Intel has been beaten down badly in recent years and price has fallen to similar levels 10 years ago (back in 2014)
Opening some fresh new position into Intel stocks.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Historical Price Levels:
The current trading price of INTC has reverted to levels observed in 2014. Specifically, in 2014, the stock's price ranged between approximately $17.66 and $28.91, with an average close of $22.99.
This places Intel at a historically low valuation on a price-to-book and price-to-earnings basis compared to its peers, which may present a value opportunity for long-term investors.
2. Impact of Tariffs:
The recent price drop is significantly influenced by heightened trade tensions. Semiconductor companies like Intel are particularly affected due to their substantial exposure to Chinese markets.
3. Strategic Initiatives:
Intel has been focusing on advancing semiconductor technology, expanding its AI and data center presence, and implementing cost-reduction strategies to enhance competitiveness.
-Strategic Foundry Push (Intel Foundry Services - IFS):Intel is investing heavily in IFS to compete with TSMC and Samsung, aiming to regain manufacturing leadership by 2025–2026.
The company recently announced plans to ramp up 18A process node and secured new foundry customers, showing progress in its IDM 2.0 strategy
-Government Subsidies & CHIPS Act Support: Intel is a beneficiary of the U.S. CHIPS and Science Act, which provides subsidies for domestic chip production, helping offset CAPEX.
This strengthens Intel's financial position as it builds new fabs in Ohio and expands in Arizona.
Technical Analysis:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
The stock is approaching a critical support level around $19.00. A breach below this could signal further downside, while maintaining above may indicate potential stabilization.
2. Moving Averages:
INTC is trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. RSI hit oversold territory on 7 April 2025.
Conclusion:
Intel's stock is currently under pressure due to external trade factors and market volatility. However, the company's strategic initiatives in AI and semiconductor advancements may position it favorably for future growth. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and Intel's execution of its strategic plans to assess potential recovery and long-term value.
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