4.57K
·
02-08 16:45
Earnings Review: Keppel Hit a 12-Year High While SGX Slipped, How to Trade?
This week, two earnings were out with mixed results. $Keppel(BN4.SI)$ surged 6%, reaching a 12-year high, while $SGX(S68.SI)$ despite posting its strongest half-year results ever — saw its share price dip 0.6%. Both delivered solid performance, so why did the market react so differently? Keppel: surprising numbers, dividends and super CEO announcement 1. Strong fundamentals Net profit in the second half rose 27.2%, bringing full-year earnings to S$1.1 billion. Its infrastructure and connectivity segments performed exceptionally well, aligning perfectly with the current AI data-center boom. 2. Attractive dividends Total dividend for the year reached S$0.47, including a special payout. In today’s enviro
TOP這是甚麼東西: The February 2026 Singapore earnings season shows a trend of "Record Results vs. Selective Valuations": Keppel (BN4): Shares hit a 12-year high on the "Piyush Gupta effect" and a 39% jump in FY2025 profit. While the leadership news is largely priced in, analysts see further upside toward S$12.72+ as the company completes its pivot to a global asset manager. SGX (S68): Despite record half-year revenue, a slight pullback occurred due to margin pressure from rising costs. This "dip" offers a defensive entry point for dividend seekers, supported by a committed 0.25 cent annual dividend hike through 2028. Bottom Line: Investors are rewarding long-term structural shifts (Keppel) and sustainable yield growth (SGX), even as macro uncertainty keeps broad market gains in check.
3.28K
·
02-08 16:24
The Bear Market Starts Now: $SPX, $DJI Divergence Signals Trouble as $MSFT Leads Lower
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ broke the 2/4 trendline. The 5-wave advance from April is officially complete Friday's 78.6% retrace is a textbook wave 2 — and wave 3 down to 6,500 is next. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ just made a new ATH without SPX and $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ confirming. The bear market starts now. Leaders top first. Leaders bottom first. That's what makes them LEADERS. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ topped July 2024. SPX topped 7 months later... THEN IT CRASHED 20%. Now look at today. MSFT topped July 2025. SPX topped 6 months later... Same leader. Same pattern. Same warning. You think that's a coincidence?
3.48K
·
02-08 16:20
Bounce or Bull Trap? $SPX, $NVDA, $META, and $AAPL Face a Critical Technical Test
Markets delivered a technically meaningful bounce, but the real test now begins. The $SPX rebounded sharply after breaching its lower Bollinger Band and triggering oversold signals, yet the 20-day moving average stands as the line between a sustainable rally and a classic dead-cat bounce. Similar setups are unfolding across mega-cap tech. $NVDA shows a bullish stochastic crossover, $META has fully filled its post-earnings gap, and $AAPL is flashing a candle worth close attention after last week’s correctly anticipated rally. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The lower Bollinger band breached and the oversold oscillator triggered a major bounce. The daily candle suggests continuation. The 20DMA will define if this is a sustainable rally or a dead cat bounce.
2.30K
·
02-08 16:11
Sector Rotation Warning: $SPX Near Highs as $NDX and $XLK Lag
Sector Rotation: Why All-Time Highs Are Decoupling from Reality Through the first six weeks of 2026, a stark divergence has emerged in market leadership. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ remains near elevated levels, traditional growth engines like Technology and Consumer Discretionary have significantly lagged the broader index. Instead, the heavy lifting is being done by defensive and cyclical sectors, with Consumer Staples, Energy, Industrials, and Materials all outperforming. This rotation suggests a defensive posture among institutional participants and warrants extreme caution. Historically, when the “Real Economy” sectors lead while Tech falters, it signals a lack of risk appetite for the high-beta names that typically sustain a healthy bull m
2.94K
·
02-08 16:08
Dow Leads, Nasdaq Lags: $NVDA, $QQQ, and $SPY Signal Divergence
Despite the relief rally on Friday that saw the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ achieve a historic close above 50,000, the technology sector remains under intense scrutiny as it faces an uphill battle to reverse its recent underperformance. This divergence serves as a significant warning for the broader market, particularly as the “AI trade” shifts from euphoria to an era of massive capital expenditures. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ’s staggering forecast of at least $200 billion in infrastructure spending for 2026, a $50 billion overshoot of analyst expectations, has intensified concerns that aggressive investments by hyperscalers like $Alphabet(GOOG)$
8.98K
·
02-08 03:24
🚨📈🚨 $SMCI Surpasses $AMD As AI Infrastructure Spending Enters Hyperscale Expansion 🚨📈🚨
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$
TOPGreat call highlighting infrastructure flow over just chips. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ structure recovery into resistance shows momentum rebuilding while macro regime still supportive. Watching $Broadcom(AVGO)$ flow and liquidity pockets as earnings positioning evolves.
9.97K
·
02-08 05:34
Markets Roar Back - Relief Rally Or Real Reversal? My Secret Weapon: STI ETF
🌟🌟🌟The market didn't just rebound on Friday, it snapped back like a rubber band that had been stretched too far. One minute we were watching fear ripple through every asset class, the next minute everything decided to rally together like they had rehearsed it. Stocks climbed, Big Tech charged ahead and risk appetite returned from its short vacation. Meanwhile Spot Gold jumped 3%, Silver surged 7% and Bitcoin snapped back above USD 70,000. It is the kind of synchronised rebound that makes everyone wonder : Is this a genuine risk reversal or just a violent relief bounce before the next plot twist? No one knows for sure - not the strategists, not the quants but the signals are interesting : Precious metals ripping suggests that liquidity is still flowing. Crypto's sharp reco
TOPNice Sharing & Congratulations 🎉 [Miser]. @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon
3.18K
·
02-08 02:01
Everyone Watching March: Silver Delivery Stress Is the Real Story
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$
TOPGreat Insight & Sharing 😁 @JC888 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @koolgal
3.88K
·
02-07 17:23
Dip-Buy Setups | AMD, TSLA, ZETA Enter Discount Zones ✅
Some names are finally reaching discount zones, offering asymmetric upside potential while the broader market hesitates. Monthly BX remains green, long-term trends intact, and risk/reward profiles favor selective entries. Here’s how I’m positioning on AMD, TSLA, and ZETA. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD just had the dip everyone wanted… and I’m finally planning to go long ✅ Monthly BX is still green, price pulled back ~15% into my weekly bias (discount zone), and the long‑term model still supports the bull cycle. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Weeks like this are where $TSLA tests your patience. Price flushed into my discount zone while everyone panicked, but the system never flipped bearish Monthly BX still
3.94K
·
02-07 17:20
Make-or-Break Levels | QQQ, TSLA, NVDA Hold, COST, MSTR Risky
Some leaders are holding trend and offering controlled dip-buy setups, while others are bouncing into unfavorable risk/reward zones. In this environment, patience, confirmed closes, and respecting higher-timeframe signals matter more than speed. Below is how I’m viewing the key names right now—what I’m staying bullish on, and what I’m deliberately avoiding. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ is at a make-or-break level. This trend needs to hold over the next month or the risk shifts toward a real correction. In our system, this is typically a solid dip-buy opportunity. I stay bullish until the Monthly BX closes dark red. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA patience is your biggest edge. This is why we wait for candles to
4.33K
·
02-07 17:07
Great Companies, Volatile Stocks | AMZN, AAPL, NVDA, NFLX, SOFI, UBER, GOOGL
No matter the company, stock values don’t go up in a straight line. They’re volatile depending on the market’s mood, comments on conference calls, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even the weather. That volatility can be maddening, but we need to keep in mind that the key is buying great companies that can grow for a long time and just hang on for the ride. For example… 1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon’s growth chart looks like a steady climb up and to the right. And in many ways, it was with growth rates over 20% for most of the last two decades. But the stock performance was very different. There were drawdowns (the stock price decline from its peak) of as much as 65% and it often took years to get back to previous highs. 2.
2.64K
·
02-07 16:57
Post-Selloff RS Screen | LITE, FORM, GLW, MTSI, ALGM, ENPH, CIEN
A simple screen to identify names showing immediate relative strength after the sell-off (link below): Strongest 1-Mth RS% (Sorted) $Lumentum(LITE)$ — Communications & Networking $FormFactor(FORM)$ — Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment $Corning(GLW)$ — Electronic Equipment & Parts $MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.(MTSI)$ — Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment $Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.(ALGM)$ — Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment $Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.(ULCC)$ — Passenger Transportation
2.45K
·
02-07 17:11
When SPX Trades Below CML, Breakdown Risk Increases
See the daily chart for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the CML posted during the last two years for every week, this monthly line is a great tool to assess bullish or bearish conditions, our role as traders is to make decisions studying price action, and the chart highlights how significant has been to lose the CML using the red areas: Of course, there are choppy months like December 2024 when the CML was breached several times, that price action is something to consider as a condition as we use the VIX, divergences, or Bitcoin (you don’t need to trade it, just use it as a risk-on/off thermometer). The selloff in March and April had a condition: The Price was below the CML. We use the CWL to time momentum, the CML works better for medium or long term pos
1.32K
·
02-07 15:03
$Venture Global, Inc.(VG)$ Ok I'm sharing this post with my tiger friends because I have a couple of very important ideas to disclose. I brought into VG at around $15, and soon after due to law suits it plummeted to around half that. Now whenever I pull the trigger on a new stock, I write a 1 to 2 page memo to self on why I'm buying it, I tend to start with small amounts initially and add over time. i was adding as it dropped when it got really low, I tripped down. Why? Well I had underestimated the impacts of potential law suits. But I also believe it's crazy cheap even if they loose the law suits. Incidentally, last week I sold half my position to bank the profits I have made On its recovery. Still own 3x more than I started with. but t
859
·
02-07 17:02
Strict Growth + Flow Filter | NXT, SMCI, ALAB, APLD
I start my daily screening with this core screener, which is the source of most ideas shared with my subscribers. It’s built on both technical and fundamental growth filters with net positive institutional buying based on ownership changes over the past three months. This is a highly selective and strict screener designed to identify the best names first, before gradually expanding and loosening your filters to cast a wider net in the broader market, a process I highly recommend. No fluff, no emotion, ignoring the market’s fear of a breakdown continuation earlier this week. $International Paper(IP)$ $Nextpower(NXT)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$
891
·
02-07 16:48
Software Is Dead...Again...For Real this Time...Maybe?
Last week I wrote a post titled “Software is Dead…Again.” Since then, $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ is down ~20% (in just 1 week!). If software was dead a week ago what is it now, down an incremental 20%?! First - some fun stats The median NTM revenue multiple (cue all the comments “he’s still talking about revenue multiples?!?”) is 3.6x. This is the lowest it’s been in the last 10+ years. For the revenue multiple haters, the median FCF multiple is 16x NTM FCF, for median growth rate of ~20% (alas, once again, cue another set of haters, saying none of the FCF is real and it’s all sitting in SBC). Can’t escape it, maybe software is a zero with no valuation support. Was good while it lasted. 39% of my software index is trading <
767
·
02-07 16:42
Dow Alone at High | SPX & NDX Roll Over, MSFT, AMZN, AMD Slide
$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ made a new high today. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ didn't. That's not strength — that's the last domino. NDX topped October 29th SPX topped last week. DJI is completing its final 5th wave. When the last index tops, they all fall together. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ TOP CALLED AT $514 I said the 5-wave rally from 2020 was COMPLETE. Down 24% from my call. We're almost at the $362–327 targets... Elliott Wave doesn't care about your feelings. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ SHORT CAUGHT After a bearish 5-wave decline, a CISD triggered and I entered short with members at $
1.60K
·
02-07 11:35
Can Spotify (SPOT) Price Hikes Helps Without Breaking Growth Engine?
$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Tuesday, February 10, 2026, before the market opens. Following a year where Spotify pivoted hard toward "efficiency" and "monetization," this report is a critical indicator of whether their aggressive pricing strategy is starting to hit a ceiling or if they are truly becoming the "money printer" analysts have predicted. Key Estimates & Guidance The following table outlines the consensus expectations for the Q4 print: Spotify (SPOT) reported its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025. While the headline numbers were strong—marking the company’s "Year of Efficiency"—the stock faced immediate pressure due to a "conservative" forward outlook. Q3 2025 Earning
4.38K
·
02-07 00:21
Brace for Next Week's Storm
Checked the 300k contract VIX 35 call position $VIX 20260318 35.0 CALL$ , it's still open, suggesting the correction is not yet over. $NVDA$ Next week continues the search for a bottom. A large bearish order opened: the weekly expiry 157.5 put $NVDA 20260213 157.5 PUT$ , with 60,000 contracts for a total notional of over $6 million. Therefore, tonight's rally is more suitable for selling calls. Consider strikes above 190: $NVDA 20260213 190.0 CALL$ I noticed institutions opened a 177.5–182.5 call spread for next week $NVDA 20