Are We About To See A Santa Rally To Power Year-End Gains?
We have a rough December start for stocks, but history shows the year-end period is historically a strong one for stocks, regardless of how they performed earlier in December. In this article, I would like to use a data-anchored, objective, and risk-aware assessment of whether a Santa Claus rally is still a reasonable expectation for late-December/early-January 2026 and what could possibly derail it: What the Historical Patterns Say Seasonal patterns show a historical tendency for year-end strength in stocks: The so-called Santa Claus Rally refers to the last five trading days of December + the first two of January. Historically, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has risen in this period about 70-75%+ of the time with average gains in the low-single-digit p
Bitcoin RSI Nears 3-year Lows vs. Gold -> Bullish Comeback or End Of Bull Cycle?
As Bitcoin has stayed above 85K over the weekend before Christmas, we also saw Bitcoin RSI nears 3-year lows versus Gold, are these signalling that Bitcoin is going to break the support level against Gold, the last time Bitcoin lost this support level againsts Gold, we saw Bitcoin went into a bear market. In this article, we would like to use grounded, data-informed assessment to look at Bitcoin’s technical condition vs. gold, support levels, and the broader bull or bear cycle outlook. Current Technical Signal: RSI vs Gold Approaching Multi-Year Lows Recent market data show that the BTC/Gold RSI (Relative Strength Index) on weekly charts is near three-year lows, indicating oversold conditions relative to gold. Historically, extended oversold RSI readings can sometimes precede reversals or