Bonds, Short US Dollar!

U.S. bonds rallied at the limit last week, but are still at relatively high levels in anticipation of Trump's inauguration. $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ yield fell back after hitting 4.8%.The current position may be a better opportunity for right side investors to enter the market.Term premium is the main force behind the current round of U.S. bond upward movementBefore the September rate cut, the 10-year Treasury rate was at its lowest at 3.62%.Since then, the 10-year bond rate has risen all the way to a high of 4.8% on January 14th.That's a total increase of 118 basis points (bps).During this period, the 3-month Treasury rate fell about 55 basis points because the Fed cut rates.During the same time period, the term premium between the 10-year and t
Long US Bonds, Short US Dollar!

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Lost Control of Its Future?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week's CPI release directly rewrote market risk sentiment.The dollar hit new highs since 2022 and 30 year US bond yields broke through to 5% again as a result of the previous extreme pessimism on rate cut expectations, even while considering that the reflation brought about by Trump's inauguration could cause the Fed to raise rates.The good news is that the fall in core CPI has reduced some of the tightness and all three indices have bounced back from overshooting.More importantly next week is when Trump takes office, and with those policies likely to be the first to be released, there are a lot of unknowns for the market. While the U.S. bond market is now more fully priced into the uncertainty $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Lost Control of Its Future?

Luigi's effort has paid off, UNH Q4 plunge as MCR surge

The murder of an executive, an asymmetric cyberattack, an embattled pharmacy benefit manager, and rising healthcare costs mark a tumultuous year for $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ On Thursday, the company reported fourth-quarter 2024 results, a rare case of quarterly revenue falling short of expectations while healthcare costs rose.While earnings still beat expectations amid improved operational efficiencies, the stock fell more than 6% and brought down the entire health insurance industry.The Minnetonka, Minnesota-based company was the industry bellwether during earnings season, with its main competitors $None(HUM)$ $CVS Health(CVS)$ $Ele
Luigi's effort has paid off, UNH Q4 plunge as MCR surge

Big banks Q4 Earnings Review

1. JPMorgan Chase & Co. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan Chase had a strong fourth quarter, with key metrics beating analysts' expectations.The bank reported adjusted revenue of $43.74 billion, significantly beating the widely expected $42.01 billion.Earnings per share came in at $4.81, demonstrating strong profitability.Shares of JPMorgan Chase were up 2% in pre-market U.S. trading.Key performance indicators:Loans: $1.35 trillion, in line with expectationsProvision for credit losses: $2.63 billion, below expectations of $3.04 billionReturn on equity: 17% (vs. 14.1% expected)Return on tangible common equity: 21% (expected 17.2%)Book value per share: $116.07CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized the company's strong performance across all lines of business,
Big banks Q4 Earnings Review

Why Stock Market Surge on Rising Dec CPI?

As we've said before in our December CPI outlook:Stocks could move sideways or slightly higher if CPI shows good or neutral conditions.Core CPI growth between 0.17% and 0.23% YoY could push the $.SPX(.SPX)$ index up 0.3% to 1%; if the YoY increase is less than 0.1%, $.SPX(.SPX)$ could jump 1.8% to 2.5%.Let's analyze in detailFrom the CPI composition and weights: the U.S. CPI is a basket of goods and services price level, based on the cost of living of urban consumers to determine the weight.Commodities are weighted at 35.17% and services at 64.83%.In terms of breakdown, food accounted for 13.48%, energy accounted for 6.44%, excluding energy and food is the core CPI, housing has the highest weight of 36.71
Why Stock Market Surge on Rising Dec CPI?

Dec CPI Preview: SPX could surge/plunge more than 2%?

Key PPI Data for January 14th:Monthly Change: 2024 The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.2% in December.This was lower than the 0.3% expected and lower than the 0.4% increase in November.Annual change: wholesale prices rose 3.3% y/y, up from 3.0% in November, while this figure also remained relatively high.Core PPI: excluding food and energy prices. unchanged in December, up 3.5% y/y.Read more >>December CPI Comes: Options to Trade a Volatility Short Strategy? Why 5% Matters for the 10-Year Treasury! Which Industry Will Impact The Most!January 15 CPI Index Expectations:The current consensus market expectation for December is:Headline CPI rose 0
Dec CPI Preview: SPX could surge/plunge more than 2%?

Opportunies of US Treasury Bonds

The continued climb in U.S. bond yields has gotten a lot of market attention in recent times.So what has driven this round of yields upward?And what are the potential investment opportunities worth tapping into?Core reasons for the rise in U.S. bond yieldsThe current round of rise in US bond yields can be attributed to the following four main factors:Enhanced U.S. economic growth expectations: recent economic data performance has been impressive, intensifying the market's expectations for a stronger U.S. economy.Supply-side shocks: Over-expected issuance of U.S. debt has pushed up term premiums.Weakened expectations of rate cuts: Investors' confidence in future rate cuts has waned.Stronger US dollar leads to liquidity crunch: lack of US dollar liquidity triggers a wave of US bond selling.C
Opportunies of US Treasury Bonds

Top 10 Picks 2025, by Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha's 2024 Best of the Top 10 stocks performed 124% overall, outperforming the $S&P 500 (.SPX)$ by 25%.Among them was selected the bullish $AppLovin Corporation (APP)$.And the Top 10 for 2025 are as follows:$OppFi Inc.(OPFI)$Market capitalization: $651.78 million.Quantitative rating: Strong Buy.Sector: Financial.Sector: consumer finance.Powered by AI-driven underwriting, OppFi Inc (OPFI) leverages its scalable technology platform to provide access to credit for underserved middle-income consumers.The company reported outstanding third quarter 2024 earnings results, with revenues reaching a new high of $136 million.Meanwhile, net income under GAAP more than do
Top 10 Picks 2025, by Seeking Alpha

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Microsoft's 2025: Capex Dilemma and OpenAI Divorce?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceU.S. stocks were closed this Thursday, and it was an unplanned one at that, so the trading day was a little shorter, and even somewhat impacted the pricing of important options.The most important macro data is the December nonfarm payrolls released on Friday, which may have more impact than the FOMC meeting that follows as the Fed is much more concerned about the job market than inflation.However, the current market consensus is that the probability of a rate cut this month is essentially zero.As a result the dollar is very strong and the US bond curve continues to STEEPEN.Valuations of US stocks are also currently at historically high levels, and increased market uncertainty in 2025 is bound to bring greater volatility. trump's policies could be a significant source
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Microsoft's 2025: Capex Dilemma and OpenAI Divorce?

Biden sets a trap for Trump

U.S. President Joe Biden is also like before leaving office to make some things, his administration plans to leave office a few days before $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Intel(INTC)$ and other companies of AI chip exportsImplement a new round of restrictions, including China, Russia and other targets.The U.S. wants to curb the sale of artificial intelligence chips for data centers at the national and corporate levels, people familiar with the matter said, with the aim of focusing AI development in so-called "friendly countries" and aligning global companies with U.S. standards.The rules, w
Biden sets a trap for Trump

Would Trump Risk be Trump Crisis?

The $1.89% drop in the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ on January 7, 2025, is not dramatic in terms of decline alone, but it was the largest "volume selloff" in history and did not have earnings events such as $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ More than the "Silicon Valley Bank" crisis .More than the Covid-19 outbreakMore than the 2016 index meltdown periodMore than anyday of 2008 financial crisis ......After all, quantitatively led market, turnover has long been than in previous years to enhance a number of classes, at the same time the index in the history of new highs, leading the market capitalization to reach new highs, the market trading is already active.But the question is, w
Would Trump Risk be Trump Crisis?

Investors force Google CEO Pichai to resign, AGAIN?

Curbside News, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ CEO Sundar Pichai is facing investor pressure to possibly resign again and again! $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ INVESTOR PRESSURE: According to rumors circulating online, large investment institutions (such as State Street, Vanguard, or TRP) are dissatisfied with Pichai's performance and want to pressure Google's board of directors to force Splinter's resignation in 2025 due to a series of failed projects and a lack of vision, and the last three earnings meetings have gone against him.REASONGoogle's poor performance in the AI competitionInitial loss: Google, as a strong player in the AI field, performed poorly in the face of OpenAI's attack, its AI was questioned as a pie in the sky,
Investors force Google CEO Pichai to resign, AGAIN?

Key Variables In 2025

The global economic landscape in 2025 is complex and fluid, with the dynamics of the U.S. market of particular interest.With Donald Trump re-elected as president, his policies will have a profound impact on the economy.This article examines the key trends, policy implications, and market expectations for the U.S. economy in 2025.Key VariablesTrump's policies are pivotal.The order and intensity of his policies after his inauguration will shape market expectations and become an important weathervane for the direction of assets.The AI industry continues to be a major investment theme.Developments in the tech sector are expected to be a new engine to pull the overall economy.Exchange rate intervention has far-reaching implications.The exchange rate policies of both the U.S. and China will have
Key Variables In 2025

Opportunities and Risk in HK Market 2025

At the beginning of 2025, the Hong Kong stock market was shrouded in gloom, and investor enthusiasm seemed to be dampened by this chill.In the first week of the year, Hong Kong stocks were not immune to the weakness of the Chinese market as a whole, with $HSI(HSI)$ alling below the 20,000 point mark in one fell swoop.With the exception of the energy sector, which was a bit stronger, the rest of the sectors suffered, with multi-financials, insurance and banks leading the losses. $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ Although Hong Kong stocks are doing slightly better compared to A-shares, this weak start still has investors worried.The reasons for this are complex.From the market trend, the recent economic data is not good, m
Opportunities and Risk in HK Market 2025

What will Nvidia surprise us in CES 2025?

At CES 2025, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is expected to make significant announcements and showcase its advancements in various technologies.Here are the key highlights to anticipate:Keynote Presentation: Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang will deliver the keynote address on January 6 at 6:30 PM PT. This presentation is anticipated to be a major highlight of the event, where Huang will likely discuss Nvidia's vision and future innovations, particularly in AI and roboticsGeForce RTX 5000 Series: A major focus will be the unveiling of the much-anticipated GeForce RTX 5000 series graphics cards. Speculation suggests that these new GPUs will feature substantial performance enhancements over their predecessors, including improvements in CUDA cores and memory capacity. The R
What will Nvidia surprise us in CES 2025?

Go to Tiger App to see more news