Inflation kills US Market tis week, like US Jobs ?
The escalation of US-Iran conflict and subsequent spike in oil prices have been, the primary causes for US market's volatility last week. (see below) For week ending 06 Mar 2026: Dow: -2.87% (-1,403.28 to 47,501.55). Its biggest decline since early April 2025. S&P 500: -2.06% (-141.60 to 6,740.02). Its biggest weekly percentage loss since mid-October 2025. Nasdaq: -1.59% (-361.18 to 22,387.68). Objectively speaking, there were other underlying economic and technical factors that ‘aided’ to exacerbate the decline. (see below) Other Reports. Below were US economic reports for last week: (1) Jobless Claims. (a) Weekly claims. For week ending 28 Feb 2026, US weekly jobless claims came in ‘flat’ at 213,000 vs market consensus of 215,000 vs previous week claims of 213,000. (see below) Despit
🐶💾 Options Puppy View: SanDisk Up 120% — Super-Cycle or Supply Mirage
🐶💾 Options Puppy View: SanDisk Up 120% — Super-Cycle or Supply Mirage? Memory stocks are famous for one thing: big booms and brutal busts. Now that SanDisk has surged more than 120% year-to-date, the debate is heating up. Some bulls believe we are entering a NAND memory super-cycle, while bears like Andrew Left from Citron Research argue the rally may be built on a fragile foundation. So is this the beginning of a long bull run — or a classic semiconductor cycle peak? The Options Puppy thinks the answer may lie somewhere in the middle. 🐶 ⸻ 🧠📈 The Bull Case: Why Memory Stocks Can Explode Supporters of SanDisk believe the current rally is driven by strong structural demand. NAND flash memory is used everywhere: • AI servers • Cloud storage • Smartphones • Data centers • Gaming systems As glo
Cute puppy relax moves while S&P sell off how we navigate to keep the damage lesser SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
🐶📉 Options Puppy Weekly: Is a Sell-Off Coming After the S&P 500 Failed 6800? Markets love drama. And this week the stage is full: missiles in the Middle East, oil prices jumping, inflation whispers returning, and traders wondering whether the rally just ran out of fuel. The Options Puppy doesn’t panic though. 🐶 Let’s sniff through the macro bones and see what might happen next week. ⸻ 🛢️🔥 Middle East Tension: The Oil Shock Bone The biggest headline shaking markets right now is the escalating conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran. The scale of attacks and retaliation surprised many investors, and the market’s first reaction was simple: oil spiked. Why? Because roughly 25–30% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. If that route is disrupted, the world suddenly wor
🐶💰 Love, Money & The Options Puppy: Do They Follow the Same Logic? SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
🐶💰 Love, Money & The Options Puppy: Do They Follow the Same Logic? ❤️🐶 Emotional Stability Is the Entry Ticket When people think about investing, they often imagine intelligence, complex analysis, or secret strategies. But in reality, the true entry ticket to markets is emotional stability. The same rule applies to love. In relationships, emotions can swing wildly—joy, fear, jealousy, excitement. In markets, it’s the same story: greed during rallies and panic during crashes. So when a crazy week arrives with geopolitical drama, market drops, and headlines screaming doom, the real question becomes: Do you panic and break up with the market, or do you ride it out together? The investors who succeed long-term are usually the calm ones. The same is true in relationships. Stability beats dr
🚨 Inflation Data Could Move Everything – What’s Your Game Plan for the Week?
Great minds think alike — but great ideas stand out. 💡Share your trade setup and let your strategy shine.Catch up fast:These events rocked the markets today.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, EarningsCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!🌍 Monday — Macro EconomyU.S. stocks fell sharply amid escalating Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. The S&P MidCap 400 dropped 4.61%, while the Nasdaq held up best, declining 1.24%. Treasury yields rose as investors reassessed infla
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ distribution on break $680 and $676 rejection is confirmed. Distribution happens after a strong move up when smart money begin selling to late buyers. Price stops trending up past $697 moves sideways near the highs, forming a range between resistance $697 and support $677. Many traders believe the market is simply consolidating before another breakout, but institutions are actually selling into the buying pressure. 3 key signs of distribution: #1. Failed breakouts. Price may briefly push above resistance but quickly falls back into the range. This means buyers tried to push higher, but sellers absorbed the demand. #2. Momentum weakens. Even within the range, price struggles to make strong new highs and starts formi
$SPY Breakdown Signals Risk as Energy and AI Supply Chains Face Pressure
2 weeks ago analysts thought this war was about missiles. It isn’t. It’s about energy, materials, and the invisible infrastructure of AI (chips). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ broke distribution finally after 3 months so key support levels to are at $650 now and then below that $625-$630 area for a big bounce. Oil was the first signal. Nearly 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. When conflict threatens that area, energy prices spike immediately and inflation follows. But the real danger isn’t just oil. It’s the AI supply chain. The Middle East supplies critical materials used in semiconductor manufacturing including helium used to cool chip fabrication systems. Disruptions there could slow production for companies that produce
(Full Article) Preview of the week (09Mar2026) - War, Earnings & Layoff
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,
Watch Oracle $50 Billion Fund Raise Impact On Stock Dilution
$Oracle(ORCL)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, after the market close. The company is currently in a high-stakes transition period, aggressively raising capital to fund a massive AI infrastructure buildout. Here is an analysis of the expectations and the tactical outlook for the release. The Numbers to Beat (Consensus Estimates) Revenue: ~$16.9 billion (Expected growth of ~19.5% YoY). Adjusted EPS: ~$1.70 per share (Expected growth of ~15.7% YoY). Cloud Revenue Guidance: Management previously guided for 40%–44% growth in USD. The Oracle (ORCL) Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report, released on December 10, 2025, remains a pivotal case study in the "AI Infrastructure Era." While the headline numbers showed a
$ABM Industries Inc(ABM)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, before the market opens, with a conference call following at 8:30 AM ET. The stock has recently traded with low volatility but has underperformed the broader market over the last year. This earnings report is a critical "show-me" moment for their 2026 growth strategy and the integration of recent acquisitions. Q1 2026 Earnings Expectations Consensus EPS: $0.87 (Flat compared to Q1 2025). Revenue Estimate: $2.22 billion (An increase of ~4.7% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set an adjusted EPS range of $3.85 to $4.15. Investors will look for a reaffirmation or tightening of this range. ABM Industries (ABM) reported its fi
$AAOI Near 52-Week High with Strong Momentum in $SOXX
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ (11.5% ADR) – Less than 1 x ADR from its 52-week high Currently trading under 2.5 x ATR% from the 50-MA, within one of the most relentless 3-month performing group in $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ . The last time it reached this price in early December 2024, it was extended beyond 12 x ATR% from the 50-MA, followed by a -75% pullback over the next four months, before stabilizing on its first quarterly YoY growth in both earnings and sales, and continuing with two consecutive quarters of growth. Price has risen over threefold +356%, but from a technical perspective, the chart may still present a favorable risk-reward opportunity for a cleaner and more linear price trajec
Duolingo's Asymmetric Potential: Short-Term vs Long-Term Investing
The $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ thesis laid out in the spotlight article is relatively simple. Build scale in the language market Expand into new education modalities (language specialist to education generalist) Chess and math are early examples Bundle growing content suite for one simple, compelling monthly fee Democratize education at scale This would create a flywheel in education as more scale gives Duolingo the economics to develop more modalities, which would make the bundle more valuable, and so on. It’s similar to what $Netflix(NFLX)$ did with content, providing more content value for subscribers over time. But there’s a conundrum for Duolingo economically. It could run a profitable business today wit
$SPX Near 3rd Wave Trigger as CPI Becomes Key Catalyst
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ missed the 3rd wave confirmation by 1 point. But the damage is done. Odds strongly favor the 3rd wave is already in progress. A cross below 6,710 confirms it. If that occurs, 6,550 is coming. New bearish Daily FVG at 6,773–6,811 should act as resistance on a bounce. Daily close above 6,811 delays it. CPI Wednesday. Catalyst incoming. ALTERNATE: Since SPX did not cross its weekly low at 6,710, the bullish SMT with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ persists. If price rallies without crossing 6,710 and closes above 6,811 on the Daily, the new Daily FVG inverts — meaning the 2nd wave is still progressing to target the higher Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915. CPI then terminates the 2nd wave and charges the 3rd wa
$SPX $IWM $DJI Extreme Oversold Levels Hint at Bounce
U.S. equities are flashing short-term oversold signals across multiple indices, with extreme readings in breadth indicators and Bollinger Band breakdowns suggesting a potential technical bounce after the recent selloff. 📉📊 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The McClellan Oscillator has reached levels where price action begins to form a bounce, including the August 2024 Carry Trade selloff and the 2025 Tariff Crash. 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Price printed an isolated candle below the lower Bollinger Band. The high daily volume validates the significance of this formation. Sell-offs rarely move in a straight line; a formation like this often marks a local bottom or a "climax" event. 3.
When the Strait of Hormuz Decides the Price of Everything
Geopolitical events present a unique pricing challenge for financial markets. Unlike earnings reports or Federal Reserve decisions that arrive on a known schedule, geopolitical shocks are by nature unpredictable, rare, and of uncertain duration. This combination of characteristics creates a specific market dynamic: sharp initial reaction driven by uncertainty, followed by rapid reassessment as facts emerge. There are three primary channels through which geopolitical shocks affect asset prices: 1) disruption to cross-border trade and investment, 2) contagion through financial linkages, and 3) elevated macroeconomic uncertainty. Of these three, uncertainty has the longest-lasting effect because it cannot be resolved until the event either escalates or de-escalates. Markets do not price the e
Making Money vs. Managing Love: Do They Follow the Same Logic?
The weekend is almost here, so let’s open up our imagination and discuss a topic that sounds a bit outrageous at first—but might actually be quite profound: Do people who are good at relationships also tend to perform better in investing or trading? Looking back at this week’s market—where geopolitical tensions triggered a sharp drop followed by a deep V-shaped rebound—the more I think about it, the more it feels like love and investing are essentially about managing human weaknesses. 1. Core Traits: High Sensitivity vs. Emotional Stability People who are good at relationships are usually highly sensitive to subtle emotional signals. A glance, a delayed reply—you can pick up the emotions behind it. That’s the ability that makes someone feel truly “seen.” Markets work in a similar way. Take
Weekly Contributor ( 16 Feb - 22 Feb): Check out our New Scheme & New Winners!
Thank you all for your support! Due to the Spring Festival holiday, the calculation and distribution of February rewards have been delayed. The rewards will be issued within 7 working days. Come take a look at winners from Feb 16 - Feb 22 ! 🏆 Each week, we will select 18 winning creators across 3 tracks: 1. Consistent Contributor Award Congrats on winning $15 vouchers! @JC888@koolgal@nerdbull1669@Emotional Investor This award goes to creators who consistently deliver valuable posts that keep Tigers reading longer. We will prioritize posts with strong weekly consumption
As always, these posts are more of a brain dump of “what I’m thinking” about…And lately I’ve been thinking about a pattern that keeps showing up when I study the biggest infrastructure winners of the cloud era, and what it means for AI companies today. Here’s the general idea: the biggest infrastructure winners of the cloud era monetized the core consumption primitive of the platform. In the cloud era, that primitive was compute, storage, and network I/O. In the AI era, it increasingly looks like tokens. Let’s unpack. When cloud computing first started taking off, the core primitive of the platform was very clear: compute. Everything that happened in the cloud ultimately boiled down to compute cycles running somewhere inside a data center. Storage, networking, and databases all mattered of
QQQ Rally Nears Cycle Peak as $594 Buy Zone Emerges
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Section 1 — Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis Current Trend Zone: Bullish | Recommended Position: Buy and Hold QQQ's long-term structural designation remains firmly Bullish, and the Buy and Hold investment posture continues to be the appropriate long-term position. The Bullish zone has been in effect for 7 days since the February 23 entry at $601.40, and today's close at $610.80 generates a cumulative return of +1.6% — a meaningfully positive result that confirms the Bullish zone's return delivery in the early phases of the current cycle. The long-term Bullish zone framework operates through two natural sub-phases, and QQQ's current positioning within that framework is noteworthy: Uptrend Phase: QQQ has been operating
LABU Jumps +7.18%, but Bearish Transition Risk Climbs
$Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares(LABU)$ Section 1 — Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis Current Trend Zone: Bullish | Recommended Position: Buy and Hold LABU's long-term structural designation remains Bullish, with the Buy and Hold position continuing as the formally appropriate long-term posture. The Bullish zone has maintained its integrity through 8 days of holding since the February 20 entry at $163.20, and today's close at $168.10 represents a cumulative gain of +$4.90 per share (+3.0%) — a meaningful early return that validates the Bullish zone's return potential for patient long-term holders. Within the Bullish zone framework, LABU is currently operating in the Correction Trend sub-phase — a period characterized by te