To The Moon

① What Happened Today Middle East tensions showed signs of easing, and US stocks bounced premarket. But tech earnings pressure and election uncertainty are still there. Middle East: The US reportedly approved a draft memo to be passed from Qatar to Iran. QQQ rose about 0.8%, SPY about 0.3%. Risk mood improved for now, but watch follow-up talks. US midterms: The market is watching results and policy direction. Source data shows prediction markets leaning Democratic, but prediction odds aren't actual results. AAPL: Fell about 4% after earnings. iPhone demand is strong, but rising memory costs, weak gross margin guidance, and slowing services revenue growth hurt confidence. PLTR: Fell about 7% after earnings. Revenue grew 96% year over year, but new order growth slowed clearly, and the market

SanDisk just dropped a jaw-dropping earnings report. Revenue hit $11.03 billion (up 23% QoQ), gross margins soared to an astonishing 85.1%, and EPS came in at $49.51—completely obliterating the high end of guidance. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ Management even pulled out the big guns: a $5 billion buyback and an 8-for-1 stock split. But here is the plot twist: right alongside this blowout print, the company issued a cautious warning about a "March slowdown." How can a company printing money at an 85% margin be bracing for an icy spring? SanDisk just dropped a jaw-dropping earnings report. Revenue hit $11.03 billion (up 23% QoQ), gross margins soared to an astonishing 85.1%, and EPS came in at $49.51—completely obliterating the high end of guidance. Manag

🚨 AI’s Next Big Risk May Not Be a Stock Market Crash. It Could Be a Credit Market Crisis. Oracle is leading 17 companies into the US investment-grade bond market, with weekly issuance expected to reach approximately $45 billion. At first glance, this looks like companies taking advantage of a favourable financing window ahead of the US midterm elections and NFP data. But I think there’s a bigger story here. 1️⃣ Oracle is becoming a test case for AI financing Oracle is raising $20 billion through a combination of $10 billion in new debt and $10 billion in equity. The interesting part? Its new bonds carry coupons ranging from 7% to 8.65%, while its outstanding borrowings already stood at approximately $125 billion as of August. This raises an important question: How much debt can a company a

"Incompetent management, rotten culture, zero moat. It’s a broken company." In December 2024, a former Intel engineer posted this blunt assessment on social media, urging everyone to stay far away from the stock. He had lived through Intel’s most turbulent years, watching the company burn tens of billions of dollars in cash flow on mediocre acquisitions and endless high-level infighting. He knew, far better than any Wall Street analyst, that Intel's core issue wasn't a lack of market demand. It was a failure of execution, rotten to the core. Fast-forward to today. Intel has just dropped a disastrous earnings report: hitting a hard ceiling on the supply side, facing severe substrate shortages, and suffering a tragic accident that halted production at a key factory. The stock plummeted nearl

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ $Apple(AAPL)$ , $Palantir(PLTR)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ , $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ are reporting earnings this week respectively. Will these companies have a chance to report stellar results and give a much needed bullish reversal for its tech compatriots, or will it follow the same pullback pattern of tech companies which reported earnings? The market did display a slight bounce up today at pre-market, which

My screen this morning is giving us four very different signals. MU: $872.79, -1.35% CRCL: $73.86, +1.82% BYND: $7.52, +8.83% RZLV: $1.48, +1.47% At first glance? Three green. One red. But that is almost useless information. Because these four stocks represent four completely different trades. MU = THESIS TRADE CRCL = EARNINGS SETUP BYND = MOMENTUM / SQUEEZE TRADE RZLV = PROVE-IT SPECULATION And after Friday's violent repricing of growth stocks? I think knowing WHICH game you are playing matters more than whether the stock is green or red today. 🟢 1. MU: THE ONE I WOULD MOST WANT TO OWN ON WEAKNESS Micron is around: $873 after trading near $987 only days ago. That is roughly an 11% reset from that recent high. And unlike some of the speculative names being sold? I do NOT see evidence yet t

$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   There are Positives and Negatives I am seeing. Positive. 1) It's not being paid in cash. This no additional debt abd funding costs. 2) They are both in the essential new tech to provide the connections between chips to run AI compute. 3) When running together, they may win more share of the business from Broadcom. Possible even become the dominant eventually. Negatives: 1) Share dilution, though the shares being issued to Lumentum holders may be from treasury, thus no new shares issued? 2) Not sure about the equity of 4.5 MRVL shares for each Lumentum share. Is the fair? All in, my take is it needs more studies and anlysis. But present market reaction is overdone. Probably we will see some rebound later

My market observation today: Most technology stocks are under pressure, including NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). However, not every part of the market is moving in the same direction. KWEB is showing strength, while defensive stocks such as Hasbro are holding up relatively well. What I find interesting is that the market is beginning to distinguish between different types of investments. Investors are becoming more selective about expensive technology stocks, while looking for opportunities in beaten-down markets and companies with more defensive business characteristics. This is an important reminder that when the technology sector falls, it does not automatically mean every stock must fall together. 1️⃣ Why are most technology stocks falling? 💻 The biggest issue is the changing attit

Nasdaq: +1.3% this week | Friday close: ~25,768 I’m leaning towards a modest rebound rather than a full risk-on rally. After Friday’s 2.86% fall and Monday’s additional weakness, some bad news and AI valuation anxiety should already be reflected in positioning. The biggest swing factor for me is tech earnings. Strong AMD, Qualcomm and Arm guidance could stabilise semiconductor sentiment, but investors now seem to demand evidence that AI capex is translating into revenue and profits, not merely more spending. The jobs report is the wildcard. A moderate reading that avoids both recession fears and a sharp rise in yields would probably be the best outcome for Nasdaq. My plan: continue DCA rather than chase a bounce. I would keep extra cash available if another valuation-driven selloff create

I would prefer to wait for the earnings results before adding to Singapore bank stocks. The recent pullback makes valuations more interesting, but I do not think a lower share price automatically means a bargain. I would rather have more clarity on earnings and management guidance. Among the three, I would pay close attention to $DBS(D05.SI)$ and $ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ , particularly their net interest income, wealth management fees and dividend sustainability. For OCBC, I also want to distinguish Great Eastern’s investment-related volatility from the underlying banking performance. My approach is to remain patient and compare all three banks after their results. I am more interested in sustainable ea

$Intel(INTC)$   Bearish continuation — prior low broken High significance Intel continued falling in the US session on Monday, 2 November, breaking below Friday's $63.20 low. This is meaningful downside continuation after the earnings shock, with no confirmed reversal yet. 1. Price has broken below the post-sell-off low. - Friday, 30 October: closed at $65.76 on approximately 455.6 million shares. - Monday, 2 November: Yahoo Finance reports a $61.92 close, down 5.84%, with 110.5 million shares traded. The decline continued without Friday's extraordinary volume. This suggests persistent selling, but does not establish another capitulation event or prove that institutional investors are accumulating. 2. The $60 ar