Nasdaq Plunges 2%: Overreaction or Bubble Bursting? Add or Trim Position?
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell sharply by 2% yesterday, with tech stocks taking the hardest hit and AI-related names facing a bloodbath. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ all dropped over 1%, while storage and semiconductor sectors saw almost across-the-board declines. $Oracle(ORCL)$, after plunging 10% the previous day, fell another 4% as the market worries that its data center projects for OpenAI may be delayed until 2028. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ earnings beat expectations, but executive remarks on weak profit
Big Tech Weekly | Nvidia Slumps on Oracle & Broadcom Earnings: Does Its AI Lead Still Hold?
Macro Highlights This WeekThe December FOMC delivered a widely expected 25bp rate cut and announced roughly USD 40bn in short-term Treasury purchases to replenish system reserves. However, the market’s real focus was not the policy action itself, but Chair Powell’s rare admission that current job growth may be “systematically overstated.”The latest dot plot shows a sharply widened divergence in views on the 2026 rate path. While the median still points to one 25bp cut, the range now spans from no cuts to as much as 150bp of easing, highlighting a lack of consensus among policymakers on the economic outlook.At the corporate level, Oracle’s earnings triggered the market’s first broad-based concern over AI capex returns. Weak cloud revenue combined with sharply higher capital spending drove t
$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ I am finally down to just one last lot of IONQ shares after multiple previous lots were called away when my covered call options expired in the money. To keep this final lot, I was forced to play aggressive defense, continuously rolling that in-the-money contract up and out to avoid assignment. The recent pullback in IONQ’s price provided the perfect opportunity, finally reducing the value of that stubborn covered call option to the point where it expired worthless, securing my remaining shares. Having successfully defended my core position, I am now pivoting to offense by selling Cash-Secured Puts (CSPs) on IONQ. The goal now is to use the premium income to try and leg back into owning more
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Everyone’s screaming “crash” because $SPY is red today. I’m still bullish long‑term… but here’s the actual worst‑case I see. ⚠️BX data still has us in a bull cycle targeting 750–800 into 2026, yet a 5–8% shakeout in the next 1–2 months is on the table.2. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ My $LULU bottom call is just getting started. Pin This📌In September I said “bottom is in” around $160 Now we’re at $206 now and my BX system + a $2.3M 2027 call order both point to $300–$500 into 2026–27.3. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ RIVN breakout is finally here. 🚀Back in September I mapped out a $30 target by end of 2026. We’re already up ~35%
SPX Confirms Bearish Reversal After False Breakout
After forming a bearish SMT divergence at all-time highs, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ confirmed weakness by closing below the last bullish delivery candle from the FOMC rally — a bearish CISD.Yesterday’s move now looks like a false breakout, with price producing a bearish 5-wave decline from the high.If this continues, I expect today’s low to get crossed with downside risk extending toward a 50-DMA retest, and confirmation accelerating on a close below 6715 (Daily FVG). This sets the stage for a sharper leg lower into the 6400–6350 zone. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
$AVGO$ earnings were the polar opposite of Oracle's. While the standard financial metrics were outstanding, the backlog fell short of expectations, and the stock still dropped.A lower-than-expected backlog could stem from various factors, but the market is leaning towards interpreting it as a slowdown in investment. The next question is why investment is slowing—AI is still figuring out its monetization path. In simple terms, because it's not yet profitable, the pace of cash burn is moderating.Considering Broadcom supplies the current U.S. AI leader, Google, if even the leader is being cautious, other players likely are too. Therefore, a market pullback seems inevitable.The consensus from put activity suggests the stock will stay above $350, but the market's sell put strike preference is a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Dec 12th 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ red to green should come next, SPX above 6900 can test the ATH at 6921. Calls can work above 6900. SPX to 7000 in play before the end of the year. 🎅 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ if it gets back above 624 and holds we should see 629,637 before January. Calls can work above 624 for today $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ above 450 can move towards 463,474 next week. Calls can work above 450 as a lotto today.Good luck everyone!! 🫡For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stoc
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Anyone brave enough to write puts on $RH(RH)$ heading into earnings today? Expected move is ~13% with a very high IV of ~260%.This stock has been killed off so much from ATH. Would like to write the 75 put strike for Dec 19 expiration, but there is no premium. May take a 110/105 put credit spread instead.Image.2.Wasn't too sure how $RH(RH)$ would report for earnings, but was leaning to the downside, so wrote a conservative put credit spread instead of writing naked puts. Also wrote a naked call ... don't see RH hitting 230 on good earnings.Hindsight is obviously 20/20, but should have just written the put straight up with no hedge. Gave up lo
$Adobe(ADBE)$$GameStop(GME)$$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ 🔥📊🚀 Unusual Options Activity Ignites Across Markets 🔥📊🚀 I’m seeing concentrated options demand sweep across tech, financials, retail, energy, and the space sector today. Positioning is building into year end as traders rotate aggressively into liquidity where momentum and catalysts are most visible. 🎯 Key Flow Standouts $NFLX $TSM $ORCL $WBD $ITUB $UBER $RKLB $KRE $NKE $MPW $JPM $IRBT $ADBE $OWL $USO $SATS $GEV $UPS $TSLR $WRBY $GM $CHWY I'm watching the scale of call activity in tech and semi names as it signals renewed confidence in Q1 guidance cycles, while financials continue to show two sided flows ar
$Oracle(ORCL)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 🔥📊🚀 Oracle Earnings Breakdown, RPO Erupts to $523B, AI Infrastructure Surges, Cash Burn Deepens 🚀📊🔥 Market Structure and Technical Overview Oracle completed a full rotational cycle. Gold tops at $228.50 to $233.80 retraced into gold bottoms at $197.80 to $191.56 which is a structurally clean revisit of the earlier all time high breakout zone. The level is still holding. Technically this remains a healthy retest and not a breakdown. The next directional confirmation will come from whether $ORCL reclaims the mid band. Headline Results and Earnings Quality Q2 FY26 delivered headline strength. Adj
My stance Silver’s breakout is technically impressive and fundamentally supported by the shift in real-rate expectations, yet its volatility profile argues for disciplined entry rather than chasing momentum. Why silver is outperforming gold Silver benefits from a dual identity: part monetary metal, part industrial commodity. As markets lock in a Fed easing path, real yields soften and the monetary bid rises. At the same time, renewed optimism around global manufacturing, solar demand and AI-related electronics boosts the industrial side. Gold is consolidating because positioning is already heavy, while silver had more room to expand. Breakout dynamics The surge above the previous record signals a strong trend, with ETF flows moving into SLV and leveraged vehicles like AGQ. Still, silver’s
$Oracle(ORCL)$ Assessment of the results Oracle delivered a combination the market finds most punishing: a revenue miss, a cloud miss and a deterioration in free cash flow. The headline figure of –$10 billion FCF is especially troubling because it signals that the company is consuming cash at a time when investors expected cloud expansion to translate into stronger operating leverage. Why the sell-off was so severe The negative reaction is rational. Three pressure points converged. 1. Growth disappointment Oracle has been priced as a beneficiary of the AI-infrastructure cycle. Missing both total revenue and cloud revenue undermines the “acceleration story” that previously pushed the stock to high valuations. 2. Cash-flow shock A large negati
The latest rate cut feels like a textbook "dovish move wrapped in a hawkish message." On one hand, the Fed delivered the sixth cut since last year and the third consecutive meeting-based reduction, which clearly signals they're still leaning toward supporting growth. But on the other hand, the Dot Plot is sending a very mixed signal for 2026, with officials scattered across a wide range of expectations. When seven officials see no further cuts in 2026 while others expect up to 150 bps of easing, it tells me the Fed is deeply uncertain about the trajectory of inflation, labor markets, and long-term equilibrium rates. To me, the most important part isn't the extremes—it's the median. The fact that the median 2026 projection still shows just one more 25-bp cut makes the Fed sound more hawkish
Oracle's $Oracle(ORCL)$ latest earnings were definitely disappointing, and the market reaction makes sense to me. When both total revenue and cloud revenue come in below expectations, it signals that the company's growth engine isn't firing as strongly as investors were hoping—especially in a period where hyperscalers and AI-driven cloud demand are supposed to be accelerating. The revenue miss alone would've been enough to pressure the stock, but the rest of the report added even more uncertainty. What really stood out to me was the -$10 billion in free cash flow. That's not a small deviation—it's a major swing that raises questions about underlying cash-generation strength. I understand that Oracle is in
SGX Alert: Stop Buying UOB Until You See This "Fair Value" Chart 🦖 EP1310
🟩 The Straits Times Index might look flat at 4,512, but don't let the lack of movement fool you—there is a silent, dangerous battle happening right under the surface of your portfolio. For many Singaporean investors, the "set and forget" strategy for blue chips is starting to show cracks. The banks we’ve relied on for years are facing a synchronized decline in Net Interest Margins, and our favorite REITs are struggling to outrun rising financing costs. If you’re holding DBS, UOB, or major logistics REITs like Mapletree, you need to understand why a "boring" market is often the most confusing—and dangerous—time for retail investors. In this video, we cut through the noise to dissect the real health of the SGX "Holy Trinity" and why the divergence between DBS and UOB is a critical signal you
Fed Cut 25bps: A "Fake Consensus"? Why Powell’s Risky Bet Explodes Volatility in 2026 The headline says "Fed cuts 25bps, signals pause." Sounds like a standard, boring policy move, right? Wrong. If you dig into the details of this meeting, you’ll see something we haven’t seen in over a decade. Chairman Powell didn’t just lead a consensus; he forced a rate cut through a fractured committee. The internal cracks at the Federal Reserve are no longer just hairline fractures—they are canyons. Here is why this "boring" meeting actually signals a massive shift in market risk and volatility for 2026. 1️⃣ The "Silent Protest" in the Dot Plot The official vote count showed three dissenters—already rare in modern Fed history. But the real drama was hidden in the Dot Plot. * The Numbers: Out of 19 offi
$Oracle(ORCL)$ 🚨 Oracle’s -$10B Shock: Is This an "All-In" AI Bet or a Capital Crisis? $ORCL plunges 10% — The "Safe Haven" trade just got dangerous. Oracle has long been the "adult in the room"—a stable cash cow that pays dividends and buys back stock. But yesterday, that narrative was shredded. The company didn’t just miss revenue estimates; it reported -$10 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for the quarter and announced a staggering $15 billion increase in capital expenditure (Capex). If you are holding ORCL or eyeing the $180 level for a bounce, you need to understand: This isn't just a bad quarter; it’s a complete identity shift. 1️⃣ The "Capex Shock": Why the Market Panic is Real Traders can forgive a revenue miss. What they hate is unce
🇸🇬 Singapore REITs: The Dawn of the Yield Hunter's Era?
With the US Federal Reserve poised to cut interest rates, Singapore Real Estate Investment Trusts (S-REITs), long under pressure, are showing signs of a compelling turnaround. The anticipated drop in borrowing costs and a renewed "yield hunt" make S-REITs an increasingly attractive proposition for income-focused investors. The high-interest-rate environment of the past few years has been a significant headwind for S-REITs. Their heavy reliance on debt to finance acquisitions and operations meant rising borrowing costs squeezed margins and led to declines in Distribution Per Unit (DPU) for many. The Triple Tailwind from Rate Cuts The impending rate cuts create a powerful three-pronged tailwind for S-REITs: Lower Borrowing Costs: This is the most direct and impactful
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Oracle(ORCL)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚀📊🔥 Nvidia’s High Compression Flag, Liquidity Regime Shift, And Tesla’s Delivery Overhang Are Setting Up A Very Specific Playbook 🔥📊🚀 📉 I’m convinced the market is now entering a regime where rotation, not mega cap leadership, dictates the next leg. Nvidia is replicating the 2020 to 2021 high compression flag with striking symmetry. The structure is unmistakable. A prolonged volatility coil, a mid cycle deceleration, and then months of flat to sideways behaviour inside the lower half of a broadening megaphone before any meaningful expansion. This is not the leadership phase. This is digestion. The 4H Keltner and