$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN Rebounds +4.59%: Volume Surge Signals Bullish Reversal, Eyes $244 ResistanceLatest Close DataClosed at $236.53 on 2026-01-05, up +4.59% (+$10.39). The price remains ~46.8% below its 52-week high of $444.64.Core Market DriversStrong intraday reversal from a low of $225.91, driven by significant net capital inflow of $84 million. Positive sentiment is building as the broader crypto market stabilizes, with Coinbase's dominant exchange position attracting renewed investor interest.Technical AnalysisVolume ratio surged to 1.58, indicating strong buying interest. The 6-day RSI jumped from an oversold 17.1 to 43.9, signaling a momentum shift out of the bearish zone. MACD remains in negative territory (DIF: -12.99, DEA:
The Gambler’s FallacyThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ delivered gains of 26% in 2023, 25% in 2024, and 18% in 2025. After such a strong run, it is natural for investors to expect weaker returns in 2026. This mindset reflects the classic gambler’s fallacy—the belief that strong past performance must be followed by mean reversion.At this stage of the cycle, bearish arguments also tend to sound more persuasive, and investor sentiment often turns cautious. However, the bull market has continued to show resilience. The ongoing AI-driven transformation remains a powerful structural tailwind and is likely to continue providing support into 2026.2026 RoadmapOur base-case scenario sees the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ending 2026 a
$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Sold some and locked in a bit of profits last year. will hold some of the remaining for Alphabets long term growth. Hold. more rewards than risk.
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