Nothing screams âforward-looking marketsâ like building earnings models in a calm, pre-war fantasy⌠right before the U.S. decides to take a swing at Iran and set the oil market on fire. Weâve seen this play out before. The Gulf War, the Iraq Warâsame pattern every time. Initial shrug, then oil spikes, then inflation creeps in, margins get squeezed, and suddenly everyone rediscovers the concept of âsecond-order effects.â Even smaller shocks like the 2019 AbqaiqâKhurais attack were enough to remind the world how fragile energy supply really is. And now weâre playing games around the Strait of Hormuzâthat tiny little artery carrying roughly 20% of global oil. Disrupt that, and itâs not just crude prices. Itâs shipping delays, insurance spikes, fertilizer costs, airline margins, food inflation
Ah yes, the worldâs most reliable countdown clock: Iran will have nuclear weapons in 2 weeks. â 1995: â2 weeks.â â 2005: âStill 2 weeks.â â 2015: âOkay but this time 2 weeks.â â 2025: âBreaking: 2 weeks again, now with better graphics.â Meanwhile, 30 years later⌠Iran must have the most ambitious âcoming soonâ project in human history. Now weâve upgraded the script: âThe war with Iran will end in 2 weeks.â Perfect. Same writers, new season. At this rate: The nuclear weapon arrives in 2 weeksThe war ends in 2 weeksPeace talks start in 2 weeksAnd somehow⌠itâs always 2 weeks away from being 2 weeks away Honestly, â2 weeksâ isnât a timeline anymore â itâs a lifestyle. Historians in 2050: âSources confirm everything was just about to happen⌠in approximately two weeks.â Stay tuned for next wee
Trump Says US Will Hit Iran 'Extremely Hard' in Next Two-to-Three Weeks
Donald Trump doesnât need a teleprompterâwhy rely on a script when you can just improvise your way through a sentence that starts in one place, detours through three unrelated thoughts, and never quite lands? âI tell it like it is,â he says, which is great if âitâ is a moving target and âlike it isâ means taking the scenic route with no map. And honestly, why go round and round looking for solutions when you can just keep talking until the original question files a missing person report?
In prime-time address, Trump tells wary public Iran goals nearly achieved
Trump doesnât need a teleprompterâwhy rely on a script when you can just improvise your way through a sentence that starts in one place, detours through three unrelated thoughts, and never quite lands? âI tell it like it is,â he says, which is great if âitâ is a moving target and âlike it isâ means taking the scenic route with no map. And honestly, why go round and round looking for solutions when you can just keep talking until the original question files a missing person report?
Trump's Iran Speech May Shed Light on When War Will End. What People Want to Hear. -- Barrons.com
The Bulls arenât just losingâtheyâre practically volunteering for defeat. Theyâve locked themselves in an echo chamber, spoonâfeeding on mainstream headlines like itâs a fiveâstar buffet. The problem? Itâs all opinions bankrolled by someone elseâs agenda. If they want to stop getting dunked on by reality, they need to step outside, sample perspectives beyond the MSM bubble, and maybeâjust maybeâread something that wasnât preâpackaged for their comfort zone.
Damageâs already doneâeven if the war ends in April, markets will still crawl through the wreckage. My estimate? Bottom in 3rd quarter 2026. Tomorrow will come⌠but later than you can imagine.
Yemen's Houthis Enter Iran War with Attacks on Israel, While US Marines Arrive in Region