Bullish on AMD: The Next Dark Horse of the AI Revolution

ToNi
10-07

As an investor closely tracking the tech sector, I am highly optimistic about AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) following its performance on October 7, 2025, and its long-term prospects. Today’s stock price surged to $203.71 (up 23.7% from yesterday’s $164.67), hitting a 52-week high of $226.71. This impressive rally is no fluke—it’s driven by a landmark partnership with OpenAI.

Unmatched Partnership Potential

The cornerstone of today’s surge is AMD’s multi-year agency agreement with OpenAI, which involves deploying up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs, with the first 1 GW rolling out in the second half of 2026. This deal could unlock hundreds of billions in infrastructure orders (estimated at $50B per GW) and includes OpenAI securing options for 160 million AMD shares (approximately 10% equity, contingent on milestones). Analysts forecast this will propel AMD’s 2025 revenue from $33.02B to $40.19B in 2026, with EPS rising to $3.90 and $6.03, respectively, reflecting explosive AI chip demand.

Solid Fundamentals Fuel Long-Term Growth

AMD’s financial health provides a robust foundation for this growth. Q2 2025 revenue reached $7.7B (up 32% year-over-year), with its data center business (EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs) leading the charge. With a cash reserve of $158.1M supporting operations through 2027, and no debt (debt-to-equity ratio 0%), AMD is well-positioned. Its P/S ratio of 6.0x and P/B of 1.9x remain reasonable, especially amid the AI boom.

A Chance to Outshine NVIDIA

This partnership challenges NVIDIA’s dominance in the AI chip market, particularly its software ecosystem. With cost-effective Instinct GPUs (performance comparable to NVIDIA’s A100 at a lower price point) and OpenAI’s endorsement, AMD is poised to capture significant market share. Discussions on X suggest institutional funds may shift from NVIDIA or cryptocurrencies to AMD, positioning it as the next dark horse in the AI revolution.

Risks and Mitigation

While short-term volatility is evident (with today’s trading volume spiking), risks like export controls (e.g., China market) and clinical failure warrant caution. I believe AMD can mitigate these through diversified clients in automotive and gaming sectors.

Conclusion

AMD’s current valuation offers an attractive entry point, with long-term potential fueled by global AI infrastructure spending (projected at $4 trillion annually). I am bullish on its growth from 2026 to 2030, with a potential target price exceeding $300. I recommend buying on dips and monitoring data updates by late 2025. This is not just a price surge—it’s the start of a technological transformation!

OpenAI Family Expanding: Is It A Blessing or A Curse?
OpenAI has been insanely busy lately — one moment it’s doing e-commerce, the next it’s getting into social, and now it’s even launching a browser. It announced plans to deploy 6GW of AMD Instinct GPUs. OpenAI went a step further and partnered with Broadcom to develop custom ASIC chips. Microsoft mainly provides OpenAI’s training compute, while Oracle handles inference workloads. Meanwhile, PayPal officially announced a partnership with OpenAI yesterday — its stock spiked but later gave back most of the gains by the close.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Enid Bertha
    10-08
    Enid Bertha
    Wallstreet will be loading up AMD. Follow the moneny. They realize the base case for AMD $300 and Bull case $400 and beyond. The ai build out is real and AMD deal with OpenAI is the jacxkpot deal.

  • Jo Betsy
    10-07
    Jo Betsy
    AMD’s OpenAI deal + 6GW GPUs—$300 target by 2030 isn’t just hype!
  • Valerie Archibald
    10-08
    Valerie Archibald
    Wall Street most hated stock to most wanted stock overnight, this is just beginning

  • Ron Anne
    10-07
    Ron Anne
    No debt + 32% YoY revenue growth—this AI play’s fundamentals are solid!
  • Phyllis Strachey
    10-07
    Phyllis Strachey
    NVIDIA’s software edge is still strong—can AMD really steal market share?
  • fluffzo
    10-07
    fluffzo
    Wow, what a fantastic analysis! [Wow]
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