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14 minutes ago
10/22 Strategy Preview | Longs Bet on AI, Shorts Hedge Against a Pullback
1. What Happened Today Key takeaway: Results aren't bad, but the stock doesn't necessarily rise. Some money is still betting on AI long term, while short-term hedging is heating up. Middle East tensions rising: Brent and WTI crude kept climbing. If supply risk continues, energy stocks may benefit, but high oil prices can also push inflation higher and hurt market risk appetite. META: Strong results, but funding worries got more attention. Q3 revenue was $64.6B, up 26% year over year, but future AI investment and potential equity financing raised concerns. The stock rose 4%–6% after results, then gave it back and fell about 3% in the morning session. LRCX: Slightly better results, but still fell about 7%. Next quarter's revenue guidance matched Wall Street but fell short of buyers' higher h
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17:35
GOOG, NVDA and Case for S&P 500 ETF !
The AI-scare that happened last week is still continuing its rampage this week. With US market near record highs, combined with a sharp tech sell-off and persistent questions about an AI bubble has made many investors cautious, especially against a geopolitically unstable backdrop. New Age Alpha, Chief investment officer, Julian Koski, has a differing view: His firm’s model sees an unusually low 28% median probability that S&P 500 companies will fail to deliver the growth embedded in their stock prices. He says that result supports staying invested, even though it does not eliminate the risk of short-term declines. Koski, who co-founded New Age Alpha, sat down with TheStreet’s Caroline Woods to explain the reasoning behind his optimism. What is Koski saying ? Koski’s argument is less a
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @koolgal @Aqa @Barcode @Shyon @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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17:58
Big Options Bets: US Index Put Blocks Explode as Gold $4,380 Calls Draw Heavy Positioning!
English version： Options on futures are derivatives linked to futures contracts. Trading volume and open interest reveal positioning across expiries and strikes, offering insight into market expectations, risk appetite, and potential support and resistance zones. However, they should not be treated as simple bullish or bearish signals. Today, we analyze changes in large options-on-futures trades and open interest on October 20 versus October 19. This is the latest available dataset and provides insight into positioning and risk appetite. The latest data show mixed positioning. S&P 500 front-month puts recorded the largest increase in open interest. Nasdaq puts remained dominant, while some longer-dated calls were reduced, indicating a defensive stance across equity indices. In crude oi
TOPThat 106-lot silver call print is still pretty small. Near-month silver OI leaning into downside hedges matters more here.
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20:17
K-Yong Kan's Playbook: Candlestick Patterns – and Why One Timeframe Is Never Enough
Speaker: K-Yong Kan, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers, walks through the candlestick patterns he has actually used, then shows why the same price action can look different on every timeframe. [About the Speaker] K-Yong Kan is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers who built the Trading 101 series to help clients learn trading and investing step by step. This is the third of four recaps from Part 2a, Chart Patterns & Candlesticks. [The Hook] Candlesticks have patterns of their own, and there are many of them. K-Yong chose to cover only the commonly referenced ones he has used over the years. His bigger point, though, was that a pattern on a single candle or a single timeframe is never the full story. [Candlestick Reversal Patterns] Dojis and Hammers (for example the Dra
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18:54
K-Yong Kan's Playbook: Chart Patterns – Reversal, Continuation and Bidirectional
Speaker: K-Yong Kan, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers, explains that the long list of chart patterns really comes down to three families, and how to judge each one by where it forms, what confirms it and where its potential target sits. [About the Speaker] K-Yong Kan is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers who built the Trading 101 series to help clients learn trading and investing step by step. This is the second of four recaps from Part 2a, Chart Patterns & Candlesticks. [The Hook] Double top, bull flag, cup and handle... the names can make charts feel like a foreign language. K-Yong's reassurance: it may sound like a lot, but there are really only three groups of chart patterns, and all of them come from one thing, which is how the crowd's behaviour consolidates o
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19:02
K-Yong Kan's Playbook: Reading a Chart Before You Trade It
Speaker: K-Yong Kan, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers, opens Trading 101 Part 2a by showing first-timers how to read the three main chart types, why support and resistance form, and how trendlines turn them into moving levels. [About the Speaker] K-Yong Kan is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers, the front-line contact for clients with questions about markets, trading and their accounts. After working with clients who wanted to learn but weren't sure which information to trust, he built the Trading 101 series to teach trading and investing skills step by step. Part 2a, Chart Patterns & Candlesticks, sits in the series' Technical Analysis module. [The Hook] Information about trading is everywhere, and it is hard to know what is worth listening to. K-Yong's answer is
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20:14
K-Yong Kan's Playbook: Putting It All Together – A Trade Idea That Wasn't Taken
Speaker: K-Yong Kan, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers, closes Trading 101 Part 2a with the charting tools on Tiger Trade and a real SPY example where the best decision was to wait. [About the Speaker] K-Yong Kan is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers who built the Trading 101 series to help clients learn trading and investing step by step. This is the last of four recaps from Part 2a, Chart Patterns & Candlesticks. [The Hook] After chart types, levels, patterns and timeframes, K-Yong walked the room through a real example from around late August or early September. The twist: the lesson was a trade he did not take. [First, Learn to Draw It] K-Yong's point: all the theory only helps if you can mark it on a chart. Drawing support and resistance and outlining patterns
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17:03
One Beat on Growth. One Beat on Cash. The AI Bill Keeps Growing.
The market: AI shares rose first, then earnings moved the question from demand to returns The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ gained 1.05 per cent to US$725.20 on Wednesday, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.58 per cent to 7,757.17. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ gained 7.79 per cent, $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ 9.55 per cent, N $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2.54 per cent and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 3.36 per cent. These were regular-session moves before Meta and Tesla repor
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19:41
[Winning Trade] A $38.8K Gain on Tesla. Sell or Hold?
Tesla gave investors plenty to react to this week. Elon Musk floated a potential SpaceX merger, then Tesla beat quarterly revenue and adjusted earnings estimates. The stock still fell more than 3% after hours. That leaves investors with a tough choice: take profits now, or hold for more gains? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Congratulations to @DaveYap for a $20,498 gain on Tesla, and @thisishanong for a $38,805 gain! Why did Tesla fall after beating expectations? Tesla reported revenue of $28.05 billion, above the $27.9 billion expected. Adjusted earnings were 48 cents per share, beating the 43-cent forecast from analysts polled by LSEG. But sales
TOPIf i was up 38k on telsa and it was in options i would roll them out and up one or two strike prices above that way, I reduce risk and maintain a full position for more gains
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19:02
The $SPX Is Near All-Time Highs. High-Beta Momentum Is Down 41%
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is just ~1% below its highs, yet Goldman’s High Beta Momentum basket has plunged 41%. Meanwhile, semiconductors have fallen 26% relative to the $SPX from their relative highs. Over the past 20+ years, only three episodes went meaningfully deeper: 2008 financial crisis 2022 bear market Liberation Day sell-off 👇 Watch $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This is a massive divergence beneath the surface. The headline index looks resilient, but high-beta momentum and semiconductors tell a very different story. When leadership deteriorates this sharply while t
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10-21 15:40
I see the 50% approval threshold as a significant hurdle. Even if Elon Musk supports the $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $SpaceX(SPCX)$ merger, he still needs to convince shareholders that the deal will create real long-term value. This makes the outcome far from certain. Personally, I think valuation and potential dilution are the key concerns. SpaceX’s AI growth and Starlink business are attractive, but Tesla shareholders need to understand what they will receive in return. Strong business synergies alone do not guarantee a good deal if the valuation or exchange ratio is unfavourable. I am optimistic about Musk’s AI ecosystem
TOPI care most about the post-merger EPS impact. If SpaceX AI and Starlink cannot drive over 10% of combined profit within a few years, the exchange ratio will be hard to justify.
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14:22
SGX Daily Top Movers (22-10-2026): D05, O39, U11, A17U, Z74, C38U, 9CI, BS6, S68 & AWX lead
1.Top 10 Traded Stocks/ETF/SDR by Value $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ $UOB(U11.SI)$ $CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SI)$ $Singtel(Z74.SI)$ $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ $CapitaLandInvest(9CI.SI)$ $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ $SGX(S68.SI)$ $AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ 2.Stocks/ETF/SDR Hit 52-week High 0 Stock/ETF/SDR(s) meet the criteria. 3.Stocks/ETF/SDR Hit 52
TOPC38U and 9CI showing up in top value traded and 52-week lows together usually screams rotation, liquid names but still under pressure
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14:56
Cummins (CMI) — The Power Behind the Real Economy
Not every growth opportunity comes from a technology company. Sometimes, the opportunity lies with businesses supplying the engines, power systems and equipment that keep industries moving. Today’s stock to watch is $Cummins(CMI)$ ⚙️ What Does Cummins Do? Cummins manufactures engines, power-generation equipment and related components used in trucks, buses, construction equipment and industrial applications. It also provides parts and services that support customers throughout the life of their equipment. Its business connects to several important areas of the economy, including freight transportation, infrastructure development and industrial activity. 🔍 Three Things Worth Watching 1️⃣ Demand beyond traditional engines Cummins is expandi
TOPPower gen is the part I care about more here. ROE at 28.39% looks solid, but that 1.20 put call ratio says people still doubt the next leg
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14:50
Anthropic IPO: The AI Gold Rush Gets Its Biggest Test Yet? 🚀
The AI investment boom could be approaching another major milestone. Anthropic, the company behind Claude, could publicly file its IPO registration statement as early as Friday, according to a Yahoo Finance report citing three people familiar with its plans. If the company proceeds with a public listing, it could become one of the most closely watched IPOs in the history of the technology industry. But this is about more than another AI company entering the stock market. Anthropic’s debut could help answer a much bigger question: Are investors still willing to pay a premium for AI growth when the cost of building that growth is enormous? 🤖 1. Why Anthropic’s IPO Matters Anthropic has established itself as a major player in the rapidly developing AI industry through its Claude family of mod
TOPI would wait. What matters more is whether the S-1 shows real revenue durability, because the market already feels a lot less patient with AI burn and story-driven multiples
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14:47
Meta: Record Ad Growth, Billion-Dollar AI Bill — Who Wins? 💰
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is proving that its advertising business still has plenty of momentum. But as its AI ambitions grow, investors face a difficult question: how much spending can the company sustain before the cost of building the future starts weighing on today’s valuation? Meta shares rose just 0.47% following its latest Q3 results, despite strong revenue growth and a slightly better-than-expected outlook for Q4. The modest reaction suggests that investors are looking beyond the headline earnings numbers and paying closer attention to cash flow, capital expenditure and the long-term return on AI investment. 📈 1. Advertising Is Still Meta’s Cash Machine Meta’s Q3 revenue increased 26% year over year, demonstrating the strength of i
TOPNorth America CPM is doing a lot of the work here. If international ad growth slips under 20% next quarter, that AI spend will get questioned fast
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10-15
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla stock has been bouncing off the moving average for weeks now. It bounced off the hundred day moving average as a rejection, 10 bounce of the 20 day moving average as support. Right now, it is near the 50 day moving average, can it hold as support? Today Tesla will be revealing the roadster. While I am very excited for the event, I don't think that it will move the stock much. The roadster is kind of a niche product, and will only add a small percentage to Tesla's revenue. Margins however, should be quite high. Given Elon's reputation, I don't think they will start the production of the roadster until at least end of 2028. What are your thoughts on Tesla's roadster event?
TOP50 day matters more here than the Roadster hype. If volume stays thin, that support probably gets tested again.
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10-19
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ successful roadster event in lead up to earnings this week, time to break $400 in near term surge
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15:50
💸 Meta’s AI Gamble: Record Growth, Rising Costs and a Cash-Flow Challenge
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ delivered another strong revenue performance, with third-quarter revenue reportedly rising 26% year over year to $64.6 billion. Its fourth-quarter revenue guidance also slightly exceeded expectations. Yet the market faces a more complicated story than a simple earnings beat. Meta is growing its advertising business, expanding its AI assistant and investing heavily in computing infrastructure. At the same time, its investment programme is putting pressure on free cash flow, while management expects costs to continue rising. The big question is whether Meta can turn its enormous AI spending into enough additional profit to justify the investment. For shareholders, revenue growth is encouraging. But the longer-
TOPI care more about the next 3-5 years of ad monetization than one quarter of cash flow. 26% revenue growth with AI spend still looks like a moat test, not a break.