Mortimer Arthur
Mortimer Arthur
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avatarMortimer Arthur
10-19 09:18
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  — watching the Nov 6 $535 CALL above $534. Targets are $539.44 / $543.82. Invalidation below $531.90. I'd want to see a 5m close plus a retest above the trigger with VWAP support. Friday broker expiry POP was 31.2%, not the setup win rate. Pricing and liquidity should be refreshed at the open.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  We didn't come this far to not test all-time highs. Three months ago this stock gave an absolute gift.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Anthropic just put out a fairly striking research note. They looked at whether small open-source models can already set themselves up and spread across cheap consumer devices like Android TV boxes and IoT hardware. A couple of Chinese open models stood out. Qwen handled unfamiliar hardware well, and GLM was the only one that completed the full self-replication chain in their tests. Their estimate is that by the end of 2026, even smaller models could reach the same level. Open-source combined with self-spreading capability feels like something genuinely new.
$Apple(AAPL)$  It keeps holding this trend line and trading inside the channel, which is bullish. Above $341.50 would be a momentum move with room to run to 345. At 336.75 there's support, along with the 9ema.
$Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL weekly chart still looks constructive. Price is holding and pushing higher off the old July 13 to July 27 resistance band, and the September 14 to October 5 open/close cluster around $332 - $335 is acting as support. Absolute and trend momentum are both still in a bullish regime, which adds to the positive technical backdrop. Earnings are due in early November and there is some resistance overhead, so a bullish trader might look at a defined-risk credit spread structure before then. Not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Strike selection would be layered below the identified support levels, including where buyers stepped in recently near $325 ish. GL
$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple's smart home presence has lagged behind its mobile and computing business for years. Amazon and Google pushed hard into living rooms with smart speakers and security cameras, while Apple mostly leaned on third-party accessories through HomeKit. That approach is shifting now. With Apple moving deeper into its own smart home hardware, including dedicated displays, hubs, and AI-driven security cameras, the company is opening up a multi-layered revenue opportunity. The home security push will meaningfully add to the bottom line through hardware sales, higher-margin services, and ecosystem lock-in. Apple has a track record of entering mature markets late, refining the experience, and then taking a large share of industry profit
$Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$ At this point, I just hope this company succeeds so Timmy ends up looking foolish for selling around 80% of his QS stake at a steep discount, kind of like that one cofounder from AAPL.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ She's likely to give 517.78 another go. I checked with the head of the Stella Blue Trading Analytics team, who's on holiday, and he said yes, go for it.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  looks like it is at the bottom, and it also received an upgrade.
$Apple(AAPL)$ By mid-2026, institutional investors like mutual funds, ETFs, and pension funds hold most of Apple's stock, generally estimated at 64% of total shares outstanding. The remaining roughly 36% sits with individual investors and insiders. Given Apple's recent, consistent, and aggressive buyback pace, it would take around 10 to 12 years for the company to repurchase another 36% of its current outstanding shares. If Apple did buy back 36% of its outstanding shares, individual investors would effectively have no room left to buy more, which could put extreme upward pressure on the price and possibly lead to a stock split. Each year along the way toward repurchasing that 36%, the price per share would likely keep accelerating higher.
$Apple(AAPL)$  iPhone 18 has sold out in China and most Asian countries.
$Apple(AAPL)$ How many times do we wake up and see a small cap take off like crazy? Well, $PDS Biotechnology Corporation(PDSB)$  is one of those, and the chart gives a pretty clear sense of where it's heading. I'll go over the dollar levels later.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ They're racing to triple computing power, targeting 38 GW of data center capacity after having to turn away AI/cloud demand due to shortages. Meanwhile, two key Fairwater veterans from Microsoft's largest AI campus in Wisconsin just joined SLNH. Ryan Carver came on as Chief Development Officer, and Neil Robinson as VP Construction Management. Same hyperscale execution team, with clean energy plus real AI compute. The connection is getting stronger.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Showing some potential here on the 60-minute 20 EMA setup. To be clear, MSFT needs to close above the 20 EMA — the green line. Only then would I place a stop under that level.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  was set up as a long pullback against the 5/12 clouds, with the mid-day 444 level acting as key support. Once price bounced from 444 and curls started to develop, the move strengthened toward the 456 target. Partial profits were taken near 450 as momentum kept going. Stops were moved higher, with risk managed under 440 and later raised to 455.50 as price pushed toward the target. Clear plan, strong trend, disciplined execution.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ BTC.XMicrosoft shareholders voted down a Bitcoin treasury proposal in 2024, and the company still holds zero BTC on its balance sheet. I think this will end up looking like a historic mistake.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Just step outside and look at what people are holding in their hands. Yes, an iPhone. That alone says a lot about the bear case.
Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Pivotal initiates SpaceX at buy Northland upgrades Intel to outperform from market perform UBS upgrades Lockheed Martin to buy from neutral Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Raymond James reiterates Nvidia as strong buy $SpaceX(SPCX)$  $Intel(INTC)$  $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$  $Apple(AAPL)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 
Breakout watchlist. Inside bars and order blocks showing compression: $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ : calls above $612.43 on the monthly setup. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : calls above $230.47 on the weekly setup. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : calls above $368.92 on the daily setup. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ : calls above $107.46, puts below $101.89 on the daily setup. Gapfills and events: $Apple(AAPL)$ : calls above $328.40 on the daily gapfill setup. Quick take: $Robinhood(HOOD)$  is a top watch this week after a massive wave of Wal
$Apple(AAPL)$ I'm actually looking forward to next week's event. Haven't felt this way in years. I was planning to buy a new MacBook recently, but decided to wait until after the event.

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