$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I’m a perpetual optimist. It’s hard for me to see the world through any other lens! Sometimes I’m naive, but overall I think it’s a better way to live (and, generally, hard to bet against humanity’s resilience). One of the larger debates surrounding AI relates to the impact it will have on employment. One side (booo, the pessimists!) argues we’ll see a collapse in employment as AI takes everyone’s jobs. The other side argues some form of “Jevon’s paradox” - with massive positive economic benefits. Given my intro, I think it’s clear what side of that debate I fall on! There are many ways I’ve framed this in the past (I think I’ve even written about it in a prior week’s edition). However, I heard Jensen recently articulate it much mor
AI & High-Beta Update: $NVDA Bull Setup Forms as $INTC Surges +250% and $HUT Breaks Out
Markets are showing a clear split between mature extended trends and emerging setup phases. While $INTC and $HUT continue strong momentum-driven expansions, $NVDA is building conditions for a potential new bull cycle, and $TSLA remains stuck in a defined institutional resistance zone. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I’m still NOT in $TSLA. So far this rejection is happening right inside my Institutional Sell Zone. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA is setting up for a massive bull cycle. When this setup confirms, historically there’s ~60% odds of a +100% move within 12–18 months. 3. $Intel(INTC)$ Last year we called the bull cycle on $INTC. It’s now up +250% and blew past every exp
$AMD, $INTC, $NVDA, $NOW: AI Cycle Leaders Extend Gains
The market continues to reward trend persistence across key AI and tech leaders, with established bull cycles in AMD and Intel extending strongly, while NVIDIA approaches a critical breakout zone after prolonged compression. In contrast, ServiceNow remains in a structurally weak phase where timing entries depends on clear reversal signals rather than reactive dips. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Last year we called the start of the $AMD bull cycle. Since then it’s rallied +130% and just hit our final long‑term target of $320. These cycles average 44 weeks and +120%. That doesn’t mean this one is over, but the premium up here is very rich. 2. $Intel(INTC)$ $INTC is now up +236% since Monthly BX flipped gr
$MaxLinear(MXL)$ (Update +128%) - Cleared structural pivot to 13 x ATR% from 50-MA at close. After hours 45.18 +10.93 (31.91%) with further fundamental acceleration $MXL reported quarterly adjusted earnings of 22 cents per share for the quarter ended March 31, higher than the same quarter last year, when the company reported EPS of -5 cents. The mean expectation of ten analysts for the quarter was for earnings of 18 cents per share. Wall Street expected results to range from 16 cents to 19 cents per share. Revenue rose 43% to $137.19 million from a year ago; analysts expected $135.00 million.
$AMD: AI-Driven CPU Comeback Powers Path to $1T Valuation
10 years ago, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ was at $2. Today it's at $344 up 17,000%. And the next target is $600 making AMD a $1 trillion company within 2 years. Here's why the move is real: 1. Intel's earnings proved the "Agentic AI" era needs far more CPU power AMD's EPYC chips and Helios rack platforms are at the center of that shift. 2. Stifel just raised AMD's price target to $320, citing multi-gigawatt AI deals with Meta and OpenAI AMD just crossed $500B market cap for the first time up 45% in April alone, 11-day win streak 3.The CPU-to-GPU ratio in AI servers is flipping a massive new revenue catalyst the market is only starting to price in The CPU renaissance is real. AMD isn't done.
SPX & SPY Signal Upside Continuation While BTC Maintains Bullish Momentum Toward $80.6K
Markets are holding a constructive tone, with equities showing signs of continued upside despite short-term consolidation, while Bitcoin maintains strong momentum within a sustained bull trend. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ During the last 10 years, every time the Stochastic bounced from oversold area and made it above 50, the index maintained bullish continuation and consolidated when the oscillator was overbought (+80) with both lines. There is room for further gains, as %D is at 65%. 2. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Indecision at the Top: The price has moved between 702.5 and 711 this week, building a small volume shelf. Any loss of today’s low could send the price to $695 (volume shelf below), validating
$CNSWF: Valuation Framework—6 Key Metrics + Capital Allocation Edge
$Constellation Software, Inc.(CNSWF)$ There are two fundamental questions when valuing a company (IMO). 1. What do I think the company’s future growth looks like? 2. What does the market think its future growth looks like? If you think the market is being overly pessimistic, then the company is in undervalued. How do you approach valuation? I've been working on my dashboard, capturing what I see as the 6 most important numbers for determining business quality. What would you add?
SPX Prints Bullish Weekly FVG: Buy Zone 7,046–6,845, Target 7,400–7,650
Took the week off knowing would see a tight range week. The bull case needed one thing → a new bullish weekly FVG. Now it's printed. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ multi-week buy zone: 7,046–6,845 Pullback into the zone = BUY. Next wave → 7,400–7,650. Weekly close below 6,845 sends the sell signal. This week's theme was simple. Buy the lows. Sell the highs. That's exactly what we did. Sunday → upside. Tuesday → upside. Thursday → flush. Both sides. Both called. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
Intel Surges: CPU Narrative Heats Up! Is It Still Time to Buy Semiconductors?
This week, both $Intel(INTC)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ surged, stealing the spotlight from the previously hot memory sector. Although SK Hynix delivered very strong earnings, SanDisk in the memory sector declined yesterday. Why has CPU replaced memory as the new favorite? Agentic AI workloads (task scheduling, state management, I/O control) are overwhelming GPUs alone — CPUs are now critical infrastructure again, not just supporting hardware. Over the past two years, the market has been used to a single chain: capex up → GPU orders up → HBM up → advanced packaging up. In this chain, CPUs were just a supporting role — “one extra chip bundled in the server,” and were given low valuation weight. M
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ With cease fire extend, will it create a opportunity or threat? To buy in or sell out? Is the market almost reaching the top? Or we just stay at current position and wait for more signal? A difficult time to made decision to advance or retract. AVGO is reaching it's historical high. Will it set a new height? Hope so! DYDD. Lucky Trading.